Friday 12/25 NFL: -1.75 Units (Volume: 1.75 Units)

Under 48 San Diego / Tennessee 7:30 ET 1.75 Units
San Diego 42 Tennessee 17 Lose
Most shops, within the last hour (4:30 ET) have moved this total to 48 which is exactly what we expected as an influx of square action is coming in on the Over. Barring cheap scores, we don't see this game coming near the number. Tennessee is fighting for a playoff spot (hey, you can't blame the enthusiasm since they're still technically in it, but aside from the Titans winning their last 2 games they need a near perfect sequence of help from what seems like half the league...).

The only way the Titans stand a chance in this one they know is to keep SD's offense off the field, so a heavy dose of Chris Johnson will be served. Of course it won't work if Tennessee falls into an early hole, but even so, 48 is an awful big number to get over in the NFL. And if the Titans do fall behind early and have to resort to the trickery of Vince Young, how many times can he carry the team? Remember the reason Vince Young was sidelined in the first place... he has mental issues. And this match-up has some bad blood dating back a couple of years when Shawn Merriman was injured due to a cheap shot. There were several fines stemming from that game and it was also SD that eliminated the Titans from the playoffs that year. So it's quite possible that the Chargers will be coming after Young which very well may rattle him early thus totally taking him out of his game...

Friday 12/25 NCAAB: +2.32 Units (Volume: 2.00 Units)

USC-UNLV 2 Plays Total Risk 2.00 Units
USC +5.5 / UNLV 9:30 ET 1.50 Units
USC 67 UNLV 56 Winner
Parlay: USC (ML) +190 & Over 123 Risk 0.5/Unit to win 2.22 Units
USC 67 UNLV 56 Side Winner Total: Push (+0.95/Unit)


Friday 12/25 NBA (Early release): -2.00 Units (Volume: 2.00 Units)

Over 197.5 Miami / NY Knicks 12:00 Noon ET 2.00 Units
Miami 93 NY Knicks 87 Lose
Extremely soft line here due to recent play of both teams. These teams met 3 times over the past 10 months with the average total being 210.5 and the same outcome each time: Over with an average of 227 points each game. But with the recent poor shooting by the Knicks (42% from the floor over their last 5 games... all staying under the total) and the shockingly low scoring game for the Heat Wednesday against Utah (80-70 F), the linemaker really has no choice but to shade this total low. As you know, we were on the Over in that Wednesday night game in Miami citing that we felt with the recent schedules of both the Heat & Jazz going into that game (Utah finishing a long road trip & Miami finishing a long home-stand.... both looking forward to travelling after Wednesday's game) that very little defense would be played.

It takes much more energy to play defense than offense in the NBA, so this morning (early afternoon) after making the trip last night to NY and after spending plenty of energy on "D" Wednesday holding Utah to just 70 points, the Heat will try and contain a New York team ready to bust out of their shooting slump. Add to the mix an upset Miami forward Michael Beasley taking offense to criticism in the press for Wade not having the proper support and this one has "track meet / highlight film" written all over it.

Friday 12/25 NBA (2nd Report): -2.36 Units (Volume: 4.75 Units)

LA Lakers -6 / Cleveland 5:00 ET 1.5 Units
LA Lakers 87 Cleveland 106 Lose
Under 194 Cleveland / LA Lakers 1.25 Units
Cleveland 106 LA Lakers 87 Winner
There's no doubt that this is the Marquee match-up of the day. Don't let the fat -6 scare you. The Lakers are hitting on all cylinders this season with a league best 23-4 record. True they're only 12-15 ATS, but today they face a tired Cleveland team finishing up a 4 city 6 day western swing playing 3 very tough road games: Dallas (95-102 L 12/20), Phoenix (109-91 W 12/21) and most recently on Wednesday taking Sacramento to OT in a miraculous cover for the Cavs as they shut out the Kings in the extra period 13-0 (117-104 W).

We expect a total domination by LA today on both sides of the ball in front of their star studded home crowd  while playing on national TV. These are the moments that Kobe Bryant plays for and we look for him to put to rest (for the moment) the debate of who the best player in the NBA is.

Under 195.5 Denver / Portland 10:30 ET 2 Units
Denver 96 Portland 107 Lose
We've got it all working for us here... Last 5 between these 2 have gone Under an average line of 199 by an average of 10 ppg. Sure, tonight's line is a couple of buckets lower but for good reason. This is a rare Christmas night game which means the players (especially Portland since they're home) have had the entire day to spend with family & friends and all that goes along with holiday festivities: getting up early with the kids and later on indulging in all the rich food and drink. Can't see these teams wanting to get up and down the court much tonight, and it doesn't hurt the fact that Denver is coming off of  a 54% shooting performance in their last game (home against Atlanta... 20 point blowout winner 124-104) on Wednesday.

Wednesday 12/23 Bowls: -1.25 Units (Volume: 1.25 Units)

Poinsettia Bowl
Qualcomm Stadium - San Diego, CA

California -2.5 / Utah 8:00 ET 1.25 Units
California 27 Utah 37 Lose
Big step down in class for the Utes in this seasons bowl game. Last year you'll recall Utah played in the Sugar Bowl on January 2nd against Alabama and upset the Tide 31-17 as 9 point dogs. But in that game Alabama had suspended All American offensive tackle Andre Smith for violating NCAA rules.

On the other hand, California with the loss of star RB Jahvid Best, has struggled down the stretch this season and were thus knocked out of contention for the Pac-10 crown, so playing in this years' Poinsettia Bowl is coming as no surprise. Here is a chance for the Bears to salvage their season with a win thus ending on a positive note amidst many bad breaks.

it also doesn't hurt that Cal has had neary 3 weeks to prepare for tonight's game and that their offensive Coordinator, Andy Ludwig, was Utah's offensive Coordinator last season.... and the Utes' offense hasn't changed since....


Wednesday 12/23 NBA: -2.11 Units (Volume: 4.50 Units)

Over 200.5 Utah / Miami 7:30 ET 2 Units
Utah 70 Miami 80 Lose
Tonight wraps up 5 games in 8 nights on the road for the Jazz as they head home ater tonight's game and are idle until Saturday (12/26). Meanwhile the Heat tonight are wrapping up their lengthy 6 game 2 week homestand and travel to NY after tonight's game to play Thursday (Christmas Day). What does it all mean? A tired Utah team and a Heat team looking forward to playing the high flying Knicks in Madison Square Garden on Christmas is not the recipe for defense. Look for a wide open game tonight in Miami from 2 teams looking forward to travelling for the holiday.

Sacramento +6 / Cleveland 10:00 ET 1.25 Units
Sacramento 104 Cleveland 117 Lose
3 games in 4 nights on the road for Cleveland wit the frst two at Dallas & Phoenix... 2 battle royales! the Cavs split the 2 losing at Dallas Sunday (95102) but blowing out Phoenix (Shaq's ex team) on Monday (109-91). The Kings, although not quite at .500 (13-14) are 18-8-1 ATS this season. That's the mark of a greatly improved team and the linemaker is always slow to adjust, and by making Clevelnd 6 point road chalk in their 3rd game in 4 nights, Sacramento is still lacking due respect. These are the types of spots (getting points... especiall at home) that you'll get the most value with the Kings. In fact, Sacramento is 5-1-1 ATS in their last 7 games when getting points.

Over 212 Oklahoma City / Phoenix 9:00 Et 1.25 Units
Oklahoma City 117 Phoenix 113 Winner


Wednesday 12/23 NCAAB: +0.14 Units (Volume: 2.25 Units)

FAU +11.5 / Georgia (Game #729/73) 7:00 ET 1.00 Units
FAU 60 Georgia 77 Lose

Over 139 San Jose State / Santa Clara (Game #751/752) 10:00 ET 1.25 Units
San Jose State 74 Santa Clara 68 Winner

Tuesday 12/22 Bowls: +1.37 Units (Volume: 1.50 Units)

Maaco Las Vegas Bowl
Sam Boyd Stadium - Las Vegas, NV

BYU +3 / Oregon State 8:00 ET 1.50 Units
BYU 37 Oregon State 7 Winner
This is the fifth straight trip to the Las Vegas Bowl for the Cougars of BYU, so you can say they're in their comfort zone playing here in the post season. In the past, this Bowl may have been a disappointment for BYU, but early on this season, after a blowout loss to FSU, the Cougars' hopes were humbled. On the other hand, Oregon State was 1 win away (a 33-37 loss to Oregon for the Pac-10 Championship) from a trip to the Rose Bowl, so we can't see the Beavers having much enthusiasm here. As we've said before, handicapping Bowl games has as much, if not more to do with motivation than stats & trends.

We'll side with the red hot Cougars in this one having won 8 of their last 9 to close out the season and are very happy with their Bowl game. In fact, BYU defensive lineman Jan Jorgensen was quoted as saying... "Vegas is a good venue. Unless you're going to a BCS game, I don't know where else you'd want to go, there's a lot of stuff to do." This game also has been announced a sellout earlier in the week and will be an extreme BYU fan heavy crowd giving the Cougars that "at home" feeling.... and they're getting points...


Tuesday 12/22 NCAAB: -0.11 Units (Volume: 1.50 Units)

Butler +2 / UAB (Game #535/536) 8:00 ET 1.25 Units
Butler 57 UAB 67 Lose

Western Kentucky -1 / Murray State (Game #601/602) 9:00 ET 1.25 Units
Western Kentucky 83 Murray State 72 Winner


Tuesday 12/22 NBA: -1.36 Units (Volume: 3.75 Units)

Detroit +5.5 / Charlotte 7:00 ET 1.25 Units
Detroit 76 Charlotte 88 Lose

Under 201.5 Indiana / Boston 7:30 ET 1.25 Units
Indiana 94 Boston 103 Winner

Over 201.5 Atlanta / Minnesota 8:00 ET 1.25 Units
Atlanta 112 Minnesota 87 Lose

Monday 12/21 NFL: +1.48 Units (Volume: 2.00 Units)

NY Giants ML (-135) / Washington 8:30 ET Risk 2 Units to make 1.48 Units
NY Giants 45 Washington 12 Winner
As of this e-mail (5:30 ET), most shops are refusing to budge off of the key number 3 with the incorporation of a moneyline into the number (Washington +3 -130... NYG -3 +110). Because of how tight these 2 teams play, we'll play the moneyline with the cheap lay of -135. This will give us a win with a NY 3 point victory and will nsure our position should the game wind up being decided by 1 or 2 points.

Many have counted the Giants out (as they should from the looks of them on paper), and those same people are making a strong case for the surging Redskins. Washington's offense has finally  awaken averaging almost 30ppg in their last 3. Much is attributed to the shake-ups throughout out the whole organization, and the home town fans finally have something to cheer about. But let's not forget the job Tom Coughlin has done with the Giants. He has a solid .650 winning percentage in his time in NY and has managed to stay off the hot seat (or at least not get singed) thus far. The Giants still can make the playoffs. As amazing as it sounds, with Dallas losing 1 of it's 2 remaining games (Washington & Philadelphia), NY controls their own destiny... having beat Dallas twice this year give them the tie breaker.


Monday 12/21 NCAAB: -1.50 Units (Volume: 1.50 Units)

Cal Poly +1 / Montana State (Game #751/752) 10:00 ET 1.50 Units
Cal Poly 72 Montana State 76 Lose


Monday 12/21 NBA: +1.26 Units (Volume: 4.00 Units)

Utah +8 / Orlando 7:00 ET 1.50 Units
Utah 99 Orlando 104 Winner

Chicago -4 / Sacramento 8:00 ET 1.25 Units
Chicago 98 Sacramento 102 Lose

Under 193.5 LA Clippers / San Antonio 8:30 ET 1.25 Units
LA Clippers 87 San Antonio 103 Winner

Sunday 12/20 NBA: (Early Game) +1.82 Units (Volume: 2.00 Units)

Under 204 New Orleans / Toronto 12:30 ET 2 Units
New Orleans 92 Toronto 98 Winner
Note: It is recommended to play this as early as possible as we anticipate a further drop in the line.


Sunday 12/20 NFL: +2.74 Units (Volume: 5.75 Units)

Over 47 Arizona / Detroit 1:00 ET 1.25 Units
Arizona 31 Detroit 24 Winner
Parlay: Detroit +14 & Over 47 Risk 0.5/Unit
Arizona 31 Detroit 24 Winner
We're at risk for  total of 1.75 Units here and stand to make 2.44 Units. Can't see Detroit's defense stopping Arizona today, but we also see it the other way... After getting picked apart by SF Monday, we see more of the same for the Cardinals today in Detroit off a short week. Way too many points here...

San Francisco +7.5 / Philadelphia 4:15 ET 1.75 Unit
San Francisco 13 Philadelphia 27 Lose
We were on these Niners big time on Monday night as they completely dominated Arizona on the road (2 Units SF +4.5 and half unit parlay: SF ML & Under 45: 4:15:1). Sure, you can say "let down" all you want, but as stated in Moday's write-up, SF is on the brink of becoming a very solid football team. So even though they're pretty much out of the playoffs for this year, the Niners will continue to play tough right to the end because that is what solid young, up and coming teams do. We feel the linemaker has not adjusted for SF's recent play thus giving us a very fat TD+ today against a Philly team prime for a letdown after winning their last four by an average of 10+ ppg.

Atlanta +7 / NY Jets 1:00 ET 1 Unit
Atlanta 10 NY Jets 7 Winner
2 teams seemingly headimg in opposite directions as Atlanta has lost 4 of their last 5 while NY has won 3 straight and are hanging on to playoff hopes at 7-6. The difference in this game will be pressure: the Jets got it and Atlanta don't! Atlanta we feel is the better team but given the recent playoff scenario, the Jets are the overpriced favorite. Remember though that before their 3 game run, NY lost 6 of their previous 7.

Cleveland +3 / Kansas City 1:00 ET 1.25 Units
Cleveland 41 Kansas City 34 Winner
Cleveland is not as bad a team as their 2-11 record reflects. The Browns are 6-7 ATS and are riding a 4 game ATS streak. This is usually the sign of an improving team and the linemaker is always slow to adjust. To get a FG from another of the league's bottom feeders is a good spot for our money. 


Sunday Night NFL12/20: +1.14 Units (Volume: 1.25 Units)

Under 43 Minnesota / Carolina 8:20 ET 1.25 Units
Minnesota 7 Carolina 26 Winner


Sunday 12/20 NCAAB: +1.14 Units (Volume: 1.25 Units)

Under 135.5 Florida State / Georgia Tech 5:00 ET 1.25 Units
Florida State 66 Georgia Tech 59 Winner

Sunday 12/20 Bowl: -1.50 Units (Volume: 1.50 Units)

New Orleans Bowl
Superdome - New Orleans, LA

Southern Mississippi -3 (-120) / Middle Tennessee St. 8:30 ET 1.50 Units
(Buy down to -3 -120)
This is only the 2nd bowl appearance for Middle Tennessee State since 1964 so yes, the motivation will be there but unfortunately for the Blue Raiders, they lack in talent here. Since losing RB Tanner back in September, QB Dasher has really had to pick up some big time slack. They've had the luxury of an extremely soft schedule down the stretch which allowed them to go 6-0 SU & ATS to close the season, but against a bunch of nobodies for the most part. In fact, MTST was favored in 5 of the 6 and their average line was -9 and they won by an average of 22. A one dimensional game is not going to get it done against the potent Golden Eagle offense.


Sunday 12/20 NBA: (Night Games) +1.69 Units (Volume: 5.00 Units)

Portland +5 / Miami 6:00 ET 1.50 Units
Portland 102 Miami 95 Winner
Portland on the tail end of the Florida back to back having played last night in Orlando (where they lost 83-92 to the Magic). Meanwhile, Miami's last game was also against Orlando at home on Thursday where the Heat won big 104-86. So reviewing the big picture Miami blows out Orlando in their last game, the same team Portland could only manage 83 points against last night, and the Heat have been home, idle since Thursday waiting for Portland. This is where the saying "things aren't always what they seem" comes into play. Miami is off of back to back blowouts their last 2 games: 104-86 Thursday over Orlando and 115-95 Tuesday over Toronto. In those games, the Heat averaged 52% shooting from the floor. The worst thing for a team in a good shooting groove is a few days off. We look for Miami's shot to be a bit off tonight as Portland comes with their best game here knowing this is the most winnable game of their current 4 game road trip. After Miami, the Blazers travel to Texas for the Dallas - San Antonio two-step after one day off...

Under 189.5 LA Lakers / Detroit 6:00 ET 2 Units
LA Lakers 93 Detroit 81 Winner 

Over 196 Charlotte / NY Knicks 7:30 ET 1.5 Units
Charlotte 94 NY Knicks 98 Lose

Saturday 12/19 NFL: +1.14 Units (Volume: 1.25 Units)

Dallas +8 / New Orleans 8:20 ET 1.25 Units
Dallas 24 New Orleans 17 Winner
Pure value spot here. The Cowboys are getting a TD+ only because of recent play of both teams. Dallas has lost their last 2 both SU & ATS and New Orleans is undefeated after pulling out a close one over the Falcons last week. But realize that despite being undefeated, the Saints are a money burning 2-5 ATS their last 7. They've pulled a couple of miracles out of their hats to remain undefeated: at Miami on 10/5 (NO trailed 10-24 at the half) and more recent (12/06) as they overcame a 10 point 4th quarter deficit to force OT against Washington.

It is very difficult to go undefeated in the NFL. This is the point of the season when injuries catch up to players. Not the reported injuries that sideline players, but just the aches and pains that bring great players down a few levels. 

Dallas needs this game a heck of a lot more than New Orleans as they're currently clinging to the second NFC wild card. We look for the Cowboys to be 100% focused and give their best game just as every team does when facing an undefeated team.


Saturday 12/19 NCAAF Bowls: -0.86 Units (Volume: 3.25 Units)

New Mexico Bowl
University Stadium - Albuquerque, New Mexico

Wyoming +10.5 / Fresno State 4:30 ET 1.25 Units
Wyoming 35 Fresno State 28 Winner
Instead of bowling in Hawaii this year, Fresno State is stuck with the same bowl as last year, which they lost outright to Colorado State 35-40 as -2 point favorites, so it's a bit of a disappointment. On the other hand, first year Wyoming head coach Dave Christensen, despite their offensive woes this season, has managed to get his team to the post season for only the second time n 16 years, so to say these kids are thrilled is an understatement.

Being content on your programs bowl game has much to do with a teams performance. Handicapping the Bowl season is not only about crunching numbers and stats & trends, it's also heavily reliant on teams' mental states and motivational interests, and the heavy nod in that department goes to the Cowboys here.

Of course it takes more than just desire and motivation to win football games. As mentioned, Wyoming has struggled on offense this season as they ranked near the bottom (112th), but that can be attributed to the new offense coach Christensen has tried implementing this season. Christensen was the offensive coordinator at Missouri last year and the Cowboys have had a tough time adjusting to the new spread offense. But one important aspect that Wyoming has excelled in this season is taking care of the ball as they have only had 13 takeaways this season. This is the mark of a disciplined, well coached team so to be getting double digits in this spot is big.

Also, teams returning to the same bowl as the previous year (Fresno State) who had poor defensive showings in their final regular season game (52 points to Illinois 12/05), are 1-13 ATS. And Fresno State in post season under Coach Hill is 0-4 ATS as favorites.


St. Petersburg Bowl
Tropicana Field - St. Petersburg, FL

Central Florida +3 / Rutgers 8:00 ET 1.75 Units
Central Florida 24 Ritgers 45 Lose
A few things working for us here. First, this is another case of a disappointed bowl placement (for Rutgers) as they find themselves playing a Conference USA team and meanwhile, CFU has plenty of motivation as they're playing this game right in their backyard so there's no doubt it'll have a home field atmosphere for the Knights. Also, CFU holds a very big size advantage on both sides of the ball. Their offensive linemen are all in the 300 lb. range playing against a defensive line averaging around 265. Another key here is that Rutgers' final exams were scheduled for this week but had to be moved up forcing these kids into a very busy schedule having to juggle and balance school & football practice these past couple weeks.

We feel there's tremendous value in this line... we feel the wrong team is favored here but the line is where it is because of Rutgers being in the Big East. And look at who Rutgers has played. They had 2 FCS schools (Howard & Texas Southern... Rutgers failed to cover both) and also Army (27-10 Final). Rutgers had 4 conference losses... 2 of them blowouts including 13-31 at Syracuse on 11/21 as -10 chalk). So although 8-4 SU, Rutgers finished just 5-7 ATS while CFU, also 8-4 SU, were a moneymaking 9-2 ATS.

We'll side with the undervalued dog here looking to make a statement by beating a Big East team. You'll recall that a few years ago when the Big East added a few teams, they chose South Florida instead.


Saturday 12/19 NBA: +6.15 Units (Volume: 6.75 Units)

LA Clippers +3 / Philadelphia 7:30 ET 1.25 Units
LA Clippers 112 Philadelphia 107 Winner
Over 193 LA Clippers / Philadelphia 1.25 Units
LA Clippers 112 Philadelphia 107 Winner

Utah +2.5 / Charlotte 7:00 ET 1 Unit
Utah 110 Charlotte 102 Winner

Over 194 Atlanta / Chicago 8:00 ET 2 Units
Atlanta 98 Chicago 101 Winner

Under 195.5 Oklahoma City / Houston 8:30 ET 1.25 Units
Oklahoma City 90 Houston 95 Winner


Saturday 12/19 NCAAB: -1.61 Units (Volume: 4.00 Units)

WichitaState -5.5 / Texas Tech (Game #783/784) 8:05 ET 1.25 Units
Wichita State 85 Texas Tech 83 Lose

Missouri State -1 / St. Louis (Game #785/786) 8:00 ET 1.25 Units
Missouri State 73 St. Louis 63 Winner

Idaho State -3 / Sacramento State (Game #825/826) 10:05 ET 1.5 Units
Idaho State 63 Sacramento State 64 Lose

Friday 12/18 NBA: +5.01 Units (Volume: 5.50 Units)

Under 207 Utah / Atlanta 7:30 ET 1 Unit
Utah 83 Atlanta 96 Winner

Under 202.5 LA Clippers / NY Knicks 8:00 ET 1.50 Unit
LA Clippers 91 NY Knicks 95 Winner

Memphis -6 / Indiana 8:00 ET 1.25 Units
Memphis  107 Indiana 94 Winner
Pacers are just not a good road team... 3-8 SU (4-7 ATS) this year... and Memphis has been showing signs of life as of late with solid wins over Dallas, Cleveland and at Miami this month, and they played the Celtics real tough losing by just 5 (105-110) covering the number. In fact the Grizzlies have covered 4 of their last 6. And add to the equation that this is the first time Jamaal Tinsley will face his former team after the Pacers dumped his contract... a little personal motivation for the Memphis guard.

Houston +5.5 / Dallas 8:30 ET 1.75 Units
Houston 116 Dallas 108 Winner
Despite winning 5 straight and being 19-7 SU on the year, the Mavs we feel have been over priced and remain overpriced which is supported by their dismal 3-7 ATS record L10. Dallas is now laying 5.5 to a very revenge minded Rockets team looking to avenge last month's 31 point home loss to these Mavs (99-130 on 11/25). It also doesn't hurt that Dallas is coming off of two solid 50%+ shooting performances.... this has a tendency of levelling off.


Friday 12/18 NCAAB: -1.25 Units (Volume: 1.25 Units)

CS Northridge -3 / Drexel 10:05 ET 1.25 Units
CS Northridge 63 Drexel 75 Lose

Thursday 12/17 NFL: -1.25 Units (Volume: 1.25 Units)

Jacksonville +3 (+105) / Indianapolis 8:20 ET 1.25 Units
Jacksonville 31 Indianapolis 35 Lose
It's amazing to us the utter nonsense flying around the web about tonight's game. Everyone seems to be scared to death to take a position one way or another because of the uncertainty of Indy's starters tonight. It's almost as if (well actually it IS as if) everyone seems to think that as long as the Colts 1st unit plays tonight the Jags have no shot... Say what? Are we forgetting that a perfect season possibility for Indy was almost never even an issue because of these Jags IN Indy in week 1 where the Colts escaped by the skin of their teeth 14-12. In fact 6 of Indy's 13 wins were by 4 points or less and a couple of those near misses were gifts. So don't buy into that the Colts can destroy teams at will... Sure, Peyton Manning has looked sharp this year but he's also looked not so sharp. Sure, Indy has the ability to roll over the struggling Jags, but this is a division game home dog on national TV situation (or "semi" national anyway... NFL Network is not carried by all cable companies). And Jacksonville, believe it or not, controls their own playoff destiny despite starting 3-4! Sure it's a tall order because after this week the Jags go to new England before finishing at home against the lowly Browns, but they're alive now and that's enough we believe for Jack Del Rio to have a solid game plan in store for the Colts regardless of how long Indy's starters play.

Thursday 12/17 NBA: +2.51 Units (Volume: 2.75 Units)

Under 199 Orlando / Miami 8:00 ET 1.25 Units
Orlando 86 Miami 104 Winner

Portland -1.5 / Phoenix 10:30 ET 1.5 Units
Portland 105 Phoenix 102 Winner


Thursday 12/17 NCAAB: -0.09 Units (Volume: 2.00 Units)

Auburn +9.5 / Florida State 7:00 ET 1 Unit
Auburn 72 FSU 76 Winner

Georgia Southern +10.5 / Evansville 8:05 ET 1 Unit
Georgia Southern 58 Evansville 75 Lose

Wednesday 12/16 NBA: -3.50 Units (Volume: 4.50 Units)

Over 207 Memphis / Atlanta 7:00 ET 1 Unit
Memphis 97 Atlanta 110 PUSH

Oklahoma City +2 / Dallas 8:00 ET 1.25 Units
Oklahoma City 86 Dallas 100 Lose

Under 211 Houston / Denver 9:00 ET 1 Unit
Houston 101 Denver 111 Lose

Golden State +5.5 / San Antonio 10:30 ET 1.25 Units
Golden State 91 San Antonio 103 Lose


Wednesday 12/16 NCAAB: +0.91 Units (Volume: 1.00 Units)

Illinois Chicago +4 / Oregon State 8:00 ET 1 Unit
Illinois Chicago 63 Oregon State 61 Winner

Tuesday 12/15 NBA: +3.88 Units (Volume: 4.25 Units)

Miami -7 / Toronto 7:30 ET 1.25 Units
Miami 115 Toronto 95 Winner

Under 193.5 LA Lakers / Chicago 8:00 ET 1.5 Units
LA Lakers 96 Chicago 87 Winner

Phoenix -1.5 / San Antonio 9:00 ET 1.5 Units
Phoenix 116 San Antonio 104 Winner


Tuesday 12/15 NCAAB: +0.82 Units (Volume: 3.00 Units)

Georgia State +17.5 / FSU 7:00 ET 1 Unit
Georgia State 55 FSU 62 Winner

Louisiana Tech -3 / Murray State 8:00 ET 1 Unit
Louisiana Tech 87 Murray State 81 Winner

Portland State +14 / St. Mary's 10:05 ET 1 Unit
Portland State 80 St. Mary's 101 Lose

Monday 12/14 NFL: +4.19 Units (Volume: 2.50 Units)

San Francisco +4.5 / Arizona 8:30 ET 2 Units
San Francisco 24 Arizona 9 Winner
Paray: San Francisco (ML) +200 & Under 45 Risk 0.5/Unit to win 2.37 Units
San Francisco 24 Arizona 9 Winner

We're risking a total of 2.50 Units here with an upside of +4.19 Units. With a SF cover, we are guaranteed a +1.32 Unit profit.

If you watched Kurt Warner and the Arizona offense operate against Minnesota last Sunday night as they crushed the Vikes 30-17 as 3 point dogs (a top rated winner for us), it's kind of tough going against them tonight, but we need to look past the surface and understand the whole picture here. Arizona doesn't need this game... sure at the beginning of the season you can bet they had tonight circled as a potential division deciding game but as the season unfolded the Cards find themselves at 8-4 with a 3 game lead in the NFC west with 2 of their 3 remaining games (after tonight) against the leagues bottom feeders: Detroit & St. Louis, so in a pinch they know they can count on another couple of wins. Of course there's the fact that SF probably doesn't need this game either as they're a long-shot to make the playoffs at best, but there's still a shot. The Niners are currently in 5th place in the NFC WC race 2 games in the loss column behind Dallas (who is in 2nd).

More important motivation than making this years' playoffs for the Niners is the way they end this season. This is a very young team trying to find their way, and really doing a great job. After opening the season 3-1 (including beating these Cards 20-16 in week 1), SF dropped 4 straight and are currently 5-7 (7-3-2 ATS). 6 of their 7 losses were by a combined 26 points (4.3 ppg) including losing to Houston by 3 (21-24), Indy by 4 in a game they really should have won (14-18), Tennessee (with Vince Young) by 7 (27-34) Green Bay by 6 in another game SF should have won (24-30) and most recent last week at Seattle by 3 (17-20). So as you can see the Niners are "just missing" week after week and that is the tell tale sign of an organization on the brink of greatness... especially the way the defense has been performing (held AZ to 16, shutout St. Louis, held Indy to 18, the Bears to 6 & Jax to 3!) Defense is what winning organizations are built around and SF's got it, so regardless of whether they make the playoffs this season, these Niners are playing for the future and what better place to make a statement than at home on a Monday night in December playing a division foe.... and getting a "Fat" +4.5 thanks to the tunnel vision of the general public...

Monday 12/14 NBA: -1.13 Units (Volume: 4.00 Units)

Orlando -12 / Indiana 7:00 ET 1.25 Units
Orlando 98 Indiana 106 Lose

Minnesota +13.5 / Utah 9:00 ET 1.5 Units
Minnesota 110 Utah 108 Winner
Minnesota has to be the best 3-21 team ever! They're a respectable 12-12 ATS and more importantly, the T-Wolves are on a 7-1 ATS tear! That's the tell tale sign of an improving team, and the linemaker is always slow to adjust... not his fault, but the public is always blind to this thus forcing the number to remain inflated which creates nice value for those who can scratch the surface and look past the 3-21 SU record. Minnesota is getting healthy and playing some solid ball of late... on the other hand, Utah just finished 4 games in 6 nights (12/7 - 12/12... vs the Lakers twice, SA & Orlando) and tonight play their 5th in 8 nights... although successful (3-1 SU & ATS), the Jazz have got to be feeling the effects of such a stretch. Great look ahead spot here.

Denver -10.5 / Oklahoma City 9:00 ET 1.25 Units
Denver 102 Oklahoma City 93 Lose
The last time these 2 teams played (both in Denver.. 4/08/09 & 3/11/09), Denver was laying 13 & 13.5. Tonight's "soft" line set up by Denvers' recent 1-2 SU & 0-3 ATS run coupled with the fact that OKC actually has a winning record thus far (12-10 SU & 13-9 ATS). But let's not overlook the fact that the Thunder are playing a home/away back to back having just played the Cavs last night (89-102 F) and no they travel to Denver to play another of the NBA's finest... in the thin air! Look for OKC to be a step or two behind come the 4th quarter as they run out of gas down the stretch...

Sunday 12/13 NBA: +1.37 Units (Volume: 1.50 Units)

Under 203.5 Houston / Toronto 12:30 ET 1.50 Units
Houston 88 Toronto 101 Winner


Sunday 12/13 NFL: -0.50 Units (Volume: 11.00 Units)

Minnesota -6 / Cincinnati 1:00 ET 1.25 Units
Minnesota 30 Cincinnati 10 Winner

Chicago +4.5 / Green Bay 1:00 ET 1.75 Unit
Chicago 14 Greenn Bay 21 Lose
Great spot to catch the Packers looking ahead as they are playing off a short week and still have road games in Pittsburgh & Arizona to play so we can't see them giving the "hapless" Bears much respect even though it's a division game. But on the other hand, this is Chicago's Super Bowl... beat the Pack and all is forgiven...or at least gain some respect from the fans and media. 

Atlanta +10 / New Orleans 1:00 ET 1.50 Unit
Atlanta 26 New Orleans 29 Winner
Enough is enough already with the undefeated Saints. If nothing else, this is a very big overlay as the linemaker really has no choice but to make New Orleans a double digit favorite. But despite being undefeated, NO is showing signs of a team ready for a huge let down. One of the most obvious signs is the fact that they have failed to cover 4 of their last 6 games and almost lost outright to St. Louis (laying 2 TD's) & Washington last week (laying 9). So on the surface the Saints are starting to look invincible, but we've seen this so many times before.

Miami +2 / Jacksonville 1:00 ET 1.50 Units
Miami 14 Jacksonville 10 Winner
Both teams coming off of tough division wins last week with the Jags beating Houston 23-18 and Miami upsetting new England 22-21 keeping them both hanging around the wild card race.  Look for Chad Henne to have his way against what has been a very susceptible Jacksonville defense this year and is not getting any stronger as they remain a banged up unit. 

Dallas -3 / San Diego 4:15 ET 1.25 Units
Dallas 17 San Diego 20 Lose
(Buy to -3 -120 if your line is -3.5: there are some -3's out there)


Totals Section 
Special Note:   There are generally no write-ups on totals due to the nature of our selections. While the line maker bases his number on a pre determined formula of past performances, stats, and trends, we have our own exclusive calculations that that have been very successful throughout the years. They are based on complex math equations integrated with public perception and line movements.

Under 43.5 Cincinnati / Minnesota 1:00 ET 1.25 Units
Cincinnati 10 Minnesota 30 Winner

Over 36.5 NY Jets / Tampa Bay 1:00 ET 1.25 Units
NY Jets 26 Tampa Bay 3 Lose

Over 38 Buffalo / Kansas City 1:00 ET 1.25 Units
Buffalo 16 Kansas City 13 Lose


Sunday Night NFL 12/13: -2.25 Units (Volume: 2.25 Units)

NY Giants +1.5 / Philadelphia 8:20 ET 1 Unit
NY Giants 38 Philadelphia 45 Lose
Under 43.5 Philadelphia / NY Giants 1.25 Units
NY Giants 38 Philadelphia 45 Lose
Just like we said last week, when you least expect it, the sleeping Giant will awake and awake they did against Dallas last week putting 31 on the board snapping NY out of their funk of losing 5 of their previous 6 (0-6 ATS). This is a very important game for NY as is every game, but with a win tonight they'll be tied with Philly at 8-5 and depending on what Dallas does today, may be in a 3 way tie in the NFC East... amazing considering their 4 game skid after opening the season 5-0. We feel the linemaker still hasn't adjusted for NY shaking off the losers. This game should be NYG -3, so sufficient value does exist. Also, the Eagles are coming off of a very big win last week as Michael Vick rammed it down his former employers' throats 34-7 both passing for a TD & running for another TD, so a letdown is quite possible along with the Giants looking for revenge for their earlier season loss at Philly (17-40), we look for the NFC East to be tightened up by the end of business tonight.

Saturday 12/12 NBA: -0.63 Units (Volume: 3.50 Units)

Over 225 Phoenix / Denver 9:00 ET 2 Units
Phoenix 99 Denver 105 Lose

Over 206 Minnesota / Sacramento 10:00 ET 1.50 Units
Minnesota 100 Sacramento 120 Winner


Saturday 12/12 NCAA Totals: -0.18 Units (Volume: 4.00 Units)

Over 124 Air Force / Washington State (Game #535/536) 4:00 ET 1 Unit
Air Force 68 Washington State 75 Winner

Over 144.5 San Diego / Boise State (Game #577/578) 9:05 ET 1 Unit
San Diego 59 Boise State 56 Lose

Over 136.5 BYU / Fresno State (Game #579/580) 10:00 ET 1 Unit
BYU 72 Fresno State 67 Winner

Over 137 Arizona / San Diego State (Game #583/584) 10:00 ET 1 Unit
Arizona 46 San Diego State 63 Lose


Saturday 12/12 NCAAB Sides: -5.04 Units (Volume: 11.25 Units)

Indiana +8.5 / Kentucky 12:00 Noon ET 1.5 Units
Indiana 73 Kentucky 90 Lose

Creighton +2 / George Mason (Game #521/522) 1:00 ET 1.25 Units
Creighton 72 George Mason 75 Lose

Washington State -16.5 / Air Force (Game #535/536) 4:00 ET 1 Unit
Washington State 75 Air Force 68 Lose

Towson +4.5 / George Washington (Game #541/542) 4:00 ET 1 Unit
Towson 69 George Washington 73 Winner

UCLA +6 / Mississippi State (Game #547/548) 4:30 ET 1.25 Units
UCLA 54 Mississippi State 72 Lose

Marquette +5.5 / Wisconsin (Game #549/550) 5:00 ET 1 Unit
Marquette 63 Wisconsin 72 Lose

Eastern Michigan -6.5 / James Madison (Game #555/556) 7:00 ET 1.25 Units
Eastern Michigan 75 James Madison 64 Winner

Penn State -1.5 / Virginia Tech (Game #559/560) 7:00 ET 1 Unit
Penn State 64 Virginia Tech 66 Lose

So. Mississippi -2 / South Alabama (Game #565/566) 8:05 ET 1 Unit
So. Mississippi 66 South Alabama 54 Winner  

Boise State -5.5 / San Diego (Game #577/578) 9:05 ET 1 Unit
Boise State 56 San Diego 59 Lose

Friday 12/12 NBA: -0.31 Units (Volume: 7.00 Units)

Under 209.5 Atlanta / Toronto 7:00 ET 1.25 Units
Atlanta 111 Toronto 89 Winner

Dallas pk / Miami 7:30 ET 1.25 Units
Dallas 106 Miami 93 Winner

New Orleans -6.5 / NY Knicks 8:00 ET 1.25 Units
New Orleans 93 NY Knicks 113 Lose

Memphis -2 / Oklahoma City 8:00 ET 1 Unit
Memphis 94 Oklahoma 102 Lose

Minnesota +15.5 / LA Lakers 10:30 ET  1 Unit
Minnesota 92 LA Lakers 104 Winner

Parlay: Phoenix (ML) -155 / Orlando & Over 213 10:30 ET Risk 1.25 Units to win 2.68 Units
Phoenix 106 Orlando 103 Lose
It takes much more energy to play defense in the NBA than offense. That's good news for the Suns and bad news for the Magic because Phoenix has been off since playing Dallas Tuesday, and they aren't interested in playing defense... they'd much rather use their stored energy running the court. Orlando's been on he road since 12/05 and tonight is the last game of their 7 day 4 city trip and their 3rd game in 4 nights, so stopping Phoenix will not be an option. In fact Orlando's only game plan will be to try and match buckets which may work early on but is sure to falter by the 4th quarter.

We're only at risk here for 1.25 Units and stand to make almost as much as (2) 1.5 Unit plays on Phx -3 & Over 213 would yield. We feel these pays are dependent on each other thus creating value in this spot. If Orlando does manage to contain the Suns, chances are the game will stay under which would have meant a -3.00 unit loss, and if the game goes over the number as we expect, it is likely Orlando will not keep pace down the stretch.

Thursday 12/11 NBA: -0.68 Units (Volume: 4.50 Units)

Denver -7 / Detroit 7:30 ET 1.25 Units
Denver 99 Detroit 101 Lose
Although Detroit is the home team here, Denver is the more rested team having had last night off after their unlikely loss to Charlotte Tuesday. Detroit has now won 3 straight after dropping 8 of their previous 9, and tonight is the Pistons' 4th game in 7 nights including last night in Philly (90-86 F). We look for a combination of a very focused Nuggets team looking to get back on track and a road weary Detroit team back home after a 1 game trip to Philly last night. This has blowout written all over it!

Washington +7.5 / Boston 8:00 ET 2 Unit
Washington 102 Boston 104 Winner
Here's a perfect spot to catch the Celtics napping. Boston's in the middle of 8 of 9 games on the road which started on 11/29 in Miami where they took care of the Heat (92-85) and continued with wins @ Charlotte (108-90), @ SA (90-83), @ OKC (105-87) and home vs Mil (98-89) Tuesday. Tonight Boston's facing a Washington team who have had 3 days to prepare and you can be sure they're ready to put forth their best effort in front of a national TV audience. Gilbert Arenas has been taking quite a bit of heat lately and we look for him to silence his critics... even if just for 1 night.

Under 202 Orlando / Utah 10:30 ET 1.25 Units
Orlando 111 Utah 120 Lose

Wednesday 12/09 NBA: -0.36 Units (Volume: 2.75 Units)

Over 219 Golden State / New Jersey 7:30 ET 1.5 Units
Golden State 105 New Jersey 89 Lose

Over 201.5 Sacramento / San Antonio 8:30 ET 1.25 Units
Sacramento 106 San Antonio 118 Winner

Wednesday 12/09 NCAAB: +2.96 Units (Volume: 3.25 Units)

Providence +2 / George Washington 7:00 ET 1 Unit
Providence 110 George Washington 97 Winner

California -6.5 / Pacific 10:00 ET 1.25 Units
California 79 Pacific 54 Winner

Boise State -1 / Idaho State 9:05 ET 1 Unit
Boise State 79 Idaho State 67 Winner

Tuesday 12/08 NBA: -1.84 Units (Volume: 3.75 Units)

Over 208 Minnesota / Toronto 7:00 ET 1.5 Units
Minnesota 88 Toronto 94 Lose

New Jersey +6.5 / Chicago 8:00 ET 1 Unit
New Jersey 103 Chicago 101 Winner

Dallas -3.5 / Phoenix 8:30 ET 1.25 Units
Dallas 102 Phoenix 101 Lose

Tuesday 12/08 NCAAB: +0.00 Units (Volume: 5.25 Units)

TCU +2.5 / Texas Tech 7:30 ET 1.5 Units
TCU 70 Texas Tech 80 Lose

Under 147.5 Vanderbilt / Illinois 8:30 ET 1.5 Units
Vanderbilt 68 Illinois 79 Winner

Kansas State -6 / Xavier 9:00 ET 1.25 Units
Kansas State 71 Xavier 56 Winner

San Jose State -4 / San Francisco 10:00 ET 1 Unit
San Jose State 71 San Francisco 76 Lose

Monday 12/07 NFL: +1.00 Units (Volume: 1.25 Units)

Green Bay -3 (-125) / Baltimore 8:30 ET 1.25 Units
Buy this one down to -3 if possible.
Green Bay 27 Baltimore 14 Winner

Monday 12/07 NBA: +0.12 Units (Volume: 2.75 Units)

NY Knicks +3 / Portland 7:30 ET 1.5 Units
NY Knicks 94 Portland 83 Winner
Over 200.5 Portland / NY Knicks 1.25 Units
NY Knicks 94 Portland 83 Lose

Sunday 12/06 NFL: +3.99 Units (Volume: 10.25 Units)

Kansas City +6 / Denver 1:00 ET 1.25 Units
Kansas City 13 Denver 44 Lose

Jacksonville +3 (-120) / Houston 1:00 ET 1.25 Unit
(Buy 1/2 point to +3 (-120)
Jacksonville 23 Houston 18 Winner
Houston had everyone mesmerised earlier in the season with their ability to score seemingly at will, but here's your classic case of "what have you done for me lately?" The Texans have now lost 3 straight, all division games twice to Indy on 11/08 & 11/29, and also to Tennessee in between. The first of the 3 losses you'll recall was at Indy right before Houston's bye week as they were riding a 3 game winning streak and looking like playoff material, at least to the naked eye with a short memory (remember, they lost at home to the Jets 7-24 to open the season). In that Indy game, Houston was poised for the upset in the 4th quarter leading 17-13. That was the game that started the downward spiral. The bye week didn't help as they went on to lose 2 more division games and now they're laying points on the road to a surging Jacksonville team who have won 3 of their last 4 and with a win today go to 7-5.

Tennessee +6.5 / Indianapolis 1:00 ET 1.5 Units
Tennessee 17 Indianapolis 27 Lose
Under 46 Tennessee / Indianapolis 1:00 ET 1.25 Units
Tennessee 17 Indianapolis 27 Winner

Seattle +1 / San Francisco 4:15 ET 1.50 Units
Seattle 20 San Francisco 17 Winner
SF's getting a bit too much respect for a 5-6 team playing a division game on the road.... The Niners are 7-2-2 ATS which is what's driving this line, but they're not quite ready to take on the role of road favorite, even if it is the 4-7 Seahawks they're playing. We feel this game should be Seattle -3.  

NY Giants +1.5 / Dallas 4:15 ET 1.50 Units
NY Giants 31 Dallas 24 Winner
Just when you least expect it, the sleeping Giant will awake... It's really amazing that Dallas is 8-3 with the way they've been playing football this season. They were only able to put 7 on the board 2 weeks ago at home vs Washington... and that score came in the closing moments of the game And the week before that 7 again at GB (in a losing effort). Putting 24 up against the Raiders last week doesn't really count for much... How many times can Tony Romo go to the well and have the defense bail him out? It's obvious what's driving this number.. the ineptness of the Giants, but at least they're scoring points. Despite going 1-5 SU & 0-6 ATS their last , NY's averaged better than 20ppg, and that average should improve today against a Cowboy defense about to snap...

Arizona +3 / Minnesota 8:20 ET 2.00 Units
Arizona 30 Minnesota 17 Winner
We hate to put it this way, but who has Minnesota really played? Green Bay (twice)... that's it! Detroit twice, Cleveland, St. Louis, a so-so SF team (nearly escaped 27-24), another near miss vs Baltimore (33-31), Seattle, the Bad News Bears in a blowout (surprise surprise) and their lone loss... to Pittsburgh right before the Steelers started stinking up the joint. Not taking anything away from Brett Favre, but c'mon now not a bad schedule for an aging QB. Tonight the Vikings will have their hands full in the desert... don't buy into all the talk about the ailing Kurt Warner... we look for the home team to light up the scoreboard on national TV. 


Sunday 12/06 NCAAB: +3.64 Units (Volume: 4.00 Units)

Virginia Tech -11 / Georgia (Game #527/528) 3:30 ET 1 Unit
Virginia Tech 74 Georgia 62 Winner

Fresno State pk / San Diego (Game #535/536) 7:00 ET 1.25 Unit
Fresno State 69 San Diego 37 Winner

Idaho pk / Portland (Game #539/540) 8:00 ET 1.75 Units
Idaho 68 Portland 48 Winner

Saturday 12/05 NCAAF: +5.10 Units (Volume: 10.00 Units)

Pittsburgh +3 (-120) / Cincinnati 12:00 Noon ET 1.25 Units
(buy 1/2 point: -120)
Pittsburgh 44 Cincinnati 45 Winner

Louisiana Tech -23.5 / San Jose State 2:00 ET 1.5 Units
Louisiana Tech 55 San Jose State 20 Winner
It's not often you'll see a 3-8 team laying this kind of wood to a 2-8 team, but there's plenty of support when looking past the surface. SJS jut got their 1st Div-1 win last week against New Mexico State at home and on Senior Day, so in essence, that was their Bowl game. Now the Spartans must travel cross country to play a Bulldogs team that knows how to compete with the big boys. Louisiana Tech, although 3-8 SU are 7-4 ATS and that's no coincidence. This Bulldogs team has been just a step behind the competition all season long losing some very close games while being big underdogs. In their last 5 games, LA Tech  is 0-5 SU & 4-1 ATS losing by a combined 23 points while their average line was +11. They lost to Boise State by 10 getting +20 (35-45), LSU by 8 getting +22.5 (16-24), and most recently to Fresno State by 2 getting 9.5 (28-30). Meanwhile, the Spartans have gotten pasted on a weekly basis losing by 20+ 5 times this season and have only covered the number twice. We look for Louisiana Tech to get a very decisive win this afternoon at home to end their season.

Washington +7 / California 6:30 ET 1 Unit
Washington 42 California 10 Winner

Over 57 Wisconsin / Hawaii 11:30 PM ET 1.5 Units
Wisconsin 51 Hawaii 10 Winner 

SEC Championship Game
Alabama +7.5 (-160) / Florida 4:00 ET 2 Units
(Buy 2.5 points: -160)
Alabama 32 Florida 13 Winner
We feel there's great value in buying this one up to getting a TD+. These are 2 very evenly matched teams on paper but of course due to the public's perception of the defending national champions, the line is tipped towards the Gators. The linemaker opened this one up Fla -4.5 probably realizing then that was even too big but was done in anticipation of Florida backers. It has since been bet up to 5.5 so to be able to buy it to +7.5 only laying -160 is big, especially since it's expected to be a lower scoring game (U/O 40.5). 

ACC Championship Game
Clemson pk / Georgia Tech 8:00 ET 1.75 Units
Clemson 34 Georgia Tech 39 Lose
Both teams coming off of in-state rivalry losses last week: GT loses to Georgia 24-30 as -9.5 chalk while Clemson went down to S. Carolina 17-34 laying -3. Perhaps today's game was on these teams' minds. In their regular season match-up way back on 9/10, Tech got out to a 21-0 1Q lead thus taking Clemson's running game away, but the Tigers came all the way back to take a 4Q lead (27-24), and almost win (27-30 F). Great 2H defense is what did it for Clemson as they allowed just two 4Q FG's by GT. We look for that same defensive intensity today right from the start which will enable Clemson to stick to their offensive game plan of wearing down the GT defense with heavy doses of CJ Spiller. 

Big 12 Championship Game
Nebraska +14 / Texas 8:00 ET 1 Unit
Nebraska 12 Texas 13 Winner


Saturday 12/05 NBA: +1.17 Units (Volume: 6.00 Units)

Under 197.5 Utah / Minnesota 8:00 ET 1.25 Units
Utah 101 Minnesota 108 Lose

San Antonio -3.5 / Denver 8:30 ET 1 Unit
San Antonio 99 Denver 106 Lose

Under 224.5 Sacramento / Phoenix 9:00 ET 1.5 Units
Sacramento 107 Utah 115 Winner

Houston +5 / Portland 10:00 ET 1.25 Units
Houston 89 Portland 90 Winner

Golden State +9 / Orlando 10:30 ET 1 Unit
Golden State 118 Orlando 126 Winner


Saturday 12/05 NCAAB: -0.95 Units (Volume: 5.25 Units)

NC Wilmington -1.5 / George Mason (Game#723/724) 5:00 ET 2 Units
NC Wilmington 52 George Mason 57 Lose

Wake Forest +6.5 / Gonzaga (Game#761/762) 5:30 ET 1 Unit
Wake Forest 77 Georgia Tech 75 Winner

Illinois -17 / Boise State (Game#773/774) 7:30 ET 1 Unit
Illinois 84 Boise State 77 Lose

Cal Poly -1 / Pepperdine (Game#799/800) 10:00 ET 1.25 Units
Cal Poly 77 Pepperdine 73 Winner

Friday 12/04 NCAAF: -1.50 Units (Volume: 1.50 Units)

Loyola Maryland +1.5 / Canisius 9:00 ET 1.5 Units
Loyola Maryland 65 Canisius 70 Lose


Friday 12/04 NBA: +3.41 Units (Volume: 3.75 Units)

Toronto +3.5 / Washington 7:00 ET 1 Unit
Toronto 109 Washington 107 Winner

Under 216.5 Toronto / Washington 7:00 ET 1.25 Unit
Toronto 109 Washington 107 Winner

Over 181.5 Charlotte / NJ Nets 8:00 ET 1.5 Units
Charlotte 91 NJ Nets 97 Winner

Thursday 12/03 NCAAF: +1.14 Units (Volume: 1.25 Units)

Western Kentucky +7.5 / Arkansas State 7:00 ET 1.25 Units
Western Kentucky 20 Arkansas 24 Winner

Thursday 12/03 NCAAB: -1.25 Units (Volume: 1.25 Units)

Murray State -9 / Eastern Kentucky (Game #725/726) 7:00 ET 1.5 Units
Murray State 62 Eastern Kentucky 60 Lose


Thursday 12/03 NBA: -4.14 Units (Volume: 7.00 Units)

San Antonio -1 / Boston 8:00 ET 1.5 Units
San Antonio 83 Boston 90 Lose
Under 188 Boston / San Antonio 1.5 Units
San Antonio 83 Boston 90 Winner
What makes this play for us is scheduling. Our position on the Spurs is that they'll never win another championship with their current team... they're an aging bunch and will be certain to wear down the deeper the season gets. But give these guys 3 days' rest to prepare for an elite team in a nationally televised game and watch this group of veterans take control at home! As we've said in the past, it takes much more energy to play defense in the NBA as opposed to offense, and that's where we expect well rested San Antonio to excel tonight. Also the fact that the Celtics have shot an average of 57% in their last 3 games and this is their 3rd straight road game (3 in 5 nights), we look for Boston to have trouble finding the hole...

Houston -2.5 / Golden State 10:30 ET 1 Units
Houston 111 Golden State 109 Lose
Over 220.5 Houston / Golden State 2 Unit
Houston 111 Golden State 109 Lose
Parlay: Houston (ML) -135 & Over 221.5 Risk 1 Unit to win 2.32 Units
Houston 111 Golden State 109 Lose
Golden State's going to want to run at home and Houston's not going to be able to stop them having played just last night in LA (Clippers), which is fine with them... The Rockets are adapting to their new up-tempo style of play very nicely. Although Houston's last 3 have all gone Under, remember this is their 4th game in 7 nights (L3 on the road) and a trip to Portland on deck Saturday, so spending energy on the defensive end will not be on the Rocket's agenda.

Possible 2nd Half Play
We're at risk for a total of 4 Units in this game with an upside of over 5 Units (5.05) and with the game going Over, we're pretty much free rolling for the rest. This is a possible 2nd half play (hedge) if the game is an obvious Over at the break with the Rockets leading... If so, we will be in the position for a possible middle while insuring a profit. Check your e-mail at the half of this game for possible recommendations depending on the 1st half score.

Wednesday 12/02 NCAAB: -1.25 Units (Volume: 1.25 Units)

Minnesota +2.5 / Miami (Fl) (Game #539/540) 7:30 ET 1.25 Units
Minnesota 58 Miami 63 Lose


Wednesday 12/02 NBA: -1.54 Units (Volume: 7.75 Units)

Under 198 Milwaukee / Washington 7:00 ET 1.5 Units
Milwaukee 102 Washington 104 Lose

Atlanta -9 / Toronto 7:00 ET 1.25 Units
Atlanta 146 Toronto 114 Winner

Philadelphia +6.5 / Oklahoma City 8:00 ET 1 Unit
Philadelphia 106 Oklahoma City 117 Lose
Under 197 Philadelphia / Oklahoma City 1.5 Units
Philadelphia 106 Oklahoma City 117 Lose
Parlay: Philadelphia (ML) +245 & Under 197 Risk 0.5/Unit to win 2.79 Units
Philadelphia 106 Oklahoma City 117 Lose
Total risk of 3 Units here with an upside of +4.61 Units. Nice value created by the recent "W"s & "L"'s of both teams. The Sixers have lost 7 straight while OKC has won 3 of their last 5 including an impressive road win in Utah on 11/24 (104-94 as +8 point dogs). The key here is the fact that Philly has covered 5 of those 7 losses despite losing them all outright. The linemaker is always slow to adjust to improving teams... we feel this line should be in the 2-3 point range and an "upset" is extremely possible.

Under 215.5 Indiana / Sacramento 10:00 ET 1 Unit
Indiana 105 Sacramento 110 Winner

Under 193.5 Houston / LA Clippers 10:30 ET 1 Unit
Houston 102 LA Clippers 85 Winner

Tuesday 12/01 NCAAB: +1.14 Units (Volume: 1.25 Units)

Colorado -12 / San Francisco 9:00 ET 1.25 Units
Colorado 78 San Francisco 54 Winner


Tuesday 12/01 NBA: +1.48 Units (Volume: 4.25 Units)

Over 179.5 Boston / Charlotte 7:00 ET 1.75
Boston 108 Charlotte 90 Winner 

Portland -7 / Miami 10:00 ET 1.25 Units
Portland 100 Miami 107 Lose

New Orleans +14.5 / LA Lakers 10:30 ET 1.25 Units
New Orleans 99 LA Lakers 110 Winner