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November 2009 Overall Results
Click here for full season results

-14.63 Units (Volume: 241.02 Units)


Monday 11/30 NBA: -2.50 Units (Volume: 2.50 Units)

Milwaukee -2.5 / Chicago 8:05 ET 1 Unit
Milwaukee 99 Chicago 97 Lose

Memphis +10 / Utah 9:05 ET 1.50 Units
Memphis 93 Utah 120 Lose


Sunday 11/29 NFL: -3.99 Units (Volume: 9.25 Units)

Cincinnati -13 / Cleveland 1:00 ET 1.25 Units
Cincinnati 16 Cleveland 7 Lose

Chicago +11 / Minnesota 4:15 ET 1 Unit
Chicago 10 Minnesota 36 Lose
The perfect look ahead spot for the seemingly invincible Vikings. After a very soft schedule the past couple of weeks (Detroit & Seattle L2 Weeks), Minnesota travels to Arizona next and then hosts Cincinnati the week after. Can't see Minnesota putting forth the effort needed to cover this number.

Washington +10 / Philadelphia 1:00 ET 1.5 Units
Washington 24 Philadelphia 27 Winner
Way too many points in this division game regardless of the Skins' 3-7 record. Fact is they play the NFC east tough. Last week they lost a heart-breaker to Dallas 6-7 in a game they should have won. Philadelphia's defense is hurting both at LB & in the secondary and of course Brian Westbrook is out indefinitely with a concussion. Also, remember that Washington's defensive coordinator Greg Blache has been with the team for 6 years so he's very familiar with the division. This double digit price is fueled by the public's perception of what they can see on the surface...  

Carolina +3.5 / NY Jets 1:00 ET 1.75 Units
Carolina 6 NY Jets 17 Lose
After a 3-0 start, Rex Ryan' Jets have gone 1-6 including 0-4 in division games. About time to pack it in for NY while Carolina, despite having the same 4-6 record, is going in the opposite direction as they LOST their first 3 of the season but have recently shown signs of life winning 4 of their last 7 including impressive wins at Arizona (34-21) and over Atlanta (28-19). This is the time of the season when injuries start hitting teams along with the every day aches & pains and it takes something to play for for a 4-6 team to put forth a full effort on Sunday. With these two 4-6ers heading in opposite directions, look for the Panthers to roll today over a depleted Jets team.


Totals Section 
Special Note:   There are generally no write-ups on totals due to the nature of our selections. While the line maker bases his number on a pre determined formula of past performances, stats, and trends, we have our own exclusive calculations that that have been very successful throughout the years. They are based on complex math equations integrated with public perception and line movements.

Under 40.5 Washington / Philadelphia 1:00 ET 1.25 Units
Washington 24 Philadelphia 27 Lose

Over 42.5 Jacksonville / San Francisco 4:05 ET 1.25 Units
Jacksonville 3 San Francisco 20 Lose

Over 45 Kansas City / San Diego 4:05 ET 1.25 Units
Kansas City 14 San Diego 43 Winner


Sunday 11/29 NBA: +2.73 Units (Volume: 3.00 Units)

Under 230 Phoenix / Toronto 1:00 ET 2 Units
Phoenix 113 Toronto 94 Winner
NOTE: It is recommended to play this game early as we're expecting the line to drop.
Pretty much a carbon copy of last weeks Sunday early afternoon game in Toronto as we played the Under (209) there as well citing that the Magic were off a tough game in Boston that Friday, so they were in Toronto Saturday night undoubtedly spending their night off taking in the Toronto night life (104-96 F). This week it's another Sunday 1:00 game only this time the Raptors are hosting the high flying Suns who also are off a Friday road game (@ Minn) where they blew out the T'Wolves 120-95. Phoenix has been averaging 59% shooting and 121 ppg over their last 3 games, numbers that simply can't and won't hold up, yet the linemaker has set the number of today's game as if it should (opened at 232 currently 229.5-230 range). Toronto also shot 56% in their last game.

So with the combination of the normal adjustments that a teams shooting goes through and the early start to today's game, and the night off in Toronto on Saturday night for the Suns, none of which were factored into this line, look for this one to stay comfortably under the number.

Philadelphia +11 / San Antonio 7:00 ET 1 Unit
Philadelphia 89 San Antonio 97 Winner


Saturday 11/28 NBA: +0.80 Units (Volume: 3.25 Units)

Cleveland -6.5 / Dallas 9:05 ET 1.25 Units
Cleveland 111 Dallas 95 Winner

Under 189.5 Portland / Utah 9:00 ET 1.25 Units
Portland 92 Utah 108 Lose

Over 221.5 LA Lakers / Golden State 10:30 ET 1 Unit
LA Lakers 130 Golden State 97 Winner

Saturday 11/28 NCAAB: +0.91 Units (Volume: 1.00 Units)

Cal Santa Barbara -1.5 / Loyola Marymount (Game # 559/560) 10:30 ET 1 Unit
Cal Santa Barbara 89 Loyola Marymount 84 Winner

Saturday 11/28 NCAAF: +1.10 Units (Volume: 9.00 Units)

South Carolina +3.5 / Clemson (Game #143/144) 12:00 Noon ET 1.25 Units
South Carolina 34 Clemson 17 Winner

NC State +6 / North Carolina (Game #145/146) 12:00 Noon ET 1 Unit
NC State 28 North Carolina 27 Winner

Missouri -3 / Kansas (Game #147/148) 3:30 ET 1.5 Units
Missouri 41 Kansas 39 Lose

Arizona State +3 / Arizona (Game #179/180) 3:30 ET 1.5 Units
Arizona State 17 Arizona 20 PUSH

South Florida +6.5 / Miami (Game #183/184) 3:30 ET 1.5 Units
South Florida 10 Miami 31 Lose

Notre Dame +10 / Stanford (Game #189/190) 8:00 ET 1 Unit
Notre Dame 38 Stanford 45 Winner

USC -13 / UCLA 3:30 ET (Game #193/194) 10:00 ET 1.25 Units
USC 28 UCLA 7 Winner
 

Friday 11/27 NCAAB: +1.14 Units (Volume: 1.25 Units)

Marquette +2.5 / Michigan (Game #733/734) 12:00 Noon ET 1.25 Units
Marquette 79 Michigan 65 Winner

Friday 11/27 NBA: +0.91 Units (Volume: 7.75 Units)

Over 197 Milwaukee / Oklahoma City 9:30 ET 1.25 Units
Milwaukee 90 Okklahoma City 108 Winner

Indiana +2.5 Dallas 8:00 1.5 Units
Indiana 92 Dallas 113 Lose

Houston +1 / San Antonio 8:30 ET 1.25 Units
Houston 84 San Antonio 92 Lose

Under 195 San Antonio  Houston 1.25 Units
San Antonio 92 Houston 84 Winner

Under 215 Phoenix / Minnesota 9:30 ET 1.25 Units
Phoenix 120 Minnesota 95 PUSH

Memphis +11.5 / Portland 10:00 ET 1.25 Units
Memphis 106 Portland 96 Winner

Friday 11/27 NCAAF: -0.11 Units (Volume: 2.50 Units)

West Virginia pk / Pittsburgh 7:00 ET 1.25 Units
West Virginia 19 Pittsburgh 16 Winner

Louisville +3 / Rutgers 11:00 AM ET 1.25 Units
Louisville 14 Rutgers 34 Lose
Looks easy enough to take Rutgers here... 7-3 Knights face 4-7 Cardinals with Rutgers coming off a horrible loss last week @ Syracuse (13-31 laying -10), but that's where you need to stop and focus... how did that happen? Syracuse defense got to the QB for 9 sacks in that game while the offense found a perfect combination of running and passing to keep Rutgers on their heels the whole game (51 rushes for 213 yards and 17-22 passes for 211 yards). We feel Rutgers is a bit overrated and should not be laying points on the road here to a Louisville team honoring 21 seniors playing their final college game.


Thursday 11/26 NFL: -0.93 Units (Volume: 4.75 Units)

Dallas -13.5 / Oakland 4:15 ET 1 Unit
Dallas 24 Oakland 7 Winner

NY Giants - Denver Total Risk 3.75 Units
NY Giants -6 / Denver 8:20 ET 1.25 Units
NY Giants 6 Denver 26 Lose
Under 42.5 NY Giants / Denver 1 Unit
NY Giants 6 Denver 26 Winner
Teaser: NY Giants (pick) & Under 48.5 1.50 Units
NY Giants 6 Denver 26 Lose


Wednesday 11/25 NBA: -2.75 Units (Volume: 2.75 Units)

Under 195 Toronto / Charlotte 7:00 ET 1.25 Units
Toronto 81 Charlotte 116 Lose

Under 220 Memphis / Phoenix 9:00 ET 1.50 Units
Memphis 111 Phoenix 126 Lose

Wednesday 11/25 NCAAB: +1.14 Units (Volume: 1.25 Units)

Vanderbilt -4.5 / Arizona  (Game #745/746) 7:00 ET 1.25 Units
Vanderbilt 84 Arizona 72 Winner


Tuesday 11/24 NCAAF: +0.91 Units (Volume: 1.00 Units)

Ball State +11 / Western Michigan 7:00 ET 1 Unit
Ball State 22 Western Michigan 17 Winner

Tuesday 11/24 NBA: +0.53 Units  (Volume: 4.25 Units)

Philadelphia +3 / Washington 7:05 ET 1 Unit
Philadelphia 107 Washington 108 Winner

Dallas -12.5 / Golden State 8:35 ET 1.75 Units
Golden State 111 Dallas 103 Lose

Over 197 Oklahoma City / Utah 9:05 ET 1.5 Units
Oklahoma City 104 Utah 94 Winner

Tuesday 11/24 NCAAB: +1.25 Units  (Volume: 4.00 Units)

Wofford +15* / Illinois (Game #585/586) 9:30 ET 1.25 Units
Wofford 64 Illinois 78 Winner
*Tuesday's Basketball report was e-mailed at 5:05 PM. At that time, the line was +14, but moved to +14.5 immediately after and wound up closing at +15.5 by game time. Everyone receiving the report should have gotten a line of at least +14.5 and won the game. 

Virginia +1.5 / Stanford (Game #537/538) 7:00 ET 1.25 Units
Virginia 52 Stanford 57 Lose

Texas -8 / Pittsburgh (Game #557/558) 10:00 ET 1.5 Units
Texas 78 Pittsburgh 62 Winner


Monday 11/23 NBA: -2.09 Units  (Volume: 4.00 Units)

Over 192.5 Milwaukee / San Antonio 8:30 ET 1 Unit
Milwaukee 98 San Antoniio 112 Winner

Chicago - Portland Total Risk 3 Units
Chicago +7 / Portland 10:00 ET 1.5 Units
Chicago 98 Portland 122 Lose
Under 184 Chicago / Portland 1 Unit
Chicago 98 Portland 122 Lose
Parlay: Chicago (ML) +290 & Under 184 Risk 0.5/Unit to win 3.22 Units
Chicago 98 Portland 122 Lose
This is a very winnable game for the Bulls and it's also an important game for them to win as they're right in the middle of a 6 game, 2 week road trip where they won the first game at Sacramento but lost the last 2 (Denver & Lakers... so no surprise). Quite a shake up going on from HC Del Negro as he's getting on his team for a lack of effort. The one thing the Bulls have improved on this season is their already solid defense, as they're only allowing 94 ppg on 41% shooting. We're looking for an alert Bulls team tonight in Portland as they look to gain some respect. With a Chicago cover (+7), our risk is reduced to 0.13/Unit with the possibility of a 5.50 Unit payday, and with the game staying Under, our risk is only 1.09 Units.

Monday 11/23 NCAAB: -2.00 Units  (Volume: 2.00 Units)

Wichita State +6 / Pittsburgh 7:30 ET 2 Units
Wichita State 55 Pittsburgh 68 Lose


Sunday 11/22: -5.59 Units (Volume: 12.75 Units)

NY Giants -7 / Atlanta 1:00 ET 1.75 Units
NY Giants 34 Atlanta 31 Lose
5-4 Falcons visit the 5-4 Giants... this is not as even as it looks. In all fairness to NY, their 4 losses came all in a row these past 5 weeks (Giants are coming off their bye week) during a very difficult part of the schedule. It started on 10/18 @ New Orleans (27-48) then 2 division losses (Ariz & Philly) then a 1 point home loss in their last game (11/08) to the Chargers. Meanwhile, the Falcons haven't had it nearly as tough. Also, the Giants are still very alive to win the division as they're 2-1 in division games and only 1 game separates 3 teams in the NFC east with 7 to play. The Giants know this, and they also know that if they want to be there down the stretch, they must win games... starting today at home coming off their bye.  

Green Bay -6 / San Francisco 1:00 ET 1.25 Units
Green Bay 30 San Francisco 24 Lose

Dallas -11 / Washington 1:00 ET 1.50 Units
Dallas 7 Washington 6 Lose

St. Louis +9.5 / Arizona 4:05 ET 1.25 Units
St. Louis 13 Arizona 21 Winner
We don't think it was a fluke that the Rams almost beat the Saints last week... ts is an improving team and the linkmaker is always slow to adjust. Getting 9.5 here is big especially when facing an over confident Arizona team coming off of 2 double digit wins (41-21 @ Chicago on 11/08 & last week 31-20 vs. Seattle) AND they're unbeaten on the road thus far... Look for another superb effort by St. Louis at home.  

Oakland +9.5 / Cincinnati 4:15 ET 1.25 Units
Oakland 20 Cincinnati 17 Winner
Pretty much the same situation as last month (10/18) when the Eagles made the trip to Oakland coming off of 2 big wins and feeling nice and fat (9-13 outright loss). Cincinnati is coming off of 2 division wins (Baltimore 17-7 & Pittsburgh 18-12) and they've only given up 29 points total over their last 3 games. Just like the Eagles last month, the Bengals are going on vacation this week to the California Bay area...

Totals Section 
Special Note:   There are generally no write-ups on totals due to the nature of our selections. While the line maker bases his number on a pre determined formula of past performances, stats, and trends, we have our own exclusive calculations that that have been very successful throughout the years. They are based on complex math equations integrated with public perception and line movements.

Under 42.5 Buffalo /Jacksonville 1:00 ET 1.25 Units
Buffalo 15 Jacksonville 18 Winner

Under 46 Atlanta / NY Giants 1:00 ET 1.25 Units
Atlanta 31 NY Giants 34 Lose

Over 46.5 Seattle / Minnesota 1:00 ET 1.25 Units
Seattle 9 Minnesota 35 Lose

Over 46.5 Philadelphia / Chicago 2 Units
Philadelphia 24 Chicago 20 Lose

Sunday 11/22 NBA: +1.82 Units  (Volume: 2.00 Units)

Under 209 Orlando / Toronto 12:30 ET 2 Units
Orlando 104 Toronto 96 Winner
A couple solid reasons for this play. First, the Magic just played a hard fought battle in Boston Friday night where they beat the revenge minded Celtics 83-78. Now they had a day off which they spent in Toronto, one of the most active spots for night life in NBA cities, AND this game is a 12:30 start which means rise and shine in the early morning Sunday. Also, Toronto is off of a 58% shooting performance against the Heat Friday night. So a combination of Orlando's hangovers and Toronto's shooting coming back down to earth should keep this one well under the number.

Sunday 11/22 NCAAB: -1.50 Units  (Volume: 1.50 Units)

Under 134 Geoge Mason / Indiana (Game #521/522) 10:30 AM ET 1.5 Units
George Mason 69 Indiana 66 Lose


Saturday 11/21: +1.96 Units (Volume: 9.50 Units)

Ohio State -10.5* / Michigan (Game #315/316) 12:00 ET 1.75 Units
Ohio State 21 Michigan 10 Winner
*We released this play at 11:05 ET but the report was prepared about 20 minutes prior. This line moved to -10.5 EVERYWHERE by 11:03 ET and to -10 by 11:17 ET. It is impossible for anyone receiving this report to have had a line greater than -10.5.

Seems everyone's in love with the set-up today in this annual rivalry game: OSU is going to the Rose Bowl after their OT victory last week over Iowa (7-24) while while Rich Rodriguez' 5-6 Wolverines are battling to become bowl eligible. Sure, it's a logical argument.. the Buckeye's very well may be ready for a letdown after earning a trip to Pasadena for the first time in 13 years and the first time under Jim Tressell, but to make it all fit you need a quality opponent to actually beat this Ohio State team. Let's face it, Michigan is just a bad football team!! They've lost their last 4 games by an average score of 21-39 with an average line of -1. If OSU is able to focus and are on their game, this will be a blowout early, and even if they do fall victim to the "letdown" they should still cover this relatively small number against a Michigan program in disarray!

Iowa -11 / Minnesota (Game #323/324) 12:00 ET 1.5 Units
Iowa 12 Minnesota 0 Winner
A very solid trend in today's Minnesota - Iowa match-up. Last year, the Gophers were shutout at home by Iowa 0-55. Teams looking for revenge on the road the following year after getting shutout at home are a dismal 0-11 over the past 28 years. So you see it is a rare occurrence for this situation to arise, but when it does the revenge minded team loses the game by an average of 30 points missing the cover by nearly 16 ppg!!

Florida State -17.5 / Maryland (Game #331/332) 12:00 ET 1.25 Unit
Florida State 29 Maryland 26 Lose
Can't see the road team having much fight in them today as they only have 2 wins on the season and nothing to look forward to. The Seminoles on the other hand can become bowl eligible with a win today and we see no reason they won't cover this number while they're at it. After a miserable start to the season and much controversy around this FSU team early on, Bobby Bowden's team has really turned it on down the stretch winning 3 of it's last 4 including wins at both NC & WF (last week).

Arkansas -11.5 / Mississippi State (Game #347/348) 12:20 ET 1.5 Units
Arkansas 42 Mississippi State 21 Winner
Mississippi States' loss to Alabama last week took all the wind out of their sail for the season as they now must win out to become bowl eligible (this week and next week vs Ole Miss.) They were pumped going into last weeks contest against the Tide.. they truly believed they could pull off the upset and take back control of their season. HC Dan Mullen even told his team he would be in the end zone with them after the game to help rip down the goal posts... and what happened? The Bulldogs were only able to score 3 points and 'Bama rolled by 4 TD's!

We feel MSU is now officially finished for the year and that they accept that fate. They've only manager 18 pg last 3 while the defense has allowed 28. Meanwhile, the Hogs are averaging 48 ppg this season while giving up just 25 and at home they average well over 500 yards of total offense on nearly 8 yards per play. It'll be a long day for these Bulldogs...

Notre Dame -6 / Connecticut (Game #349/350) 2:30 ET 1 Unit
Notre Dame 30 Connecticut 33 Lose

Texas -27.5 / Kansas (Game #385/386) 8:00 ET 1.25 Units
Texas 51 Kansas 20 Winner

UL Monroe -3.5 / UL Lafayette (Game #403/404) 7:00 ET 1.25 Units
UL Monroe 17 UL Lafayette 21 Lose

Saturday 11/21 NBA: +2.96 Units  (Volume: 3.25 Units)

Over 203 Sacramento / Houston 8:30 ET 1.50 Units
Sacramento 106 Houston 113 Winner

Denver -8 / Chicago 9:00 ET 1.75 Units
Denver 112 Chicago 93 Winner

Saturday 11/21 NCAAB: -2.00 Units  (Volume: 2.00 Units)

Georgia +9 / UAB (Game #737/738) 8:00 ET 1 Unit
Georgia 56 UAB 72 Lose

Butler -12.5 / Evansville (Game #739/740) 8:05 ET 1 Unit
Butler 64 Evansville 60 Lose


Friday 11/20 NBA: -4.86 Units  (Volume: 7.25 Units)

Philadelphia -5 / Memphis 7:00 ET 1.5 Units
Philadelphia 97 Memphis 102 Lose

Parlay: Houston +7 / Atlanta & Under 203 7:30 ET 1 Unit
Houston 103 Atlanta 105 Lose
Here's a case of parlay value as we feel these 2 plays are dependent on each other. The Hawks have been flying high lately winning & covering their last 6 while averaging 110 ppg and shooting around 50% during that span. When it all stops it'll be a complete offensive shutdown and tonight's total (203) is a big number as is the 7 point lay.

Boston -6 / Orlando 8:00 ET 2 Units
Boston 78 orlando 83 Lose
First meeting for these teams since the playoffs where the Magic took down a less than 100% Boston team. Look for the Celtics to get their revenge tonight at home as they're now healthy and firing on all cylinders.

Under 195.5 Washington / Oklahoma City8:00 ET 1.5 Units
Washington 108 OKC 127 Lose

LA Clippers +9 / Denver 10:30 ET 1.25 Units
LA Clippers 106 Denver 99 Winner

Friday 11/20 NCAAB: -1.25 Unit  (Volume: 1.25 Units)

San Francisco +15.5 / Arizona State 6:30 ET 1.5 Units
San Francisco 65 Arizona St 104 Lose


Thursday 11/19 NBA: -3.25 Units  (Volume: 3.25 Units)

Chicago +10 / LA Lakers 10:30 ET 1.5 Units
Chicago 93 LA Lakers 108 Lose
Under 196 Chicago / LA Lakers 1.25 Units
Chicago 93 LA Lakers 108 Lose
Parlay: Chicago (ML) +475 & Under 196 Risk 0.5/Unit to make 4.99 Units
Chicago 93 LA Lakers 108 Lose
Pao Gasols first game this season... can't expect him to slide right in and pick up where he left off last season, it's going to take a little time. The upset possibility is real here... and the price is right.

Thursday 11/19 NCAAB: -1.25 Unit  (Volume: 1.25 Units)

Ohio State +2 / North Carolina 9:00 ET 1.25 Units
Ohio State 77 North Carolina 77 Lose


Wednesday 11/18 NBA: -5.50 Units  (Volume: 5.50 Units)

Over 185.5 Charlotte / Philadelphia 7:00 ET 1.5 Units
Charlotte 84 Philadelphia 86 Lose

Over 199 LA Clippers / Memphis 8:00 ET 1.25 Units
LA Clippers 91 Memphis 106 Lose

Over 210 Toronto / Utah 9:00 ET 1.25 Units
Toronto 91 Utah 104 Lose

San Antonio +1 / Dallas 9:30 ET 1.5 Units
San Antonio 94 Dallas 99 Lose
First game back for the Mavs from a very successful  4 game road trip as they won & covered 3 of the 4 (their only loss was the first game of the trip @ SA 83-92). We feel this is a prime spot for the Mavs to have a bit of a let down... it's their 3rd game in 4 nights and it took OT on Monday to beat the revamped Bucs. Tonight Dallas once again faces their in-state rivals who are well rested not having played since Saturday AND they're back to full strength with the return of Duncan & Parker (2nd game back for both).

Wednesday 11/18 NCAAB: +1.14 Unit  (Volume: 1.25 Units)

Utah State +3.5 / Utah 8:00 ET 1.25 Units
Utah State 67 Utah 68 Winner

Tuesday 11/17 NBA: +3.64 Units  (Volume: 4.00 Units)

Under 190.5 Indiana / NJ Nets 7:30 ET 1.25 Units
Indiana 91 NJ Nets 83 Winner

Over 195 LA Clippers / New Orleans 8:00 ET 1.25 Units
LA Clippers 102 New Orleans 110 Winner

Over 215.5 Toronto / Denver 9:00 ET 1.5 Units
Toronto 112 Denver 130 Winner

Tuesday 11/17 NCAAB: -2.50 Unit  (Volume: 2.50 Units)

Kansas -12 / Memphis 10:00 ET 1 Unit
Kansas 56 Memphis 55 Lose

Cal Riverside +9.5 / USC 10:30 ET 1.5 Uints
Cal Riverside 67 USC 77 Lose

Monday 11/16: -3.25 Units (Volume: 3.25 Units)

Cleveland +11.5 / Baltimore 8:30 ET 2 Units
Over 39 Baltimore / Cleveland 1.25 Units
No question this is a very ugly play, there's not many positives to say about the Browns here to make a case for them not to get blown out, but this is the NFL... it's easy to get caught up in the "terrible team" scenario and jump on the Baltimore bandwagon... it seems much easier to ask Joe Flacco to snap out of his funk and light up the score board  than it is to ask Cleveland to cover here, but there are some very solid trends supporting the dog tonight. Over the last 19 years, home dogs of greater than 6 points coming off their bye week are 22-4 ATS and 14-12 SU!! And of those, when it's a division game the dogs are 9-0 ATS.

As we've always said, the bye week is a funny thing. It is the greatest welcome to hurting teams and the biggest momentum stopper to streaking teams. With the Monday night atmosphere in what was once one of the greatest home field advantages in the league, we expect this game to have big meaning to the Browns from a humility standpoint. This is their shot to prove to their fans and the league that there's hope for this organization. It also helps that the Ravens have arguably their 3 toughest games on on deck: Indy, Pittsburgh and at Green Bay. Baltimore doesn't have the luxury of looking totally past tonight because every game at this point is critical to them, but 11.5 is a big number to cover on the road on Monday night. Also note that with 14 Cleveland points scored, we are protected from losing both the side & total. Look for Cleveland to let it all hang out here as they get Josh Cribbs more involved... we're sure to even see the wild cat tonight...


Monday 11/16 NBA: +1.37 Units  (Volume: 1.50 Units)

Over 180 Charlotte / Orlando 7:00 ET 1.5 Units
Charlotte 91 Orlando 97 Winner

Monday 11/16 NCAAB: -1.00 Unit  (Volume: 1.00 Units)

Pacific -2 / San Diego 10:00 ET 1 Unit
Pacific 56 San Diego 55 Lose


Sunday 11/15: +0.48 Units (Volume: 10.50 Units)

Pittsburgh -7 / Cincinnati 1:00 ET 2 Units
Pittsburgh 12 Cincinnati 18 Lose
Steelers looking to avoid the season sweep to the Bengals and more importantly gain control of the AFC North. A loss to Cincy here not only will leave them a game behind, but having lost to the Bengals twice would give Cincy the tie breaker in the end, so it's really like being 2 games behind. Can't let the fat -7 scare us... we look for the Steelers to really step up today at home, especially on defense.

Miami -9.5 / Tampa Bay 1:00 ET 1.5 Units
Miami 25 Tampa Bay 23 Lose
Finally, an opponent the Dolphins can flex their Wild Cat muscle with. Don't get too excited because of Tampa's upset win in Green Bay last week, lightning won't strike twice for the road team. We look for Miami to do some damage on offense this afternoon as they're able to fully utilize their playbook while not playing fro behind for a change.  

Green Bay +3 / Dallas 4:15 ET 1.25 Unit
Green Bay 17 Dallas 7 Winner
Teams are never as bad as they look on their bad days and usually not as good as they look when rolling. The Packers, after losing the "Brett Bowl" 2 weeks ago got humiliated last week at home by the lowly Bucs 28-38. True that GB hasn't beat anyone with a current winning record, but it's not their fault the cupcake schedule they were given! The Packers 4 wins were against Chicago, St. Louis, Detroit & Cleveland while their 3 losses (before last week to TB) were to Cincinnati (6-2 atop the AFC North) & Minnesota twice (7-1 atop the NFC North). Green Bays margin of victory in their 4 wins is 15 928-13... they've won by a combined score of 114-51). So there's no question the Packers can score (they even averaged over 25 ppg in their 4 losses!), so it's going to come down to their ability to sop Dallas' offense this afternoon, which we think they will. The Cowboys were only able to put 20 on the board last week at Philly, this coming after38 & 37 in back to back weeks at home (Seattle & Atlanta). And in the last game against a quality opponent on the road, Dallas only scored 10 at Denver. Look for Green Bay to salvage their season today at home because slipping to 4-5 here will be a difficult hole to dig out of, especially with dates with Baltimore, at Pittsburgh & at Arizona still to come. 

New England +3 / Indianapolis 8:20 ET 1.25 Units
New Englang 34 Indianapolis 35 Winner
The game of the day here as the undefeated Colts host New England at home under the spotlight on national TV. We feel there's a little "phoniness" to Indy's unblemished record having had close calls in their last 2 games (Houston 20-17 and SF 18-14) and in their first 2 games (Jax 14-12 and Miami 27-23). So if you believe Indy won't remain undefeated throughout the season, the question is who will they lose to? After the Pats today, there's not much left to worry about... Baltimore & Denver is about it. 
   
Totals Section Special Note:
There are generally no write-ups on totals due to the nature of our selections. While the line maker bases his number on a pre determined formula of past performances, stats, and trends, we have our own exclusive calculations that that have been very successful throughout the years. They are based on complex math equations integrated with public perception and line movements.

Under 40 Jacksonville / NY Jets 1:00 ET 1.25 Units
Jacksonville 24 NY Jets 22 Lose

Under 42 Cincinnati / Pittsburgh 1:00 ET 1 Unit
Cincinnati 18 Pittsburgh 12 Winner

Over 44 Tampa Bay / Miami 1:00 ET 1.25 Units
Tampa 23 Miami 25 Winner

Under 36.5 Kansas City / Oakland 4:05 ET 1 Unit
Kansas City 16 Oakland 12 Winner

Sunday 11/15: -2.25 Units (Volume: 2.25 Units)

Tulsa -4 / East Carolina 8:15 ET 1.25 Units
Tulsa 17 East Carolina 44 Lose
Parlay: Tulsa (ML) -180 & Under 51 Risk 1 Unit to win 1.97 Units
Tulsa 17 East Carolina 44 Lose

Sunday 11/15 NCAAB: +1.37 Units  (Volume: 1.50 Units)

Oregon State +7.5 / Texas Tech 4:00 ET 1.5 Units
Oregon State 60 Texas Tech 64 Winner


Saturday 11/14: +0.32 Units (Volume: 11.00 Units)

Ohio State -16.5 / Iowa (Game #123/124) 3:30 ET 1.5 Units
Ohio State 27 Iowa 24 Lose
It's not going to get any easier this week for Iowa back-up QB Vandenberg after replacing starter Stanzi in last weeks' game vs Northwestern. Stanzi went out in the 2nd quarter with a leg injury and will miss today's game. last week Vandenberg was just 9 fr 27 and 82 yards (0 TD, 1 INT). Granted he's had the entire week to prepare but you can give him a month and it wouldn't make a difference here... he's not ready to play in such a hostile venue, not to mention the Hawkeye's are a banged up unit overall... Sure they'll put up a valiant effort as teams usually do when not 100%, but it'll be all Ohio State this afternoon... 

Notre Dame +6 / Pittsburgh (Game #161/162) 8:00 ET 1.25 Units
Notre Dame 22 Pittsburgh 27 Winner

Over 57 Oklahoma / Texas A&M (Game #171/172) 7:00 ET 2 Units 
Oklahoma 65 Texas A&M 10 Winner

South Carolina +17.5 / Florida (Game #183/184) 3:30 ET 1.5 Units
South Carolina 14 Florida 24 Winner

Texas Tech +4.5 / Oklahoma State (Game #191/192) 8:00 ET 1.25 Units
Texas Tech 17 Oklahoma State 24 Lose

Troy +13.5 / Arkansas (Game #209/210) 7:30 ET 1.25 Units
Troy 20 Arkansas 56 Lose
Expected attitude from Troy here would be of non interest in tonight's game because it is really meaningless to their Bowl placement and where they'll finish in the Sun Belt.. With one more win out of their next 2 games (conference games vs FAU & UL Lafayette), Troy will win their 4th straight league championship AND punch their ticket to the New Orleans Bowl on December 20th..., but several players have been quoted this week telling of their desire to beat Arkansas.. Of course desire alone does not win football games, but Troy certainly has the talent to at least keep it close and knowing their mind set going in helps.

Saturday 11/14 NBA: -1.00 Units  (Volume: 1.00 Units)

Cleveland -13 / Utah 7:30 ET 1 Unit
Cleveland 107 Utah 103 Lose

Saturday 11/14 NCAAB: +3.19 Units  (Volume: 3.50 Units)

Cornell +6.5 / Alabama 2:00 ET 1.5 Units
Cornell 71 Alabama 67 Winner

Kent St -2.5 / UAB 7:00 ET 1 Unit
Kent State 72 UAB 65 Winner

South Alabama +5.5 / Rice 8:30 ET 1 Unit
South Alabama 69 Rice 71 Winner


Friday 11/13: -3.00 Units (Volume: 3.00 Units)

Under 44.5 Temple / Akron 8:30 ET 1.25 Units
Temple 56 Akron 17 Lose

Cincinnati -9 / West Virginia 8:00 ET 1.75 Units
Cincinnati 24 West Virginia 21 Lose

Friday 11/13 NBA: +0.37 Units  (Volume: 2.50 Units)

New Orleans +3 / Portland 8:00 ET 1 Unit
New Orleans 78 Portland 86 Lose
Portland right in the middle of a road trip in which they've being lulled to sleep. The Blazers won at Memphis & Minnesota on Tuesday & Wednesday by a combined score of 200-163. Tonight starts another back to back for the road team (4 games in 5 nights), and they're facing a Hornets team in the middle of a big shake-up with the firing of HC Byron Scott. Will this be the answer in New Orleans... probably not but for now we feel it's the wake up call needed to get everyone on their toes...

Under 212 LA Lakers / Denver 10:30 ET 1.5 Unit
LA Lakers 79 Denver 104 Winner
This is only the second time this season for each of these teams to have a total this high. This number is driven by the offensive reputations in general of both teams without taking into considerations current situations. LA is fresh off a 58% shooting performance last night against Phoenix which is sure to level off, while this is Denver's first game home from their 9 day, 6 city Eastern road trip. Players often need a game or so to get used to being home after such a trip, and it's the offenses that are usually off. This is a big enough number that can't afford much less than smoothness all around to make it over...

Friday 11/13 NCAAB: +0.81 Units  (Volume: 3.00 Units)

Towson +1.5 / Miami (Ohio) (Game #725/726) 7:00 ET 1 Unit
Towson 82 Miami (Ohio) 71 Winner

UMASS +3.5 / Central Florida (Game #737/738) 7:00 T 1 Unit
UMASS 67 Central Florida 84 Lose

Idaho +11.5 / Utah (Game #753/754) 9:00 ET 1 Unit
Idaho 94 utah 87 Winner


Thursday 11/12: -0.34 Units (Volume: 2.25 Units)

Ball State +17 / Northern Illinois 6:00 ET 1.00 Unit
Ball State 20 Northern Illinois 26 Winner
Yes, big disparity in these 2 programs this year as NIU is 6-3 while the Cardinals of Ball State are 1-8. There are several factors that make Ball State a live dog tonight. First, they haven't thrown in the towel despite their dismal record... they've remained competitive in the second half of the season despite starting 0-2 in games they should have won (-16 to N. Texas & -7 to N Hampshire... both at home). In their last 2 games, Ball State beat E. Michigan on the road and lost a close one to Ohio U at home (17-20). Both teams like to run the ball which reduces the number of snaps thus making the +17 that much more valuable. And finally, a solid "meaningful" trend is in the second half of the college football season, teams playing their 3rd straight home game (NIU) AND are laying between 10-21 points, cover 21% of the time (5-19 ATS!)...

Over 42.5 South Florida / Rutgers 7:30 ET 1.25 Units
South Florida 0 Rutgers 31 Lose

Thursday 11/12: -1.25 Units (Volume: 1.25 Units)

Chicago +3 / San Francisco 8:20 ET 1.25 Units
Chicago 6 San Francisco 10 Lose

Thursday 11/12 NBA: -1.25 Units  (Volume: 1.25 Units)

Under 180 Cleveland / Miami 8:00 ET 1.25 Units
Cleveland 111 Miami 104 Lose
6 of Cleveland's 8 games this season have gone under the total which we attribute to the linemaker taking his time to adjusting to the new "Shaq Era" in Cleveland. The big man simply wasn't a good fit in Phoenix, and watching the Suns this year it looks like a giant weight has been lifted off the shoulders of every player. The Cavs knew what they were getting and are willing to play Shaq's game... that's the difference.

And tonight Cleveland is coming off of having played last night in Orlando where they dominated Dwight Howard and the Magic, so without rest we look for an even slower paced game which the Heat will have no choice but to comply as Shaq & LeBron dictate tempo here...


Wednesday 11/11 NBA: +4.10 Units  (Volume: 4.50 Units)

Under 207 Chicago / Toronto 7:00 ET 1.25 Units
Chicago 89 Toronto 99 Winner

Over 196 Denver / Milwaukee 8:00 ET 2 Units
Denver 102 Milwaukee 108 Winner

Cleveland pk / Orlando 8:00 ET 1.25 Units
Cleveland 102 Orlando 93 Winner


Tuesday 11/10 NBA: -2.75 Units  (Volume: 2.75 Units)

Washington +8 / Miami 7:30 ET 1.00 Unit
Washington 76  Miami 90 Lose
Washington (ML) +300 / Miami Risk 0.5/Unit
Washington 76  Miami 90 Lose
We're splitting our bet here and stand to make +2.41 Units for out 1.50 Unit risk and will still make 0.41/Unit if Washington loses the game but covers. Sufficient value exists here to warrant these plays as the Heat are in a bad historical spot... they don't respond well to the challenge at home, coming off of 3+ days rest and playing teams they have beaten consistently recently. This is a prime spot for the Heat to get caught looking ahead to Lebron & Shaq rolling into South Beach Thursday. 

Houston +7 / Dallas 8:30 ET 1.25 Units
Houston 103 Dallas 121 Lose
There are very few +7's out there, and we anticipate this line moving down so it is suggested to play it early.


Monday 11/09: -1.25 Units (Volume: 1.25 Units)

Denver (ML) +125 / Pittsburgh 8:30 ET 1.25 Units
Denver 10 Pittsburgh 28 Lose
Very strange line movement tonight as most shops seem to have no problem with moving off of 3, so they're almost forcing you to lay -120 either way you go (Pitt -2.5 -120 or Denver +3 -125) so as long as Pittsburgh doesn't win by exactly 3, the books are collecting double juice. By playing tonight's moneyline (Denver +125), we stand to make OVER 50% more than a +3 -125 play (+125 instead of +80 that the +3 -120 play would yield).

Sure, it's real easy to recommend buying up to +3 and laying the price so we can have the cushion, but there's no value there. Most likely the team who wins tonight will cover the spread, so we'll play it sensibly and risk 1.25 Units for about the same payout that a 2 Unit +3 -125 play would have yielded. So even if we lose tonight, we actually save 0.75/Unit as long as the spread doesn't come into play.

As for backing Denver here, there's lots of talk about Pittsburgh off their bye week nice and rested and Denver perhaps not being as good as their record because of a couple of questionable wins, but the facts are the facts... Denver held their 1st 5 opponents to a total of 40 points... and that includes holding Cincinnati to 7, Dallas to 10 and New England to 17! This is a revived Broncos team with a new coaching staff that are doing something right, and they're home on Monday night. Pay attention in the 4th quarter to the Steeler linebackers going for the oxygen while gasping for air in the Mile high city...

Monday 11/09 NBA: -1.11 Units  (Volume: 3.50 Units)

Philadelphia +2 / Phoenix 7:00 ET 1 Unit
Philadelphia 115 Phoenix 119 Lose
Under 213 Phoenix / Philadelphia 1.25 Units
Philadelphia 115 Phoenix 119 Lose
Perfect spot for the high flying Suns to crash and burn tonight in Philly as they're finishing up their 5 game, 7 night Eastern swing AND they just played last night in Washington.

New Orleans -2 / LA Clippers 10:30 ET 1.25 Units
New Orleans 112 LA Clippers 84 Winner


Sunday 11/08: +4.76 Units (Volume: 11.00 Units)

Indianapolis -9 / Houston 1:00 ET 1.25 Units
Indianapolis 20 Houston 17 Lose
Big division game here for Houston. They're in uncharted territory here as they find themselves 2 games above .500 and a chance to really make some noise in the AFC South with a win over division leader Indy, but the Colts realize this and you can be sure they're prepared... especially on defense. We look for Indy's "D" to step up this afternoon and stop Houston's scoring machine while Peyton Manning gets back to his usual form of long, calculated & time consuming drives ending in TD's.

Tampa Bay +10 / Green Bay 1:00 ET 1.25 Units
Tampa Bay 38 Green Bay 28 Winner
It's always tough to ask a bad team to win for you, but in this game, there's a situation that can't be ignored. Win-less teams (at least 0-4) getting at least 5 points AND are coming off their bye week are a perfect 12-0 ATS the last 20 years. So while the square public is getting in line for the free money the bookie's are giving out to all Green Bay bettors, we'll back this logical trend. realize that not all trends are worthy of a wager because past performance really has little to do with future results, so many trends you see really are baseless, but in this case it makes sense. No matter how bad an NFL team is going, you must realize that these guys are pros... these are not college kids. Many times, all a team needs to get on track is the extra week to rest & heal thus shaking off the cob webs. We're not expecting the Bucs to come out here and win the game outright, but 10 is an awful big number to cover in the NFL, especially on the road with a team coming off a very big division game (and loss) last week to Favre's Vikings... AND GB may very well be looking ahead to hosting the Cowboys next week.

San Francisco -4 / Tennessee 4:15 ET 1.5 Unit
San Francisco 27 Tennessee 34 Lose
San Fran is a very hard working team, especially on defense. They yield less than 19 ppg (and that number includes their 45 point blunder to the Falcons 3 weeks ago... take that game out of the equation and the Niners gave up 95 points in 6 games!) SF has lost some very tough games... 3 of their 4 losses were by a total of 10 points including last weeks' heart-breaker to Indy 14-18. The telltale sign of an underrate team is when their TS record s better than their SU record, and in the Niners' case, they're 3-4 SU & 5-1-1 ATS. We look for anther all out effort fro SF today against a struggling Titans team still looking to find their way. yes, Vince Young stepped in last week and got his team their first win (and a win for us as well), but Tennessee does not know SF at all and Young has never faced them

Dallas +3 / Philadelphia 8:20 ET 1.5 Units
Dallas 20 Philadelphia 16 Winner
   
Totals Section Special Note:
There are generally no write-ups on totals due to the nature of our selections. While the line maker bases his number on a pre determined formula of past performances, stats, and trends, we have our own exclusive calculations that that have been very successful throughout the years. They are based on complex math equations integrated with public perception and line movements.

Under 46 Baltimore / Cincinnati 1:00 ET 1.25 Units
Baltimore 7 Cincinnati 17 Winner

Under 50 Houston / Indianapolis 1:00 ET 1 Unit
Houston 17 Indianapolis 20 Winner

Over 44.5 Arizona / Chicago 1:00 ET 1.25 Units
Arizona 41 Chicago 21 Winner

Under 47 Miami / New England 1:00 ET 1 Unit
Miami 17 New England 27 Winner

Under 50 Dallas / Philadelphia 8:20 ET 1 Unit
Dallas 20 Philadelphia 16 Winner

Sunday 11/08 NBA: +0.28 Units (Volume: 4.50 Units)

Over 191.5 Philadelphia / Detroit 1:00 ET 1 Unit
Philadelphia 81 Detroit 88 Lose

Under 215.5 Phoenix / Washington 1:00 ET 1.5 Units
Phoenix 102 Washington 90 Winner

Oklahoma City +6 / Orlando 7:00 ET 1 Unit
Oklahoma City 102  Orlando 74 Winner
The Thunder haven't been playing bad this season. They're 2-3 but easily could be at least 3-2 as they lost in OT to the Lakers earlier this week. We're looking for OKC to catch Orlando "fat & content" having blown out Phoenix at home Thursday (122-100) and then getting their revenge from Detroit in their next game on Friday (110-103.. no cover). Also, the Magic host Cleveland Wednesday so very well may be looking right past today.

New Orleans +6.5 / LA Lakers 9:30 ET 1 Unit
New Orleans 88 LA Lakers 104 Lose
We feel the Lakers will continue to struggle against the number, and are more than likely to lose a game or 2 outright before getting back to full strength with the return of Pao Gasol & Andrew Bynum. LA is 5-1 SU but just 1-5 ATS. As we've said before, once LA is 100%, that's when they'll start destroying the number.


Saturday 11/07: +5.46 Units (Volume: 6.00 Units)

Illinois +7 / Minnesota (Game #319/320) 12:00 Noon ET 1 Unit
Illinois 35 Minnesota 32 Winner
No, we're not on a perennial  powerhouse here who's heading for a BCS game so we can lay an extra 3 or 4 points... we're on the lowly Illini... everyone's doormat this season... but we're getting what we believe is an extra few points!

Illinois really isn't playing for much on paper as they're 2-6 this season with 4 games to play, so they'd have to win out to even become bowl eligible and would need further cooperation to make that happen... but they are playing for something perhaps even more important... pride! With a win today at Minnesota, Illinois can host Northwestern next week coming off of 2 wins, which makes for a much more festive environment for the home crowd. Illinois pounded Michigan last week 38-13, and that just may have been the spark this team needed.

In all fairness to the Illini this year, 4 of their 6 losses were as dogs (+14, +7.5, +4, & +10.5) and the other 2 losses were as small favorites (-6.5 & -3.5), so given their schedule, they really weren't expected to set any records this season anyway. Of course that's no excuse for winning just 2 games but their season was not shocking and like we said, with a win today they play at home next week off of back to back wins and this is a winnable game for Illinois.

Minnesota is coming off of a solid win over Michigan State last week.. a game where they put up 42 points and over 500 total yards, but the Gophers also gave up 34 points on 360 yards! Today we look for Minnesota to be looking right past this "automatic win" against Illinois to their date with Iowa in 2 weeks...

Arkansas -7 / South Carolina (Game #331/332) 12:21 ET 1.25 Units
Arkansas 33 South Carolina 16 Winner
Steve Spurrier must have run over the NCAA schedule makers dog during the off-season because he finds himself in one of the worst scheduling spots possible. This is their 3rd road game in the last 4 weeks and their 5th straight conference game... with their 6th on deck... but there is good news: they get to get blasted by Florida at home next week!

Meanwhile, Arkansas was home last week playing Eastern Michigan (laying -37), so they got to rest many positions in preparation for this week. There's a reason this line is where it's at (-7 up from the opener of -5) despite the disparity in these teams' conference records (S. Car 3-3 Ark 1-4). We're not buying into SC "bouncing back" after last week's thrashing at Tennessee (13-31)... there will be a big issue with energy levels, especially down the stretch. Also, even without SC's raw scheduling spot, the Gamecocks are just not a good offensive team, so if they get behind early AND their defense is on the field a lot early, it could be lights out quick!

Colorado +3 / Texas A&M (Game #375/376) 1:30 ET 1.5 Units
Colorado 35 Texas A&M 34 Winner
This one looks ugly on paper but realize that A&M is a very young and not very deep team. We feel that they let it all hang out in the last 2 weeks beating Tex Tech & Iowa St very convincingly and will have nothing left today. Colorado is very good at stopping the run at home and as long as they don't get themselves in an early hole, they can stick to their game-plan and come away with an easy W here.
 
Arizona State +10 / USC (Game #385/386) 8:00 ET 1 Unit
Arizona State 9 USC 14 Winner

UL Monroe -2.5 / North Texas (Game #395/396) 4:00 ET 1.25 Unit
UL Monroe 33 North Texas 6 Winner

Saturday 11/07 NBA: -1.25 Units (Volume: 1.25 Units)

Over 195 NY Knicks / Milwaukee 8:30 ET 1.25 Units
NY Knicks 87 Milwaukee 102 Lose


Friday 11/06 NBA: +2.10 Units (Volume: 6.50 Units)

Phoenix +11 / Boston 7:30 ET 1 Unit
Phoenix 110 Boston 103 Winner
Over 207 Phoenix / Boston 1.25 Unit
Phoenix 110 Boston 103 Winner
4th game in 6 night's for both of these teams, but the difference here is the amount of energy the Celtics have been using in their tough defensive style of play. Boston has held the competition to just 81.5 ppg thus far. It takes much more energy to play that style of basketball as opposed to the Suns wide open style. After holding Philly to just 74 on Tuesday and having to hold off Minnesota from a near upset Wednesday, Boston will be showing signs of fatigue tonight which will force them into Phoenix' game. We look for a high scoring game tonight and for the Suns to be there in the end with a chance at the outright win. This line is up to +11 from the opener of +9.5 mainly because of Phoenix getting blown out in Orlando Wednesday...

Miami pk / Denver 7:30 ET 1.25 Unit
Miami 96 Denver 88 Winner
The undefeated Nuggets (5-0 SU & 4-1 ATS) rolled into Miami Wednesday night for the 3rd leg of their 6 game/9 night road trip. With the way they've been rolling over the competition thus far, we can see how some of the Denver players may feel like they deserved a night (or 2) out on the town in South Beach while waiting to play the Heat tonight. Denver's margin of victory is an astounding 13 ppg (115-102) thus far which is certain to straighten out soon, and what better time than against a solid Miami team playing at home.

Over 205 Toronto / New Orleans 8:00 ET 1 Unit
Toronto 107 New Orleans 90 Lose

Over 188.5 Oklahoma City / Houston 8:30 ET 1 Unit
Oklahoma City 94 Houston 105 Winner

Over 215.5 LA Clippers / Golden State 10:30 ET 1 Unit
LA Clippers 118 Golden State 90 Lose


Wednesday 11/04: +1.51 Units (Volume: 3.02 Units)

World Series Play Reminder (released Wednesday, 10/28)
NYY -200 / Philadelphia 8:00 ET Risk 3.02 Units
NY Yankees 4 Games Philadelphia 2 Games Winner
(Released Last Week, Graded THIS WEEK)
For those clients who played our 2 Unit NYY -195 / LAA ALCS play on 10/16, remember we were actually forming our own World Series Futures play to end up with a better price (which we did... the price for NY to win the series (before the ALCS) was -105, and a 2 Unit risk would have yielded only a +1.90 Unit profit. By playing the ALCS fist (+1.02 Units for the 2 Unit risk) and now rolling over that +1.02 Unit profit plus the original 2 Unit risk (3.02 Units), we now stand to make +2.53 Units (+1.02 Units on ALCS & +1.51 Units on NYY -200 / Philadelphia in the WS).

Wednesday 11/04 NBA: +0.29 Units  (Volume: 4.75 Units)

Over 217.5 Phoenix / Orlando 7:00 ET 1 Unit
Phoenix 100 Orlando 122 Winner
Parlay: Orlando (ML) -360 / Phoenix & Over 217.5  Risk 0.5/Unit to win 0.72/Unit
Orlando 122 Phoenix 100  Winner
The Suns have a very tough schedule to start the season as 15 of their first 22 games are on the road and last night's game in Miami started a 5 game in 7 night stretch all on the road. The back to back Florida sweep is a tough task for any team, and the fact that the Suns have a trip to Boston on deck Friday, we feel they'll be looking to ace themselves which means even less defense than usual!! After losing at home to the Pistons last night despite a big effort defensively (Orlando held the Pistons to just 85 points on 38% shooing), the Magic will welcome the opportunity to display their offensive showcase to the home crowd.

We're risking a total of 1.5 Units on the Over tonight and the way we're splitting our play we stand to make 1.63 Units as opposed to 1.37 Units a 1.5 Unit Over play only would yield (22% more). We don't like having to lay such a hefty number to such a scoring machine... we can see the cover coming down to luck in garbage time with the total already decided.

Over 186 Boston / Minnesota 8:00 ET 1.25 Units
Boston 90 Minnesota 92 Lose
4th game in 6 nights for the Celtics. In their previous 3, Boston has held their opponents to just 84 ppg while averaging 107 themselves. These types of margins of victory do not last in the long run no matter what the talent level of a team is. We can't bet against Boston against such a weak opponent but we're sure we will be soon against quality. In tonight's game, we like the over as we feel the Celtics will relax a bit on defense due to fact, as mentioned, that this is their 4th game in 6 nights and they know they'll have their hands full in their next game vs Phoenix on Friday.

Houston +2.5 / LA Lakers 8:30 ET 1 Unit
Houston 102 LA Lakers 103 Winner
Under 203 LA Lakers / Houston 1 Unit
Houston 102 LA Lakers 103 Lose
The Lakers are 3-1 SU but 0-4 ATS... so they're "due" to cover... right...? Actually, they're due to lose outright! The telltale sign of an over rated team is when they're winning but not covering. The linesmakers are giving them too much respect early on and Houston, with the absence of Yao Ming, not enough. Give LA some time to get into their groove and when you least expct it, they'll go on one of their patented ATS runs, and it'll most likely happen a game or two after getting Pao Gasol back from injury.

As for the total tonight, it's a solid 5-10 points higher than last years' playoff lines... The series started off at 193 and crept all the way up to 199.5 by game 5 and then back down to 194 for game 7...


Tuesday 11/03 NBA: +1.03 Units  (Volume: 3.75 Units)

Under 190 Boston / Philadelphia 7:00 ET 1.5 Units
Boston 105 Philadelphia 74 Winner

Under 216.5 Phoenix / Miami 7:30 ET 1 Unit
Phoenix 104 Miami 96 Winner

Over 190 Atlanta / Portland 10:00 ET 1.25 Units
Atlanta 97 Portland 91 Lose


Monday 11/02: -2.00 Units (Volume: 2.00 Units)

Under 56 Atlanta / New Orleans 8:30 ET 2 Units
Atlanta 27 New Orleans 35 Lose
The value is gone in the line of the game (-11.5). it was just ok at the opener (-9), but once it crossed into double digits, there are many new ways for Atlanta to get a backdoor cover. We feel the true value lies in the Under tonight. The same reasons we can make a case for the Saints laying the big price we can also use to make a case for the Under, only now we are leaving much less to chance.

There's no doubt that the crowd inside the dome will be electric... this will most certainly disrupt the play calling for Atlanta's offense which we feel will force the Falcons into a running game which, at this price (56), favors a lower scoring game. Realize that a TD must be scored every 7.5 minutes (2 per quarter) to make it over this number. Yes, 4 of New Orleans games have broken 70, but that's what's driving this number... a stat that is very vulnerable to evening out. This is the NFL (National Football League!), NOT the NCAA. These guys are getting paid millions of dollars to play defense, so now that New Orleans has put up these crazy numbers in the first half of the season, you can bet that every team left to face NO will be overly prepared on defense as they are coming to understand that stopping the scoring attack is going to be the only way to beat this team.

Also, the Saints' defense has been taking some big time bashing in the media which you can be sure is not sitting well with them. They don't want to hear how they're getting bailed out week after week by their offense... it's supposed to be a team effort and we expect a better effort from them in the second half of the season..

Monday 11/02: +0.33 Units (Volume: 1.50 Units)

Over 8 Runs (-120) NY Yankees (Burnett) / Philadelphia (Lee) 7:57 ET 1 Unit
NY Yankees 6 Philadelphia 8 Winner
Parlay: NY Yankees (+145) & Over 8 Runs (-120) Risk 0.5/Unit to win 1.75 Units
NY Yankees 6 Philadelphia 8 Lose
We're looking for NY to finish things up tonight in Philly. Forget about the "wanna win it at home" angle... after starting CC on 3 days' rest last night, the Yankees don't want to extend the series just for the sake of winning at home because if it goes 7, CC will be pitching on 3 days' rest AGAIN... Girardi rolled the dice last night and got away with it... As for Cliff lee tonight, yes he's been virtually unhittable thus far in the post season but he's been known to throw in a clunker along the way. We don't like playing the "due" theory, but the total is low enough (8), where it can still go over even with another well pitched game...


Sunday 11.01: -0.75 Units (Volume: 11.25 Units)

Green Bay -3 (-125) / Minnesota 4:15 ET 2 Units
Green Bay 26 Minnesota 38 Lose
Don't get sucked into the Favre trap here! The public seems to be in love with Minnesota today in Brett's first game in Green Bay not as a Packer. Minny laid -4.5 in Minnesota against GB 4 weeks ago and won 30-23 and now today GB is -3 and although the linemaker won't move this one off the key number, GB is up to -3 (-125) DESPITE the heavy influx of Minnesota action... beware the trap... There's more to winning a football game than just an aging QB trying to make a statement... As we've said in the first weeks of the season, wait until the second half for all the nicks and bangs to catch up with Favre... well here we are...

Miami +3.5 / New York Jets 1:00 ET 1.5 Unit
Miami 30 NY Jets 25 Winner
Miami lost one of their toughest games ever last week at home as they were outscored by the Saints 22-0 in the 4th quarter. We were on the Dolphins in that game plus the points (+6.5) AND with a moneyline parlay to the over. Miami's outright loss cost us a 6 Unit swing and their non cover nearly a 3 Unit swing... As for this week and Miami's trip up north to the meadowlands to face the Jets, this will be a true test for this young team being able to shake last weeks devastating loss off and move forward.. we think yes. NY with Mark Sanchez have not been impressive AT ALL... Sanchez has 10 INT's! and only 6 TD's and a QB rating of 61.5. Miami already beat the this year at home 31-27. In that game the dolphins were laying 3, which would have been the line today had recent results not gotten in the way (Jets coming off a shutout of Oakland & the Miami meltdown last week).

Dallas -9.5 / Seattle 1:00 ET 1.25 Unit
Dallas 38 Seattle 17 Winner
Dallas' 2-2 start seems to stick out in everyone's mind, especially their debacle to Denver in a game they should have won. Since that game the Cowboys are 2-0 including a blowout of the Falcons last week (37-21). Normally we'd be saying possible let down this week with Philly & Green Bay next, but because of their sub-par start, Dallas won't be taking anything for granted here.

Tennessee -3 / Jacksonville 4:05 ET 1.5 Units
Tennessee 30 Jacksonville 13 Winner
Now you're talking Jeff Fisher... what took you so long to insert Vince Young at QB!?! Kerry Collins' is completing passes at a 55% rate and has 5 TD's & 8 INT's! It can't get any worse and the upside is to give Vince Young a chance to reprove himself. Looking at the Titans' big picture, they're not going to make the playoffs (barring a miracle), but they're not going to lay down either. There's too much talent on this team and too long to go in the season to just throw in the towel, so we expect a full effort from the Titans as they look for something positive to build on, and Vince Young is just the guy to initiate the spark. Also, Tennessee is coming off their bye week and many times this is what it takes for a team to snap back. And when you look past the surface of Tennessee's 0-6 SU & 1-5 ATS record, 3 of those losses (the first 3 of the season) were by 3, 3 & 7 points.   

Totals Section Special Note:
There are generally no write-ups on totals due to the nature of our selections. While the line maker bases his number on a pre determined formula of past performances, stats, and trends, we have our own exclusive calculations that that have been very successful throughout the years. They are based on complex math equations integrated with public perception and line movements.

Over 42.5 Denver / Baltimore 1:00 ET 1.25 Units
Denver 7 Baltimore 30 Lose

Under 40 Cleveland / Chicago 1:00 ET 1.25 Units
Cleveland 6 Chicago 30 Winner

Over 44.5 Jacksonville / Tennessee 4:05 ET 1.25 Units
Jacksonville 13 Tennessee 30 Lose

Under 44 NY Giants - Philadelphia 1:00 ET 1.25 Units
NY Giants 17 Philadelphia 40 Lose

Sunday 11/01 NBA: -2.00 Units  (Volume: 2.00 Units)

Chicago +4.5 / Miami 6:00 ET 2 Units
Chicago 87 Miami 95 Lose

Sunday 11/01: +1.18 Units (Volume: 2.00 Units)

NY Yankees (Sabathia) -170 / Philadelphia (Blanton) 8:20 ET 2 Units
NY Yankees 7 Philadlephia 4 Winner
This is really becoming a must game for NY because Sabathia is getting the start on 3 days' rest. It's not just what happens today that's at stake, but now A.J. Burnett will be pitching tomorrow on 3 days' rest. The alternative would have been to insert Chamberlain today giving BOTH CC & AJ the extra day and a well rested Andy Pettitte for game 7 if needed. Sabathia had a fine outing in game 4 of the ALCS pitching on 3 days' rest and we're looking for more of the same tonight.