March 2010 Overall Results
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-5.50 Units (Volume: 286.75 Units)
Wednesday 03/31 NBA: -0.56 Units (Volume 7.25 Units)
Under 194.5 LA Lakers / Atlanta 7:00 ET 1.25 Units
LA Lakers 92 Atlanta 109 Lose
Detroit +7 / Miami 7:30 ET 2.00 Units
Detroit 81 Miami 98 Lose
Parlay: Detroit (ML) +240 & Under 187.5 Risk 0.5/Unit to win 2.75 Units
Detroit 81 Miami 98 Lose
It's extremely tough in the NBA to hold teams to the low 70's, especially 3 times in the last 4 games like Miami did and for that reason we were on the Heat Overs a couple of times last week and lost both as the Heat just kept defending.
With tonight's game, beside not expecting Miami's defensive intensity to continue, we also expect their shooting to cool off. Miami has shot better than 50% in each of their last 4 games... so for this reason we really can't back the Over, but we feel Detroit, who has put 100+ on the board in their last 2 games and 4 of their last 6, will continue to dictate tempo. A Piston outright win is very likely tonight with Miami held to below 90, making this parlay a nice piece of value at 5.5:1 (2.75 Units for our half Unit risked). So we stand to make +4.57 Units overall and are guaranteed a +1.32 Unit profit with a Piston +7 Cover.
Utah -13 / Golden State 10:00 ET 2.00 Units
Utah 128 Golden State 104 Winner
Under 232.5 GS / Utah 1.50 Units
Golden State 104 Utah 128 Winner
The Warriors got a rare road win at the Clippers Sunday night (121-103) on 53% shooting. Tonight will be a tough challenge against a solid Jazz team, winners of 7 of their last 9 (6-3 ATS), and surely looking to get playoff ready on defense. Look for Utah to hold GS below 100 just as they did back on 2/19 (100-89 in GS). In that game the total was 221.5... 11 points less than tonight. The reason for the adjustment is clearly a case of recent performance by this Warriors team, but as is usually the case, what gos up must come down, and as stated, Utah will be looking to sharpen up on defense with the Lakers on deck (Friday night in LA) and the playoffs right around the corner.
Tuesday 03/30 NBA: -0.11 Units (Volume 2.50 Units)
Under 215 Phoenix / Chicago 8:00 ET 1.25 Units
Phoenix 111 Chicago 105 Lose
Under 195.5 Washington / Houston 8:30 ET 1.25 Units
Washington 94 Houston 98 Winner
Tuesday 03/30 NCAAB: -1.00 Units (Volume 1.00 Units)
NIT Tournament - Semifinals
Madison Square Garden - New York, NY
Over 151 North Carolina / Rhode Island 9:00 ET 1.00 Unit
North Carolina 68 Rhode Island 67 (OT) Lose
Monday 03/29 NBA: -2.00 Units (Volume 2.00 Units)
Over 191 San Antonio / NJ Nets 7:30 ET 2.00 Units
San Antonio 84 NJ Nets 90 Lose
After last night's rout of the Celtics in a game that the Spurs held Boston to just 73 points on 37% shooting, we can't see San Antonio wasting any precious energy on the hapless Nets. The only thing a bad team like New Jersey has to play for at this juncture of the season is to see how many points they can hang on an NBA title contender. Look for an extremely loose game tonight as the Spurs have bigger fish to fry later in the week (Houston, Orlando & the Lakers Wednesday, Friday & Sunday).
Sunday 03/28 NBA: +0.28 Units (Volume 4.50 Units)
Over 195 Toronto / Miami 6:00 ET 2.00 Units
Toronto 94 Miami 97 Lose
San Antonio +3 / Boston 8:00 ET 1.50 Units
San Antonio 94 Boston 73 Winner
The Spurs, as great teams do, are peaking at the right time. Although they're just 3-3 SU & ATS in their last 6, realize that San Antonio, before their last 2 games at home vs the Lakers & Cavs, haven't played back to back home games in ALL of February & March... That means that they've packed their bags and gotten on a plane to travel to a new venue for 24 straight games. And during that time, they've been dealing with many injuries but worked through them going 15-9 SU & 13-11 ATS during that stretch where many lesser teams would have caved.
Tonight's game in Boston is very important to San Antonio, as it will give them a much needed emotional boost to be able to win 2 of their last 3 games against the league's elite (83-92 L: LA Lakers 3/24 & 102-97 W: Cleveland 3/26).... and with Tony Parker's return right around the corner (out since 3/7 with a broken hand), at full strength this can be a very dangerous Spurs team heading into the playoffs with a full head of steam...
Under 227.5 Golden State / LA Clippers 9:30 ET 1.00 Unit
Golden State 121 LA Clippers 103 Winner
Sunday 03/28 NCAAB: +1.14 Units (Volume 1.25 Units)
NCAA Tournament - South Regional Final
Reliant Stadium - Houston, TX
Duke -5 / Baylor 5:05 ET 1.25 Units
Duke 78 Baylor 71 Winner
Saturday 03/27 NBA: +2.51 Units (Volume 2.75 Units)
Over 194 Portland / New Orleans 8:00 ET 1.50 Units
Portland 112 New Orleans 101 Winner
Chicago -9 / NJ Nets 8:00 ET 1.25 Units
Chicago 106 NJ Nets 83 Winner
Saturday 03/27 NCAAB: -1.25 Units (Volume 1.25 Units)
NCAA Tournament - West Regioal Final
Energy Solutions Arena - Salt Lake City, UT
Kansas State -4 / Butler 4:30 ET 1.25 Units
Kansas State 56 Butler 63 Lose
Friday 03/26 NBA: -0.02 Units (Volume 5.75 Units)
Over 211.5 Utah/ Indiana 7:00 ET 1.75 Units
Utah 106 Indiana 122 Winner
Toronto +5.5 / Denver 7:00 ET 1.25 Units
Toronto 96 Denver 97 Winner
Tough stretch for Denver as they're not responding well to their 5 games in 7 nights eastern road swing. This is the 3rd leg of the journey having lost the first two (104-109 @ NY Knicks Tuesday and 99-113 @ Boston Wednesday), and it doesn't help the Nuggets chances having had the night off last night in Toronto (one of the most "exciting" nightlifes of all NBA cities) and having to look forward to trips to Orlando Sunday and Dallas Monday. Can't see laying points on the road to a quality home team with a team that's lost 4 of their last 6 SU (0-6 ATS).
Under 195 Atlanta / Philadelphia 7:00 ET 1.25 Units
Atlanta 98 Philadelphia 105 Lose
Milwaukee -2.5 / Miami 8:30 ET 1.50 Units
Milwaukee 74 Miami 87 Lose
Second of a road back-to-back for the Heat having played in Chicago last night. Miami held the Bulls to just 74 points in a 29 point road rout. It's very difficult to hold a team to the low 70's, and this is the 2nd time the Heat have done so in their last 3 games (77-71 vs Charlotte 3/20). Look for Miami to be a bit spent on defense here and for Milwaukee to take full advantage, especially considering the Bucks will be super focused tonight with the absence of center Andrew Bogut with a back injury. Often times teams come together when missing a key player and put forth a better effort than had they been at full strength, and the line has moved 2 points from Mil -4.5.
Friday 03/26 NCAAB: +3.42 Units (Volume 3.75 Units)
NCAA Tournament - Midwest Regional Semifinals
Edward Jones Dome - St. Louis, MO
Michigan State -1 / Northern Iowa 9:35 ET 1.25 Units
Michigan State 59 Northern Iowa 52 Winner
Under 121 Northern Iowa / Michigan State 1.25 Units
Northern Iowa 52 Michigan State 59 Winner
NCAA Tournament - South Regional Semifinals
Reliant Stadium - Houston, TX
Under 142 St. Marys CA / Baylor 7:25 ET 1.25 Units
St. Mary's CA 49 Baylor 72 Winner
Thursday 03/25 NBA: -2.00 Units (Volume 2.00 Units)
Over 191.5 Miami / Chicago 8:00 ET 2.00 Units
Miami 103 Chicago 74 Lose
Thursday 03/25 NCAAB: +2.62 Units (Volume 5.50 Units)
NCAA Tournament - East Regional Semiinals
Carrier Dome - Syracuse, NY
Under 146 Cornell / Kentucky 9:55 ET 1.25 Units
Cornell 45 Kentucky 62 Winner
West Virginia -4.5 / Washington U 7:25 ET 1.75 Units
West Virginia 69 Washington 56 Winner
Over 140 Washington U / West Virginia 1.25 Units
Washington 56 West Virginia 69 Lose
NCAA Tournament - West Regional Semiinals
Energy Solutions Arena - Salt Lake City, UT
Under 138 Butler / Syracuse 7:05 ET 1.25 Units
Butler 63 Syracuse 59 Winner
Wednesday 03/24 NBA: +1.48 Units (Volume 4.25 Units)
Over 205.5 Denver / Boston 7:00 ET 1.75 Units
Denver 99 Boston 113 Winner
Over 190.5 Philadelphia / Milwaukee 8:00 ET 1.25 Units
Philadelphia 101 Milwaukee 86 Lose
Under 201 Cleveland / New Orleans 8:00 ET 1.25 Units
Cleveland 105 New Orleans 92 Winner
Wednesday 03/24 NCAAB: +1.37 Units (Volume 1.50 Units)
NIT Tournament - Qurterfinals
(Played AT Illinois)
Dayton +3 / Illinois 9:00 ET 1.50 Units
Dayton 77 Illinois 71 Winner
Monday 03/22 NBA: +2.85 Units (Volume 5.75 Units)
Over 209 Houston / Chicago 8:00 ET 1.25 Units
Houston 88 Chicago 98 Lose
Over 200 Boston / Utah 9:00 ET 1.50 Units
Boston 97 Utah 110 Winner
Golden State +5 / Phoenix 10:30 ET 1.25 Units
Golden State 131 Phoenix 133 Winner
Over 245 Golden State / Phoenix 1.75 Unit
Golden State 131 Phoenix 133 Winner
Monday 03/22 NCAAB -0.36 Units (Volume 2.75 Units)
CBI Tournament- Quarterfinals
Played at VCU
Virginia Commonwealth -12.5 / College Of Charleston 7:00 ET 1.50 Units
VCU 93 College Of Charleston 86 Lose
CIT Tournament - Quaterfinals
Played at Missouri State
Under 141 Louisiana Tech / Missouri State 8:05 ET 1.25 Units
Louisiana Tech 40 Missouri State 69 Winner
Sunday 03/21 NBA: +1.82 Units (Volume 2.00 Units)
Over 210 Houston / NY Knicks 1:00 ET 2.00 Units
Houston 116 NY Knicks 112 Winner
Sunday 03/21 NCAAB (Early game): +1.37 Units (Volume 1.50 Units)
NCAA Tournament Second Round
HSC Arena - Buffalo, NY
Syracuse -6.5 / Gonzaga 12:10 ET 1.50 Units
Syracuse 87 Gonzaga 65 Winner
Sunday 03/21 NCAAB: -1.49 Units (Volume 7.00 Units)
NCAA Tournament Second Round
Veterans Memorial Arena - Jacksonville, FL
Wisconsin -4.5 / Cornell 2:50 ET 1.25 Unit
Wisconsin 69 Cornell 87 Lose
Duke -6 / California 5:15 ET 1.50 Units
Duke 68 California 53 Winner
Parlay: Duke (ML) -260 & Under 148.5 Risk 1 Unit to make 1.64 Units
Duke 68 California 53 Winner
NCAA Tournament Second Round
Bradley Center - Milwaukee, WI
Georgia Tech +6.5 / Ohio State 2:20 ET 2.00 Units
Georgia Tech 66 Ohio State 75 Lose
NCAA Tournament Second Round
Spokane Memorial Arena - Spokane, WA
Maryland -1 / Michigan State 2:30 ET 1.25 Units
Maryland 84 Michigan State 85 Lose
Saturday 03/20 NBA: -0.63 Units (Volume 4.75 Units)
Miami -6 / Charlotte 7:30 ET 1.25 Units
Miami 77 Charlotte 71 PUSH
Over 233 Golden State / Memphis 8:00 ET 1.50 Units
Golden State 107 Memphis 123 Lose
Parlay: Golden State (ML) +450 & Over 233 Risk 0.5/Unit to win 4.75 Units
Golden State 107 Memphis 123 Lose
The way the Warriors have been playing lately, the linemaker can't make a total big enough here. In Golden State's last 6 games, their average score was 121-124. It seems as if the Warriors have completely aborted any all defense (not that they ever played any), and now they're playing the tail end of a road back to back in Memphis. We've seen crazier upsets than this, so it's certainly worth a half unit shot to parlay GS ML to the Over for a 9.5:1 payout. So the bottom line is we're risking a total of 2 Units on the Over but are splitting the action and will still show a profit with the Over.
Utah -9.5 / New Orleans 9:00 ET 1.50 Units
Utah 106 New Orleans 86 Winner
The last leg of the long journey (5 games in 7 nights on the road) for the Hornets. We were on Denver -14 in NO's last game Thursday, and just as we expected the Hornets got in a deep hole early (down 25 at the half), but they found a way to get back into it down the stretch and lost by 13 as we fell a point short of the cover. New Orleans held the Nuggets to just 31 2nd half points in that game... unbelievable feat for a tired team. The good news is that tonight, they should be completely out of gas which should allow for a cake walk for the home team. Look for the Jazz to get up big early and not let up.
Saturday 03/20 NCAAB (Afternoon games): +1.49 Units (Volume 4.25 Units)
NCAA Tournament - Second Round
Dunkin Donuts Center - Providence, RI
Villinova -4.5 / St. Mary's CA 1:05 ET 1.25 Units
Villinova 68 St. Mary's 75 Lose
Tennessee -8.5 / Ohio 3:35 ET 1.50 Units
Tennessee 83 Ohio 68 Winner
NCAA Tournament - Second Round
HP Pavillion - San Jose, CA
Murray State +5 / Butler 3:20 ET 1.50 Units
Murray State 52 Butler 54 Winner
Saturday 03/20 NCAAB (Night games): -5.50 Units (Volume 5.50 Units)
NCAA Tournament - Second Round
New Orleans Arena - New Orleans, LA
Under 147 Wake Forest / Kentucky 8:15 ET 1.50 Units
Wake Forest 60 Kentucky 90 Lose
NCAA Tournament - Second Round
Ford center - Oklahoma City, OK
Under 127.5 Northern Iowa / Kansas 5:40 ET 1.25 Unts
Northern Iowa 69 Kansas 67 Lose
NCAA Tournament - Second Round
HP Pavillion - San Jose, CA
New Mexico +2.5 / Washington 5:50 ET 1.25 Units
New Mexico 64 Washington 82 Lose
Over 150.5 Wahington / New Mexico 1.50 Units
Washington 82 New Mexico 64 Lose
Friday 03/19 NBA: +1.82 Units (Volume 2.00 Units)
Under 202.5 Boston / Houston 8:30 ET 2.00 Units
Boston 94 Houston 87 Winner
Friday 03/19 NCAAB (Night report): -0.72 Units (Volume 5.50 Units)
NCAA Tournament Opening Round
Veterans Memorial Arena - Jacksonville, FL
#837 Louisiville +1 / California 9:45 ET 1.50 Unit
Louisville 62 California 77 Lose
NCAA Tournament Opening Round
Spokane Memorial Arena - Spokane, WA
#847 New Mexico State +13 / Michigan State 7:20 ET 1.25 Units
New Mexico State 67 Michigan State 70 Winner
#847 Over 150 New Mexico State / Michigan State 1.50 Units
New Mexico State 67 Michigan State 70 Lose
#849 Over 156 Houston / Maryland 9:40 ET 1.25 Units
Houston 77 Maryland 89 Winner
Friday 03/19 NCAAB (Afternoon report): -4.86 Units (Volume 7.25 Units)
NCAA Tournament Opening Round
HSC Arena - Buffalo, NY
#830 Clemson -1.5 / Missouri 2:45 ET 1.25 Units
Clemson 78 Missouri 86 Lose
NCAA Tournament Opening Round
Veterans Memorial Arena - Jacksonville, FL
#832 Temple -3.5 / Cornell 12:30 ET 1.00 Unit
Temple 65 Cornell 78 Lose
#832 Under 122 Cornell / Temple 1.00 Unit
Temple 65 Cornell 78 Lose
#832 Parlay: Temple (ML) -170 & Under 122 Risk 1 Unit to make 2.03 Units
Temple 65 Cornell 78 Lose
NCAA Tournament Opening Round
Bradley Center - Milwaukee, WI
#846 Xavier pk / Minnesota 12:25 ET 1.25 Units
Xavier 65 Minnesota 54 Winner
NCAA Tournament Opening Round
Spokane Memorial Arena - Spokane, WA
#851 Utah State +3.5 / Texas A&M 4:45 ET 1.75 Units
Utah State 53 Texas A&M 69 Lose
Thursday 03/18 NBA: -3.50 Units (Volume 3.50 Units)
Miami +2 / Orlando 8:00 ET 1.50 Units
Miami 102 Orlando 108 (OT) Lose
The set up for this game reminds us of a three card monte game on the streets of NY.. now you see it... now you don't.... Things aren't always what they seem. On the surface, it looks like a slam dunk to take the Magic here... I mean c'mon, San Antonio comes into South Beach Tuesday and shuts the Heat down allowing Miami just 76 point on 38% shooting, but the very next night the Spurs take the short 240 mile trip to Orlando and get blasted by the Magic 110-84... simple, right? Not so fast. Let's look a bit past the surface. Remember last night when we released a top rated winner on Orlando -7, we cited that it's very difficult to hold a team in the mid 70's... it takes a lot of defensive energy and the fact that the Spurs had to play the very next night after such a tough game made this play for us. The Spurs are an aging team and we figured they'd have nothing much left for the Magic. We're not taking anything away from Orlando, but they were in a very favorable scheduling spot in last night's game. When the Spurs beat the Heat on Tuesday, they were fresh coming off of two full days rest having played last at home Saturday (LA Clippers), and they chose to go all out on defense instead of pacing themselves knowing they had the Magic on deck... We had the Under (187) in the SA/Mia Tuesday game and won it by 23.
Now it's the Heat with the favorable schedule heading into this game having had last night off while Orlando routed the Spurs. In fact, Miami has been home since 3/10. Also, Maimi will be looking to avenge their last game with the Magic as Orlando routed the Heat 96-80 in Orlando, but historically Miami has handled Orlando beating them the prior 2 times... both this season: a 1 point win in Orlando 99-98 on 11/25 and then on 12/17 in Miami 104-86 (about the same score that Orlando disposed of SA last night).
Denver -14 / New Orleans 9:30 ET 2.00 Units
Denver 93 New Orleans 80 Lose
We're not big fans of laying this kind of wood in the NBA, but in this case we're making an exception. For the same reasons as our Over 228 play on these Hornets in Golden State last night (121-131 F), we're looking for New Orleans to have nothing left here. This is their 4th game in 5 night on the road. We told everyone last night, when it was their 3rd in 4 nights, that NO was running low on energy, and it takes much more energy to play good defense as opposed to just running the floor, and against the wide open Warriors, we nailed that play as the game went over by 24 points. We're not going over tonight simply because we can see the Hornets getting blown out by 40... in the 85-125 range. So instead, we'll just look for the Hornets to fold, especially down the stretch when they find themselves gasping for air in the thin air of the Mile High City...
Thursday 03/18 NCAAB (Night report): -4.11 Units (Volume 6.50 Units)
NCAA Tournament - Opening Round
Dunkin Donuts Center - Providence, RI
#705 Over 140 Ohio / Georgetown 7:25 ET 1.25 Units
Ohio 97 Georgetown 83 Winner
#708 Tennessee -3.5 / San Diego State 9:55 ET 1.25 Units
Tennessee 62 San Diego State 59 Lose
NCAA Tournament - Opening Round
New Orleans Arena - New Orleans, LA
#715 Under 147 Wake Forest / Texas 9:45 ET 1.25 Units
Wake Forest 81 Texas 80 (OT) Lose
NCAA Tournament - Opening Round
Ford Center - Oklahoma Cuty, OK
#724 UNLV +1 / Northern Iowa 7:10 ET 1.25 Units
UNLV 66 Northern Iowa 69 Lose
NCAA Tournament - Opening Round
HP Pavilion Center - San Jose, CA
#735 Under 141 Washington / Marquette 7:20 ET 1.50 Unit
Washington 80 Marquette 78 Lose
Thursday 03/18 NCAAB (Day Report): -2.61 Units (Volume 5.00 Units)
NCAA Tournament - Opening Round
Dunkin Donuts Center - Providence, RI
#710 Under 147 Robert Morris / Villinova 12:30 ET 1.25 Units
Robert Morris 70 Villinova 73 (OT) Winner
#712 Richmond -2 / St. Mary's CA 3:00 ET 1.25 Units
Richmond 71 St Mary's 80 Lose
NCAA Tournament - Opening Round
HP Pavilion Center - San Jose, CA
#729 UTEP +2.5 / Butler 4:55 ET 1.50 Units
UTEP 59 Butler 77 Lose
#729 Under 129.5 UTEP / Butler 1.00 Unit
UTEP 59 Butler 77 Lose
Wednesday 03/17 NBA: +4.22 Units (Volume 7.25 Units)
Under 208 Atlanta / Toronto 7:00 ET 1.25 Units
Atlanta 105 Toronto 106 Lose
Charlotte +1.5 / Oklahoma City7:00 ET 1.25 Units
Charlotte 100 Oklahoma City 92 Winner
Under 211 NY Knicks / Boston 7:30 ET 1.25 Units
NY Knicks 97 Boston 109 Winner
Orlando -7 / San Antonio 8:00 ET ESPN 2.00 Units
Orlando 110 San Antonio 84 Winner
Tail end of the Florida Back-To-Back for the Spurs in Orlando tonight after holding the Heat to just 76 points last night in a solid defensive effort and notching their 4th straight win (88-76) and 8th straight cover. But now San Antonio must deal with a rested Magic team coming off an embarrassing home loss to the Bobcats on Sunday. It's tough to hold a team to the mid 70's and is rarely repeated, especially on consecutive nights on the road. Look for Orlando to have their way with a very good Spurs team... but the victim of old, tired legs in this spot...
Over 228 New Orleans / Golden State 10:30 ET 1.50 Units
New Orleans 121 Golden State 121 Winner
One of the toughest parts of the season for the Hornets as they're in the middle of a 5 games in 7 nights stretch on the road playing Sunday & Monday at Phoenix (106-120 L) & LA Clippers (108-100 W). So with just 1 day rest, New Orleans takes the short trip up to Golden State to play yet another high octane offense tonight before travelling to Denver to play in the thin air tomorrow night and concluding the marathon in Utah on Saturday. It takes much more energy to play defense than it does to just run the floor, so given this cruel piece of scheduling, we can't see the Hornets having much left in the tank to play "D" tonight. What ever energy the road team does have will have to be rationed having to play 3 games in the next 75 hours. Look for very little defense here... just the way the host likes it...
Wednesday 03/16 NCAAB: +1.14 Units (Volume 1.25 Units)
CBI Turnament - Opening Round
Played at Princeton
#653 Under 121.5 Duquesne / Princeton 7:00 ET 1.25 Units
Duquesne 51 Princeton 65 Winner
Tuesday 03/16 NBA: +5.13 Units (Volume 8.25 Units)
Under 197.5 Charlotte / Indiana 7:00 ET 1.25 Units
Charlotte 94 Indiana 99 Winner
Under 187 San Antonio / Miami 7:30 ET 1.25 Units
San Antonio 88 Miami 76 Winner
Under 197.5 Cleveland / Detroit 7:30 ET 1.25 Units
Cleveland 113 Detroit 101 Lose
Under 195.5 Atlanta / NJ Nets 7:30 ET 2.00 Units
Atlanta 108 NJ Nets 84 Winner
Chicago +11 / Memphis 8:00 ET 1.00 Unit
Chicago 97 Memphis 104 Winner
Over 225.5 Minnesota / Phoenix 10:00 ET 1.50 Units
Minnesota 114 Phoenix 152 Winner
Tuesday 03/16 NCAAB: -3.75 Units (Volume 3.75 Units)
NIT Tournament - Opening Round
Played at Seton Hall
Seton Hall -9 / Texas Tech 9:00 ET 1.25 Units
Seton Hall 69 texas Tech 87 Lose
NIT Tournament - Opening Round
Played at UNC
North Carolina -8.5 / William & Mary 9:30 Et 1.25 Units
North Carolina 80 William & Mary 72 Lose
College Insider Tournament - Opening Round
Played at Marshall
Marshall -11 / Western Kentucky 7:00 ET 1.25 Units
Marshall 90 Western Kentucky 88 Lose
Monday 03/15 NBA: +2.39 Units (Volume 5.25 Units)
Over 209 NY Knicks / Philadelphia 7:00 ET 1.25 Units
NY Knicks 94 Philadelphia 84 Lose
Over 195 Detroit / Boston 8:00 ET 1.75 Units
Detroit 93 Boston 119 Winner
Houston +2.5 / Denver 8:30 ET 1.00 Unit
Houston 125 Denver 123 Winner
Under 205 Washington / Utah 9:00 ET 1.25 Units
Washington 89 Utah 112 Winner
Sunday 03/14 NCAAB: +1.37 Units (Volume 1.50 Units)
Under 116.5 Richmond / Temple 1:00 ET 1.50 Units
Richmond 52 Temple 56 Winner
Sunday 03/14 NBA: -0.70 Units (Volume 5.00 Units)
Over 203 Indiana / Milwaukee 1:00 ET 1.50 Units
Indiana 94 Milwaukee 98 Lose
Philadelphia +7 / Miami 6:00 ET 1.25 Units
Philadelphia 91 Miami 104 Lose
Charlotte +9 / Orlando 6:00 ET 1.25 Units
Charlotte 96 Orlando 89 Winner
Portland -8.5 / Toronto 9:00 ET 1.00 Unit
Portland 109 Toronto 98 Winner
Saturday 03/13 NBA: -0.11 Units (Volume 2.50 Units)
Over 193.5 Orlando / Washington 7:00 ET 1.25 Units
Orlando 109 Washington 95 Winner
Under 214 Denver / Memphis 8:00 ET 1.25 Units
Denver 125 memphis 108 Lose
Saturday 03/13 NCAAB (Day games): -0.08 Units (Volume 7.25 Units)
SEC Tournament - Semifinals
Sommet Center - Nashville, TN
#519 Vandy -1.5 / Mississippi State 3:15 ET 1.25 Units
Vandy 52 Mississippi State 62 Lose
#519 Under 141.5 Vanderbilt / Mississippi State 3:15ET 1.25 Units
Vandy 52 Mississippi State 62 Winner
Atlantic 10 Conference Tournament - Semifinals
Boardwalk Hall - Atlantic City, NJ
#522 Temple -3.5 / Rhode Island 1:00 ET 1.00 Unit
Temple 57 Rhode Island 44 Winner
ACC Tournament - Semifinals
Greensboro Coliseum - Greensboro, NC
#525 Parlay: Miami (Fl) +11.5 / Duke & Under 132 1:30 ET Risk 1.00 Unit to win 2.60 Units
Miami (Fl) 74 Duke 77 Lose
Big 10 Conference Tournament - Semifinals
Conseco Fieldhouse - Indianapolis, IN
#529 Under 129 Illinois / Ohio State 1:40 ET 1.25 Units
Illinois 81 Ohio State 88 (2 OT) Lose
#531 Minnesota +3 / Purdue 4:00 ET 1.50 Units
Minnesota 69 Purdue 42 Winner
Saturday 03/13 NCAAB (Night games): -2.25 Units (Volume 2.25 Units)
PAC 10 Conference Tournament - Chamionship Game
Staples Center - Los Angeles, CA
#535 California -2 / Washington 6:00 ET 1.25 Units
California 75 Washington 79 Lose
Mountain West Conference Tournament - Chamionship Game
Thomas And Mack Center - Las Vegas, NV
#540 UNLV -4 / San Diego State 7:00 ET 1.00 Unit
UNLV 45 SDSU 55 Lose
Friday 03/11 NBA: +3.53 Units (Volume 6.50 Units)
Charlotte -10 / LA Clippers 7:00 ET 1.25 Units
Charlotte 106 LA Clippers 98 Lose
NY Knicks +7.5 / Memphis 8:00 ET 1.25 Units
NY Knicks 112 Memphis 119 Winner
Over 193.5 NJ Nets / Oklahoma City 8:00 ET 2.00 Units
NJ Nets 102 Oklahoma City 104 Winner
LA Lakers -2 / Phoenix 9:00 ET 2.00 Units
LA Lakers 102 Phoenix 96 Winner
The Suns are not a good investment when rested... they're 3-11-1 L15 playing with 3 or more days rest. Understand that most "angles" & "trends" you see really are coincidences of random acts, for example "a team is 15-0 in its last 15 games played on a Wednesday." The day of the week has nothing to do with a teams performance ATS... its coincidental and has no place in the handicapping world. But in the case of the Suns being terrible ATS with prolonged rest, we believe it's because of the run and gun fast paced style of these Suns. Their team is like a machne with many moving parts. When the machine has been running on a regular basis, it becomes more and more efficient but when the machine is turned off it takes a little while to run smoothly again. Phoenix has been sitting since Saturday, so we expect them to take some time finding their rhythm. And couple that with the fact that the last time these teams met (12/28/09), Phoenix stomped the Lakers by 15 in this same building.... so now you also have a revenge minded Laker team looking to get themselves back on track after losing 3 of their last 4.
Friday 03/12 NCAAB (Day games): +3.65 Units (Volume 9.75 Units)
ACC Conference Tournament - Quarterfinals
Greensboro Coliseum- Greensboro, NC
#827 Miami (Fl) +4 / Virginia Tech 2:30 ET 1.25 Units
Miami (Fl) 70 Virginia Tech 65 Winner
Atlantic 10 Conference Tournament - Quarterfinals
Boardwalk Hall - Atlantic City, NJ
#835 Rhode Island -4 / St. Louis 2:30 ET 1.50 Units
Rhode Island 63 St. Louis 47 Winner
SEC Tournament - Quarterfinals
Bridgestone Arena - Nashville, TN
#851 Tennessee -2.5 / Mississippi 3:15 ET 1.25 Units
Tennessee 76 Mississippi State 65 Winner
Friday 03/12 NCAAB (Night Games): +3.77 Units (Volume 6.75 Units)
ACC Conference Tournament - Quarterfinals
Greensboro Coliseum- Greensboro, NC
#829 Georgia Tech +4 / Maryland 7:00 ET 1.25 Units
Georgia Tech 69 Maryland 64 Winner
SEC Tournament - Quarterfinals
Bridgestone Arena - Nashville, TN
#856 Vanderbilt -7.5 / Georgia 9:45 ET 1.25 Units
Vanderbilt 78 Georgia 66 Winner
Conference USA Tournament - Semifinals
Bok Center - Tulsa, OK
#857 Houston -2 / So. Mssissippi 6:30 ET 1.50 Units
Houston 74 So. Mississippi 66 Winner
WAC Tournament - Semifinals
Lawlor Events Center - Reno, NV
#881 Louisiana Tech +7.5 / Utah State 9:00 ET 1.25 Units
Louisiana Tech 55 Utah State 85 Lose
Big West Conference Tournament - Semifinals
Anaheim Conention Center - Anaheim, CA
#886 Cal Santa Barbara -4 / UC Davis 9:30 ET 1.50 Units
Cal Santa Barbara 76 UC Davis 62 Winner
Thursday 03/11 NCBA: +0.12 Units (Volume 2.75 Units)
Under 206.5 Chicago / Orlando 8:00 ET 1.50 Units
Chicago 82 Orlando 111 Winner
Portland -6 / Golden State 10:30 ET 1.25 Units
Portland 110 Golden State 105 Lose
Thursday 03/11 NCAAB: -5.45 Units (Volume 9.75 Units)
ACC Conference Tournament - Opening Round
Greensboro Coliseum- Greensboro, NC
#719 NC State +7.5 / Clemson 9:30 ET 1.00 Unit
NC State 59 Clemson 57 Winner
Mid-American Conference Tournament - Quarterfinals
Quicken Loans Arena - Cleveland, OH
#727 Buffalo -1.5 / Miami (Oh) 9:30 ET 1.25 Units
Buffalo 59 Miami (Oh) 73 Lose
#727 Under 128.5 Buffalo / Miami (Oh) 1.25 Units
Buffalo 59 Miami (Oh) 73 Lose
Big 12 Conference Tournament - Quarterfinals
Sprint Center - Kansas City, MO
#734 Kansas State -4.5 / Oklahoma State 7:00 ET 1.25 Units
Kansas State 83 Oklahoma State 64 Winner
#735 Texas pk / Baylor 9:30 ET 1.50 Units
Texas 67 Baylor 86 Lose
SEC Tournament - Opening Round
Bridgestone Arena - Nashville, TN
#749 Auburn +5.5 / Florida 7:30 ET 1.25 Units
Auburn 69 Florida 78 Lose
Big 10 Conference Tournament - Opening Round
Conseco Fieldhouse - Indianapolis, IN
#757 Penn State +6 / Minnesota 7:30 ET 1.00 Unit
PSU 55 Minnesota 76 Lose
Mountain West Conference Tournament - Quarterfinals
Thomas & Mack Center - Las Vegas, NV
#773 Under 131 Utah / UNLV 11:30 ET 1.25 Units
Utah 61 UNLV 73 Lose
Wednesday 03/10 NBA: +3.42 Units (Volume 3.75 Units)
Under 216.5 Denver / Minnesota 8:00 ET 1.50 Units
Denver 110 Minnesota 102 Winner
Tonight is the 1st of 4 games in 6 nights on the road for the Nuggets with dates at New Orleans, Memphis & Houston after tonight. Can't see Denver exerting much energy tonight against the lowly T'Wolves... at least not enough to come anywhere near this posted total.
New Jersey +11 / Dallas 8:30 ET 1.00 Unit
New Jersey 87 Dallas 96 Winner
Although it's the horrible 7-Win Nets, there is sufficient value here. NJ has actually covered three straight and they're quietly becoming the leagues top money makers (19-7-1 ATS L20) and they're still not getting any respect by the linesmakers. Tonight's 11 point line is 3 points more than their game in Dallas this time last year.
Sacramento -1 / Toronto 10:00 ET 1.25 Units
Sacramento 113 Toronto 90 Winner
Wednesday 03/10 NBA: +1.15 Units (Volume 6.50 Units)
Conference USA Tournament - Opening Round
Bok Center - Tulsa - Oklahoma
#635 Over 151 East Carolina / Houston 1:00 ET 1.25 Units
East Carolina 80 Houston 93 Winner
#637 Under 117 Tulane / So. Mississippi 3:30 ET 1.25 Units
Tulane 47 So. Mississippi 57 Winner
Big 12 Conference Tournament - Opening Round
Sprint Center - Kansas City, MO
#633 Iowa State +9 / Texas 9:30 ET 1.50 Units
Iowa State 75 Texas 82 Winner
Pac-10 Conference Tournament - Opening Round
Staples Center - Los Angeles, CA
#645 Washington State -1.5 / Oregon 11:10 ET 1.25 Units
Washington State 80 oregon 82 Lose
Big West Conference Tournament - Opening Round
Sprint Center - Kansas City, MO
#649 Under 139 Cal Irvine / Cal Poly 11:30 ET 1.25 Units
Cal Irvine 69 Cal Poly 73 Lose
Tuesday 03/09 NBA: +1.65 Units (Volume 6.00 Units)
Indiana pk / Philadelphia 7:00 ET 1.25 Units
Indiana 107 Philadelphia 97 Winner
Charlotte -3.5 / Miami 7:00 ET 1.25 Units
Charlotte 83 Miami 79 Winner
Over 187 Boston / Milwaukee 8:00 ET 2.00 Units
Boston 84 Milwaukee 86 Lose
Over 206.5 Utah / Chicago 8:00 ET 1.50 Units
Utah 132 Chicago 108 Winner
Tuesday 03/09 NCAAB: -0.74 Units (Volume 6.00 Units)
Big East Conference Tournament - Opening Round
Madison Square Garden - New York, NY
#573 Providence +6 / Seton Hall 7:00 ET 1.25 Units
Providence 106 Seton Hall 109 Winner
Atlantic 10 Conference Tournament - Opening Round
(Home team noted)
#584 Charlotte -9 / UMASS 7:00 ET 1.25 Units
(At Charlotte)
Charlotte 56 UMASS 59 Lose
Horizon League Tournament - Championship Game
Hinkle Fieldhouse - Indianapolis, IN
#587 Wright State +7 / Butler 9:00 ET 2.00 Units
Wright State 45 Butler 70 Lose
Sky Conference Tournament - Semifinals
Dee Events Center - Ogden, UT
#589 Montana -2 / No. Colorado 6:35 ET 1.50 Units
Montana 68 No. Colorado 63 Winner
Monday 03/08 NCAAB: +1.14 Units (Volume 2.50 Units)
Sun Belt Tournament - Semifinals
Summit Arena - Hot Springs, AR
Troy +4.5 / Western Kentucky 7:00 ET 1.25 Units
Troy 54 Western Kentucky 48 Winner
Monday 03/08 NBA: -1.25 Units (Volume 2.50 Units)
Minnesota +6.5 / Dallas 8:00 ET 1.25 Units
Minnesota 112 Dallas 125 Lose
Sunday 03/07 NCAAB: +0.08 Units (Volume 9.00 Units)
#819 Clemson +1 / Wake Forest 6:00 ET 1.00 Unit
Clemson 65 Wake Forest 70 Lose
#825 South Alabama +5.5 / Troy 7:45 ET 1.25 Units
South Alabama 55 Troy 67 Lose
#830 Northern Iowa -3 / Wichita State 2:05 ET 2.00 Units
Northern Iowa 67 Wichita State 52 Winner
#830 Over 114 Wichita State / Northern Iowa 1.50 Unit
Wichita State 52 Northern Iowa 67 Winner
#831 Va Commonwealth +1.5 / Old Dominion 3:00 ET 2.00 Units
Va. Commomwealth 69 Old Dominion 73 Lose
#836 Northern Illinois +8.5 / Eastern Michigan 2:00 ET 1.25 Units
Northern Illinois 65 Eastern Michigan 59 Winner
Sunday 03/07 NBA: -0.86 Units (Volume 3.50 Units)
Under 208 Philadelphia / Toronto 12 Noon ET 2.00 Units
Philadelphia 114 Toronto 101 Lose
Chris Bosh is expected to make his return to the Raptor lineup this afternoon after missing nearly a month due to an ankle injury. Whenever a key player returns from long layoff it takes time to work him back into the rotation and there's usually a bit of "rustiness" on the players part. Couple this with an early 12 noon start in Toronto and the high likelihood of the visiting Sixers having a late night out on the town Saturday night in one of the most popular NBA cities for young players. Look for much awkwardness and bad shots, especially early on for both teams.
LA Lakers +2.5 / Orlando 2:30 ET 1.25 Units
LA LAkers 94 Orlando 96 Winner
NOTE: We listed this game as LAL +2 upon release, but LAL +2.5 was widely available at the time of our release (1:30 ET). There were very few, if any, +2's still around)
Saturday 03/06 NCAAB: -4.33 Units (Volume 11.50 Units)
#532 Penn State +6 / Purdue 2:30 ET 1.25 Units
Penn State 60 Purdue 64 Winner
#547 Under 135.5 Richmond / Charlotte 2:00 ET 1.25 Units
Richmond 89 Charlotte 84 (OT) Lose
#554 Marquette -7 / Notre Dame 2:00 ET 1.00 Unit
Marquette 60 Notre Dame 63 Lose
#580 LSU -1.5 / Georgia 5:00 ET 1.25 Units
LSU 50 Georgia 48 Winner
#581 Under 139 Tennessee / Mississippi State 6:00 ET 1.25 Units
Tennessee 75 Mississippi State 59 Winner
#582 Mississippi State -3.5 / Tennessee 6:00 ET 1.25 Units
Mississippi State 59 Tennessee 75 Lose
Colonial Conference Tournament - Quarterfinals
Richmond Coliseum - Richmond, VA
#638 George Mason +9 / Va. Commonwealth 2:30 ET 1.50 Units
George Mason 60 Va Commonwealth 75 Lose
#639 Under 127 Hofstra / Northeastern 6:00 ET 1.25 Units
Hofstra 71 Northeastern 74 (2OT) Lose
Missouri Valley Conference Tournament - Semifials
Richmond Coliseum - Richmond, VA
#645 Illinois State +3.5 / Wichita State 4:05 ET 1.50 Units
Illinois State 61 Wichita State 65 Lose
Saturday 03/06 NBA: -2.22 Units (Volume 4.50 Units)
Under 207 Golden State / Charlotte 7:00 ET 1.25 Units
Golden State 90 Charlotte 101 Winner
Under 189 Atlanta / Miami 7:30 ET 1.25 Units
Atlanta 94 Miami 100 Lose
Over 194.5 Cleveland / Milwaukee 8:30 ET 2.00 Units
Cleveland 85 Milwaukee 92 Lose
Friday 03/05 NBA: +3.88 Units (Volume 4.25 Units)
Under 200.5 Detroit / Cleveland 7:00 ET 1.50 Units
Detroit 92 Cleveland 99 Winner
Under 222.5 NY Knicks / Toronto 7:00 ET 1.25 Units
NY Knicks 96 Toronto 102 Winner
NJ Nets +10.5 / Orlando 8:00 ET 1.50 Units
NJ Nets 87 Orlando 97 Winner
Very vulnerable spot for the Magic tonight. Can't see them getting up at all for this trip to New Jersey to play the 6-win Nets, especially when they have a meeting with the Lakers at home on deck on Sunday afternoon on national TV... The same Laker team that Orlando's In State rival Heat just disposed of Thursday night in Miami. Plus the Magic are coming off of two way above average shooting performances (55% combined), and that too will most likely find a way to even out. Normally we'd look at game like this as a stay away game, but there'e just too much working against a double digit win here for Orlando.
Friday 03/05 NCAAB (Afternoon games): +3.08 Units (Volume 6.00 Units)
Colonial Conference Tournament - Opening Round
Richmond Coliseum - Richmond, VA
#841 Delaware +16 / Va. Commonwealth 2:30 ET 1.25 Units
Delaware 49 va Commonwealth 66 Lose
#841 Under 139.5 Delaware / Va. Commonwealth 1.50 Units
Delaware 49 va Commonwealth 66 Winner
Missouri Valley Conference Tournament - Quarterfinals
Scotttrade Center - St. Louis, MO
#849 Bradley +3.5 / Creighton 3:30 ET 2.00 Units
Bradley 81 Creighton 62 Winner
Horizon League Tournament - Opening Round
Hinkle Fieldhouse - Indianapolis, IN
#855 Detroit -1.5 / Wisconsin Green Bay 6:00 ET 1.25 Units
Detroit 62 Wisconsin Green Bay 53 Winner
Friday 03/05 NCAAB (Night games): -4.11 Units (Volume 6.50 Units)
Colonial Conference Tournament - Opening Round
Richmond Coliseum - Richmond, VA
#843 Georgia State +6 / Hofstra 6:00 ET 1.25 Units
Georgia 67 Hofstra 68 Winner
#846 Drexel -5.5 / James Madison 8:30 ET 1.25 Units
Drexel 65 James Madison 77 Lose
Missouri Valley Conference Tournament - Quarterfinals
Scotttrade Center - St. Louis, MO
#851 Under 128.5 Missouri State / Wichita State 7:05 ET 1.25 Units
Missouri State 63 Wichita State 73 Lose
#853 Under 130 Indiana State / Illinois State 9:35 ET 1.50 Units
Indiana State 65 Illinois State 69 Lose
West Coast Conference Tournament - Opening Round
Orleans Arena - Las Vegas, NV
#875 Under 141.5 Pepperdine / Loyola Marymount 9:00 ET 1.25 Units
Pepperdine 84 Loyola Marymount 87 Lose
Thursday 03/04 NBA: -3.75 Units (Volume 3.75 Units)
Over 204 Chicago / Memphis 8:00 ET 1.25 Units
Chicago 96 Memphis 105 Lose
Parlay: Chicago -5.5 & Over 204 Risk 0.5/Unit to win 1.30 Units
Chicago 96 Memphis 105 Lose
Under 189.5 LA Lakers / Miami 8:00 ET 2.00 Units
LA Lakers 111 Miami 114 (OT) Lose
Thursday 03/04 NCAAB: -1.47 Units (Volume 6.25 Units)
#517 Under 123 Dayton / Richmond 7:00 ET 1.25 Units
Dayton 56 Richmond 60 Winner
#531 Washington State +3 / Oregon State 10:00 ET 1.00 Unit
Washington State 55 Oregon State 59 Lose
#535 Over 133 Louisiana Tech / Fresno State 10:00 ET 1.25 Units
Louisiana Tech 59 Fresno State 66 Lose
#542 Oregon +5 / Washington 10:00 ET 1.50 Units
Oregon 72 Washington 86 Lose
#547 Under 133 Evansville / Missouri State 9:35 ET 1.25 Units
Evansville 46 Missouri State 52 Winner
Wednesday 03/03 NBA: +0.28 Units (Volume 4.50 Units)
Under 191 Charlotte / Boston 7:30 ET 1.25 Units
Charlotte 80 Boston 104 Winner
Parlay: Charlotte +4.5 & Under 190 Risk 0.5/Unit to win 1.30 Units
Charlotte 80 Boston 104 Lose
Over 193.5 Washington / Milwaukee 8:00 ET 1.50 Units
Washington 87 Milwaukee 100 Lose
Denver -6.5 / Oklahoma City 9:00 ET 1.25 Units
Denver 119 Oklahoma City 90 Winner
Wednesday 03/03 NCAAB: +0.09 Units (Volume 4.75 Units)
#758 Over 146.5 Rice / Houston 8:00 ET 1.75 Units
Rice 70 Houston 78 Winner
#765 Under 147.5 Duke / Maryland 9:00 ET 1.50 Units
Duke 72 maryland 79 Lose
Tuesday 03/02 NCAAB: +0.03 Units (Volume 4.75 Units)
#523 UTEP +2 / Marshall 7:00 ET 1.25 Units
UTEP 80 Marshall 76 Winner
#526 Florida -3 / Vanderbilt 7:00 ET 1.25 Units
Florida 60 vanderbilt 64 Lose
#527 Over 124 South Florida / Depaul 7:30 ET 1.00 Unit
South Florida 63 Depaul59 Lose
#549 Detroit +1.5 / Valparaiso 8:00 ET 1.25 Units
Detroit 89 Valparaiso 82 Winner
Tuesday 03/02 NBA: -2.25 Units (Volume 2.25 Units)
Miami -10.5 / Golden State 7:30 ET 1.25 Units
Miami 110 Golden State 106 Lose
After losing their last 4, the Heat find themselves at the bottom of the playoff picture hanging onto the 8 seed by a thread. With 9 of their next 10 games at home before finishing the season with 9 of 12 road games, Miami must take a stand now if they plan on making the playoffs. Tonight Dwayne Wade makes his 2nd start since returning to the lineup (after a 4 game absence due to injury). It usually takes a team a game to get their star player worked back into the line up after such a layoff, so the timing is perfect for the Heat to take advantage of a beat up Warrior team that has really struggled on the road this season.
Parlay: Sacramento +10 / Oklahoma City & Under 204 Risk 1 Unit to win 2.60 Units
Sacramento 107 Oklahooma City 113 Lose
This is the only way for us to play this game as we feel strongly that both of these outcomes are dependent on each other. With a trip to the mile high city on deck for the Thunder tomorrow to play the red hot Nuggets, we can't see them exerting much energy tonight against the lowly Kings. Can OKC blow Sac out of the building? Absolutely... and if they do the game will most likely turn into a track meet making the over good too... but we think the Thunder will be looking to pace themselves here as they look ahead to their date with one of the NBA's elite in 24 hours. Nice payoff for our 1 Unit risk...
Monday 03/01 NBA: -3.75 Units (Volume 3.75 Units)
Charlotte -3 / Dallas 7:00 ET 1.50 Units
Charlotte 84 Dallas 89 Lose
Under 198 Orlando / Philadelphia 7:00 ET 1.25 Units
Orlando 126 Philadelphia 105 Lose
Under 202.5 Utah / LA Clippers 10:30 ET 1.00 Unit
Utah 104 LA Clippers 108 Lose