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Week: 8/31 - 9/06
+0.81 Units (Volume: 19.75 Units)
Sunday 9/06: +0.14 units (Volume: 5.00 Units)
Over 8.5 Runs (-110) Cincinnati (Cueto) / Atlanta (Hudson) 1:35 ET 1.25 Units
Cincinnati 4 Atlanta 2 Lose
Under 9 Runs (-120) San Francisco (Sanchez) / Milwaukee (Looper) 2:05 ET 1.5 Units
San Francisco 1 Milwaukee 2 Winner
LA Dodgers (Kuroda) -1.5 Runs (+105) / San Dieo (Stauffer) 8:05 ET 1 Unit
LA Dodgers 3 San Diego 4 Lose
Over 10.5 Runs (-110) NY Yankees (Mitre) / Toronto (Tallet) 1:05 ET 1.25 Unit
NY Yankees 8 Toronto 14 Winner
Saturday 9/05: -1.05 Units (Volume: 3.00 Units)
NY Yankees - Toronto 2 Plays Total Risk 1 Unit
Toonto (Cecil) +165 / NY Yankees (Pettitte) 1:05 ET 0.5/Unit
Toronto 4 NY Yankees 6 Lose
Parlay: Toronto +165 & Over 9.5 Runs (-115) Risk 0.5/Unit to win 1.98 Units
Toronto 4 NY Yankees 6 Lose
Over 8 Runs (-105) Philadelphia (Blanton) / Houston (Oswalt) 7:05 ET 1 Unit
Philadelphia 4 Houston 5 Winner
Over 7.5 Runs (Even) LA Angels (Lackey) / Kansas City (Greinke) 7:10 ET 1 Unit
LA Angels 2 Kansas City 1 Lose
Friday 9/04: -0.63 Units (Volume: 1.50 Units)
Florida - Washington 2 Plays Total Risk 1.5 Units
Under 9.5 Runs (-115) Florida (West) / Washington (Mock) 7:05 ET 1 Unit
Florida 9 Washington 6 Lose
Parlay: Washington +110 & Under 9.5 Runs (-115) Risk 0.5/Unit to win 1.46 Units
Washington 6 Florida 9 Lose
Under 8.5 Runs (-115) NY Yankees (Chamberlain) / Toronto (Halladay) 7:05 ET 1 Unit
NY Yankees 0 Toronto 6 Winner
Thursday 9/03: -0.70 Units (Volume: 3.25 Units)
Milwaukee - St. Louis 2 Plays Total Risk 1 Unit
Milwaukee (Parra) +160 / St. Louis (Smoltz) 2:15 ET 0.50/Unit
Milwaukee 4 St. Louis 3 Winner
Parlay: Milwaukee +160 & Over 9 Runs (-120) Risk 0.5/Unit to win 0.99/Unit
Milwaukee 4 St. Louis 3 Lose
Smoltz' play just flat out makes no sense! He gets absolutely walloped in Boston then comes to the Cards and is back to Cy Young form? No, we don't buy it... although that is what seems to be. We'll play a unit here just in case our suspicions are correct. With 4 Milwaukee runs our risk is cut in half (we'd be guaranteed at least a push on the total if we lost the game), and our upside is 1.79 Units. We also like the fact that Smoltz must pitch in the heat this afternoon... about 80 by game time!
Under 8.5 Runs (-115) Atlanta (Hanson) / Florida (Nolasco) 7:10 ET 1 Unit
Atlanta 3 Florida 8 Lose
Over 9 Runs (-125) Boston (Buckholz) / Tampa Bay (Price) 7:05 ET 1.25 Unit
Boston 6 Tampa Bay 3 PUSH
Wednesday 9/02: -0.07 Units (Volume: 1.50 Units)
Parlay: St. Louis (Carpenter) -260 / Milwaukee (Bush) 8:15 ET & LA Dodgers (Billingsley) -165 / Arizona (Scherzer) 10:10 ET Risk 1 Unit to win 1.20 Units
Parlay: Lose | St. Louis 10 Milwaukee 3 Winner | LAD 1 Arizona 4 Lose
We feel sufficient value exists despite the prices, but way too much to risk when playing separately. We'd have to risk 1.25 units each (2.5 total) for the same return, and splitting would still cost us between 0.5 to 0.75 of a unit anyway.
San Francisco (Penny) +185 / Philadelphia (Happ) 7:05 ET 0.5/Unit
San Francisco 4 Philadelphia 0 Winner
Just a half unit risk here... the price is too good to pass up! Brad Penny makes his debut as a Giant tonight and although he's been getting it lately, perhaps a change of scenery and the National league will bring ot his past abilities... it seems to have worked for Smoltz!
Tuesday 9/01: +2.21 Units (Volume: 2.25 Units)
MLB: 9/01
Texas (Nippert) -145 / Toronto (Rzepczynski) 5:05 ET 1.25 Units
Texas 5 Toronto 2 Winner
Minnesota (Manship) +135 / Chicago WS (Danks) 8:10 ET 1 Unit
Minnesota 4 CWS 3 Winner
Monday 8/31: +0.91 Units (Volume: 2.25 Units)
MLB: 8/31
Over 7 Runs (-120) Houston (Oswalt) / Chicago Cubs (Harden) 8:05 ET 1 Unit
Houston 5 Chicago 3 Winner
Over 8 Runs (-115) Arizona (Davis) / LA Dodgers (Wolf) 10:10 ET 1.25 Units
Arizona 5 LA Dodgers 3 PUSH