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St. Louis (Lohse) -108/ LA Dodgers (Kuroda) 8:15 ET 1.75 Units
St. Louis 3 LA Dodgers 5 Lose
Well, the Dodgers have finally hit a wall losing 4 straight and 5 of their last 6. Prior to this current slump, LA hasn't lost more than 2 in a row all season! Meanwhile, the Cards are winners of 5 of their last 7 and have regained first place in the NL Central from the Cubs. Tonight St. Louis goes for the 4 game sweep of LA behind Kyle Lohse. Lohse has yet to get back on track since returning from a forearm injury. His overall numbers haven't been terrible (5.50 ERA in his last 4 starts: since returning), but St. Louis has lost all 4 games. With the Cards in such a tight race with Chicago and playing so well, this is a prime spot for the veteran to find his way and and turn in a big effort.
Oakland - Boston 2 Plays Total Risk 1.5 Units
Under 9 Runs (Even) Oakland (Gonzalez) / Boston (Lester) 1:35 ET 1 Unit
Oakland 5 Boston 8 Lose
Parlay: Oakland +315 & Under 9 Runs Risk 0.5/Unit to win 3.65 Units
Oakland 5 Boston 8 Lose
Gonzalez has a 7.75 ERA to Lester's 3.79 and Boston's team record is 15 games better than the A's, but baseball is much about "what have you done lately?" Over his last 10 starts. Jon Lester has an ERA of under 2 (1.82), so we fully expect another quality outing from him hence the under. In Gio Gonzalez's last start, he went into Yankee Stadium and completely shut down the powerful NY line-up holding them to just 2 hits, 3 walks and 1 earned run while striking out 6 in 6 2/3 innings as the A's went on to win 6-4 beating Andy Pettitte (this past Saturday 7/25). Oakland has beaten the Red Sox 2 out of 3 so far in this series so they are a very confident team at the moment. If they can get another quality outing out of Gonzalez here, the under should be easy and with a couple of favorable breaks along the way, another road win in Boston is possible.
We stand to make 4.65 units for our 1.5 unit risk with the under being our main play. We are assured a half unit profit with the under prevailing. Of course we expect to lose the Oakland play more times than we win it, but getting 7.3:1 on the parlay makes this a decent investment.