2009-2010 NBA Results
Click here for full season results
Week: 4/26 - 5/02
-0.45 Units (Volume: 13.50 Units)
Sunday, 05/02 NBA: -2.00 Units (Volume: 2.00 Unit)
Over 185 Milwaukee / Atlanta 1:00 ET 2.00 Units
Milwaukee 74 Atlanta 95 Lose
Saturday, 05/01 NBA: -+0.00 Units (Volume: 0.00 Unit)
PASS
Friday, 04/30 NBA: +0.20 Units (Volume: 2.50 Unit)
Series Play: +1.70 Units (Released 4/17)
Utah +170 / Denver 1.00 Unit Game 1 Start 10:30 ET
Play on Utah to win the series.
Utah 4 Games Denver 2 Games Winner
Milwaukee +2 / Atlanta 7:00 ET 1.50 Units
Milwaukee 69 Atlanta 83 Lose
We're backing the Bucks again tonight for many of the same reasons we were on them in game 5. Atlanta has collapsed mentally and has given the little dog hope, (or in this case the little "deer"), so now fittingly it will be Atlanta with the deer in the headlights look upon their faces come the final minutes tonight in Milwaukee, as the Bucks know this is their game seven... lose tonight and the series will be all but over as the momentum will totally shift back to Atlanta as they breathe a huge sigh of relief...
We'll say it again tonight. Things aren't always as they seem in the NBA, especially in the playoffs. There's plenty of talk to the effect of the future of Joe Johnson, as well as Coach Woodson is riding on this game and advancing to the second round. This is certainly the year Atlanta is supposed to make it out of he first round, considering the dues they've paid these past 3 seasons. Remember, in Joe Johnson's second year with Atlanta the Hawks won just 30 games (2006-07). Then the following year, as heavy dogs, Atlanta took the Celtics to 7 games before finally succumbing in one of the most exciting first rounds ever. Then last season Atlanta broke through and won in 7 games over the Heat to advance, but ran into Cleveland and got swept. So here they are again, their 3rd straight year in the post season and off of a 52 win regular season, Atlanta is expected to get past Milwaukee, especially given the Buck's current status (without their big man). What happened? Who knows exactly, but it's clear hat Atlanta is running on fumes emotionally and all the momentum is with the under manned Bucks playing on their home court. This very well may be the last game you'll see Joe Johnson play in a Hawks uniform as they'll have the entire summer to wonder what could have been had only they been able to close out game 5 at home....
Thursday, 04/29 NBA: -1.30 Units (Volume: 4.00 Unit)
Series Play: +1.70 Units (Released on 4/18)
San Antonio +170 / Dallas 1 Unit
Play on the Spurs to win this series
San Antonio 4 Games Dallas 2 Games Winner
Over 190.5* Dallas / San Antonio 8:00 ET 2.00 Units
Dallas 87 San Antonio 97 Lose
Parlay: San Antonio (ML) -190 & Over 190.5 Risk 1.00 Unit to win 1.91 Units
Dallas 87 San Antonio 97 Lose
*Note on the O/U line: The total is down a half point from the opener of 191. there are some scattered 190's out there, and we feel the line will continue to drop, so you may want to wait until a bit closer to tip-off.
Elimination game for Dallas tonight in enemy territory. We've said all along the Spurs would be dangerous in the playoffs. We have a pending 1 Unit play on San Antonio +170 for the series, so there's no need to go too heavy on them tonight, although we are using them on the ML tied in with the Over for a nice +1.91 unit payout.
After extreme defense throughout the series played by both teams (186.6 ppg average this series), we feel strongly tonight will be a much looser game and as you know, it takes much more energy to play quality defense as opposed to running the floor. Also note the line progression throughout this series. The last game of the regular season these teams met and the total was 199. Dallas won 96-89, staying under by 15, so naturally an adjustment was made (to 194) for game1 of this series. And that's where the total has stayed, give or take a half point or so for the entire series and each game has gone under by an average of 8 points. So now we're getting an extra 4 points when in actuality the line should be moving the other way, but that's the power of recent results... they're blinding to the average bettor, and that's who is driving this line.
Another factor here is that since this is an elimination game, there's a greater chance for plenty of "free" points in the intentional fouling session at the end of the game. If the Mavs are down, they're going to pull out all the stops down the stretch until the final buzzer sounds.
Wednesday, 04/28 NBA: +1.37 Units (Volume: 1.50 Unit)
Milwaukee +9 / Atlanta 8:00 ET 1.50 Units
Milwaukee 91 Atlanta 87 Winner
This game seems so "easy"... kind of reminds you of those pattern questions on tests when you were a kid... you know, 1, 3, 5, _, 9... What's the missing number? Atlanta won by 10 in both game one & game two in Atlanta, then Milwaukee won 18 & 7 in their 2 home games, so now it's time for Atlanta to win by double digits at home, right...? Not so fast. This is the NBA playoffs, and things aren't always as they seem this time of the year. We feel the Hawk's inability to win thus far on the road in this series is going to cost them... maybe not the series, but it may cost them by stretching the series to 7 games, minimizing their rest time between series. By not winning in Milwaukee in either game 3 or 4, the Hawks gave the Bucks the clear cut advantage in motivation, and that's very big in the NBA playoffs. Teams tend to rise to new levels when given hope. 9 point is a big number to give a team on a roll.
Tuesday, 04/27 NBA: +1.14 Units (Volume: 1.25 Unit)
Under 193 San Antonio / Dallas 9:30 ET 1.25 Units
San Antonio 81 Dallas 103 Winner
Series Play: Released 4/23 when Miami was down 0-2 in the series.
Miami +450 / Boston Game 3 Start 7:00 ET 1.00 Unit
Miami 1 Game Boston 4 Games Lose
Monday, 04/26 NBA: +1.14 Units (Volume: 1.25 Unit)
Orlando -4 / Charlotte 8:00 ET 1.25 Units
Orlando 99 Charlotte 90 Winner
We're not going for the 'wanna win it at home" crap... This is just the first round. The Magic aren't overly concerned with losing the revenue from one game. The extra rest they'll get by wrapping things up tonight, both physically & mentally, is well worth the trade-off.
After Charlotte let game 3 slip away, we can't see them having much incentive tonight, unless they figure to go to Disney World after losing game 5. They had the Magic in the perfect spot Saturday with Howard on the bench after fouling out with 3:30 left in the 4th and the Bobcats with an 80-79 lead. Orlando outscored Charlotte 11-6 down the stretch without their big man. Too much depth and experience for Charlotte to handle. Orlando sweeps...
Click here for full season results
Week: 4/26 - 5/02
-0.45 Units (Volume: 13.50 Units)
Sunday, 05/02 NBA: -2.00 Units (Volume: 2.00 Unit)
Over 185 Milwaukee / Atlanta 1:00 ET 2.00 Units
Milwaukee 74 Atlanta 95 Lose
Saturday, 05/01 NBA: -+0.00 Units (Volume: 0.00 Unit)
PASS
Friday, 04/30 NBA: +0.20 Units (Volume: 2.50 Unit)
Series Play: +1.70 Units (Released 4/17)
Utah +170 / Denver 1.00 Unit Game 1 Start 10:30 ET
Play on Utah to win the series.
Utah 4 Games Denver 2 Games Winner
Milwaukee +2 / Atlanta 7:00 ET 1.50 Units
Milwaukee 69 Atlanta 83 Lose
We're backing the Bucks again tonight for many of the same reasons we were on them in game 5. Atlanta has collapsed mentally and has given the little dog hope, (or in this case the little "deer"), so now fittingly it will be Atlanta with the deer in the headlights look upon their faces come the final minutes tonight in Milwaukee, as the Bucks know this is their game seven... lose tonight and the series will be all but over as the momentum will totally shift back to Atlanta as they breathe a huge sigh of relief...
We'll say it again tonight. Things aren't always as they seem in the NBA, especially in the playoffs. There's plenty of talk to the effect of the future of Joe Johnson, as well as Coach Woodson is riding on this game and advancing to the second round. This is certainly the year Atlanta is supposed to make it out of he first round, considering the dues they've paid these past 3 seasons. Remember, in Joe Johnson's second year with Atlanta the Hawks won just 30 games (2006-07). Then the following year, as heavy dogs, Atlanta took the Celtics to 7 games before finally succumbing in one of the most exciting first rounds ever. Then last season Atlanta broke through and won in 7 games over the Heat to advance, but ran into Cleveland and got swept. So here they are again, their 3rd straight year in the post season and off of a 52 win regular season, Atlanta is expected to get past Milwaukee, especially given the Buck's current status (without their big man). What happened? Who knows exactly, but it's clear hat Atlanta is running on fumes emotionally and all the momentum is with the under manned Bucks playing on their home court. This very well may be the last game you'll see Joe Johnson play in a Hawks uniform as they'll have the entire summer to wonder what could have been had only they been able to close out game 5 at home....
Thursday, 04/29 NBA: -1.30 Units (Volume: 4.00 Unit)
Series Play: +1.70 Units (Released on 4/18)
San Antonio +170 / Dallas 1 Unit
Play on the Spurs to win this series
San Antonio 4 Games Dallas 2 Games Winner
Over 190.5* Dallas / San Antonio 8:00 ET 2.00 Units
Dallas 87 San Antonio 97 Lose
Parlay: San Antonio (ML) -190 & Over 190.5 Risk 1.00 Unit to win 1.91 Units
Dallas 87 San Antonio 97 Lose
*Note on the O/U line: The total is down a half point from the opener of 191. there are some scattered 190's out there, and we feel the line will continue to drop, so you may want to wait until a bit closer to tip-off.
Elimination game for Dallas tonight in enemy territory. We've said all along the Spurs would be dangerous in the playoffs. We have a pending 1 Unit play on San Antonio +170 for the series, so there's no need to go too heavy on them tonight, although we are using them on the ML tied in with the Over for a nice +1.91 unit payout.
After extreme defense throughout the series played by both teams (186.6 ppg average this series), we feel strongly tonight will be a much looser game and as you know, it takes much more energy to play quality defense as opposed to running the floor. Also note the line progression throughout this series. The last game of the regular season these teams met and the total was 199. Dallas won 96-89, staying under by 15, so naturally an adjustment was made (to 194) for game1 of this series. And that's where the total has stayed, give or take a half point or so for the entire series and each game has gone under by an average of 8 points. So now we're getting an extra 4 points when in actuality the line should be moving the other way, but that's the power of recent results... they're blinding to the average bettor, and that's who is driving this line.
Another factor here is that since this is an elimination game, there's a greater chance for plenty of "free" points in the intentional fouling session at the end of the game. If the Mavs are down, they're going to pull out all the stops down the stretch until the final buzzer sounds.
Wednesday, 04/28 NBA: +1.37 Units (Volume: 1.50 Unit)
Milwaukee +9 / Atlanta 8:00 ET 1.50 Units
Milwaukee 91 Atlanta 87 Winner
This game seems so "easy"... kind of reminds you of those pattern questions on tests when you were a kid... you know, 1, 3, 5, _, 9... What's the missing number? Atlanta won by 10 in both game one & game two in Atlanta, then Milwaukee won 18 & 7 in their 2 home games, so now it's time for Atlanta to win by double digits at home, right...? Not so fast. This is the NBA playoffs, and things aren't always as they seem this time of the year. We feel the Hawk's inability to win thus far on the road in this series is going to cost them... maybe not the series, but it may cost them by stretching the series to 7 games, minimizing their rest time between series. By not winning in Milwaukee in either game 3 or 4, the Hawks gave the Bucks the clear cut advantage in motivation, and that's very big in the NBA playoffs. Teams tend to rise to new levels when given hope. 9 point is a big number to give a team on a roll.
Tuesday, 04/27 NBA: +1.14 Units (Volume: 1.25 Unit)
Under 193 San Antonio / Dallas 9:30 ET 1.25 Units
San Antonio 81 Dallas 103 Winner
Series Play: Released 4/23 when Miami was down 0-2 in the series.
Miami +450 / Boston Game 3 Start 7:00 ET 1.00 Unit
Miami 1 Game Boston 4 Games Lose
Monday, 04/26 NBA: +1.14 Units (Volume: 1.25 Unit)
Orlando -4 / Charlotte 8:00 ET 1.25 Units
Orlando 99 Charlotte 90 Winner
We're not going for the 'wanna win it at home" crap... This is just the first round. The Magic aren't overly concerned with losing the revenue from one game. The extra rest they'll get by wrapping things up tonight, both physically & mentally, is well worth the trade-off.
After Charlotte let game 3 slip away, we can't see them having much incentive tonight, unless they figure to go to Disney World after losing game 5. They had the Magic in the perfect spot Saturday with Howard on the bench after fouling out with 3:30 left in the 4th and the Bobcats with an 80-79 lead. Orlando outscored Charlotte 11-6 down the stretch without their big man. Too much depth and experience for Charlotte to handle. Orlando sweeps...