May 2010 Overall Results
Click here for All Results
-31.93 Units (Volume: 176.00 Units)
Sunday, 05/30 MLB: -0.25 Units (Volume: 2.50 Units)
Over 9 Runs (+105) Philadelphia (Moyer) / Florida (Sanchez) 1:10 ET 1.25 Units
Philadelphia 0 Florida 1 Lose
Over 7 Runs (-125) St. Louis (Wainwright) / Chicago Cubs (Dempster) 2:20 ET 1.25 Units
St. Louis 9 Chicago Cubs 1 Winner
Thursday, 05/20 MLB: -0.91 Units (Volume: 3.75 Units)
San Diego (Correia) +145 / LA Dodgers (Kershaw) 10:10 ET 1.00 Unit
San Diego 1 LA Dodgers 4 Lose
Tampa Bay (Shields) +127 / NY Yankees (Pettitte) 7:05 ET 1.25 Units
Tampa Bay 8 NY Yankees 6 Winner
Chicago WS (Peavy) -137 / LA Angels (Santana) 8:10 ET 1.50 Units
Chicago WS 5 LA Angels 6 Lose
Wednesday, 05/19 NBA: -2.00 Units (Volume: 2.00 Units)
Under 216.5 Phoenix / LA Lakers 9:00 ET 2.00 Units
Phoenix 112 LA Lakers 124 Lose
Wednesday, 05/19 MLB: +1.55 Units (Volume: 4.75 Units)
Over 9.5 Runs (Even) Chicago Cubs (Gorzellany) / Philadelphia (Moyer) 7:05 ET 1.25 Units
Chicago Cubs 4 Philadelphia 1 Lose
Texas (Harden) -164 / Baltimore (Guthrie) 8:05 ET 2.00 Units
Texas 4 Baltimore 3 Winner
Under 8.5 Runs (+105) LA Angels (Saunders) / Chicago WS (Danks) 8:10 ET 1.50 Units
LA Angels 4 Chicago WS 3 Winner
Tuesday, 05/18 MLB: +1.06 Units (Volume: 4.25 Units)
Milwaukee (Parra) +130 / Cincinnati (Baily) 12:35 ET 1.50 Units
Milwaukee 4 Cincinnati 5 Lose
Over 6 Runs (-110) San Francisco (Sanchez) / San Diego (Latos) 10:05 ET 1.25 Units
San Francisco 7 San Diego 6 Winner
Over 8 Runs (-105) Minnesota (Pavano) / Toronto (Marcum) 12:37 ET 1.50 Units
Minnesota 2 Toronto 11 Winner
Monday, 05/17 NBA: +0.82 Units (Volume: 3.00 Units)
LA Lakers -6 / Phoenix 9:00 ET 2.00 Units
LA Lakers 128 Phoenix 107 Winner
Parlay: LA Lakers (ML) -320 & Under 210.5 Risk 1 Unit to win 1.50 Units
LA Lakers 128 Phoenix 107 Lose
These teams have had a near identical post season run. Both went 6 games in their opening round series... LA with the Thunder and Phoenix with the Blazers. Both then went on to sweep in round 2... LA swept the Jazz while Phoenix made quick work of the Spurs. So both teams are well rested having had an entire week off. Only real difference on paper with these two teams in the playoffs is ATS... 8-2 ATS for the Suns and 6-4 ATS for the Lakers.
So what does it all mean? It means the average bettor trying to figure things out is left scratching his head, so the only "logical" thing to do is to take the points with the better ATS playoff team.... right? Wrong! One thing easily overlooked, or perhaps not understood, is the fact that the week off will prove to be the downfall for Phoenix while LA will look back, if they do go on to win the Championship, and attribute this rest to the reason why. You see, the Lakers needed the rest to heal, especially Kobe. The rest has only helped the Lakers. Meanwhile, the Suns also were able to get healthy during the break as Robin Lopez is expected to return to action tonight after missing nearly 2 months with a bulging disk in his back. Problem with this is that it usually takes time to work a key player back into the line up after an extensive absence, especially with a team as offensively dependent as the Suns. There are too many moving parts in Phoenix' offensive machine, so there lies a good chance that things won't run as smooth tonight for the Suns in LA as they have in the past month since the playoffs began.
Sure, Vujacic also should return for the Lakers also off an extended absence, but given the fact that LA is a much more defensive minded team, there are less moving parts hence less chance of LA's rhythm being compromised. But there still should be expected a certain degree of rustiness from both teams tonight because of the layoff, and also the fact that Bryant, Gasol & Bynum have had little if any practice this past week while nursing their injuries which is why we're also on the Under.
Monday, 05/17 MLB: -1.35 Units (Volume: 4.25 Units)
Arizona (Jackson) +132 / Florida (Volstad) 7:10 ET 1.25 Units
Arizona 5 Florida 1 Winner
Cleveland (Carmona) +170 / Tampa Bay (Niemann) 7:10 ET 1.50 Units
Cleveland 3 Tampa Bay 4 Lose
Under 7.5 Runs (Even) Seattle (Rowland-Smith) / Oakland (Gonzalez) 10:05 ET 1.50 Units
Seattle 4 Oakland 8 Lose
Sunday, 05/16 NBA: -2.00 Units (Volume: 2.00 Units)
Over 189 Boston / Orlando 3:30 ET 2.00 Units
Boston 92 Orlando 88 Lose
Thursday, 05/13 MLB: -2.05 Units (Volume: 4.75 Units)
San Francisco (Sanchez) -1.5 Runs (+135) / San Diego (Latos) 3:45 ET 1.25 Units
San Francisco 0 San Diego 1 Lose
Washington (Lannan) +170 / Colorado (Chacin) 8:40 ET 1.00 Unit
Washington 14 Colorado 6 Winner
Seattle (Hernandez) -133 / Baltimore (Millwood) 12:35 ET 1.50 Units
Seattle 5 Baltimore 6 Lose
Oakland (Sheets) +170 / Texas (Wilsn) 2:05 ET 1.00 Unit
Oakland 1 Texas 2 Lose
Monday, 05/10 NBA: -2.00 Units (Volume: 2.00 Units)
Over 191.5 Orlando / Atlanta 8:00 ET 2.00 Units
Orlando 98 Atlanta 84 Lose
It's obvious the Hawks have packed it in, and they're making a very ugly exit. Not only did they run into an Orlando team on a mission, playing their best ball in years, but Atlanta has managed to alienate their fans in the process. Very sad set of circumstances after rebuilding these past 3 seasons and really making some big progress. You'll remember we were on Milwaukee over Atlanta in game 6 after the Bucks took a 3-2 series lead thanks to the Hawks blowing a huge game 5 lead. Atlanta did wind up winning game 6 (a loss for us), but here's what we had to say about that game and the sad state of affairs we thought Atlanta was in during that first round series:
Here's our write up from that game:
"...We're backing the Bucks again tonight for many of the same reasons we were on them in game 5. Atlanta has collapsed mentally and has given the little dog hope, (or in this case the little "deer"), so now fittingly it will be Atlanta with the deer in the headlights look upon their faces come the final minutes tonight in Milwaukee, as the Bucks know this is their game seven... lose tonight and the series will be all but over as the momentum will totally shift back to Atlanta as they breathe a huge sigh of relief...
We'll say it again tonight. Things aren't always as they seem in the NBA, especially in the playoffs. There's plenty of talk to the effect of the future of Joe Johnson, as well as Coach Woodson is riding on this game and advancing to the second round. This is certainly the year Atlanta is supposed to make it out of the first round, considering the dues they've paid these past 3 seasons. Remember, in Joe Johnson's second year with Atlanta the Hawks won just 30 games (2006-07). Then the following year, as heavy dogs, Atlanta took the Celtics to 7 games before finally succumbing in one of the most exciting first rounds ever. Then last season Atlanta broke through and won in 7 games over the Heat to advance, but ran into Cleveland and got swept. So here they are again, their 3rd straight year in the post season and off of a 52 win regular season, Atlanta is expected to get past Milwaukee, especially given the Buck's current status (without their big man). What happened? Who knows exactly, but it's clear that Atlanta is running on fumes emotionally and all the momentum is with the under manned Bucks playing on their home court. This very well may be the last game you'll see Joe Johnson play in a Hawks uniform as they'll have the entire summer to wonder what could have been had only they been able to close out game 5 at home...."
The line maker is no fool and has adjusted tonight's line big time as per the current circumstances. Laying -6.5 is a real tough number, something we're not interested in doing, but we feel there's great value in the over tonight. Both teams will hit the floor extremely loose, but for different reasons. Orlando knows they're advancing, and the Hawks know they'll be on vacation most likely after tonight. There's no place for defense here. You're going to see a lot of school yard ball tonight, about the only way for this depleted Hawks team to take out their frustration. And you can be sure the Magic aren't going to be too interested in wasting valuable energy with defense on these hapless Hawks. Even if Atlanta does slip up and win tonight, what's the worst thing that will happen? Orlando goes home and mops up the mess on their home court Wednesday night... giving them a little scrimmage before advancing. Look for a wide open game as this one flies over... -END
Monday, 05/10 MLB: -2.31 Units (Volume: 6.50 Units)
Under 9 Runs (-125) Florida (Robertson) / Chicago Cubs (Lilly) 8:05 ET 1.00 Unit
Florida 4 Chicago 2 Winner
Milwaukee (Davis) +110 / Atlanta (Hanson) 8:10 ET 1.25 Units
Milwaukee 2 Atlanta 8 Lose
Parlay: Milwaukee +110 & Under 8.5 Runs (-115) Risk 0.5/Unit to win 1.46 Units
Milwaukee 2 Atlanta 8 Lose
LA Dodgers (Billingsly) -110 / Arizona (Lopez) 9:40 ET 1.25 Units
LA Dodgers 7 Arizona 3 Winner
Toronto (Morrow) +165 / Boston (Lackey) 7:10 ET 1.00 Unit
Toronto 6 Boston 7 Lose
Over 9.5 Runs (Even) Toronto (Morrow) / Boston (Lackey) 1.00 Unit
Toronto 6 Boston 7 Lose
Parlay: Toronto +165 & Over 9.5 Runs (Even) Risk 0.5/Unit to win 2.15 Units
Toronto 6 Boston 7 Lose
Sunday, 05/09 NBA: -2.86 Units (Volume: 5.25 Units)
Under 195 Cleveland / Boston 3:30 ET 1.25 Units
Cleveland 87 Boston 97 Winner
Under 207 Phoenix / San Antonio 8:00 ET 1.50 Units
Phoenix 107 San Antonio 101 Lose
Parlay: San Antonio (ML) -180 & Under 207 Risk 0.5/Unit to win 0.98/Unit
San Antonio 101 Phoenix 107 Lose
We're splitting our 2-Unit risk on the Under over 2 plays and stand to make +2.35 Units for our 2 Unit risk (30% more than a single 2 Unit risk on the Under would yield). We feel the Spurs aren't going to just lay down here, but laying -4 here could be risky business. San Antonio knows the only way they're going to beat the Suns is to get to crank things up on defense, so look for the Spurs to try and take Phoenix out of their run and gun game and control the tempo with longer possessions in hopes of extending this series. This is the one team down 0-3 in a best of seven series we wouldn't count out just yet...
Series Play: San Antonio - Phoenix (Released 5/03)
San Antonio (Even) / Phoenix 2 Units (game 1 starts 10:30 ET)
San Antonio 0 Games Phoenix 4 Games Lose
We're back on the Spurs to continue their playoff run. This is a veteran team whose won it all several times with this same team. Sure they're getting on in years and many question their endurance, but we feel they still have what it takes to win it all, and this may very well be their last chance.
Sunday, 05/09 MLB: -0.25 Units (Volume: 5.75 Units)
Florida (Sanchez) -105 / Washington (Hernandez) 1:35 ET 1.75 Units
Florida 2 Washington 3 Lose
Under 7 Runs (+105) San Diego (Stauffer) / Houston (Oswalt) 2:05 ET 1.25 Units
San Diego 3 Houston 4 PUSH
LA Dodgers (Kershaw) +120 / Colorado (Jimenez) 4:10 ET 1.25 Units
LA Dodgers 2 Colorado 0 Winner
Saturday, 05/07 NBA: +2.91 Units (Volume: 4.25 Units)
Under 194.5 Orlando / Atlanta 5:00 ET 1.75 Units
Orlando 105 Atlanta 75 Winner
LA Lakers +4.5 / Utah 8:00 ET 2.00 Units
LA Lakers 111 Utah 110 Winner
Parlay: LA Lakers (ML) +165 & Under 202.5 Risk 0.5/Unit to win 2.03 Units
LA Lakers 111 Utah 110 Lose
Unfortunately for Utah, their season is just about over. The Jazz put up a valiant effort this post season beating Denver in 6 games, but playing without Kirilenko since mid March and then losing Okur on 4/21 is proving too much to overcome. Yes, Kirilenko will return tonight, but as is usually the case when a key player makes his return to the line-up after a prolonged absence, it'll take time to get him worked back into the rotation and used to playing again, time that the Jazz simply do not have as the Lakers are finally getting it all together.
Saturday, 05/07 MLB: -3.20 Units (Volume: 5.75 Units)
Over 8 Runs (-115) St. Louis (Garcia) / Pittsburgh (Karstens) 7:05 ET 1.25 Units
St. Louis 0 Pittsburgh 2 Lose
Over 8.5 Runs(-125) LA Dodgers (Haegen) / Colorado (Chacin) 10:10 ET 1.50 Units
LA Dodgers 0 Colorado 8 Lose
Chicago WS (Peavy) -1.5 Runs (+155) / Toronto (Cecil) 7:05 ET 1.00 Unit
Chicago WS 7 Toronto 3 Winner
Parlay: Chicago WS (ML) -132 & Under 8 Runs Risk 1 Unit to win 2.22 Units
Chicago WS 7 Toronto 3 Lose
Usually not a good proposition asking to cover -1.5 runs and for the game to stay under as there are just a limited number of possible final scores which will give you both wins, but in this case we see a specific outcome: Jake Peavy feeding off his previous start on 5/03 vs KC going 7 innings allowing just 4 hits, 1 walk & 0 runs while striking out 9. We're banking on Peavy hitting stride from here on out. As we've said earlier this season, when Jake Peavy is on, he's virtually un-hittable. He has a nasty assortment of pitches, but thus far this season he's been completely ineffective, but great pitchers don't just lose their stuff. Now that he's finally broken through this season, we're expecting another brilliant performance and a final right where we need... in the 3-0 to 4-1 range. And also realize that a split here makes us a nice profit, so we don't have to win both the run line & total plays to make money. We stand to make +3.77 Units for our 2 Units of risk... not a bad price for an outcome that is quite possible, and a split will make us either +1.22 Units or +0.55 Units.
Kansas City (Meche) +175 / Texas (Harden) 8:05 ET 1.00 Unit
Kansas City 2 Texas 3 Lose
Friday, 05/07 NBA: +0.57 Units (Volume: 3.25 Units)
Under 193.5 Cleveland / Boston 7:00 ET 1.25 Units
Cleveland 124 Boston 95 Lose
Under 207 Phoenix / San Antonio 9:30 ET 2.00 Units
Phoenix 110 San Antonio 96 Winner
Thursday, 05/06 MLB: -2.75 Units (Volume: 4.75 Units)
Chicago Cubs (Wells) -1.5 Runs (-120) / Pittsburgh (Burres) 7:05 ET 1.25 Units
Chicago Cubs 1 Pittsburgh 11 Lose
Florida (Nolasco) -125 / San Francisco (Cain) 7:10 ET 1.25 Units
Florida 3 San Francisco 6 Lose
Under 7.5 Runs (-120) Arizona (Haren) / Houston (Rodriguez) 8:05 ET 1.25 Units
Arizona 6 Houston 3 Lose
Under 8.5 Runs (Even) Toronto (Eveland) / Chicago (Danks) 8:10 ET 1.00 Unit
Toronto 2 Chicago WS 0 Winner
Wednesday, 05/05 MLB: +2.56 Units (Volume: 2.50 Units)
(2 Plays Total Risk 2.50 Units)
Under 8.5 Runs (+105) San Francisco (Zito) / Florida (Robertson) 7:10 ET 1.25 Units
San Francisco 3 Florida 2 Winner
Over 9 Runs (Even) Kansas City (Bannister) / Chicago WS (Garcia) 8:10 ET 1.25 Units
kansas City 2 CWS 7 Winner
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-31.93 Units (Volume: 176.00 Units)
Monday, 05/31 MLB: -1.76 Units (Volume: 5.50 Units)
San Francisco (Lincecum) -105 / Colorado (Jimenez) 4:05 ET 2.00 Units
San Francisco 0 Colorado 4 Lose
Arizona (Lopez) +167 / LA Dodgers (Billingsley) 9:10 ET 1.00 Unit
Arizona 4 LA Dodgers 5 Lose
Parlay: Cleveland (Talbot) +230 / NYY (Pettitte) & Under 10 Runs (-115) 1:05 ET Risk 0.5/Unit to win 2.52 Units
Cleveland 2 NY Yankees 11 Lose
Minnesota (Liriano) -115 / Seattle (Fister) 10:10 ET 2.00 Units
Minnesota 5 Seattle 4 Winner
Sunday, 05/30 MLB: -0.25 Units (Volume: 2.50 Units)
Over 9 Runs (+105) Philadelphia (Moyer) / Florida (Sanchez) 1:10 ET 1.25 Units
Philadelphia 0 Florida 1 Lose
Over 7 Runs (-125) St. Louis (Wainwright) / Chicago Cubs (Dempster) 2:20 ET 1.25 Units
St. Louis 9 Chicago Cubs 1 Winner
Saturday, 05/29 NBA: +1.82 Units (Volume: 2.00 Units)
Under 216 LA Lakers / Phoenix 8:30 ET 2.00 Units
LA Lakers 111 Phoenix 103 Winner
Under 216 LA Lakers / Phoenix 8:30 ET 2.00 Units
LA Lakers 111 Phoenix 103 Winner
Saturday, 05/29 MLB: -2.01 Units (Volume: 4.75 Units)
Philadelphia (Halladay) -121 / Florida (Johnson) 7:10 ET 1.50 Units
Philadelphia 1 Florida 0 Winner
Baltimore (Tillman) +170 / Toronto (Cecil) 1:07 ET 1.00 Unit
Baltimore 2 Toronto 5 Lose
Texas (Wilson) +118 / Minnesota (Pavano) 4:10 ET 1.00 Unit
Texas 3 Minnesota 8 Lose
Chicago WS (Danks) +130 / Tampa Bay (Davis) 7:10 ET 1.25 Units
Chicago WS 5 Tampa Bay 8 Lose
Friday, 05/28 MLB: +0.86 Units (Volume: 5.00 Units)
Milwaukee (Gallardo) -110 / NY Mets (Santana) 8:10 ET 1.00 Units
Milwaukee 2 NY Mets 0 Winner
Baltimore (Millwood) +170 / Toronto (Marcum) 7:07 ET 1.00 Unit
Baltimore 0 Toronto 5 Lose
Over 9 Runs (-125) Oakland (Sheets) / Detroit (Willis) 7:05 ET 1.00 Unit
Oakland 5 Detroit 4 PUSH
Chicago WS (Garcia) +195 / Tampa Bay (Price) 7:10 ET 1.00 Unit
Chicago WS 4 Tampa Bay 2 Winner
Under 7.5 Runs (-110) Seattle (Lee) / LA Angels (Kazmir) 10:05 ET 1.00 Unit
Seattle 8 LA Angels 3 Lose
Thursday, 05/27 NBA: +1.37 Units (Volume: 1.50 Units)
Under 217.5 Phoenix / LA Lakers 9:00 ET 1.50 Units
Phoenix 101 LA Lakers 103 Winner
Thursday, 05/27 MLB: -1.01 Units (Volume: 6.25 Units)
Chicago Cubs (Lilly) -1.5 Runs (+180) / LA Dodgers (Ely) 2:20 ET 1.25 Units
Chicago Cubs 1 LA Dodgers Lose
Parlay: Chicago Cubs (ML) -117 & Over 7 Runs (-105) Risk 0.5/Unit to win 1.28 Units
Chicago Cubs 1 LA Dodgers Lose
Over 8.5 Runs (-105) Pittsburgh (Morton) / Cincinnati (Cueto) 7:10 ET 1.25 Units
Pittsburgh 2 Cincinnati 8 Winner
Florida (Nolasco) -1.5 Runs (+185) / Atlanta (Hudson) 7:10 ET 1.25 Units
Florida 3 Atlanta 8 Lose
Parlay: Florida (ML) -106 & Over 8 Runs (-120) Risk 0.5/Unit to win 1.28 Units
Florida 3 Atlanta 8 Lose
Over 9 Runs (-115) Oakland (Gonzalez) / Baltimore (Bergesen) 7:05 ET 1.50 Units
Oakland 7 Baltimore 5 Winner
Philadelphia (Halladay) -121 / Florida (Johnson) 7:10 ET 1.50 Units
Philadelphia 1 Florida 0 Winner
Baltimore (Tillman) +170 / Toronto (Cecil) 1:07 ET 1.00 Unit
Baltimore 2 Toronto 5 Lose
Texas (Wilson) +118 / Minnesota (Pavano) 4:10 ET 1.00 Unit
Texas 3 Minnesota 8 Lose
Chicago WS (Danks) +130 / Tampa Bay (Davis) 7:10 ET 1.25 Units
Chicago WS 5 Tampa Bay 8 Lose
Friday, 05/28 MLB: +0.86 Units (Volume: 5.00 Units)
Milwaukee (Gallardo) -110 / NY Mets (Santana) 8:10 ET 1.00 Units
Milwaukee 2 NY Mets 0 Winner
Baltimore (Millwood) +170 / Toronto (Marcum) 7:07 ET 1.00 Unit
Baltimore 0 Toronto 5 Lose
Over 9 Runs (-125) Oakland (Sheets) / Detroit (Willis) 7:05 ET 1.00 Unit
Oakland 5 Detroit 4 PUSH
Chicago WS (Garcia) +195 / Tampa Bay (Price) 7:10 ET 1.00 Unit
Chicago WS 4 Tampa Bay 2 Winner
Under 7.5 Runs (-110) Seattle (Lee) / LA Angels (Kazmir) 10:05 ET 1.00 Unit
Seattle 8 LA Angels 3 Lose
Thursday, 05/27 NBA: +1.37 Units (Volume: 1.50 Units)
Under 217.5 Phoenix / LA Lakers 9:00 ET 1.50 Units
Phoenix 101 LA Lakers 103 Winner
Thursday, 05/27 MLB: -1.01 Units (Volume: 6.25 Units)
Chicago Cubs (Lilly) -1.5 Runs (+180) / LA Dodgers (Ely) 2:20 ET 1.25 Units
Chicago Cubs 1 LA Dodgers Lose
Parlay: Chicago Cubs (ML) -117 & Over 7 Runs (-105) Risk 0.5/Unit to win 1.28 Units
Chicago Cubs 1 LA Dodgers Lose
Over 8.5 Runs (-105) Pittsburgh (Morton) / Cincinnati (Cueto) 7:10 ET 1.25 Units
Pittsburgh 2 Cincinnati 8 Winner
Florida (Nolasco) -1.5 Runs (+185) / Atlanta (Hudson) 7:10 ET 1.25 Units
Florida 3 Atlanta 8 Lose
Parlay: Florida (ML) -106 & Over 8 Runs (-120) Risk 0.5/Unit to win 1.28 Units
Florida 3 Atlanta 8 Lose
Over 9 Runs (-115) Oakland (Gonzalez) / Baltimore (Bergesen) 7:05 ET 1.50 Units
Oakland 7 Baltimore 5 Winner
Wednesday, 05/26 MLB: +0.16 Units (Volume: 4.75 Units)
Texas (Feldman) -116 / Kansas City (Hochevar) 2:10 ET 1.75 Units
Texas 2 Kansas City 5 Lose
Seattle (Vargas) -1.5 Runs (+185) / Detroit (Bonderman) 3:40 ET 1.00 Unit
Seattle 5 Detroit 4 Lose
Over 7.5 Runs (Even) Seattle (Vargas) / Detroit (Bonderman) 1.50 Units
Seattle 5 Detroit 4 Winner
Parlay: Seattle (ML) -110 & Over 7.5 Runs (Even) Risk 0.5/Unit to win 1.41 Units
Seattle 5 Detroit 4 Winner
Tuesday, 05/25 NBA: +1.82 Units (Volume: 2.00 Units)
Phoenix +1.5 / LA Lakers 9:00 ET 2.00 Units
Phoenix 115 LA Lakers 106 Winner
Tuesday, 05/25 MLB: +1.03 Units (Volume: 3.75 Units)
Over 9 Runs (-110) Atlanta (Kawakami) / Florida (Sanchez) 7:10 ET 1.25 Units
Atlanta 4 Florida 6 Winner
Under 9 Runs (-115) Chicago WS (Peavy) / Cleveland (Talbot) 7:05 ET 1.25 Units
Chicago WS 3 Cleveland 7 Lose
Over 6.5 Runs (-110) Detroit (Verlander) / Seattle (Fister) 10:10 ET 1.25 Units
Detroit 3 Seattle 5 Winner
Monday, 05/24 NBA: +1.82 Units (Volume: 2.00 Units)
Over 186.5 Orlando / Boston 8:30 ET 2.00 Units
Orlando 96 Boston 92 (OT) Winner
Can't see either team playing with much defensive intensity tonight. It's a done deal that Boston is advancing to the NBA Finals for the second time in three seasons, and the Magic... well they're ashamed of themselves and it will show tonight. Look for a complete 180 in style of play here as compared to games one through three of this series which saw all 3 games stay well under the number. We're also getting a "free" extra couple of points as the linemaker has adjusted tonight's total as expected due to the series pace thus far.
Monday, 05/24 MLB: +1.45 Units (Volume: 1.25 Units)
Toronto (Cecil) +116 / LA Angels (Saunders) 10:05 ET 1.25 Units
Toronto 6 LA Angels 0 Winner
Sunday, 05/23 NBA: +4.55 Units (Volume: 2.00 Units)
Phoenix -1 / LA Lakers 8:30 ET 5.00 Units
Phoenix 118 LA Lakers 109 Winner
You can put the brooms away... in the west at least. Unlike the fiasco unfolding in the Eastern Conference Finals, nothing really unexpected has happened in this series. LA is up 2-0 on the Suns with two home wins, so now it's Phoenix' turn to win in their building. The Suns will still have three shots to win in the Staples Center to move on the the Finals, but of course they must win at home for that opportunity to exist. Although Phoenix seems to be outmatched by this much bigger Laker team, the Suns certainly have what it takes to make this a series. And don't forget, LA has been known to fall asleep at the wheel when you least expect it, and we feel this is one of those times. Despite being down 0-2 in the series losing by 12 & 21, Phoenix hung around in both of those games. Realize that it took 58% shooting by LA in both games 1 & 2 to put the Suns away, a stat that will surely come back down to earth on the road..
Sunday, 05/23 MLB: -1.44 Units (Volume: 4.25 Units)
Cleveland (Huff) +125 / Cincinnati (Baily) 1:05 ET 1.25 Units
Cleveland 4 Cincinnati 3 Winner
Chicago WS (Garcia) +124 / Florida (Johnson) 2:05 ET 1.25 Units
Chicago WS 0 Florida 13 Lose
Seattle (Hernandez) -1.5 Runs (+145) / San Diego (Latos) 4:10 ET 1.25 Units
Seattle 1 San Diego 8 Lose
Parlay: Seattle (ML) -145 & Over 7 Runs Risk 0.5/Unit to win 1.11 Units
Seattle 1 San Diego 8 Lose
Saturday, 05/22 MLB: -3.75 Units (Volume: 3.75 Units)
Cleveland (Carmona) -110 / Cincinnati (Cueto) 7:05 ET 1.25 Units
Cleveland 4 Cincinnati 6 Lose
Detroit (Galarrga) +135 / LA Dodgers (Ely) 7:10 ET 1.25 Units
Detroit 4 LA Dodgers 6 Lose
Seattle (Snell) +113 / San Diego (Richard) 10:10 ET 1.25 Units
Seattle 1 San Diego 2 Lose
Texas (Feldman) -116 / Kansas City (Hochevar) 2:10 ET 1.75 Units
Texas 2 Kansas City 5 Lose
Seattle (Vargas) -1.5 Runs (+185) / Detroit (Bonderman) 3:40 ET 1.00 Unit
Seattle 5 Detroit 4 Lose
Over 7.5 Runs (Even) Seattle (Vargas) / Detroit (Bonderman) 1.50 Units
Seattle 5 Detroit 4 Winner
Parlay: Seattle (ML) -110 & Over 7.5 Runs (Even) Risk 0.5/Unit to win 1.41 Units
Seattle 5 Detroit 4 Winner
Tuesday, 05/25 NBA: +1.82 Units (Volume: 2.00 Units)
Phoenix +1.5 / LA Lakers 9:00 ET 2.00 Units
Phoenix 115 LA Lakers 106 Winner
Tuesday, 05/25 MLB: +1.03 Units (Volume: 3.75 Units)
Over 9 Runs (-110) Atlanta (Kawakami) / Florida (Sanchez) 7:10 ET 1.25 Units
Atlanta 4 Florida 6 Winner
Under 9 Runs (-115) Chicago WS (Peavy) / Cleveland (Talbot) 7:05 ET 1.25 Units
Chicago WS 3 Cleveland 7 Lose
Over 6.5 Runs (-110) Detroit (Verlander) / Seattle (Fister) 10:10 ET 1.25 Units
Detroit 3 Seattle 5 Winner
Monday, 05/24 NBA: +1.82 Units (Volume: 2.00 Units)
Over 186.5 Orlando / Boston 8:30 ET 2.00 Units
Orlando 96 Boston 92 (OT) Winner
Can't see either team playing with much defensive intensity tonight. It's a done deal that Boston is advancing to the NBA Finals for the second time in three seasons, and the Magic... well they're ashamed of themselves and it will show tonight. Look for a complete 180 in style of play here as compared to games one through three of this series which saw all 3 games stay well under the number. We're also getting a "free" extra couple of points as the linemaker has adjusted tonight's total as expected due to the series pace thus far.
Monday, 05/24 MLB: +1.45 Units (Volume: 1.25 Units)
Toronto (Cecil) +116 / LA Angels (Saunders) 10:05 ET 1.25 Units
Toronto 6 LA Angels 0 Winner
Sunday, 05/23 NBA: +4.55 Units (Volume: 2.00 Units)
Phoenix -1 / LA Lakers 8:30 ET 5.00 Units
Phoenix 118 LA Lakers 109 Winner
You can put the brooms away... in the west at least. Unlike the fiasco unfolding in the Eastern Conference Finals, nothing really unexpected has happened in this series. LA is up 2-0 on the Suns with two home wins, so now it's Phoenix' turn to win in their building. The Suns will still have three shots to win in the Staples Center to move on the the Finals, but of course they must win at home for that opportunity to exist. Although Phoenix seems to be outmatched by this much bigger Laker team, the Suns certainly have what it takes to make this a series. And don't forget, LA has been known to fall asleep at the wheel when you least expect it, and we feel this is one of those times. Despite being down 0-2 in the series losing by 12 & 21, Phoenix hung around in both of those games. Realize that it took 58% shooting by LA in both games 1 & 2 to put the Suns away, a stat that will surely come back down to earth on the road..
Sunday, 05/23 MLB: -1.44 Units (Volume: 4.25 Units)
Cleveland (Huff) +125 / Cincinnati (Baily) 1:05 ET 1.25 Units
Cleveland 4 Cincinnati 3 Winner
Chicago WS (Garcia) +124 / Florida (Johnson) 2:05 ET 1.25 Units
Chicago WS 0 Florida 13 Lose
Seattle (Hernandez) -1.5 Runs (+145) / San Diego (Latos) 4:10 ET 1.25 Units
Seattle 1 San Diego 8 Lose
Parlay: Seattle (ML) -145 & Over 7 Runs Risk 0.5/Unit to win 1.11 Units
Seattle 1 San Diego 8 Lose
Saturday, 05/22 MLB: -3.75 Units (Volume: 3.75 Units)
Cleveland (Carmona) -110 / Cincinnati (Cueto) 7:05 ET 1.25 Units
Cleveland 4 Cincinnati 6 Lose
Detroit (Galarrga) +135 / LA Dodgers (Ely) 7:10 ET 1.25 Units
Detroit 4 LA Dodgers 6 Lose
Seattle (Snell) +113 / San Diego (Richard) 10:10 ET 1.25 Units
Seattle 1 San Diego 2 Lose
Friday, 05/21 MLB: +0.78 Units (Volume: 4.25 Units)
St. Louis (Penny) -137 / LA Angels (Piniero) 8:15 ET 1.50 Units
St. Louis 9 LA Angels 5 Winner
Over 8 Runs (-105) LA Angels / St. Louis 1.25 Units
LA Angels 5 St. Louis 9 Winner
Over 8.5 Runs (-110) Detroit (Willis) / LA Dodgers (Billingsly) 10:10 ET 1.50 Units
Detroit 1 LA Dodgers 4 Lose
Thursday, 05/20 MLB: -0.91 Units (Volume: 3.75 Units)
San Diego (Correia) +145 / LA Dodgers (Kershaw) 10:10 ET 1.00 Unit
San Diego 1 LA Dodgers 4 Lose
Tampa Bay (Shields) +127 / NY Yankees (Pettitte) 7:05 ET 1.25 Units
Tampa Bay 8 NY Yankees 6 Winner
Chicago WS (Peavy) -137 / LA Angels (Santana) 8:10 ET 1.50 Units
Chicago WS 5 LA Angels 6 Lose
Wednesday, 05/19 NBA: -2.00 Units (Volume: 2.00 Units)
Under 216.5 Phoenix / LA Lakers 9:00 ET 2.00 Units
Phoenix 112 LA Lakers 124 Lose
Wednesday, 05/19 MLB: +1.55 Units (Volume: 4.75 Units)
Over 9.5 Runs (Even) Chicago Cubs (Gorzellany) / Philadelphia (Moyer) 7:05 ET 1.25 Units
Chicago Cubs 4 Philadelphia 1 Lose
Texas (Harden) -164 / Baltimore (Guthrie) 8:05 ET 2.00 Units
Texas 4 Baltimore 3 Winner
Under 8.5 Runs (+105) LA Angels (Saunders) / Chicago WS (Danks) 8:10 ET 1.50 Units
LA Angels 4 Chicago WS 3 Winner
Tuesday, 05/18 MLB: +1.06 Units (Volume: 4.25 Units)
Milwaukee (Parra) +130 / Cincinnati (Baily) 12:35 ET 1.50 Units
Milwaukee 4 Cincinnati 5 Lose
Over 6 Runs (-110) San Francisco (Sanchez) / San Diego (Latos) 10:05 ET 1.25 Units
San Francisco 7 San Diego 6 Winner
Over 8 Runs (-105) Minnesota (Pavano) / Toronto (Marcum) 12:37 ET 1.50 Units
Minnesota 2 Toronto 11 Winner
Monday, 05/17 NBA: +0.82 Units (Volume: 3.00 Units)
LA Lakers -6 / Phoenix 9:00 ET 2.00 Units
LA Lakers 128 Phoenix 107 Winner
Parlay: LA Lakers (ML) -320 & Under 210.5 Risk 1 Unit to win 1.50 Units
LA Lakers 128 Phoenix 107 Lose
These teams have had a near identical post season run. Both went 6 games in their opening round series... LA with the Thunder and Phoenix with the Blazers. Both then went on to sweep in round 2... LA swept the Jazz while Phoenix made quick work of the Spurs. So both teams are well rested having had an entire week off. Only real difference on paper with these two teams in the playoffs is ATS... 8-2 ATS for the Suns and 6-4 ATS for the Lakers.
So what does it all mean? It means the average bettor trying to figure things out is left scratching his head, so the only "logical" thing to do is to take the points with the better ATS playoff team.... right? Wrong! One thing easily overlooked, or perhaps not understood, is the fact that the week off will prove to be the downfall for Phoenix while LA will look back, if they do go on to win the Championship, and attribute this rest to the reason why. You see, the Lakers needed the rest to heal, especially Kobe. The rest has only helped the Lakers. Meanwhile, the Suns also were able to get healthy during the break as Robin Lopez is expected to return to action tonight after missing nearly 2 months with a bulging disk in his back. Problem with this is that it usually takes time to work a key player back into the line up after an extensive absence, especially with a team as offensively dependent as the Suns. There are too many moving parts in Phoenix' offensive machine, so there lies a good chance that things won't run as smooth tonight for the Suns in LA as they have in the past month since the playoffs began.
Sure, Vujacic also should return for the Lakers also off an extended absence, but given the fact that LA is a much more defensive minded team, there are less moving parts hence less chance of LA's rhythm being compromised. But there still should be expected a certain degree of rustiness from both teams tonight because of the layoff, and also the fact that Bryant, Gasol & Bynum have had little if any practice this past week while nursing their injuries which is why we're also on the Under.
Monday, 05/17 MLB: -1.35 Units (Volume: 4.25 Units)
Arizona (Jackson) +132 / Florida (Volstad) 7:10 ET 1.25 Units
Arizona 5 Florida 1 Winner
Cleveland (Carmona) +170 / Tampa Bay (Niemann) 7:10 ET 1.50 Units
Cleveland 3 Tampa Bay 4 Lose
Under 7.5 Runs (Even) Seattle (Rowland-Smith) / Oakland (Gonzalez) 10:05 ET 1.50 Units
Seattle 4 Oakland 8 Lose
Sunday, 05/16 NBA: -2.00 Units (Volume: 2.00 Units)
Over 189 Boston / Orlando 3:30 ET 2.00 Units
Boston 92 Orlando 88 Lose
Sunday, 05/16 MLB: -0.85 Units (Volume: 6.00 Units)
Florida (Nolasco) -1.5 Runs (+125) / NY Mets (Niese) 1:10 ET 1.25 Units
Florida 10 NY Mets 8 Winner
St. Louis (Penny) -118 / Cincinnati (Arroyo) 1:10 ET 2.00 Units
St. Louis 2 Cincinnati 7 Lose
Under 9.5 Runs (-115) Washington (Olsen) / Colorado (Francis) 3:10 ET 1.25 Unis
Washington 1 Colorado 2 Winner
NY Yankees (Mitre) -130 / Minnesota (Blackburn) 1:05 ET 1.50 Units
NY Yankees 3 Minnesota 6 Lose
Saturday, 05/15 MLB: +0.53 Units (Volume: 2.00 Units)
Chicago WS (Peavy) -145 / Kansas City (Hochevar) 7:10 ET 1.50 Units
Chicago WS 5 Kansas City 4 Winner
Parlay: Chicago WS -145 & Under 8.5 Runs (-120) Risk 0.5/Unit to win 1.03 Units
Chicago WS 5 Kansas City 4 Lose
Florida (Nolasco) -1.5 Runs (+125) / NY Mets (Niese) 1:10 ET 1.25 Units
Florida 10 NY Mets 8 Winner
St. Louis (Penny) -118 / Cincinnati (Arroyo) 1:10 ET 2.00 Units
St. Louis 2 Cincinnati 7 Lose
Under 9.5 Runs (-115) Washington (Olsen) / Colorado (Francis) 3:10 ET 1.25 Unis
Washington 1 Colorado 2 Winner
NY Yankees (Mitre) -130 / Minnesota (Blackburn) 1:05 ET 1.50 Units
NY Yankees 3 Minnesota 6 Lose
Saturday, 05/15 MLB: +0.53 Units (Volume: 2.00 Units)
Chicago WS (Peavy) -145 / Kansas City (Hochevar) 7:10 ET 1.50 Units
Chicago WS 5 Kansas City 4 Winner
Parlay: Chicago WS -145 & Under 8.5 Runs (-120) Risk 0.5/Unit to win 1.03 Units
Chicago WS 5 Kansas City 4 Lose
Friday, 05/14 MLB: -2.75 Units (Volume: 2.75 Units)
Cincinnati (Harang) +112 / St. Louis (Garcia) 7:10 ET 1.50 Units
Cincinnati 3 St. Louis 4 Lose
Under 9.5 Runs (Even) Philadelphia (Moyer) / Milwaukee ((Wolf) 8:10 ET 1.25 Units
Philadelphia 9 Milwaukee 5 Lose
Cincinnati (Harang) +112 / St. Louis (Garcia) 7:10 ET 1.50 Units
Cincinnati 3 St. Louis 4 Lose
Under 9.5 Runs (Even) Philadelphia (Moyer) / Milwaukee ((Wolf) 8:10 ET 1.25 Units
Philadelphia 9 Milwaukee 5 Lose
Thursday, 05/13 MLB: -2.05 Units (Volume: 4.75 Units)
San Francisco (Sanchez) -1.5 Runs (+135) / San Diego (Latos) 3:45 ET 1.25 Units
San Francisco 0 San Diego 1 Lose
Washington (Lannan) +170 / Colorado (Chacin) 8:40 ET 1.00 Unit
Washington 14 Colorado 6 Winner
Seattle (Hernandez) -133 / Baltimore (Millwood) 12:35 ET 1.50 Units
Seattle 5 Baltimore 6 Lose
Oakland (Sheets) +170 / Texas (Wilsn) 2:05 ET 1.00 Unit
Oakland 1 Texas 2 Lose
Wednesday, 05/12 MLB: -2.00 Units (Volume: 2.00 Units)
Over 8 Runs (-105) Tampa Bay (Price) / LA Angels (Weaver) 7:05 ET 2.00 Units
Tampa Bay 4 LA Angels 3 Lose
Colorado (Hammel) Even / Philadelpha (Moyer) 8:40 ET 1.50 Units
CANCELLED
Over 8 Runs (-105) Tampa Bay (Price) / LA Angels (Weaver) 7:05 ET 2.00 Units
Tampa Bay 4 LA Angels 3 Lose
Colorado (Hammel) Even / Philadelpha (Moyer) 8:40 ET 1.50 Units
CANCELLED
Tuesday, 05/11 MLB: -0.36 Units (Volume: 5.00 Units)
NY Mets (Niese) -135 / Washington (Olson) 7:10 ET 1.25 Units
NY Mets 8 Washington 6 Winner
Over 7.5 Runs (+105) San Diego (Leblanc) / San Francisco (Zito) 10:15 ET 1.25 Units
San Diego 3 San Francisco 2 Lose
Boston (Matsuzaka) -156 / Toronto (Eveland) 7:10 ET 1.50 Units
Boston 6 Toronto 1 Winner
LA Angels (Kazmir) +118 / Tampa Bay (Niemann) 10:05 ET 1.00 Unit
LA Angels 2 Tampa Bay 7 Lose
NY Mets (Niese) -135 / Washington (Olson) 7:10 ET 1.25 Units
NY Mets 8 Washington 6 Winner
Over 7.5 Runs (+105) San Diego (Leblanc) / San Francisco (Zito) 10:15 ET 1.25 Units
San Diego 3 San Francisco 2 Lose
Boston (Matsuzaka) -156 / Toronto (Eveland) 7:10 ET 1.50 Units
Boston 6 Toronto 1 Winner
LA Angels (Kazmir) +118 / Tampa Bay (Niemann) 10:05 ET 1.00 Unit
LA Angels 2 Tampa Bay 7 Lose
Monday, 05/10 NBA: -2.00 Units (Volume: 2.00 Units)
Over 191.5 Orlando / Atlanta 8:00 ET 2.00 Units
Orlando 98 Atlanta 84 Lose
It's obvious the Hawks have packed it in, and they're making a very ugly exit. Not only did they run into an Orlando team on a mission, playing their best ball in years, but Atlanta has managed to alienate their fans in the process. Very sad set of circumstances after rebuilding these past 3 seasons and really making some big progress. You'll remember we were on Milwaukee over Atlanta in game 6 after the Bucks took a 3-2 series lead thanks to the Hawks blowing a huge game 5 lead. Atlanta did wind up winning game 6 (a loss for us), but here's what we had to say about that game and the sad state of affairs we thought Atlanta was in during that first round series:
Here's our write up from that game:
"...We're backing the Bucks again tonight for many of the same reasons we were on them in game 5. Atlanta has collapsed mentally and has given the little dog hope, (or in this case the little "deer"), so now fittingly it will be Atlanta with the deer in the headlights look upon their faces come the final minutes tonight in Milwaukee, as the Bucks know this is their game seven... lose tonight and the series will be all but over as the momentum will totally shift back to Atlanta as they breathe a huge sigh of relief...
We'll say it again tonight. Things aren't always as they seem in the NBA, especially in the playoffs. There's plenty of talk to the effect of the future of Joe Johnson, as well as Coach Woodson is riding on this game and advancing to the second round. This is certainly the year Atlanta is supposed to make it out of the first round, considering the dues they've paid these past 3 seasons. Remember, in Joe Johnson's second year with Atlanta the Hawks won just 30 games (2006-07). Then the following year, as heavy dogs, Atlanta took the Celtics to 7 games before finally succumbing in one of the most exciting first rounds ever. Then last season Atlanta broke through and won in 7 games over the Heat to advance, but ran into Cleveland and got swept. So here they are again, their 3rd straight year in the post season and off of a 52 win regular season, Atlanta is expected to get past Milwaukee, especially given the Buck's current status (without their big man). What happened? Who knows exactly, but it's clear that Atlanta is running on fumes emotionally and all the momentum is with the under manned Bucks playing on their home court. This very well may be the last game you'll see Joe Johnson play in a Hawks uniform as they'll have the entire summer to wonder what could have been had only they been able to close out game 5 at home...."
The line maker is no fool and has adjusted tonight's line big time as per the current circumstances. Laying -6.5 is a real tough number, something we're not interested in doing, but we feel there's great value in the over tonight. Both teams will hit the floor extremely loose, but for different reasons. Orlando knows they're advancing, and the Hawks know they'll be on vacation most likely after tonight. There's no place for defense here. You're going to see a lot of school yard ball tonight, about the only way for this depleted Hawks team to take out their frustration. And you can be sure the Magic aren't going to be too interested in wasting valuable energy with defense on these hapless Hawks. Even if Atlanta does slip up and win tonight, what's the worst thing that will happen? Orlando goes home and mops up the mess on their home court Wednesday night... giving them a little scrimmage before advancing. Look for a wide open game as this one flies over... -END
Monday, 05/10 MLB: -2.31 Units (Volume: 6.50 Units)
Under 9 Runs (-125) Florida (Robertson) / Chicago Cubs (Lilly) 8:05 ET 1.00 Unit
Florida 4 Chicago 2 Winner
Milwaukee (Davis) +110 / Atlanta (Hanson) 8:10 ET 1.25 Units
Milwaukee 2 Atlanta 8 Lose
Parlay: Milwaukee +110 & Under 8.5 Runs (-115) Risk 0.5/Unit to win 1.46 Units
Milwaukee 2 Atlanta 8 Lose
LA Dodgers (Billingsly) -110 / Arizona (Lopez) 9:40 ET 1.25 Units
LA Dodgers 7 Arizona 3 Winner
Toronto (Morrow) +165 / Boston (Lackey) 7:10 ET 1.00 Unit
Toronto 6 Boston 7 Lose
Over 9.5 Runs (Even) Toronto (Morrow) / Boston (Lackey) 1.00 Unit
Toronto 6 Boston 7 Lose
Parlay: Toronto +165 & Over 9.5 Runs (Even) Risk 0.5/Unit to win 2.15 Units
Toronto 6 Boston 7 Lose
Sunday, 05/09 NBA: -2.86 Units (Volume: 5.25 Units)
Under 195 Cleveland / Boston 3:30 ET 1.25 Units
Cleveland 87 Boston 97 Winner
Under 207 Phoenix / San Antonio 8:00 ET 1.50 Units
Phoenix 107 San Antonio 101 Lose
Parlay: San Antonio (ML) -180 & Under 207 Risk 0.5/Unit to win 0.98/Unit
San Antonio 101 Phoenix 107 Lose
We're splitting our 2-Unit risk on the Under over 2 plays and stand to make +2.35 Units for our 2 Unit risk (30% more than a single 2 Unit risk on the Under would yield). We feel the Spurs aren't going to just lay down here, but laying -4 here could be risky business. San Antonio knows the only way they're going to beat the Suns is to get to crank things up on defense, so look for the Spurs to try and take Phoenix out of their run and gun game and control the tempo with longer possessions in hopes of extending this series. This is the one team down 0-3 in a best of seven series we wouldn't count out just yet...
Series Play: San Antonio - Phoenix (Released 5/03)
San Antonio (Even) / Phoenix 2 Units (game 1 starts 10:30 ET)
San Antonio 0 Games Phoenix 4 Games Lose
We're back on the Spurs to continue their playoff run. This is a veteran team whose won it all several times with this same team. Sure they're getting on in years and many question their endurance, but we feel they still have what it takes to win it all, and this may very well be their last chance.
Sunday, 05/09 MLB: -0.25 Units (Volume: 5.75 Units)
Florida (Sanchez) -105 / Washington (Hernandez) 1:35 ET 1.75 Units
Florida 2 Washington 3 Lose
Under 7 Runs (+105) San Diego (Stauffer) / Houston (Oswalt) 2:05 ET 1.25 Units
San Diego 3 Houston 4 PUSH
LA Dodgers (Kershaw) +120 / Colorado (Jimenez) 4:10 ET 1.25 Units
LA Dodgers 2 Colorado 0 Winner
Saturday, 05/07 NBA: +2.91 Units (Volume: 4.25 Units)
Under 194.5 Orlando / Atlanta 5:00 ET 1.75 Units
Orlando 105 Atlanta 75 Winner
LA Lakers +4.5 / Utah 8:00 ET 2.00 Units
LA Lakers 111 Utah 110 Winner
Parlay: LA Lakers (ML) +165 & Under 202.5 Risk 0.5/Unit to win 2.03 Units
LA Lakers 111 Utah 110 Lose
Unfortunately for Utah, their season is just about over. The Jazz put up a valiant effort this post season beating Denver in 6 games, but playing without Kirilenko since mid March and then losing Okur on 4/21 is proving too much to overcome. Yes, Kirilenko will return tonight, but as is usually the case when a key player makes his return to the line-up after a prolonged absence, it'll take time to get him worked back into the rotation and used to playing again, time that the Jazz simply do not have as the Lakers are finally getting it all together.
Saturday, 05/07 MLB: -3.20 Units (Volume: 5.75 Units)
Over 8 Runs (-115) St. Louis (Garcia) / Pittsburgh (Karstens) 7:05 ET 1.25 Units
St. Louis 0 Pittsburgh 2 Lose
Over 8.5 Runs(-125) LA Dodgers (Haegen) / Colorado (Chacin) 10:10 ET 1.50 Units
LA Dodgers 0 Colorado 8 Lose
Chicago WS (Peavy) -1.5 Runs (+155) / Toronto (Cecil) 7:05 ET 1.00 Unit
Chicago WS 7 Toronto 3 Winner
Parlay: Chicago WS (ML) -132 & Under 8 Runs Risk 1 Unit to win 2.22 Units
Chicago WS 7 Toronto 3 Lose
Usually not a good proposition asking to cover -1.5 runs and for the game to stay under as there are just a limited number of possible final scores which will give you both wins, but in this case we see a specific outcome: Jake Peavy feeding off his previous start on 5/03 vs KC going 7 innings allowing just 4 hits, 1 walk & 0 runs while striking out 9. We're banking on Peavy hitting stride from here on out. As we've said earlier this season, when Jake Peavy is on, he's virtually un-hittable. He has a nasty assortment of pitches, but thus far this season he's been completely ineffective, but great pitchers don't just lose their stuff. Now that he's finally broken through this season, we're expecting another brilliant performance and a final right where we need... in the 3-0 to 4-1 range. And also realize that a split here makes us a nice profit, so we don't have to win both the run line & total plays to make money. We stand to make +3.77 Units for our 2 Units of risk... not a bad price for an outcome that is quite possible, and a split will make us either +1.22 Units or +0.55 Units.
Kansas City (Meche) +175 / Texas (Harden) 8:05 ET 1.00 Unit
Kansas City 2 Texas 3 Lose
Friday, 05/07 NBA: +0.57 Units (Volume: 3.25 Units)
Under 193.5 Cleveland / Boston 7:00 ET 1.25 Units
Cleveland 124 Boston 95 Lose
Under 207 Phoenix / San Antonio 9:30 ET 2.00 Units
Phoenix 110 San Antonio 96 Winner
Friday, 05/07 MLB: -4.63 Units (Volume: 7.50 Units)
Atlanta (Lowe) +114 / Philadelphia (Moyer) 7:05 ET 2.00 Units
Atlanta 0 Philadelphia 7 Lose
Over 9 Runs (-110) Florida (Volstad) / Washington (Stammen) 7:05 ET 1.25 Units
Florida 4 Washington 3 Lose
Under 10 Runs (-110) Milwaukee (Gallardo) / Arizona (Jackson) 9:40 ET 1.50 Units
Milwaukee 3 Arizona 2 Winner
Boston (Beckett) -105 / NY Yankees (Hughes) 7:10 ET 1.25 Units
Boston 3 NY Yankees 10 Lose
Over 8 Runs (-110) Kansas City (Greinke) / Texas (Wilson) 8:10 ET 1.50 Units
Kansas City 1 Texas 4 Lose
Thursday, 05/06 NBA: +0.32 Units (Volume: 3.50 Units)
Atlanta +10 / Orlando 8:00 ET 1.50 Units
Atlanta 98 Orlando 112 Lose
Over 190 Atlanta / Orlando 8:05 ET 2.00 Units
Atlanta 98 Orlando 112 Winner
After game 1 of this series, at face value it really is tough to play the Hawks. But remember, embarrassments like that are taken seriously by players. Even though Atlanta most likely knows they're not getting past the Magic, they're not going to just roll over and die. They've worked too hard these past 2 seasons and are a much improved team, so to pack it in here would negate any positive momentum they have to carry into next season. We expect a close game throughout tonight, and the fact that this game has gone to 10 is even better. Usually there's an automatic slight adjustment giving the game one losing team fewer points, but because of the lopsided game 1 score, the linemaker has no choice here as the public is driving the number. Also realize that Atlanta was only outscored by 2 points in each the 1st & 4th quarters of game 1 (23-25 & 27-29). What did them in was scoring just 21 points combined in quarters 3 & 4 (10 & 11)... not likely to repeat those numbers.
Atlanta +10 / Orlando 8:00 ET 1.50 Units
Atlanta 98 Orlando 112 Lose
Over 190 Atlanta / Orlando 8:05 ET 2.00 Units
Atlanta 98 Orlando 112 Winner
After game 1 of this series, at face value it really is tough to play the Hawks. But remember, embarrassments like that are taken seriously by players. Even though Atlanta most likely knows they're not getting past the Magic, they're not going to just roll over and die. They've worked too hard these past 2 seasons and are a much improved team, so to pack it in here would negate any positive momentum they have to carry into next season. We expect a close game throughout tonight, and the fact that this game has gone to 10 is even better. Usually there's an automatic slight adjustment giving the game one losing team fewer points, but because of the lopsided game 1 score, the linemaker has no choice here as the public is driving the number. Also realize that Atlanta was only outscored by 2 points in each the 1st & 4th quarters of game 1 (23-25 & 27-29). What did them in was scoring just 21 points combined in quarters 3 & 4 (10 & 11)... not likely to repeat those numbers.
Thursday, 05/06 MLB: -2.75 Units (Volume: 4.75 Units)
Chicago Cubs (Wells) -1.5 Runs (-120) / Pittsburgh (Burres) 7:05 ET 1.25 Units
Chicago Cubs 1 Pittsburgh 11 Lose
Florida (Nolasco) -125 / San Francisco (Cain) 7:10 ET 1.25 Units
Florida 3 San Francisco 6 Lose
Under 7.5 Runs (-120) Arizona (Haren) / Houston (Rodriguez) 8:05 ET 1.25 Units
Arizona 6 Houston 3 Lose
Under 8.5 Runs (Even) Toronto (Eveland) / Chicago (Danks) 8:10 ET 1.00 Unit
Toronto 2 Chicago WS 0 Winner
Wednesday, 05/05 MLB: +2.56 Units (Volume: 2.50 Units)
(2 Plays Total Risk 2.50 Units)
Under 8.5 Runs (+105) San Francisco (Zito) / Florida (Robertson) 7:10 ET 1.25 Units
San Francisco 3 Florida 2 Winner
Over 9 Runs (Even) Kansas City (Bannister) / Chicago WS (Garcia) 8:10 ET 1.25 Units
kansas City 2 CWS 7 Winner
Tuesday, 05/04 NBA: -2.00 Units (Volume: 2.00 Units)
Over 191.5 Atlanta / Orlando 8:00 ET 2.00 Units
Atlanta 71 Orlando 114 Lose
Tuesday, 05/04 MLB: -2.55 Units (Volume: 4.50 Units)
Philadelphia (Hamels) -105 / St. Louis (Wainwright) 7:05 ET 1.00 Unit
Philadelphia 2 St. Louis 1 Winner
Baltimore (Matusz) +210 / NY Yankees (Pettitte) 7:05 ET 0.5/Unit
Baltimore 1 NY Yankees 4 Lose
Parlay: Baltimore +210 & Under 9 Runs (Even) Risk 0.5/Unit to win 2.60 Units
Baltimore 1 NY Yankees 4 Lose
LA Angels (Santana) +168 / Boston (Lester) 7:10 ET 1.00 Unit
LA Angels 1 Boston 5 Lose
Over 10 Runs (Even) Detroit (Willis) / Minnesota (Blackburn) 8:10 ET 1.50 Units
Detroit 3 Minnesota 4 Lose
Monday, 05/03 NBA: -1.50 Units (Volume: 1.50 Units)
Series Play: San Antonio - Phoenix
San Antonio (Even) / Phoenix 2 Units (game 1 starts 10:30 ET)
PENDING
We're back on the Spurs to continue their playoff run. This is a veteran team whose won it all several times with this same team. Sure they're getting on in years and many question their endurance, but we feel they still have what it takes to win it all, and this may very well be their last chance.
Boston - Cleveland - Game 2
Cleveland -6 / Boston 8:00 ET 1.50 Units
Cleveland 86 Boston 104 Lose
This season truly is the changing of the guard in the East. Boston no longer has what it takes to play at a championship level, a combination of aging stars and poor coaching. The Cavs seem to have finally put it all together this year and look as if they're Finals bound and how fitting it will be to get their revenge here against the Celtics who knocked them out of the playoffs 2 years ago in the Conference Semifinals in 7 games, and then to get their revenge in this years Conference Finals against Orlando (presuming Orlando gets past Atlanta) who beat them in the Conference Finals last year in 6 games.
Sure, Boston played Cleveland tough in the opening game... but they blew a solid lead.. inexcusable. If you want any chance of beating the Cavs home court advantage, you can't let opportunities like that slip away. Boston has to be deflated. And to think Cleveland now has had the film from game one to study and make sure they don't let happen whatever it was that put them in the early hole to begin with... Can't imagine how big Cleveland will win tonight if they do indeed make the necessary corrections..
Also remember that 7 game Conference Finals series 2 years ago, the year the Celtics won 66 regular season games and the NBA Championship. Cleveland won all their home games in that series by 24, 11 & 5. They were laying -2. -2 & -3 in those games.. and tonight they're only -6 (Boston was laying -9 in their home playoff games that year to the Cavs). We feel the linemakers's giving Boston a bit too much respect here, or the Cavs not enough....
Sunday, 05/02 NBA: -2.00 Units (Volume: 2.00 Unit)
Over 185 Milwaukee / Atlanta 1:00 ET 2.00 Units
Milwaukee 74 Atlanta 95 Lose
Sunday, 05/02 MLB: -4.25 Units (Volume: 4.25 Units)
Milwaukee (Wolf) -105 / San Diego (Garland) 4:05 ET 1.50 Units
Milwaukee 0 San Diego 8 Lose
Cleveland (Huff) +146 / Minnesota (Liriano) 1:05 ET 1.25 Units
Cleveland 3 Minnesota 8 Lose
Over 7.5 Runs (-120) Kansas City (Greinke) / Tampa Bay (Davis) 1:40 ET 1.50 Units
Kansas City 0 Tampa Bay 1 Lose
Saturday, 05/01 MLB: -3.12 Units (Volume: 5.50 Unit)
Arizona (Haren) -112 / Chicago Cubs (Silva) 1:05 ET 1.25 Units
Arizona 5 Chicago Cubs 7 Lose
NY Yankees (Vazquez) -147 / Chicago WS (Danks) 1:05 ET 1.25 Unit
NY Yankees 6 Chicago WS 7 Lose
Under 9 Runs (-110) Oakland (Gonzalez) / Toronto (Eveland) 1:05 ET 1.25 Units
Oakland 4 Toronto 3 Winner
Over 8.5 Runs (-115) Kansas City (Davies) / Tampa Bay (Price) 6:10 ET 1.75 Units
Kansas City 4 Tampa Bay 2 Lose
Over 191.5 Atlanta / Orlando 8:00 ET 2.00 Units
Atlanta 71 Orlando 114 Lose
Tuesday, 05/04 MLB: -2.55 Units (Volume: 4.50 Units)
Philadelphia (Hamels) -105 / St. Louis (Wainwright) 7:05 ET 1.00 Unit
Philadelphia 2 St. Louis 1 Winner
Baltimore (Matusz) +210 / NY Yankees (Pettitte) 7:05 ET 0.5/Unit
Baltimore 1 NY Yankees 4 Lose
Parlay: Baltimore +210 & Under 9 Runs (Even) Risk 0.5/Unit to win 2.60 Units
Baltimore 1 NY Yankees 4 Lose
LA Angels (Santana) +168 / Boston (Lester) 7:10 ET 1.00 Unit
LA Angels 1 Boston 5 Lose
Over 10 Runs (Even) Detroit (Willis) / Minnesota (Blackburn) 8:10 ET 1.50 Units
Detroit 3 Minnesota 4 Lose
Monday, 05/03 NBA: -1.50 Units (Volume: 1.50 Units)
Series Play: San Antonio - Phoenix
San Antonio (Even) / Phoenix 2 Units (game 1 starts 10:30 ET)
PENDING
We're back on the Spurs to continue their playoff run. This is a veteran team whose won it all several times with this same team. Sure they're getting on in years and many question their endurance, but we feel they still have what it takes to win it all, and this may very well be their last chance.
Boston - Cleveland - Game 2
Cleveland -6 / Boston 8:00 ET 1.50 Units
Cleveland 86 Boston 104 Lose
This season truly is the changing of the guard in the East. Boston no longer has what it takes to play at a championship level, a combination of aging stars and poor coaching. The Cavs seem to have finally put it all together this year and look as if they're Finals bound and how fitting it will be to get their revenge here against the Celtics who knocked them out of the playoffs 2 years ago in the Conference Semifinals in 7 games, and then to get their revenge in this years Conference Finals against Orlando (presuming Orlando gets past Atlanta) who beat them in the Conference Finals last year in 6 games.
Sure, Boston played Cleveland tough in the opening game... but they blew a solid lead.. inexcusable. If you want any chance of beating the Cavs home court advantage, you can't let opportunities like that slip away. Boston has to be deflated. And to think Cleveland now has had the film from game one to study and make sure they don't let happen whatever it was that put them in the early hole to begin with... Can't imagine how big Cleveland will win tonight if they do indeed make the necessary corrections..
Also remember that 7 game Conference Finals series 2 years ago, the year the Celtics won 66 regular season games and the NBA Championship. Cleveland won all their home games in that series by 24, 11 & 5. They were laying -2. -2 & -3 in those games.. and tonight they're only -6 (Boston was laying -9 in their home playoff games that year to the Cavs). We feel the linemakers's giving Boston a bit too much respect here, or the Cavs not enough....
Sunday, 05/02 NBA: -2.00 Units (Volume: 2.00 Unit)
Over 185 Milwaukee / Atlanta 1:00 ET 2.00 Units
Milwaukee 74 Atlanta 95 Lose
Sunday, 05/02 MLB: -4.25 Units (Volume: 4.25 Units)
Milwaukee (Wolf) -105 / San Diego (Garland) 4:05 ET 1.50 Units
Milwaukee 0 San Diego 8 Lose
Cleveland (Huff) +146 / Minnesota (Liriano) 1:05 ET 1.25 Units
Cleveland 3 Minnesota 8 Lose
Over 7.5 Runs (-120) Kansas City (Greinke) / Tampa Bay (Davis) 1:40 ET 1.50 Units
Kansas City 0 Tampa Bay 1 Lose
Saturday, 05/01 MLB: -3.12 Units (Volume: 5.50 Unit)
Arizona (Haren) -112 / Chicago Cubs (Silva) 1:05 ET 1.25 Units
Arizona 5 Chicago Cubs 7 Lose
NY Yankees (Vazquez) -147 / Chicago WS (Danks) 1:05 ET 1.25 Unit
NY Yankees 6 Chicago WS 7 Lose
Under 9 Runs (-110) Oakland (Gonzalez) / Toronto (Eveland) 1:05 ET 1.25 Units
Oakland 4 Toronto 3 Winner
Over 8.5 Runs (-115) Kansas City (Davies) / Tampa Bay (Price) 6:10 ET 1.75 Units
Kansas City 4 Tampa Bay 2 Lose