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2010-11 NBA Daily Report Results

144-109-7 +35.71 Units (Volume: 402.50 Units)


Sunday 06/12: -2.00 Units (Volume 2.00 Units)

Miami -4.5 / Dallas 8:00 ET 2.00 Units
Miami 95 Dallas 105 Dallas Lose


Thursday 06/09: +1.82 Units (Volume 2.00 Units)

Dallas +1 / Miami 9:00 ET 2.00 Units
Dallas 112 Miami 103 Winner


Tuesday 06/07: +0.00 Units (Volume 1.50 Units)

MIami +3 / Dallas 9:00 ET 1.50 Units
Miami 83 Dallas 86 PUSH


Sunday 06/05: +1.82 Units (Volume 2.00 Units)

Miami +2.5 / Dallas 8:00 ET 2.00 Units
Miami 88 Dallas 86 Winner


Tuesday 05/31: +1.82 Units (Volume 2.00 Units)

Miami -4.5 / Dallas 9:00 ET 2.00 Units
Miami 92 Dallas 84 Winner


Thursday 05/26: +1.82 Units (Volume 2.00 Units)

Miami +3 / Chicago 8:30 ET 2.00 Units
Miami 83 Chicago 80 Winner


Sunday 05/22: +1.82 Units (Volume 2.00 Units)

Miami -4.5 / Chicago 8:30 ET 2.00 Units
Miami 96 Chicago 85 Winner


Saturday 05/21: -2.00 Units (Volume 2.00 Units)

Oklahoma City -2.5 / Dallas 9:00 ET 2.00 Units
Oklahoma City 87 Dallas 93 Lose


Thursday 05/19: +1.82 Units (Volume 2.00 Units)

Oklahoma City +5.5 / Dallas 9:00 ET 2.00 Units
Oklahoma City 106 Dallas 100 Winner


Wednesday 05/18: +1.82 Units (Volume 2.00 Units)

Miami +2.5 / Chicago 8:30 ET 2.00 Units
Miami 85 Chicago 75 Winner
 

 
Tuesday 05/17: -1.50 Units (Volume 1.50 Units)

Oklahoma City +6 / Dallas 9:00 ET 1.50 Units
Oklahomna City 112 Dallas 121 Lose


Sunday 05/15: +1.82 Units (Volume 2.00 Units)

Oklahoma City -6.5 / Memphis 3:30 ET 2.00 Units
Oklahoma City 105 Dallas 90 Winner


Friday 05/13: +1.37 Units (Volume 1.50 Units)

Memphis -1.5 / Oklahoma City 9:05 ET 1.50 Units
Memphis 95 Oklahoma City 83 Winner



Wednesday 05/11: +1.37 Units (Volume 1.50 Units)

Miami -7.5 / Boston 7:00 ET 1.50 Units
Miami 97 Boston 87 Winner


Tuesday 05/10: +1.37 Units (Volume 1.50 Units)

Chicago -8.5 / Atlanta 8:05 ET 1.50 Units
Chicago 95 Atlanta 83 Winner



Monday 05/09: -2.00 Units (Volume 2.00 Units)

Boston +1.5 / Miami 7:05 ET 2.00 Units
Boston 90 Miami 98 Lose
We were on the Heat Saturday in game 3 in Boston citing that it was a very big game for them because if they failed to win, they may very well be returning to South Beach tied at 2... big difference from being up 3-0 and returning home...No matter what the outcome was on Saturday, we've been looking ahead to this game 4 with a big circle around the Celtics. Had Miami won Saturday, we would expect Boston to win here thus enabling the Heat to win the series at home which would mean a ton more revenue (not saying Miami would throw the game but wouldn't expect them to be overly focused). And with the current situation of the series now being just a 2-1 advantage, we're sticking to our thinking that the series will indeed return to Florida tied. There's much talk about the injury to Rondo's elbow along with Delonte West's injured shoulder. Sure Rondo is a very key component to the Celtic's success, but teams have a way of coming together and putting forth big efforts to pick up the slack when not 100%. And Boston has been here before... many times in recent history. Tonight's game realistically is their season as a loss here would all but seal their fate heading on the road down 1-3. Expect the veterans to step up tonight in a big way with more of the same home cooking from game 3 Saturday...-END


Sunday 05/08: -1.25 Units (Volume 1.25 Units)

LA Lakers +2.5 / Dallas 3:30 ET 1.25 Units
LA Lakers 86 Dallas 122 Lose


Saturday 05/07: -3.25 Units (Volume 3.25 Units)

Oklahoma City +3 / Memphis 5:05 ET 1.25 Units
Oklahoma City 93 Memphis 101 Lose

Miami +3 / Boston 8:00 ET 2.00 Units
Miami 81 Boston 97 Lose
Forget about the run the Celtics were on earlier in the season... and forget about the trouble Miami was having throughout the season as the "Big Three" got to know each other. Rather look at the current set of circumstances. Boston is showing their age on the court. Realize that this is their 89th game of the season and basketball is a very physical sport. Once fatigue sets in along with all the nagging (unreported) injuries, teams tend to break down... just look at what happened to the Spurs at the hands of a much younger, physical Memphis team. These are the playoffs.. the "second season" a time when the cream rises to the top. Much was expected from the Heat at the beginning of the season and now it's time for them to deliver. Just as Boston is falling apart, Miami is getting stronger and thriving. It's no fluke that the Heat dominated Boston at home, and there's no reason for them to let up now. This is a very important game for Miami despite being up 2-0 because a loss here and there's a very good chance of going back to South Beach back to square one and facing a best of 3 mini series. But a win tonight on the road and it's all but over... -END


Friday 05/06: +1.37 Units (Volume 1.50 Units)

Chicago -2.5 / Atlanta 7:05 ET 1.50 Units
Chicago 9 Atlanta 82 Winner


Thursday 05/05: +/- 0.00 Units (Volume 0.00 Units)

PASS


Wednesday 05/04: -2.00 Units (Volume 2.00 Units)

LA Lakers -7 / Dallas 10:35 ET 2.00 Units
LA Lakers 81 Dallas 93 Lose


Tuesday 05/03: +1.82 Units (Volume 2.00 Units)

Miami -5 / Boston  7:05 ET 2.00 Units
Miami 102 Boston 91 Winner


Monday 05/02: -2.00 Units (Volume 2.00 Units)

LA Lakers -5.5 / Dallas 10:35 ET 2.00 Units
LA Lakers 94 Dallas 96 Lose


Sunday 05/01: -1.50 Units (Volume 1.50 Units)

Oklahoma City -6 / Memphis 1:00 ET 1.50 Units
Oklahoma City 101 Memphis 114 Lose


Thursday 04/28: -2.00 Units (Volume 2.00 Units)

New Orleans +5.5 / LA Lakers 8:05 ET 2.00 Units
New Orleans 80 LA Lakers 98 Lose


Wednesday 04/27: +1.82 Units (Volume 2.00 Units)

Denver +7 / Oklahoma City 9:35 ET 2.00 Units
Denver 97 Oklahoma City 100 Winner


Tuesday 04/26: +3.64 Units (Volume 4.00 Units)

Orlando -7.5 / Atlanta 7:35 ET 2.00 Units
Orlando 101 Atlanta 76 Winner 

Chicago -9 / Indiana 8:05 ET 2.00 Units
Chicago 116 Indiana 89 Winner

Monday 04/25: -1.50 Units (Volume 1.50 Units)

San Antonio -1.5 / Memphis 8:05 ET 1.50 Units
San Antonio 86 Memphis 104 Lose


Sunday 04/24: -1.50 Units (Volume 1.50 Units)

Orlando -2 / Atlanta 7:05 ET 1.50 Units
Orlando 85 Atlanta 88 Lose


Saturday 04/23: +1.82 Units (Volume 2.00 Units)

Memphis -2 / San Antonio 7:35 ET 2.00 Units
Memphis 91 San Antonio 88 Winner


Friday 04/22: +1.37 Units (Volume 1.50 Units)

Atlanta +2 / Orlando 8:05 ET 1.50 Units
Atlanta 88 Orlando 84 Winner


Thursday 04/21: -1.50 Units (Volume 1.50 Units)

Philadlephia +5 / Miami 8:05 ET 1.50 Units
Philadelphia 94 Miami 100 Lose


Wednesday 04/20: -2.00 Units (Volume 2.00 Units)

Denver +4.5 / Oklahoma City 8:05 ET 2.00 Units
Denver 89 Oklahoma City 106 Lose


Tuesday 04/19: +1.37 Units (Volume 1.50 Units)

Dallas -3.5 / Portland 9:35 ET 1.50 Units
Dallas 101 Portland 89 Winner


Monday 04/18: -2.00 Units (Volume 2.00 Units)

Chicago -12 / Indiana 9:35 ET 2.00 Units
Chicago 96 Indiana 90 Lose
The young Pacers had their chance... this series is over. Blowing a 10 point lead with 3:28 to go will rip the soul out of a young team. Saturday's game one at the United Center will go down as one of the biggest meltdowns in NBA history and won't soon be forgotten. Forget about crunching numbers and stats and trends here... this one comes down to a teams ability to rebound after such a loss, and the Pacers will not be able to. Had they hung on to steal game one (as they should have), then yes, taking the points here would be our likely way to go. But you'll see this young group come out tonight like sheep being led to slaughter as the Bulls start strong and put this game out of reach early.... Notice that there has been no adjustment in the line from game one... the number is sitting at -12 in most shops... the same as game ones line despite Indiana leading the game throughout most of the first the first 44+ minutes Saturday. Don't get sucked into the "lose but cover" mentality here... 12 won't seem so big when the Bulls are up by 35 down the stretch.... -END


Sunday 04/17: +1.82 Units (Volume 2.00 Units)

NY Knicks +6.5 / Boston 7:05 ET 2.00 Units
NY Knicks 85 Boston 87 Winner


Saturday 04/16: +1.37 Units (Volume 1.50 Units)

Atlanta +8.5 / Orlando 7:05 ET 1.50 Units
Atlanta 103 Orlando 93 Winner


Tuesday 04/12: +1.37 Units (Volume 1.50 Units)

Portland -5 / Memphis 10:05 ET 1.50 Units
Portland 102 Memphis 89 Winner


Monday 04/11: -1.50 Units (Volume 1.50 Units)

Houston +2.5 / Dallas 8:35 ET 1.50 Units
Houston 91 Dallas 98 Lose


Sunday 04/10: +1.14 Units (Volume 1.25 Units)

Dallas -10 / Phoenix 7:35 ET 1.25 Units
Dallas 115 Phoenix 90 Winner

 


Thursday 04/07: +4.16 Units (Volume 3.25 Units)

Chicago -4.5 / Boston 8:05 ET 2.00  Units
Chicago 97 Boston 81 Winner
Parlay: Chicago (ML) -200 & Under 179  Risk 1.25 Units to win 2.34 Units
Chicago 97 Boston 81 Winner
Since the All Star break, the Bulls have quietly emerged as the Beasts Of The East going 19-4 SU & 14-9 ATS thus pretty much sealing up home court through the Eastern Conference finals. Boston (3 games back in the loss column) would have to make up 4 games with 5 to go in order to overtake Chicago (since Chicago holds the tiebreaker edge via a better division record). Winning here would seal the deal in the East for the Bulls, but more important is that they're still very much in the hunt for best record overall as they trail the Spurs by just 1 game, and Chicago wins the tie breaker against San Antonio. So all they need to do is win one more than San Antonio down the stretch to gain home court throughout the playoffs

Of course tonight's reasoning goes a bit deeper than merely "wants" & "needs", we like Chicago here for a couple of reasons. First, as mentioned is the momentum edge. Just as the Bulls have been hot since the break, Boston has been just average going 14-9 SU & 10-13 ATS. But the big reason for backing the home team here is the incredible shooting by Boston in their last 2 games (both at home): 53% Tuesday vs Philly & 64% Sunday vs Detroit. Above average shooting like this has a tendency to come crashing back down to Earth in a hurry... especially when a team goes on the road.

Look for Chicago to continue their tear with a decisive win tonight at the United Center...

Note: Our main play here is Chicago laying the -4.5, but we also like the Under. No question that both teams tonight will bring their defensive game, and not only has Boston been shooting well above average (which we feel will come way down tonight), the Bulls also have shot above norm lately (average about 50% last 4 games). By using the money-line (-200) in the parlay, we're only giving up about 28% of what a regular parlay (laying the points) would pay (+1.87: 1 as opposed to +2.6:1), which is well worth it because if it becomes close down the stretch in a low scoring game, we can still turn a profit without covering the number (We'd win +2.34 Units on the parlay & lose -2.00 Units on the Bulls -4.5 play). So our total risk here is 3.25 Units with an upside of 4.16 Units, and a split would also generate a modest profit (+0.57/Unit or +0.34/Unit) either of which are very acceptable returns on just 3.25 Units risked.

Wednesday 04/06: +1.14 Units (Volume 1.25 Units)

San Antonio -10.5 / Sacramento 8:35 ET 1.25 Units
San Antonio 124 Sacramento 92 Winner


Tuesday 04/05: +0.12 Units (Volume 2.75 Units)

Philadelphia +6.5 / Boston 7:35 ET 1.25 Units
Philadelphia 82 Boston 89 Lose

LA Clippers +9.5 / Memphis 8:05 ET 1.50 Units
LA Clippers 82 Memphis 81 Winner


Sunday 04/03: -3.50 Units (Volume 3.50 Units)

Phoenix +11 / San Antonio 1:05 ET 2.00 Units
Phoenix 97 San Antonio 114 Lose
Spurs now losers of 6 straight and are now in jeopardy of losing their #1 spot in the west... a spot they had a stranglehold on just a week ago. The Suns are out of the post season (barring a miracle) and will most likely be without Steve Nash (flu) this afternoon. But don't expect Phoenix to just lay down here. Remember the Suns knocked San Antonio out of the playoffs last season with a 4-0 sweep in the conf. semifinals and would like nothing more than to help knock them out of the top spot in the west. Can't justify laying -11 with any team on a 6 game skid, but taking the points here leaves us plenty of room for the cover. Also, Spurs have a back to back coming up as they travel to Atlanta next (Tuesday) and then home for the Kings (Wednesday), and they're coming off a back to back this past Thursday & Friday (Boston & at Houston). So today's game is their 3rd in 4 days (actually 3 1/2 because of the early start) and looking ahead, Friday's game in Houston will be 5th in 7 days... a rarity in the NBA and very grueling... especially at the end of a long season and when you've lost 6 straight.

LA Lakers -6.5 / Denver 3:30 ET 1.50 Units
LA LAkers 90 Denver 95 Lose
Just as the Spurs are going bad of late, the Lakers are rolling winners of their last 9 straight. Had San Antonio not gone on their recent bad run, this would not be a paly for us. Laying -6.5 points in the NBA with an elite team playoff bound and locked into their playoff spot is not a good situation, but now Kobe and the Lakers can smell blood. They're just a game back of the Spurs with seven to play including an April 12th meeting at the Staples Center with San Antonio, a game that very well may decide which venue the road to the Finals goes through in the west.

Also note that Denver is pretty much locked into the 5 spot as they lead Portland by 3 games and trail OKC by 3 games, so you very well may see George Karl take the long term approach to the remainder of the season. Nothing drastic, but a more even distribution of minutes to insure everyone stays healthy and rested for the post season.

Saturday 04/02: -0.86 Units (Volume 3.25 Units)

Minnesota +14 / Memphis 8:05 ET 2.00 Units
Minnesota 89 Memphis 106 Lose

Milwaukee +1.5 / Philadelphia 8:35 ET 1.25 Units
Milwaukee 93 Philadelphia 87 Winner


Friday 04/01: -2.75 Units (Volume 2.75 Units)

New Jersey +10.5 / Philadelphia 7:05 ET 1.50 Units
New Jersey 90 Philadelphia 115 Lose

Utah +8.5 / LA Lakers 10:35 ET 1.25 Units
Utah 85 LA Lakers 96 Lose


Wednesday 03/30: -2.11 Units (Volume 4.50 Units)

Denver -12 / Sacramento 9:05 ET 1.25 Units
Denver 104 Sacramento 90 Winner

Phoenix +3.5 / Oklahoma City 10:05 ET 1.25 Units
Phoenix 98 Oklahoma City 116 Lose

LA Clippers +5.5 / Dallas 10:35 ET 2.00 Units
LA Clippers 100 Dallas 106 Lose
Mavs have a Clipper - Laker back to back tonight and tomorrow at the Staple Center. Not saying they're looking completely past the Clippers, but with a certain playoff atmosphere on deck for tomorrow at this venue, don't think the Mavs will be looking to pour it on here. +5.5 is a hefty lay in this spot as you can be sure LA will be up for the challenge after 3 days rest.


Tuesday 03/29: -1.50 Units (Volume 2.00 Units)

NJ Nets +7.5 / Houston 7:05 ET 1.50 Units
NJ Nets 87 Houston 112 Lose


Sunday 03/27: -2.00 Units (Volume 2.00 Units)

Miami -8 / Houston 6:05 ET 2.00 Units
Miami 125 Houston 119 Lose


Friday 03/25: +1.82 Units (Volume 2.00 Units)

Memphis +9.5 / Chicago 8:05 ET 2.00 Units
Memphis 96 Chicago 99 Winner


Wednesday 03/23 +1.37 Units (Volume 1.50 Units)

 

Sacramento +8.5 / Milwaukee 8:05 ET 1.50 Units
Sacraento 97 Milwaukee 90 Winner


Tuesday 03/22: -2.00 Units (Volume 2.00 Units)
Atlanta +4 / Chicago 8:05 ET 2.00 Units
Atlanta 81 Chicago 114 Lose
About the most consistent staple when handicapping sports is that teams are never as good as they seem when blowing out their opponent and conversely teams are never as bad as they seem when getting blown out. Tonight's Bulls - Hawks game fits this to a tee. Chicago is fresh off a 40 point thrashing of Sacramento at home last night while the Hawks, before Sunday's win over the lowly Pistons, lost their previous two games (both at home) to the Heat and Nuggets by 21 & 15. Also overall these teams have been going in opposite directions as Chicago is 9-1 SU (8-2 ATS) last 10 while Atlanta is 3-6 SU & ATS in their last 9. So at a glance this would seem like a no-brainer to take the Bulls, but the at-a-glance handicapping method will put one in the poor house fast...

Chicago, as mentioned, just played last night at home going totally off against the Kings winning by 40 while shooting an incredible 61% from the floor (71% from 3-point: 12/17!!). These are unreal offensive numbers which almost always come right back down, especially when having to travel and play the very next night. Also realize that the Hawks have won 40 games this season (40-30 to the Bulls 50-19) and are fully healthy and rested. Atlanta has been home since 3/12 (their last 5 games) while Chicago has had to travel after each of their last 4 games including tonight's trip to Atlanta. This is not a good spot for the Bulls to be laying points on the road as we look for the combination of fatigue and the natural levelling off of a very high shooting percentage to be the road teams' undoing tonight...

Additional note: Chicago's next 3 games (including tonight) are all against teams they beat in their last meeting while Atlanta's next 3 are all against teams they lost to in their last meeting, so the nod for the more focused team easily goes to the Hawks.


Monday 03/21: -1.50 Units (Volume 1.50 Units)

Utah +8 / Memphis 8:05 ET 1.50 Units
Utah 85 Memphis 103 Lose


Sunday 03/20: +1.82 Units (Volume 2.00 Units)

Utah +6.5 / Houston 7:05 ET 2.00 Units
Utah 108 Houston 110 Winner


Saturday 03/19: -1.25 Units (Volume 1.25 Units)

Miami -8 / Denver 7:35 ET 1.25 Units
Miami 103 Denver 98 Lose


Friday 03/18: +1.37 Units (Volume 1.50 Units)

San Antonio +2 / Dallas 8:35 ET 1.50 Units
San Antonio 97 Dallas 91 Winner


Thursday 03/17: +1.82 Units (Volume 2.00 Units)

Portland -13.5 / Cleveland 10:05 ET 2.00 Units
Portland 111 Cleveland 70 Winner


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