Monday Basketball: -2.36 Units Overall
Rough night for us Monday as we won our lone NCAAB release with Under 146.5 Georgetown / Syracuse (56-73 F), but had a rare off night in the NBA going 0-3. We lost (2) totals by three buckets each: Over 190 Cleveland / Miami (92-91 F) and Under 189.5 New orleans / Portland (98-97 F) and we also lost with San Antonio -8 / Chicago (93-98 F).
Sunday NFL: Winning Conference Championships
We were in position, after the Colts MANHANDLED the Jets early, to really have a huge day in the NFL but fell 1 score short (actually 1 score TOO MANY), as most of our Minny - New Orleans position revolved around the Under (54). Despite 28 points at the half (14-14) and 42 points mid-way through the 3Q (21-21), we still had a legitimate shot of cashing our Under tickets had it not been for the Vikings tying the score at 28 in the 4th quarter on a pass interference aided scoring drive. That was the last score of regulation!! Had that drive not produced a TD, very good chance we win...
All in all in football on Sunday we won +0.56/Unit on a volume of 9.00 Units (+6.22%).... BETTER than our overall expected winning ratio!! This is a very hard concept to understand after LOSING 4 Units (on the Saints game) of the +4.56 Units we just made on the Indy game, but this just goes to show one thing... we have NO CONTROL over WHEN and WHERE the wins & losses will come. The only thing we can say with certainty is that we will WIN IN THE END because of our foolproof approach to sports betting along with our quality product... we have an edge in every game we release (another hard concept to understand, especially when some of our releases wind up the wrong end of a blowout!!) But numbers don't lie... we post ALL our results right here on our site for all to see!!
Here's our Sunday NFL report as delivered to all clients:
Indy & Over PLUS Top Rated Teaser
".... Manning runs an offense like few other QB's ever have.... "
Indianapolis -8 / NY Jets 3:00 ET 1.50 Units
Indianapolis 30 NY Jets 17 Winner (+1.37 Units)
Over 40 NY Jets / Indianapolis 1.50 Units
Indianapolis 30 NY Jets 17 Winner (+1.37 Units)
Teaser: Indy -2 & Over 34 2 Units
Indianapolis 30 NY Jets 17 Winner (+1.82 Units)
Great story behind this years' Jets team. They're showing a lot of heart and determination and they do have one of the best defenses football has ever seen, but we still feel it's not going to be enough to overcome today's task at hand... winning on the road in Indianapolis. Sure, you can make a solid case that they may perhaps lose the game but cover the number but in the NFL, betting with that mentality is not good business. We've asked ourselves one key question here: Will the Rookie Mark Sanchez led Jets represent the AFC in this years Super Bowl over Peyton Manning's Colts? No, we don't see it. Too many flaws in Sanchez' game and not enough in Manning's. That's the bottom line here. How long can Mark Sanchez lean on his defense? The Jets "D" has held Cincy & SD to 14 each in the first 2 weeks of the post season and they shut out the Bengals in the last game of the regular season to make it all possible. Sure, there's an argument that many of Indy's wins this season have been narrow ones, but that's what makes teams great: the ability to win week after week when facing new challenges... ie: having their hands full with teams they don't normally face and instead of writing the game off, they dig down and do what it takes to hang in and come away with the win.... and that's what Peyton Manning and these Colts have been doing for years. Unfortunately for them, the Chargers knocked them out of the playoffs early each of the last 2 years after winning the Super Bowl after the 2006-2007 season, and the Colts got knocked out the year before that by the Steelers in the opening round. Indianapolis has a huge edge here in playoff experience having made the post season each of the last 8 seasons.
Magic number 24. With 24 Indy points scored, we can't lose both the side & total. This is very important when considering the obvious risk of a Jets back door cover. And even if Indy doesn't score 24, we're backed up nicely with the teaser laying less than a FG (-2 or -2.5 depending on your line) and over 34 (once again nice value moving over the NFL totals key number of 37) We like our position on this game of an Indy decisive win on the field and the stat sheets, and we also have a great deal of respect for the Jets defense and fully expect them to account for at least a TD along the way, which helps the over, but they also will not be able to fully contain Peyton Manning and as we've said before, Manning runs an offense like few other QB's ever have... it truly is a thing of beauty to watch when he's on and today, he'll be on ready to prove to everyone that pulling up the reigns in that regular season game against these Jets and ruining the Colts chance at a perfect season was wrong.
New Orleans -3.5 / Minnesota 6:40 ET 1.00 Units
New Orleans 31 Minnesota 28 Lose (-1.00 Units)
Under 54 Minnesota / New Orleans 2.00 Units
New Orleans 31 Minnesota 28 Lose (-2.00 Units)
Parlay: New Orleans (ML) -190 & Under 54 Risk 1 Unit to win 1.91 Units
New Orleans 31 Minnesota 28 Lose (-1.00 Units)
Here it is... most likely #4's last chance for another Super Bowl ring... the end of a great career. The stage is set... only thing is you have a New Orleans team playing great football standing in the way. And the Saints are home in the ultra loud Superdome which will have an effect on the running of Favre's offense which is why you're going to see a heavy dose of Adrian Peterson which, of course, favors the Under.
The Vikings have been built up in the press as having a great run defense led by the "Williams brothers", which they do, but what about their pass defense? Minnesota's defensive QB rating is 27th in the league this season compared to the Saints at #3 in that category which, along with the crowd noise, adds to the likelihood of a predominate ground game by the Vikes.
With both teams coming into today's game off of very impressive wins last week to advance, we feel the Saints are in the better spot to win here. Yes, New Orleans lost their last 3 regular season games but they were all meaningless where as Minnesota lost their last 3 regular season road games (@ Arizona 17-30... the same Cards team the Saints pasted last week, @ Carolina only able to generate 7 points, and @ Chicago as the Vikes defense gave up 36 points to the Bears) This ultimately cost them home field advantage, which will prove to be the difference today.
Sunday Basketball Split... -0.86/Unit
We released one play in the NBA & 2 plays in NCAAB on Sunday. We lost with Under 200 Dallas / NY Knicks (128-78) in a game that scored 25 points in the last 4:20... the rout was on with the Mavs up by 50 points down the stretch, but out of frustration, the Knicks turned the game into "school yard" basketball instead of just conceding... We were on Louisville -8 / Cincinnati (68-60 PUSH) and then we won big with Penn State + 12 / Wisconsin (71-79 F) as the Nittany Lions took the Badgers to OT!!
Saturday: 5-1 NBA (+4.22 Units) Saves The Day!!!
After getting slapped around in College hoops Saturday afternoon, our NBA comes through once again to save the day!! For the day in NCAAAB we dropped -5.11 Units giving us a net loss for the day of just less than 1 Unit (-0.89/Unit). Considering we put into action 20 Units on Saturday, the loss was minimal. Also understand that right out of the gate on Saturday, we suffered 2 HORRIBLE beats in 12 Noon games: First, Minnesota -2 / MSU (64-65 F)... the Gophers had an 8 point HT lead and a 12 point 2H lead.... and then our total play on Under 148.5 Villinova / St. Johns went down because of 19 POINTS IN 0:45 SECONDS!!! Hey, we understand the risk of playing basketball Unders because of the intentional fouling session at the end of most close games, but that's our point... SJU was never closer than 10 POINTS in those last 0:45 seconds!!! Just a horrible beat but sometimes it goes like that and all we can do is keep getting our money on the right side... Click here for all of Saturday's results including our 5-1 NBA night (listed below).
Under 202 Sac / Miami 1.25 Units 84-115 Winner
Portland +2.5 / Detroit 1.00 Units 97-93 Winner
Chicago +6.5 / Houston 1.25 Units 104-97 Winner
Over 201.5 Minnesota / Milwaukee 1.25 Units 94-127 Winner
Over 207 New Orleans / Denver 1.25 Units 110-116 Winner
Over 232.5 Golden State / Phoenix 1.25 Units 103-112 Lose
Friday: 3-1 Overall Including...
Another Top Rated WINNER:
Over 190.5 Charlotte / Atlanta 2 Units
Charlotte 89 Atlanta 103 Winner
Also Friday:
Dallas / Philly Side & Total SWEEP!!
Philadelphia +3 / Dallas 1 Unit
Under 198 Dallas / Philadelphia 1.25 Units
Philadelphia 92 Dallas 81 Win Side Win Total
OT Costs Us 4-0 SWEEP!!
Under 185.5 Portland / Boston 1.50 Units
Game goes to OT Tied at 91
Portland 95 Boston 98 Lose
After a 105 point first half, this play came back to life after a 38 point 3Q and an equally slow 4th quarter, but unfortunately the game wasn't decided in regulation. Even with OT, it got over the total only by 8 points!!
Rough Thursday... -5.11 Units Overall
Tough day all around Thursday as we gave back most of what we made on Wednesday, but that's the point... we have no control over how the "W"'s & "L"'s will be distributed, but as long as we have an adge in everything we play, we can't help but to make solid profits over time, and you see our winning bottom line for the last year (EVERY GAME, Win OR Lose, as delivered to ALL CLIENTS).
4 Close NCAAB Games... 1-3 Overall
Our worst beat of the day was South Alabama +6.5 / North Texas (78-86 F)... With 0:46 left it was a 2 point game (78-80) and then the intentional fouling session started but when you're getting +6.5 points in this situation, you're supposed to cover, teams aren't supposed to foul when down by 6 and only 0:15 left, but S Alab did & N Tex made their free throws.... We also lost Arkansas pk / Florida in another close one (66-71 F) as the Razorbacks got outscored 15-10 in the last 6:00 of the game.... We won UCLA +4 / Washington as the Bruins win OUTRIGHT at the buzzer.... but we also lost Long Beach State +1 / Cal Irvine (60-71) after being down by just 2 at the half.
2 More Tough Beats In The NBA
Over 193 LA Lakers / Cleveland 87-93 Lose
There were 15 missed free throws in this game which wound up being the difference, but even worse, there were countless missed layups. We were correct in that this would be a faster paced game, but when LA shoots just 38% from the floor, Over tickets won't be cashing!!
Parlay: LA Clippers +10 / Denver & Under 210 85-105 Lose
This one was sitting pretty at the half with the Clippers holding the 1 point lead (48-47) getting 10 points AND 115 2H points to give!! The under stayed in tact but Denver just took control in the 2H outscoring LA 58-37 for the cover...
8-3 Overall Wednesday (+5.86 Units)
After a terrible start to the night as we watched 2 early NCAAB totals lose pretty much by halftime (Old Dom/Delaware Over 124.5: (68-49 F) / 53 points at the half & Under 130.5 NC Wilmington / Georgia State: (74-79 F) / 71 points at the half), it looked like it was going to be a long night, but everything started coming together nicely... we split our other 2 NCAAB Totals as Fordham / St. Louis stayed Under 125 by the slimmest of margins (48-75 F)... remember how we said the close games, games that really come down to luck in the end, have a way of evening out... and we lost with Under 130.5 Drake / Evansville (72-65 F).
4-0 Wednesday NBA SWEEP!!
Top Rated Under 198 Dallas / Washington Winner (94-93 F)
After Dallas shot better than 57% from the floor in Boston Monday as they beat Boston by 9, AND Washington had a 50%+ night in their previous game as well, we knew there would be a bit of a letdown in shooting from both teams here... the Wizards shot 44% and the Mavs 46% as we cashed our Under ticket with 10 points to spare!!
Under 191 Miami / Charlotte 20 Point Winner (65-104 F)
Miami was held to just 29% shooting and 65 points in this easy 20 point Winner!!
Minnesota +7 / Oklahoma City Easy Winner (92-94 F)
This was a perfect look ahead spot for the Thunder!! Having won 4 of their last 6 including the first game of this current 4 game road trip Monday in Atlanta (94-91), and dates at Memphis & Cleveland Friday & Saturday, there was no way the Thunder were about to exert much energy here against one of the league's bottom feeders!!
Golden State +7 / Denver Hangs On To The Cover In OT (118-123 F)
After a see-saw battle with the Warriors covering for most of the game, they rightfully prevailed in OT covering the number... barely!!
Wednesday NCAAB Sides... 3 Dog Night
3 College Underdogs All Win OUTRIGHT!!!
Georgetown +1.5 / Pittsburgh 1 Unit 73-66 Winner
C. Florida +11 / Houston 1.25 Units 78-71 Winner
UTEP +8 / Memphis 1 Unit 72-67 Winner
Overall Winning Bottom Line... +44% ROI last 11 Months!!
For those in with us for the long haul have made a sloid return on investment over the past 11 months... yes we were in a much more profittable spot a couple of months ago as we've give some back, but as stated throughout our site, we win in the end!!
Demand Complete Results
Unlike most of our so-called competition, we post ALL of our results (yes, even the bad runs) to give you, the client, an overall outlook as to the entire picture. Go to some of the clowns out there on the internet and try to find their last full years' results... they don't exist!! They show you just the results that they want you to see....
We've won 7 of the last 12 months for a net profit of +39.12 Units
Click hereFor complete game by game details as delivered to all clients