2009 MLB Results
Click here for full season results
Week: 8/17 - 8/23
+4.41 Units (Volume: 32.50 Units)
Sunday 8/22: PENDING (Volume: 5.50 Units)
Atlanta (Lowe) -130 / Florida (Nolasco) 1:35 ET 1 Unit
Atlanta 7 Florida 5 Winner
Parlay: Atlanta -130 & Under 8.5 Runs (-105) Risk 0.5/Unit to win 1.22 Units
Atlanta 7 Florida 5 Lose
As we've said in the past, Ricky Nolasco is either dead on un-hittable or he gets smacked around. We're looking for the latter this afternoon in Atlanta and will also play a small parlay to the under as we feel now that all the attention surrounding the Marlins with the 10 hits/game streak is over, they're going to go through a hit drought for awhile.
San Diego (Carrillo) +158 / St. Louis (Smoltz) 4:05 ET 1 Unit
San Diego 2 St. Louis 5 Lose
Over 9 Runs (Even) San Diego / St. Louis 1 Unit
San Diego 2 St. Louis 5 Lose
We can't help ourselves here! Hate to ask a bad team to win, but the fact that John Smoltz is still hanging around is unbelievable to us! We must play here! We've been saying for the last month that Smoltz's days in Boston were numbered and also that his career is all but over (that's next... by the end of the season). Sorry, but all the speculation about how he'll be able to pitch in the weaker hitting national league, partly because of no designated hitter, is a bunch of crap in his situation! Look at his numbers in Boston this season: 8 starts, 40 innings pitched, 59 hits, 9 walks, 33 K's & 37 earned runs. So that's a 1.70 WHIP to go along with an 8.33 ERA! The only bright spot for Smoltz, which as mentioned before we feel is the main reason he's still hanging around, is his accuracy. He's struck out 33 while walking only 9. But that's not nearly enough to hang your hat on in the big leagues and Smoltz should know it. Problem is that it's tough to turn down the money if there's still someone willing to pay it!
Chicago Cubs (Dempster) +155 / LA Dodgers (Billingsley) 4:05 ET 1 Unit
Chicago 3 LA Dodgers 1 Winner
Nice price here created by recent performance. The Cubs have lost 3 straight to LA and 12 of their last 16 overall. Meanwhile, the Dodgers' Chad Billingsley has allowed just 9 hits, 4 walks & 3 ER's in his last 3 starts (17 innings). Deviations from a pitcher's norm have a way of straightening out as do teams losing streaks. Billingsley's WHIP & ERA over those L3 starts are 0.76 WHIP & 1.59 ERA compared to his season numbers of 1.25 & 3.70... What better spot to come back down to earth than playing the Cubs desperate for a win and starting the ever solid Ryan Dempster. Also note that as a team, LA has had their woes of late losing 8 of their last 15... It doesn't get any liver than this dog!
Boston (Beckett) -117 / NY Yankees (Sabathia) 8:05 ET 1 Unit
Boston 4 NY Yankees 8 Lose
Saturday 8/22: +1.37 Units (Volume: 5.00 Units)
Under 8.5 Runs (-115) Florida (Volstad) / Atlanta (Hanson) 7:10 ET 1.5 Units
Florida 3 Atlanta 4 Winner
Over 9 Runs (-115) NY Mets (Redding) / Philadelphia (Happ) 7:10 ET 1 Unit
NY Mets 1 Philadelphia 4 Lose
NY Mets (Redding) +210 / Philadelphia (Happ) 0.5/Unit
NY Mets 1 Philadelphia 4 Lose
Parlay: NY Mets +210 & Over 9 Runs (-115) Risk 0.5/Unit to win 2.40 Units
NY Mets 1 Philadelphia 4 Lose
Excellent value here as we're at risk for a total of 2 units with a possible upside of 4.28 Units. With 4 NY runs scored our exposure is 1 unit and with 5 NY runs it's cut to less than a half unit (0.45). We're expecting for JA Happ to have a bit of a shaky outing tonight. Happ's 2-0 with 1 ND in his last 3 starts with Philly winning all 3 games. Despite only giving up a total of 3 ER's in those 3 starts and his WHIP is a solid 1.16, he seems to be losing control. Three starts ago, 8/5 vs Colorado, Happ pitched a complete game shutout allowing just 4 his & 2 walks while striking out 10 (127 pitches). Then on 8/11 at Chicago, 6 innings, 7 hits, 4 walks and only 3 strike outs (100 pitches in 6 innings), and finally in his most recent start on 8/16, Happ walked another 6 while striking out just 3 going 7 2/3 innings (116 pitches). So with an average pitch count of 114 over his last 3 and 10 walks & only 6 K's in his last 2, perhaps late season fatigue is getting to Happ. Granted Redding's numbers are terrible this season (6.53 ERA, 1.65 WHIP), but we don't need a great performance out of him to profit here, we just need him to not get shelled (and even if he does get blasted, we'll most likely win the over). And remember, Redding is coming out of the bullpen to start for the first time since July 2nd. Sometimes this role change helps a struggling pitcher.
Parlay: Tampa Bay (Garza) -170 / Texas (Hunter) (7:05 ET) & St. Louis (Carpenter) -200 / San Diego (Correia) (10:05 ET) Risk 1.5 Units to win 2.07 Units
Tampa Bay 5 Texas 4 Winner | St. Louis 7 San Diego 0 Winner | Parlay: Winner
We've been telling you how this is the time of the year when many value positions will lie with big favorites, and we've won several of them in the last week or so. Tonight we're going to limit our exposure by parlaying these 2 favorites. If we risked 2 Units each, we'd stand to make 2.17 units by winning both and a split would lose us either 0.83/Unit or 1 Unit. The way we're playing it though will net us almost the same amount as two 2 Unit straight plays, so for an additional half unit risk we're cutting our exposure by 2.5 Units (1.5 instead of 4).
Friday 8/21: +0.04/Unit (Volume: 2.25 Units)
Under 8.5 Runs (-120) Florida (Sanchez) / Atlanta (Vazquez) 7:35 ET 1.25 Units
Florida 5 Atlanta 3 Winner
Chicago Cubs (Wells) +135 / LA Dodgers (Wolf) 10:10 ET 1 Unit
Chicago 1 LA Dodgers 2 Lose
Thursday 8/20: +0.45/Unit (Volume: 1.50 Units)
Under 7.5 Runs (-105) Florida (Johnson) / Houston (Rodriguez) 8:05 ET 1 Unit
Florida 1 Houston 4 Winner
Parlay: Minnesota (Swarzak) +190 / Texas (Holland) & Over 10 Runs (-125) Risk 0.5/Unit to win 2.11 Units
Minnesota 1 Texas 11 Lose
We're not expecting anything great from Anthony Swarzak tonight, just 5 or 6 decent innings without things getting out of hand which has been his problem of late (25 hits & 16 ER's in his last 3 starts, a total of 8 innings!) Yeah, pretty horrible numbers... so why the play? Because first, it's only a half unit risk at better than 4:1 on our money, and we're expecting Holland to have a sub par outing following 2 solid ones, especially the one before last where he went the distance at LA holding th Angels to just 3 hits and no runs while striking out 8. Many times pitchers suffer let downs after such performances, especially unproven young pitchers like Derek Holland. As mentioned, Holland won his next start (at home) against Boston on the 15th but not nearly as convincingly (6 2/3 innings, 7 hits, 2 walks, 2 ER's & 3 K's). Also, the Twins' bats have been finding ways to overcome big deficits in this series. They came back from 0-4 in the 5th last night to win 5-4 and from 1-5 in the 6th Tuesday night to win 9-6. Bottom line is that if all the stars are lined up, we'll cash a nice parlay and if not, the damage is just a half unit.
Wednesday 8/19: +3.56 Units (Volume: 7.00 Units)
Under 7.5 Runs (-115) Arizona (Haren) / Philadelphia (Lee) 7:05 ET 1 Unit
Arizona 1 Philadelphia 8 Lose
Over 8.5 Runs (-110) San Francisco (Zito) / Cincinnati (Arroyo) 7:10 ET 1 Unit
San Francisco 1 Cincinnati 0 Lose
Atlanta (Jurrijens) -175 / NY Mets (Parnell) 7:10 ET 1.5 Units
Atlanta 15 NY Mets 2 Winner
Under 9.5 Runs (Even) Florida (West) / Houston (Bazardo) 8:05 ET 1 Unit
Florida 3 Houston 6 Winner
Chicago Cubs (Harden) -215 / San Diego (Latos) 10:05 ET 2 Units
Chicago Cubs 7 San Diego 0 (8th inning) FINAL PENDING
Parlay: Seattle (Snell) +250 / Detroit (Verlander) & Under 8.5 Runs (-115) 7:05ET Risk 0.5/Unit to win 2.77 Units
Seattle 3 Detroit 1 Winner
Here's a real nice spot for a small half unit parlay. There seems to be very little "middle of the road" with Ian Snell. He's either on and will give you a strong outing or he gets smacked hard. If the latter is the case, so what, we lose a half unit but if Snell is on tonight, we stand a decent shot to win this parlay. Seattle has the hitters to put runs on the board and Verlander has given up 5 ER's in each of the 2 starts before his last start where he pitched 8 innings in Boston allowing just 4 hits & no runs (8/13). We only need to win this parlay once in 6 tries to make a profit! (1 win = +2.77 units, 5 losses = -2.50 units: +0.27/Unit on a volume of 3.00 units (+9%).
Tuesday 8/18: -1.86 units (Volume: 4.75 Units)
Over 9 Runs (-110) Colorado (Jimenez) / Washington (Stammen) 7:05 ET 1.25 Units
Colorado 4 Washington 3 Lose
Florida (Nolasco) -108 / Houston (Norris) 8:05 ET 1.5 Units
Florida 6 Houston 2 Winner
Nice price set up by recent performance. This is a pitching re-match of last week's game in Florida where the Astros tagged Nolasco for 8 hits & 10 ER's in 3 and a third innings en route to a 14-6 win. We were on the Over (8.5 Runs) in that game. Houston's Bud Norris was equally as bad giving up 10 hits & 5 runs (4 earned) in his 5 innings of work. The difference here is that Ricky Nolasco is a proven winner but he is known (especially lately since his recall from the minors in May) to be either dead on un-hittable, or to get belted. The good news is that his "beltings" are becoming fewer and further between as the Marlins have won 9 of Nolasco's last 12 starts and with the added motivation of revenge, we look for Ricky to pitch a gem in Houston tonight while Bud Norris continues to struggle.
Tampa Bay (Price) -1.5 Runs (-130) / Baltimore (Berken) 7:05 ET 1 Unit
Tampa Bay 5 Baltimore 4 Lose
We're opting to lay the run and a half here as opposed to the big price (-260) with this home chalk situation. We're getting it at exactly half price as we're risking 1 unit to win 0.77/Unit, the same yield a 2 unit play on the money line.
Texas (Feldman) -1.5 Runs (-115) / Minnesota (Pavano) 8:05 ET 1 Unit
Texas 6 Minnesota 9 Lose
Monday 8/17: +2.03 Units (Volume: 6.50 Units)
Over 8 Runs (Even) Arizona (Scherzer) / Atlanta (Hanson) 4:05 ET 1.5 Units
Arizona 4 Atlanta 9 Winner
Baltimore (Hernandez) Even / LA Angels (Santana) 7:05 ET 1.50 Units
Baltimore 5 LA Angels 8 Lose
Over 10 Runs (-125) LA Angels (Santana) / Baltimore (Hernandez) 1.50 Units
LA Angels 8 Baltimore 5 Winner
We're risking a total of 3 units in this game to make 2.70 units, and with 5 Baltimore runs scored, we're just about free rolling! LA's Ervin Santana has been the beneficiary of plenty of good fortune this season when it comes to W's & L's. Santana is 5-6 on the year and the Angels are 8-6 in his starts... and that's with an overall ERA of 6.38 & a 1.57 WHIP!! On any other team, those numbers would surely have produced a MUCH worse W - L record. There's only so far you can push the luck factor when pitching in the big leagues. Santana has had some solid seasons with his best coming last year (16-7 3.49 ERA), but there's something wrong with him this year. In 7 of his 14 outings, Santana has allowed 5 or more earned runs and as mentioned his ERA is 6.38 overall. He is coming off of a complete game 3 hit shutout, but we can't see his woes being cured overnight. Both these teams have been scorching the baseball (averaging almost 18 runs per game in this series!)
Chicago WS (Buehrle) -240 / Kansas City (Bannister) 8:10 ET 2 Units
Chicago WS 8 Kansas City 7 Winner
Same price as our Detroit Play on Saturday (10-3 Winner) and as was the case in that game, we feel Chicago is under priced... should be in the -350 range. This is the time of the year when we'll be seeing "live favorites" with teams in heated pennant & wild card races playing teams that are completely out of it. Again, it's a risky proposition laying the run and a half with a home team to reduce the price, so we'll once again play 2 units to win 0.83/Unit here.
Click here for full season results
Week: 8/17 - 8/23
+4.41 Units (Volume: 32.50 Units)
Sunday 8/22: PENDING (Volume: 5.50 Units)
Atlanta (Lowe) -130 / Florida (Nolasco) 1:35 ET 1 Unit
Atlanta 7 Florida 5 Winner
Parlay: Atlanta -130 & Under 8.5 Runs (-105) Risk 0.5/Unit to win 1.22 Units
Atlanta 7 Florida 5 Lose
As we've said in the past, Ricky Nolasco is either dead on un-hittable or he gets smacked around. We're looking for the latter this afternoon in Atlanta and will also play a small parlay to the under as we feel now that all the attention surrounding the Marlins with the 10 hits/game streak is over, they're going to go through a hit drought for awhile.
San Diego (Carrillo) +158 / St. Louis (Smoltz) 4:05 ET 1 Unit
San Diego 2 St. Louis 5 Lose
Over 9 Runs (Even) San Diego / St. Louis 1 Unit
San Diego 2 St. Louis 5 Lose
We can't help ourselves here! Hate to ask a bad team to win, but the fact that John Smoltz is still hanging around is unbelievable to us! We must play here! We've been saying for the last month that Smoltz's days in Boston were numbered and also that his career is all but over (that's next... by the end of the season). Sorry, but all the speculation about how he'll be able to pitch in the weaker hitting national league, partly because of no designated hitter, is a bunch of crap in his situation! Look at his numbers in Boston this season: 8 starts, 40 innings pitched, 59 hits, 9 walks, 33 K's & 37 earned runs. So that's a 1.70 WHIP to go along with an 8.33 ERA! The only bright spot for Smoltz, which as mentioned before we feel is the main reason he's still hanging around, is his accuracy. He's struck out 33 while walking only 9. But that's not nearly enough to hang your hat on in the big leagues and Smoltz should know it. Problem is that it's tough to turn down the money if there's still someone willing to pay it!
Chicago Cubs (Dempster) +155 / LA Dodgers (Billingsley) 4:05 ET 1 Unit
Chicago 3 LA Dodgers 1 Winner
Nice price here created by recent performance. The Cubs have lost 3 straight to LA and 12 of their last 16 overall. Meanwhile, the Dodgers' Chad Billingsley has allowed just 9 hits, 4 walks & 3 ER's in his last 3 starts (17 innings). Deviations from a pitcher's norm have a way of straightening out as do teams losing streaks. Billingsley's WHIP & ERA over those L3 starts are 0.76 WHIP & 1.59 ERA compared to his season numbers of 1.25 & 3.70... What better spot to come back down to earth than playing the Cubs desperate for a win and starting the ever solid Ryan Dempster. Also note that as a team, LA has had their woes of late losing 8 of their last 15... It doesn't get any liver than this dog!
Boston (Beckett) -117 / NY Yankees (Sabathia) 8:05 ET 1 Unit
Boston 4 NY Yankees 8 Lose
Saturday 8/22: +1.37 Units (Volume: 5.00 Units)
Under 8.5 Runs (-115) Florida (Volstad) / Atlanta (Hanson) 7:10 ET 1.5 Units
Florida 3 Atlanta 4 Winner
Over 9 Runs (-115) NY Mets (Redding) / Philadelphia (Happ) 7:10 ET 1 Unit
NY Mets 1 Philadelphia 4 Lose
NY Mets (Redding) +210 / Philadelphia (Happ) 0.5/Unit
NY Mets 1 Philadelphia 4 Lose
Parlay: NY Mets +210 & Over 9 Runs (-115) Risk 0.5/Unit to win 2.40 Units
NY Mets 1 Philadelphia 4 Lose
Excellent value here as we're at risk for a total of 2 units with a possible upside of 4.28 Units. With 4 NY runs scored our exposure is 1 unit and with 5 NY runs it's cut to less than a half unit (0.45). We're expecting for JA Happ to have a bit of a shaky outing tonight. Happ's 2-0 with 1 ND in his last 3 starts with Philly winning all 3 games. Despite only giving up a total of 3 ER's in those 3 starts and his WHIP is a solid 1.16, he seems to be losing control. Three starts ago, 8/5 vs Colorado, Happ pitched a complete game shutout allowing just 4 his & 2 walks while striking out 10 (127 pitches). Then on 8/11 at Chicago, 6 innings, 7 hits, 4 walks and only 3 strike outs (100 pitches in 6 innings), and finally in his most recent start on 8/16, Happ walked another 6 while striking out just 3 going 7 2/3 innings (116 pitches). So with an average pitch count of 114 over his last 3 and 10 walks & only 6 K's in his last 2, perhaps late season fatigue is getting to Happ. Granted Redding's numbers are terrible this season (6.53 ERA, 1.65 WHIP), but we don't need a great performance out of him to profit here, we just need him to not get shelled (and even if he does get blasted, we'll most likely win the over). And remember, Redding is coming out of the bullpen to start for the first time since July 2nd. Sometimes this role change helps a struggling pitcher.
Parlay: Tampa Bay (Garza) -170 / Texas (Hunter) (7:05 ET) & St. Louis (Carpenter) -200 / San Diego (Correia) (10:05 ET) Risk 1.5 Units to win 2.07 Units
Tampa Bay 5 Texas 4 Winner | St. Louis 7 San Diego 0 Winner | Parlay: Winner
We've been telling you how this is the time of the year when many value positions will lie with big favorites, and we've won several of them in the last week or so. Tonight we're going to limit our exposure by parlaying these 2 favorites. If we risked 2 Units each, we'd stand to make 2.17 units by winning both and a split would lose us either 0.83/Unit or 1 Unit. The way we're playing it though will net us almost the same amount as two 2 Unit straight plays, so for an additional half unit risk we're cutting our exposure by 2.5 Units (1.5 instead of 4).
Friday 8/21: +0.04/Unit (Volume: 2.25 Units)
Under 8.5 Runs (-120) Florida (Sanchez) / Atlanta (Vazquez) 7:35 ET 1.25 Units
Florida 5 Atlanta 3 Winner
Chicago Cubs (Wells) +135 / LA Dodgers (Wolf) 10:10 ET 1 Unit
Chicago 1 LA Dodgers 2 Lose
Thursday 8/20: +0.45/Unit (Volume: 1.50 Units)
Under 7.5 Runs (-105) Florida (Johnson) / Houston (Rodriguez) 8:05 ET 1 Unit
Florida 1 Houston 4 Winner
Parlay: Minnesota (Swarzak) +190 / Texas (Holland) & Over 10 Runs (-125) Risk 0.5/Unit to win 2.11 Units
Minnesota 1 Texas 11 Lose
We're not expecting anything great from Anthony Swarzak tonight, just 5 or 6 decent innings without things getting out of hand which has been his problem of late (25 hits & 16 ER's in his last 3 starts, a total of 8 innings!) Yeah, pretty horrible numbers... so why the play? Because first, it's only a half unit risk at better than 4:1 on our money, and we're expecting Holland to have a sub par outing following 2 solid ones, especially the one before last where he went the distance at LA holding th Angels to just 3 hits and no runs while striking out 8. Many times pitchers suffer let downs after such performances, especially unproven young pitchers like Derek Holland. As mentioned, Holland won his next start (at home) against Boston on the 15th but not nearly as convincingly (6 2/3 innings, 7 hits, 2 walks, 2 ER's & 3 K's). Also, the Twins' bats have been finding ways to overcome big deficits in this series. They came back from 0-4 in the 5th last night to win 5-4 and from 1-5 in the 6th Tuesday night to win 9-6. Bottom line is that if all the stars are lined up, we'll cash a nice parlay and if not, the damage is just a half unit.
Wednesday 8/19: +3.56 Units (Volume: 7.00 Units)
Under 7.5 Runs (-115) Arizona (Haren) / Philadelphia (Lee) 7:05 ET 1 Unit
Arizona 1 Philadelphia 8 Lose
Over 8.5 Runs (-110) San Francisco (Zito) / Cincinnati (Arroyo) 7:10 ET 1 Unit
San Francisco 1 Cincinnati 0 Lose
Atlanta (Jurrijens) -175 / NY Mets (Parnell) 7:10 ET 1.5 Units
Atlanta 15 NY Mets 2 Winner
Under 9.5 Runs (Even) Florida (West) / Houston (Bazardo) 8:05 ET 1 Unit
Florida 3 Houston 6 Winner
Chicago Cubs (Harden) -215 / San Diego (Latos) 10:05 ET 2 Units
Chicago Cubs 7 San Diego 0 (8th inning) FINAL PENDING
Parlay: Seattle (Snell) +250 / Detroit (Verlander) & Under 8.5 Runs (-115) 7:05ET Risk 0.5/Unit to win 2.77 Units
Seattle 3 Detroit 1 Winner
Here's a real nice spot for a small half unit parlay. There seems to be very little "middle of the road" with Ian Snell. He's either on and will give you a strong outing or he gets smacked hard. If the latter is the case, so what, we lose a half unit but if Snell is on tonight, we stand a decent shot to win this parlay. Seattle has the hitters to put runs on the board and Verlander has given up 5 ER's in each of the 2 starts before his last start where he pitched 8 innings in Boston allowing just 4 hits & no runs (8/13). We only need to win this parlay once in 6 tries to make a profit! (1 win = +2.77 units, 5 losses = -2.50 units: +0.27/Unit on a volume of 3.00 units (+9%).
Tuesday 8/18: -1.86 units (Volume: 4.75 Units)
Over 9 Runs (-110) Colorado (Jimenez) / Washington (Stammen) 7:05 ET 1.25 Units
Colorado 4 Washington 3 Lose
Florida (Nolasco) -108 / Houston (Norris) 8:05 ET 1.5 Units
Florida 6 Houston 2 Winner
Nice price set up by recent performance. This is a pitching re-match of last week's game in Florida where the Astros tagged Nolasco for 8 hits & 10 ER's in 3 and a third innings en route to a 14-6 win. We were on the Over (8.5 Runs) in that game. Houston's Bud Norris was equally as bad giving up 10 hits & 5 runs (4 earned) in his 5 innings of work. The difference here is that Ricky Nolasco is a proven winner but he is known (especially lately since his recall from the minors in May) to be either dead on un-hittable, or to get belted. The good news is that his "beltings" are becoming fewer and further between as the Marlins have won 9 of Nolasco's last 12 starts and with the added motivation of revenge, we look for Ricky to pitch a gem in Houston tonight while Bud Norris continues to struggle.
Tampa Bay (Price) -1.5 Runs (-130) / Baltimore (Berken) 7:05 ET 1 Unit
Tampa Bay 5 Baltimore 4 Lose
We're opting to lay the run and a half here as opposed to the big price (-260) with this home chalk situation. We're getting it at exactly half price as we're risking 1 unit to win 0.77/Unit, the same yield a 2 unit play on the money line.
Texas (Feldman) -1.5 Runs (-115) / Minnesota (Pavano) 8:05 ET 1 Unit
Texas 6 Minnesota 9 Lose
Monday 8/17: +2.03 Units (Volume: 6.50 Units)
Over 8 Runs (Even) Arizona (Scherzer) / Atlanta (Hanson) 4:05 ET 1.5 Units
Arizona 4 Atlanta 9 Winner
Baltimore (Hernandez) Even / LA Angels (Santana) 7:05 ET 1.50 Units
Baltimore 5 LA Angels 8 Lose
Over 10 Runs (-125) LA Angels (Santana) / Baltimore (Hernandez) 1.50 Units
LA Angels 8 Baltimore 5 Winner
We're risking a total of 3 units in this game to make 2.70 units, and with 5 Baltimore runs scored, we're just about free rolling! LA's Ervin Santana has been the beneficiary of plenty of good fortune this season when it comes to W's & L's. Santana is 5-6 on the year and the Angels are 8-6 in his starts... and that's with an overall ERA of 6.38 & a 1.57 WHIP!! On any other team, those numbers would surely have produced a MUCH worse W - L record. There's only so far you can push the luck factor when pitching in the big leagues. Santana has had some solid seasons with his best coming last year (16-7 3.49 ERA), but there's something wrong with him this year. In 7 of his 14 outings, Santana has allowed 5 or more earned runs and as mentioned his ERA is 6.38 overall. He is coming off of a complete game 3 hit shutout, but we can't see his woes being cured overnight. Both these teams have been scorching the baseball (averaging almost 18 runs per game in this series!)
Chicago WS (Buehrle) -240 / Kansas City (Bannister) 8:10 ET 2 Units
Chicago WS 8 Kansas City 7 Winner
Same price as our Detroit Play on Saturday (10-3 Winner) and as was the case in that game, we feel Chicago is under priced... should be in the -350 range. This is the time of the year when we'll be seeing "live favorites" with teams in heated pennant & wild card races playing teams that are completely out of it. Again, it's a risky proposition laying the run and a half with a home team to reduce the price, so we'll once again play 2 units to win 0.83/Unit here.