2009-2010 NBA Results
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Week: 4/19 - 4/25
-7.83 Units (Volume: 16.00 Units)
Sunday, 04/25 NBA: -0.86 Units (Volume: 3.25 Unit)
Under 195 Dallas / San Antonio 7:00 ET 1.25 Units
Dallas 89 San Antonio 92 Winner
Under 186 Boston / Miami 1:00 ET 2.00 Units
Boston 92 Miami 101 Lose
About the only thing the Heat have left to hang their hats on is their at time tenacious defense. It's a pretty much done deal that Miami won't be advancing, but to lay down this afternoon in front of their faithful fans would be a sin. Not saying they'll avoid the sweep, but they'll go down fighting (on defense) if they do indeed lose today. Also factor into the equation the early Sunday start. Gotta figure Boston to be a bit groggy after Friday & Saturday nights in South Beach and having to be up for work this morning around 8 AM.
Saturday, 04/24 NBA: -3.25 Units (Volume: 3.25 Unit)
Atlanta +1.5 / Milwaukee 7:00 ET 2.00 Units
Atlanta 89 Milwaukee 107 Lose
Under 189 Atlanta / Milwaukee 1.25 Units
Atlanta 89 Milwaukee 107 Lose
Very likely Atlanta will sweep the Bucks. Unfortunately for Milwaukee, they don't have a replacement for Andrew Bogut who has been out since 4/3. Often times, as you know, we like to go against hot shooting teams like the Hawks have been lately, citing that well above average shooting usually comes right back down, but in this case we feel there's more to it. Atlanta is just too much for Milwaukee in their present condition. The Hawks will roll again tonight, even if their shot is off.
Friday, 04/23 NBA: -1.25 Units (Volume: 2.25 Unit)
Miami -4 / Boston 7:00 ET 1.25 Units
Miami 98 Bosotn 100 Lose
Series Play:
Miami +450 / Boston Game 3 Start 7:00 ET 1.00 Unit
PENDING
This is a 1 Unit play on Miami to win the series (Series currently Boston 2-0).
Great value here as we fully expect the Heat to bounce right back and take game 3 at home tonight. If so, it comes down to 1 more home win to even the series thus making it a best of 3 with 2 games on the road. We liked Miami in this series before it started, but were waiting for this very situation to get this price (Miami was getting just +160 before the series started). No matter how you slice it, the Heat have to win in Boston. If they didn't get it done in the first 2 games there, the good news is there are 2 more. Of course Miami really does have to win these next 2 at home, but the team without home court is always under the gun to win their home games.
Thursday, 04/22 NBA: +1.14 Units (Volume: 1.25 Unit)
Chicago +4.5 / Cleveland 7:00 ET 1.25 Units
Chicago 108 Cleveland 106 Winner
No, the Bulls won't win this series, but they're not going to lay down either. Remember the dog fight they made last years first round series into with the Celtics taking the then defending champs to 7 games. This line is on the rise behind heavy public action on the Cavs, so you'll probably see +5 before game time. Chicago, although down 0-2, played tough in both games on the road and we see no reason for them to stop now at home. We look for this game to come down to the wire and wouldn't be surprised at all with the Bulls getting the outright win.
Wednesday, 04/21 NBA: +0.00 Units (Volume: 0.00Unit)
PASS
Tuesday, 04/20 NBA: -0.36 Units (Volume: 2.75 Unit)
Under 187.5 Milwaukee / Atlanta 8:00 ET 1.25 Units
Milwaukee 86 Atlanta 96 Winner
LA Lakers -6.5 / Oklahoma City 10:30 ET 1.50 Units
LA Lakers 95 Oklahoma City 92 Lose
Monday, 04/19 NBA: -3.25 Units (Volume: 3.25 Unit)
Cleveland -10.5 / Chicago 8:00 ET 1.25 Units
Cleveland 102 Chicago 112 Lose
Can't start letting the double digit lay concern us here. Yes, the Bulls hung around in game 1 and nearly covered, but if you make a play in hopes of the final landing on one of 10 numbers (Cleveland by 1 through 10), you may as well stop betting sports because there's no future in that mentality. We're also not saying that the Bulls is a bad play... IF you think they have a legitimate shot at winning on the road tonight, but we don't. So now the question for us boils down to the validity of the number, and the best way to measure that is to ask a simple question: If before the game starts the scoreboard read Chicago 11 Cleveland 0, do we think the Cavs can win the game? Yes, it's a rhetorical question. If Cleveland blows the cover in the end so be it, but this one has all the signs of a blowout as the Cavs warm up in preparation for a very deep playoff run...
Under 212.5 Utah / Denver 10:30 ET 2.00 Units
Utah 114 Denver 111 Lose
Getting some nice value here thanks to the recent over trend of this match-up. 5 of the last 6 in this series have gone over the total, but the average total in those 6 games is 207.5, 5 points less than tonight's number. Of course after game1 flew over the total (239 points scored), the line maker really has no choice but to inflate the number and that's still not deterring the public as they're playing this one over at a better than 2:1 clip. Not us... because the very thing that is causing the line to inflate we feel should actually cause the line to shrink... You see both teams in game one of this series shot lights out... Denver 57% & Utah 55%, and this is one stat that almost always straightens itself out immediately. We're looking for both teams tonight to struggle finding the hole... 53 point per quarter is a tall order if your shot is even just a bit off...