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Sunday 2/21 NBA: -2.62 Units (Volume 10.75 Units)
Boston +4.5 / Denver 3:30 ET 1.25 Units
Boston 105 Denver 114 Lose
Over 198 Boston / Denver 1.50 Units
Boston 105 Denver 114 Winner
Parlay: Boston (ML) +165 & Over 198 Risk 0.5 Unit to win 2.03 Units
Boston 105 Denver 114 Lose
We're looking for the Celtics to continue their post All Star break run this afternoon in Denver. The addition of Nate Robinson will prove to be a winner in Boston given some time for Nate to get worked in.... many times mid season trades take some time to get players acclimated to new systems, just ask the Cavs as they got blasted in Charlotte last night (93-110) in Antwan Jamison's debut (2 points, 0-12 FG in 26 min). Robinson won't be making his debut until next week as he's been battling the flu. The trade that acquired Robinson has sent Eddie House to NY which makes for a peaceful Ray Allen no longer having to worry about being the one to go. Since the trade deadline passed, Allen has hit stride scoring 45 points in 2 games.
This game will be a real test for Boston as it's their 4th game in 6 days on the road and they have to play in the thin air of the Mile High City, but championship caliber teams win in these spots and they are catching the Nuggets during a flat time having won just 5 of their last 10 including a terrible loss in Washington last night (97-107), this coming after an impressive 118-116 OT win in Cleveland Thursday.
Both Boston and Denver are road weary having played away from home Thursday & Friday and now face off in an early afternoon game with just one day of rest. When teams are tired, the first thing to go is the defense which is why we're on the over here, and we feel Boston will dig down deep to do what it takes to get this road win in the Pepsi Center.
Over 192.5 Memphis / NJ Nets 6:00 ET 1.50 Units
Memphis 104 NJ Nets 94 Winner
Minnesota +5 / Oklahoma City 7:00 ET 1.25 Units
Minnesota 107 Oklahoma City 109 Winner
We were on these T' Wolves Friday against the Bulls in a heartbreaking loss (94-100 as 2 point dogs). Minnesota hung around all night and wee within a point heading to the 4Q. In fact, Minnesota "hangs around" in many of their games and we feel they're a year away from respectability. They recently put together a 4 game winning streak (right before the break) beating the Clippers, nicks, Dallas on the road & Memphis. Sure they've lost 5 since but tonight they're hosting a Thunder team in a certain look ahead spot. OKC plays the high flying Suns at home on Tuesday and then immediately travels to San Antonio to play the Spurs on Thursday, so we can't see them taking today too seriously as they'll be looking to keep some fuel in the tank.
Over 217 Sacramento / Phoenix 8:00 ET 2.00 Units
Sacramento 88 Phoenix 104 Lose
Line-maker's now over-adjusting here due to the recent string of Phoenix Unders (7 straight). In the last two seasons these teams have met 7 time with an average posted total of 226... don't rely on recent stats here... look for the Suns to run all night and play no defense. They put in their defensive effort of the month Friday in holding Atlanta to just 80 points (88-80). This line is off 8-10 points...
Portland -1 / Utah 10:30 ET 1.25 Units
Portland 93 Utah 89 Lose
Over 192 Utah / Portland 1.50 Units
Portland 93 Utah 89 Lose
Utah wraps up a four game road trip in Portland tonight having won their last three including 100-89 in Golden State Friday. This is the 4th game in 6 nights on the road for the Jazz while the Blazers are much more rested having played just twice since the break. Look for a tired Jazz team to abort the defensive end and get outlasted by the rested Blazers.