2009 MLB Results
Click here for full season results
Week: 9/07 - 9/13
-6.61 Units (Volume: 23.50 Units)
Sunday 9/13: -2.50 Units (Volume: 5.00 Units)
Tampa Bay (Garza) +120 / Boston (Buchholz) 12:10 ET 1.25 Units
Tampa Bay 1 Boston 3 Lose
Over 7 Runs (Even) Atlanta (Vazquez) / St. Louis (Carpenter) 2:15 ET 1.25 Units
Atlanta 9 St. Louis 2 Winner
LA Dodgers (Billingsley) -115 / San Francisco (Penny) 4:05 ET 1 Unit
LA dodgers 2 San Francisco 7 Lose
Baltimore (Guthrie) +290 / NY Yankees (Sabathia) 1:05 ET 0.5/Unit
Baltimore 3 NY Yankees 13 Lose
Over 9 Runs (Even) Chicago WS (Buehrle) / LA Angels (Kazmir) 3:35 ET 1 Unit
CWS 2 LAA 3 Lose
Saturday 9/12: PASS (Volume: 0 Units)
No MLB plays Saturday
Friday 9/11: +1.61 Units (Volume: 4.25 Units)
Atlanta (Jurrjens) +115 / St. Louis (Piniero) 8:15 ET 1.75 Units
Atlanta 1 St. Louis 0 Winner
LA Dodgers (Kuroda) +110 / San Francisco (Cain) 10:15 Et 1 Unit
LA Dodgers 10 San Francisco 3 Winner
Over 7.5 Runs (Even) Kansas City (Greinke) / Cleveland (Masterson) 7:05 ET 1 Unit
Kansas City 2 Cleveland 1 Lose
Parlay: Baltimore (Tillman) +260 / NY Yankees (Pettitte) & Under 10 Runs (-120) 7:05 ET Risk 0.5/Unit to win 2.80 Units
Baltimore 10 NY Yankees 4 Lose
Nothing more than "The price is right" here for young Chris Tillman to pitch well in Yankee Stadium. Tillman's allowed 3 or fewer earned runs in 6 of his 8 starts this year... worth a half unit investment at 5.6:1.
Thursday 9/10: -1.00 units (Volume: 1.00 Units)
Parlay: Colorado (Contreras) -225 / Cincinnati (Wells) & Over 10 Runs (-115) Risk 1 Unit to win 1.70 Units
Colorado 5 Cincinnati 1 Lose
Here's an appropriate spot for Cincinnati to continue their downward spiral. The Reds, before losing their last 3 in this series to the Rockies, won 12 of 14 including series sweeps at Milwaukee (8/25-27), home vs Pittsburgh (4 games: 8/31-9/02) and most recent at Atlanta (9/04-06) and Kip Wells started in 3 of those wins (1-0 and 2 ND's). Wells came out of the bullpen at the beginning of the Reds' run and has pitched well on paper but does have some control issues. In his last 2 outings, Wells has only given up 3 hits in 12 innings but he also walked 8 while striking out only 6. Considering Wells has a 4.85 ERA and a 1.40 WHIP in 52 innings since coming over to the Reds, we can't see him keeping this Rockies line-up down. He's averaged over 100 pitches in each of his 3 starts but has only gone 6, 6 & 5 innings... he's worked his way out of many jams and has gone deep in a lot of counts to have only allowed 5 runs in those 17 innings (2.64 ERA), but that's what happens when a team as a whole is going good... pitchers make those key pitches... but now that Cincy's run has fizzled, this may very well be a long afternoon for Mr. Wells at Coors Field!
This is the only way for us to play this game. There's no real value in the ML(-225) where as a Unit risk will only net 0.44/Unit, and the risky proposition of laying -1.5 Runs at home still demands a -125 lay (+0.8/Unit for a 1 Unit risk). We're on the game because we fee Kip Wells will get hit hard, but even with that thinking we still may need a little help from the Reds bats to put the game over, but making 4x that of a ML (-225) play, or twice that of a run-line (-125) play, we'll take on the added risk.
Wednesday 9/09: -0.63 units (Volume: 7.25 Units)
St. Louis - Milwaukee 2 Plays Total Risk 1.5 Units
Milwaukee (Suppan) +175 / St. Louis (Wainwright) 2:05 ET 0.5/Unit
Milwaukee 1 St. Louis 5 Lose
Over 8.5 Runs (-120) Milwaukee (Suppan) / St. Louis (Wainwright) 1 Unit
Milwaukee 1 St. Louis 5 Lose
Over 8.5 Runs (-110) San Diego (Leblanc) / San Francisco (Zito) 3:45 ET 1 Uint
San Diego 4 San Francisco 2 Lose
Under 8.5 Runs (Even) Philadelphia (Lee) / Washington (Mock) 7:05 ET 1.25 Unit
Philadelphia 6 Washington 5 Lose
Cliff lee coming off of a couple of terrible outings: 19 hits & 12 runs last 2 starts (8 innings total) after the near perfection he displayed in his first 5 starts with the Phils (5-0, 067 ERA, 0.75 WHIP over 40 innings). We knew there was no way for Lee to keep up that pace and he came crashing down all at once. What better spot for the veteran to get back on track than playing the Nationals, and speaking of Washington they're sending young Garrett Mock to the Hill who we are very high on. Mock is an up and coming star in this league... don't let his overall umbers fool you (5.63 ERA, 1.75 WHIP) because this kid can throw! Yeah, he's had some shaky outings his season including his last 2 (just like Lee), but we feel playing host to the world champs with their ace on th hill will bring out the best in Garrett Mock.
Under 8.5 Runs (Even) LA Dodgers (Garland) / Arizona (Haren) 10:10 ET 1 Unit
LA Dodgers 3 Arizona 4 Winner
Ironically, Jon Garland is making his second start as a Dodger tonight and just like his fist, he's facing his former team! In his first, Garland held his former teammates to just 2 runs over 7 innings on 5 hits and 1 walk, and we look for more of the same tonight. And getting the start for the D'Backs is Dan Haren who has been extremely solid of late. In his last 3 starts, Haren has been in total control as he's struck out 21 while walking only 4 over 20 innings (only 7 ER's), but the D'Backs lost 2 of those 3 Haren starts (Haren got ND's in the 2 losses). When quality pitchers don't get rewarded with W's for superb efforts, they tend to be super focused in their next outing, which is what we expect from Dan Haren tonight.
Parlay: Minnesota (Pavano) +175 / Toronto (Halladay) & Under 7.5 Runs (Even) 7:05 ET Risk 0.5/Unit to win 2.25 Units
Minnesota 4 Toronto 1 Winner
Minnesota is 3-3 in Pavano's starts since signing him last month. Pavano's numbers are not great either (4.13 ERA, 1.30 WHIP). Pavano's contract with the Twins is laden with performance incentives, so his future really relies on producing and he knows it... no more free rides like the Yankees gave him!! Here's a perfect spot to rise up to the occasion as Pavano and the Twins face Roy halladay. Halladay is coming off a complete game 1 hitter against the Yankees on the 4th, but the veteran has been very shaky lately, not the same reliable as he used to be... couple that with the fact that the Blue Jays have only won 3 of their last 9 as a team and we feel comfortable risking a hal funit at 4.5:1 odds!
Under 10 Runs (-115) Tampa Bay (Niemann) / NY Yankees (Chamberlain) 7:05 ET 1 Unit
Tampa Bay 2 NY Yankees 4 Winner
Chicago White Sox (Garcia) -1.5 Runs (+160) / Oakland (Cahill) 8:10 ET 1 Unit
CWS 4 Oakland 3 Lose
Tuesday 9/08: -0.09 units (Volume: 2.00 Units)
Over 9 Runs (-105) St. Louis (Smoltz) / Milwaukee (Parra) 8:05 ET 1 Unit
St.Louis 4 Milwaukee 3 Lose
We're still not sold on John Smoltz' move to the National league being the fix for this aging pitcher's woes. He got touched for 4 runs in 6 innings in his last start and we think this is just the tip of the iceberg. Added support for this over is Manny Parra.... 6.47 ERA this season and he's been getting belted lately.
San Diego (Correia) +1.5 Runs (-105) / San Francisco (Lincecum) 10:15 ET 1 Unit
San Diego 4 San Francisco 3 PITCHING CHANGE... NO ACTION
Parlay: San Diego ML (+240) / San Francisco & Under 6.5 Runs (Even) Risk 0.5/Unit to win 2.90 Units
San Diego 4 San Francisco 3 PITCHING CHANGE... NO ACTION
Big value exists as we feel the line maker is not giving the Padres enough credit for their recent surge. SD has won 9 of their last 13 as a team and tonight's starter Kevin Correia is coming off a spectacular performance: 7 2/3 innings of 3 hit shutout ball! we expect runs to be scarce in this one with Tim Lincecum going for the Giants, but we like our spot here as we can even lose a 1 run game and still show a nice profit, and if the Padres can nip Lincecum, we stand to make nearly 4 Units for our 1.5 Unit risk.
Under 7.5 Runs (-110) Seattle (Hernandez) / LA Angels (Kazmir) 10:05 ET 1 Unit
Seattle 2 LA Angels 3 Winner
Monday 9/07: -4.00 units (Volume: 4.00 Units)
Over 8 Runs (Even) Chicago Cubs (Lilly) / Pittsburgh (Mccutchen) 12:35 ET 1 Unit
Chicago Cubs 4 Pittsburgh 2 Lose
Over 8 Runs (-120) St. Louis (Carpenter) / Milwaukee (Bush) 2:05 ET 1 Unit
St. Louis 3 Milwaukee 0 Lose
Toronto (Richmond) -112 / Minnesota (Manship) 1:05 ET 1 Unit
Toronto 3 Minnesota 6 Lose
Parlay: Colorado (Jimenez) -250 / Cincinnati (Bailey) 3:10 ET & LA Angels (Santana) -165 / Kansas City(Davies) 2:10 ET Risk 1 Unit to win 1.25 Unit
Colorado 4 Cincinnati 3 Winner | LAA 3 KC 6 Lose | Parlay: Lose
Click here for full season results
Week: 9/07 - 9/13
-6.61 Units (Volume: 23.50 Units)
Sunday 9/13: -2.50 Units (Volume: 5.00 Units)
Tampa Bay (Garza) +120 / Boston (Buchholz) 12:10 ET 1.25 Units
Tampa Bay 1 Boston 3 Lose
Over 7 Runs (Even) Atlanta (Vazquez) / St. Louis (Carpenter) 2:15 ET 1.25 Units
Atlanta 9 St. Louis 2 Winner
LA Dodgers (Billingsley) -115 / San Francisco (Penny) 4:05 ET 1 Unit
LA dodgers 2 San Francisco 7 Lose
Baltimore (Guthrie) +290 / NY Yankees (Sabathia) 1:05 ET 0.5/Unit
Baltimore 3 NY Yankees 13 Lose
Over 9 Runs (Even) Chicago WS (Buehrle) / LA Angels (Kazmir) 3:35 ET 1 Unit
CWS 2 LAA 3 Lose
Saturday 9/12: PASS (Volume: 0 Units)
No MLB plays Saturday
Friday 9/11: +1.61 Units (Volume: 4.25 Units)
Atlanta (Jurrjens) +115 / St. Louis (Piniero) 8:15 ET 1.75 Units
Atlanta 1 St. Louis 0 Winner
LA Dodgers (Kuroda) +110 / San Francisco (Cain) 10:15 Et 1 Unit
LA Dodgers 10 San Francisco 3 Winner
Over 7.5 Runs (Even) Kansas City (Greinke) / Cleveland (Masterson) 7:05 ET 1 Unit
Kansas City 2 Cleveland 1 Lose
Parlay: Baltimore (Tillman) +260 / NY Yankees (Pettitte) & Under 10 Runs (-120) 7:05 ET Risk 0.5/Unit to win 2.80 Units
Baltimore 10 NY Yankees 4 Lose
Nothing more than "The price is right" here for young Chris Tillman to pitch well in Yankee Stadium. Tillman's allowed 3 or fewer earned runs in 6 of his 8 starts this year... worth a half unit investment at 5.6:1.
Thursday 9/10: -1.00 units (Volume: 1.00 Units)
Parlay: Colorado (Contreras) -225 / Cincinnati (Wells) & Over 10 Runs (-115) Risk 1 Unit to win 1.70 Units
Colorado 5 Cincinnati 1 Lose
Here's an appropriate spot for Cincinnati to continue their downward spiral. The Reds, before losing their last 3 in this series to the Rockies, won 12 of 14 including series sweeps at Milwaukee (8/25-27), home vs Pittsburgh (4 games: 8/31-9/02) and most recent at Atlanta (9/04-06) and Kip Wells started in 3 of those wins (1-0 and 2 ND's). Wells came out of the bullpen at the beginning of the Reds' run and has pitched well on paper but does have some control issues. In his last 2 outings, Wells has only given up 3 hits in 12 innings but he also walked 8 while striking out only 6. Considering Wells has a 4.85 ERA and a 1.40 WHIP in 52 innings since coming over to the Reds, we can't see him keeping this Rockies line-up down. He's averaged over 100 pitches in each of his 3 starts but has only gone 6, 6 & 5 innings... he's worked his way out of many jams and has gone deep in a lot of counts to have only allowed 5 runs in those 17 innings (2.64 ERA), but that's what happens when a team as a whole is going good... pitchers make those key pitches... but now that Cincy's run has fizzled, this may very well be a long afternoon for Mr. Wells at Coors Field!
This is the only way for us to play this game. There's no real value in the ML(-225) where as a Unit risk will only net 0.44/Unit, and the risky proposition of laying -1.5 Runs at home still demands a -125 lay (+0.8/Unit for a 1 Unit risk). We're on the game because we fee Kip Wells will get hit hard, but even with that thinking we still may need a little help from the Reds bats to put the game over, but making 4x that of a ML (-225) play, or twice that of a run-line (-125) play, we'll take on the added risk.
Wednesday 9/09: -0.63 units (Volume: 7.25 Units)
St. Louis - Milwaukee 2 Plays Total Risk 1.5 Units
Milwaukee (Suppan) +175 / St. Louis (Wainwright) 2:05 ET 0.5/Unit
Milwaukee 1 St. Louis 5 Lose
Over 8.5 Runs (-120) Milwaukee (Suppan) / St. Louis (Wainwright) 1 Unit
Milwaukee 1 St. Louis 5 Lose
Over 8.5 Runs (-110) San Diego (Leblanc) / San Francisco (Zito) 3:45 ET 1 Uint
San Diego 4 San Francisco 2 Lose
Under 8.5 Runs (Even) Philadelphia (Lee) / Washington (Mock) 7:05 ET 1.25 Unit
Philadelphia 6 Washington 5 Lose
Cliff lee coming off of a couple of terrible outings: 19 hits & 12 runs last 2 starts (8 innings total) after the near perfection he displayed in his first 5 starts with the Phils (5-0, 067 ERA, 0.75 WHIP over 40 innings). We knew there was no way for Lee to keep up that pace and he came crashing down all at once. What better spot for the veteran to get back on track than playing the Nationals, and speaking of Washington they're sending young Garrett Mock to the Hill who we are very high on. Mock is an up and coming star in this league... don't let his overall umbers fool you (5.63 ERA, 1.75 WHIP) because this kid can throw! Yeah, he's had some shaky outings his season including his last 2 (just like Lee), but we feel playing host to the world champs with their ace on th hill will bring out the best in Garrett Mock.
Under 8.5 Runs (Even) LA Dodgers (Garland) / Arizona (Haren) 10:10 ET 1 Unit
LA Dodgers 3 Arizona 4 Winner
Ironically, Jon Garland is making his second start as a Dodger tonight and just like his fist, he's facing his former team! In his first, Garland held his former teammates to just 2 runs over 7 innings on 5 hits and 1 walk, and we look for more of the same tonight. And getting the start for the D'Backs is Dan Haren who has been extremely solid of late. In his last 3 starts, Haren has been in total control as he's struck out 21 while walking only 4 over 20 innings (only 7 ER's), but the D'Backs lost 2 of those 3 Haren starts (Haren got ND's in the 2 losses). When quality pitchers don't get rewarded with W's for superb efforts, they tend to be super focused in their next outing, which is what we expect from Dan Haren tonight.
Parlay: Minnesota (Pavano) +175 / Toronto (Halladay) & Under 7.5 Runs (Even) 7:05 ET Risk 0.5/Unit to win 2.25 Units
Minnesota 4 Toronto 1 Winner
Minnesota is 3-3 in Pavano's starts since signing him last month. Pavano's numbers are not great either (4.13 ERA, 1.30 WHIP). Pavano's contract with the Twins is laden with performance incentives, so his future really relies on producing and he knows it... no more free rides like the Yankees gave him!! Here's a perfect spot to rise up to the occasion as Pavano and the Twins face Roy halladay. Halladay is coming off a complete game 1 hitter against the Yankees on the 4th, but the veteran has been very shaky lately, not the same reliable as he used to be... couple that with the fact that the Blue Jays have only won 3 of their last 9 as a team and we feel comfortable risking a hal funit at 4.5:1 odds!
Under 10 Runs (-115) Tampa Bay (Niemann) / NY Yankees (Chamberlain) 7:05 ET 1 Unit
Tampa Bay 2 NY Yankees 4 Winner
Chicago White Sox (Garcia) -1.5 Runs (+160) / Oakland (Cahill) 8:10 ET 1 Unit
CWS 4 Oakland 3 Lose
Tuesday 9/08: -0.09 units (Volume: 2.00 Units)
Over 9 Runs (-105) St. Louis (Smoltz) / Milwaukee (Parra) 8:05 ET 1 Unit
St.Louis 4 Milwaukee 3 Lose
We're still not sold on John Smoltz' move to the National league being the fix for this aging pitcher's woes. He got touched for 4 runs in 6 innings in his last start and we think this is just the tip of the iceberg. Added support for this over is Manny Parra.... 6.47 ERA this season and he's been getting belted lately.
San Diego (Correia) +1.5 Runs (-105) / San Francisco (Lincecum) 10:15 ET 1 Unit
San Diego 4 San Francisco 3 PITCHING CHANGE... NO ACTION
Parlay: San Diego ML (+240) / San Francisco & Under 6.5 Runs (Even) Risk 0.5/Unit to win 2.90 Units
San Diego 4 San Francisco 3 PITCHING CHANGE... NO ACTION
Big value exists as we feel the line maker is not giving the Padres enough credit for their recent surge. SD has won 9 of their last 13 as a team and tonight's starter Kevin Correia is coming off a spectacular performance: 7 2/3 innings of 3 hit shutout ball! we expect runs to be scarce in this one with Tim Lincecum going for the Giants, but we like our spot here as we can even lose a 1 run game and still show a nice profit, and if the Padres can nip Lincecum, we stand to make nearly 4 Units for our 1.5 Unit risk.
Under 7.5 Runs (-110) Seattle (Hernandez) / LA Angels (Kazmir) 10:05 ET 1 Unit
Seattle 2 LA Angels 3 Winner
Monday 9/07: -4.00 units (Volume: 4.00 Units)
Over 8 Runs (Even) Chicago Cubs (Lilly) / Pittsburgh (Mccutchen) 12:35 ET 1 Unit
Chicago Cubs 4 Pittsburgh 2 Lose
Over 8 Runs (-120) St. Louis (Carpenter) / Milwaukee (Bush) 2:05 ET 1 Unit
St. Louis 3 Milwaukee 0 Lose
Toronto (Richmond) -112 / Minnesota (Manship) 1:05 ET 1 Unit
Toronto 3 Minnesota 6 Lose
Parlay: Colorado (Jimenez) -250 / Cincinnati (Bailey) 3:10 ET & LA Angels (Santana) -165 / Kansas City(Davies) 2:10 ET Risk 1 Unit to win 1.25 Unit
Colorado 4 Cincinnati 3 Winner | LAA 3 KC 6 Lose | Parlay: Lose
-END