2009 MLB Results
Click here for full season results
Week: 8/10 - 8/16
-2.03 Units (Volume: 25.00 Units)
Sunday 8/16: -1.21 Units (Volume: 3.50 Units)
Over 7.5 Runs (-115) Philadelphia (Happ) / Atlanta (Vazquez) 8:05 ET ESPN 1.25 Units
Philadelphia 4 Atlanta 1 Lose
Over 9 Runs (-120) LA Dodgers (Wolf) / Arizona (Petit) 4:10 ET 1.25 Units
LA Dodgers 9 Arizona 3 Winner
Under 10.5 Runs (+105) LA Angels (O'sullivan) / Baltimore (Guthrie) 1:35 ET 1 Unit
LA Angels 17 Baltimore 8 Lose
Saturday 8/15: +1.25 Units (Volume: 6.25 Units)
Houston (Moehler) +120 / Milwaukee (Burns) 7:05 ET 1.25 Units
Houston 2 Milwaukee 6 Lose
Chicago WS (Floyd) -115 / Oakland (Gonzalez) 4:05 ET 1.5 Units
Chicago WS 8 Oakland 1 Winner
Detroit (Jackson) -240 / Kansas City (Hochevar) 7:05 ET 2 Units
Detroit 10 Kansas City 3 Winner
This is the time of the year where we'll start seeing "live favorites." Teams in pennant races playing teams out of the race entirely. The linemaker can't make a number big enough for this game. We feel Detroit should be in the 4:1 range here. As long as value exists, it really doesn't matter what the price is. Laying the run and a half is another option (-115) but can be tricky at home... We'll play it safe and risk 2 units here to win 0.833/unit.
LA Angels - Baltimore 2 Plays Total Risk 1.5 Units
Under 10 Runs (-115) LA Angels (Lackey) / Baltimore (Matusz) 1 Unit
LA Angels 5 Baltimore 1 Winner
Parlay: Baltimore (ML) +135 & Under 10 Runs (-115) Risk 0.5/Unit to win 1.70 Units
LA Angels 5 Baltimore 1 Lose
This play is entirely based on Brian Matusz, Baltimore's newest rookie addition, having a great outing. Can't see the O's bats remaining hot like last night (16 runs on 19 hits)... that's more runs than Baltimore scored in it's previous 5 games! So we're risking a total of 1.5 units for a possible win of 2.57 units, and with the under winning, we are guaranteed a profit of 0.37/Unit.
Friday 8/14: +1.02 Units (Volume: 3.75 Units)
Under 8.5 Runs (-115) Colorado (Hammel) / Florida (Johnson) 7:10 ET 1 Unit
Colorado 5 Florida 6 Lose
Parlay: NY Mets (Parnell) Even / San Francisco (Zito) & Over 8.5 Runs (-120) Risk 0.5/Unit to win 1.33 Units
NY Mets 3 San Francisco 0 Lose
Barry Zito's been pitching way above his norm of late and is sure to throw in a classic Zito clunker soon! The Giants have won Zito's last 4 starts (Zito was 3-0 & 1 ND). Considering Zito has only 29 "W's" in a Giant uniform (29-40 2007-09 with an ERA in the upper 4.00's to be exact), his work since 7/23 (3 weeks ago) has accounted for over 10% of all his Giant wins. Barry's had 2+ seasons now to prove his worth for the gazillion dollars SF gave him, enough is enough! This is a nice spot for a half unit at 2.66:1.
Under 8 Runs (-120) LA Dodgers (Kershaw) / Arizona (Haren) 9:40 ET 1 Unit
LA Dodgers 1 Arizona 4 Winner
Baltimore (Tillman) +135 / LA Angels (Weaver) 7:05 ET 1.25 Units
Baltimore 16 LA Angels 6 Winner
68-44 (LAA) meets 47-67 (Baltimore), the Angels are coming off of a 3 game sweep of the Rays while the O's have won 3 of their last 10.... and the line's just LAA-145! Beware the easy looking money! We're not saying LA can't win the game but there's a reason for the cheap price. Remember what we said about this Baltimore team over the past couple of weeks with the young additions to their pitching staff and their youth move behind home plate with the trading of veteran Greg Zaun to clear the way for young Matt Wieters to see full time action. Baltimore is a team out of the playoffs yet looking towards the future and they'll fight for the rest of the season as they look to build their future. Chris Tillman gets the start tonight for the O's and although his numbers in his 3 games this season are a bit rough (1.44 WHIP & 5.19 ERA), he's coming off of a solid performance on the road in Detroit losing a tough one 2-3 pitching 6 2/3 innings allowing just 4 hits & 2 ER's.
Thursday 8/13: -1.50 Units (Volume: 1.50 Units)
Under 10.5 Runs (-115) Houston (Hampton) / Florida (West) 7:10 ET 1.5 Units
Houston 2 Florida 9 Lose
Wednesday 8/12: +1.33 Units (Volume: 4.50 Units)
Toronto (Romero) +1.5 Runs (Even) / NY Yankees (Burnett) 1:05 ET 1 Unit
Toronto 3 NY Yankees 4 Winner
Toronto (Romero) (ML) +210 / NY Yankees (Burnett) 0.5/Unit
Toronto 3 NY Yankees 4 Lose
We stand to make 2.05 Units for our 1.5 Unit risk, and a 1 run loss will still net us a half unit profit. Not a bad spot to be in considering these 2 pitcher's season stats are virtually identical: Romero 1.36 WHIP, 3.50 ERA and Burnett 1.37 WHIP, 3.67ERA. Also, Toronto, despite having a terrible 2nd half, is showing signs of life winning 3 of their last 4. Romero is coming off of a quality outing (6 innings, 2 hits, 2 ER's) vs Baltimore on 8/7 but he got the loss. Many times when a pitcher has a quality outing but loses, he's extremely focused in his next start. On the other hand, AJ Burnett is coming off of 7 2/3 innings of one-hit shutout ball at home vs Boston on the 7th (2-0 NY win). Many times after such a win, a pitcher follows up with an equally shaky outing which is what we're looking for this afternoon in the Bronx.
Over 8.5 Runs (Even) Houston (Norris) / Florida (Nolasco) 7:10 ET 1 Unit
Houston 14 Florida 6 Winner
Over 9 Runs (-115) Texas (Hunter) / Cleveland (Carmona) 7:05 ET 1 Unit
Texas 5 Cleveland 0 Lose
Under 7.5 Runs (-120) Chicago WS (Buehrle) / Seattle (Hernandez) 10:10 ET 1 Unit
Chicago WS 0 Seattle 1 Winner
Tuesday 8/11: -1.42 Units (Volume: 4.00 Units)
Chicago Cubs (Harden) -130 / Philadelphia (Happ) 8:05 ET 1.25 Units
Chicago Cubs 3 Philadelphia 4 Lose
St. Louis (Boggs) -150 / Cincinnati (Lehr) 8:15 ET 1.5 Units
St. Louis 4 Cincinnati 5 Lose
LA Angels (Santana) +106 / Tampa Bay (Price) 10:05 ET 1.25 Units
LA Angels 6 Tampa Bay 0 Winner
Monday 8/10: -1.50 Units (Volume: 1.50 Units)
Baltimore (Guthrie) -155 / Oakland (Gonzalez) 7:05 ET 1 Unit
Baltimore 1 Oakland 9 Lose
Baltimore -1.5 Runs (+120) / Oakland 0.5/Unit
Baltimore 1 Oakland 9 Lose
Although the O's have only won 4 of their last 12, there's alot of morale on the team as they're looking towards their future with several changes being made in the past week with the addition of 2008 first round pick lefty Brian Matusz and the trading of veteran catcher Greg Zaun which makes the O's 2007 first round pick, Matt Wieters, their starting backstop. As for the A's, they send Gio Gonzalez to the hill tonight. We were on Gio a couple times last week and he did show signs of promise as he's gone to the 7th inning in 2 of his last 3 starts allowing just 3 hits & 2 hits and only 1 run total in both of those victories against the Yanks & Texas, but he's had too many bad outings to rely on him. We're looking for Gonzalez to get hit hard tonight as he comes down to earth a bit and for Baltimore to get a much needed win at home for this young teams' psyche.