2009 MLB Results
Click here for full season results
Current Week: 6/15 - 6/21
+11.40 Units (Volume: 24.00 Units)
Sunday 6/21: -1.50 Units (Volume: 4.00 Units)
St. Louis (Wainwright) Even / Kansas City (Meche) 2:10 ET 1.25 Units
St. Louis 12 Kansas Cuty 5 Winner
Over 8 Runs (-110) Texas (Millwood) / San Francisco (Zito) 4:05 ET 1.25 Units
Texas 2 San Francisco 3 Lose
Arizona - Seattle: 2 Plays Total Risk 1.5 Units
Arizona (Davis) +150 / Seattle (Hernandez) 4:10 ET 1 Unit
Arizona 2 Seattle 3 Lose
Parlay: Arizona +150 & Over 7.5 Runs (Even) Risk 0.5/Unit to win 2 Units
Arizona 2 Seattle 3 Lose
Saturday 6/20: +0.90/Unit (Volume: 4.75 Units)
Over 10 Runs (-110) Pittsburgh (Morton) / Colorado (Hammel) 8:10 ET 1 Unit
Pittsburgh 7 Colorado 9 Winner
Philadelphia (Happ) -145 / Baltimore (Bergesen) 7:05 ET 1.25 Units
Philadelphia 5 Baltimore 6 Lose
NY Yankees - Florida 2 Plays Total Risk 1.5 Units
Florida (Johnson) -105 / NY Yankees (Burnett) 7:10 ET 1 Unit
Florida 2 NY Yankees 1 Winner
Parlay: Florida (ML) -105 & Under 8 Runs (-120) Risk 0.5/Unit to win 1.29 Units
Florida 2 NY Yankees 1 Winner
Over 8 Runs (-105) Texas (Holland) / San Francisco (Cain) 9:05 ET 1 Unit
Texas 1 San Francisco 2 Lose
Friday 6/19: +2.04 Units (Volume: 5.25 Units)
Cleveland - Chicago Cubs (2 Plays Total Risk 1.5 Units)
Chicago Cubs (Harden) -115 / Cleveland (Lee) 2:20 ET 1 Unit
Chicago Cubs 8 Cleveland 7 Winner
Chicago Cubs (Harden) -1.5 Runs (+190) / Cleveland (Lee) 0.5/Unit
Chicago Cubs 8 Cleveland 7 Lose
We're getting an overall line of +121 here as we stand to make 1.82 units for our 1.5 unit risk and are guaranteed a 0.37/Unit profit with a Cubs 1 run win but have enough reasoning to warrant the run line addition.
Cliff Lee has a very low ERA this season (2.88), but it's fake! Lee has managed to dance through raindrops this season because his WHIP is 1.33. To put things in perspective, during the "meat" of Cliff Lee's career with the Indians (5 seasons: 2004-2008), Lee had an overall WHIP of 1.32 but an ERA of 4.22, almost 50% more than this season's pace! So what does it all mean? Long term stats like these don't lie. In those 5 seasons Lee pitched 902.1 innings giving up 932 hits, 261 walks and 422 ER's. So it's no coincidence and or surprise that this season, after 97 innings, Lee's WHIP is the exact same (1.33) but to be a run and a third lower in the ERA column (2.88 ERA: 31 ER's in 97 innings) is something that will certainly be straightened out by season's end. Of course it doesn't have to be today but considering Cliff is fresh off a complete game 3 hit shutout of the Cardinals on Sunday night MLB on ESPN and he's facing the very tough Rich Harden in a day game at Wrigley Field, we like our chances that Lee gets smacked early today. And remember, if Lee's ERA does straighten out by the end of the season, that means that over the NEXT 97 innings, he would have to give up 62 ER's (5.74 ERA) doubling his allowance over the first 97.
Under 8.5 Runs (Even) Toronto (Tallet) / Washington (Zimmermann) 7:05 ET 1 Unit
Toronto 1 Washington 2 Winner
Cincinnati (Arroyo) -105 / Chicago WS (Contreras) 7:10 ET 1.75 Units
Cincinnati 4 Chicago WS 3 Winner
Houston (Oswalt) +140 / Minnesota (Slowey) 8:10 ET 1 Unit
Houston 2 Minnesota 5 Lose
We'll take our chances with the ever solid 132 game winner Roy Oswalt getting this kind of price. This is the biggest price of the season for Oswalt to get and only the 3rd time he's a dog this season (and only slightly all 3)
Thursday 6/18: +3.23 Units (Volume: 2.50 Units)
Florida - Boston 3 Plays Total Risk 2 Units
Florida (Nolasco) +1.5 Runs (-105) / Boston (Lester) 7:10 ET 1 Unit
Florida 2 Boston 1 (No Action: Game shortened (rain) Top 6: Totals and Runlines must complete for action)
Florida (Nolasco) (ML) +180 / Boston (Lester) 7:10 ET Risk 0.5/Unit to win 0.9/unit
Florida 2 Boston 1 Winner
Parlay: Florida (ML) +180 & Under 9.5 Runs (-120) Risk 0.5/Unit to win 2.06 Units
Florida 2 Boston 1 (+0.9/Unit) (No Action on the total portion of this parlay so the ML play gets paid and rolled over to no action on the total)
Here we stand to make 3.92 units for our 2 unit risk as we look for Ricky Nolasco to build on his last outing (6/12) at Toronto where he went 6 innings allowing just 5 hits, 1 walk and 2 ER's. Nolasco didn't figure in the decision in that game as the Marlins went on to win 7-3, but that was the first solid performance Ricky has thrown in a while. We were on that game you'll recall using Florida in a parlay to the under (8 Runs) citing that the price (4.85:1) was plenty big to warrant the play as all we really needed was for Nolasco to get back to early season form... which he did, but we lost the parlay due to a Cody Ross late game grand slam.
We feel Nolasco will continue in the right direction tonight in Boston as he squares off against John Lester. We're expecting your classic pitcher's duel here making our RL play solid at a cheap price (pick) and if the Fish do get the win, we'll cash big.
Over 8 Runs (-105) Arizona (Haren) / Kansas City (Hochevar) 8:10 ET 1.5 Unit
Arizona 12 Kansas City 5 Winner
Wednesday 6/17: +6.28 Units (Volume: 4.50 Units)
LA Angeles - San Francisco 2 Plays Total Risk 1.5 Units
LA Angels (Palmer) +160 / San Francisco (Lincecum) 3:45 ET 1 Unit
LA Angels 4 San Francisco 3 Winner
Parlay: LA Angels +160 & Under 7.5 Runs (-110) Risk 0.5/Unit to win 1.98 Units
LA Angels 4 San Francisco 3 Winner
We're not expecting LA to get much off of Tim Lincecum... but just enough. Matt Palmer has shown good stuff throughout the season despite a few shaky outings including giving up 10 hits and 3 walks on the 12th against SD (A game which Palmer actually got the Win: 11-6). Palmer is 6-0 on the season and the Angels are 7-1 in his starts. So to put ourselves in a position to win over 3.5 Units is worth the 1.5 unit risk.
Washington (Lannan) +190 / NY Yankees (Wang) 7:05 ET 0.5/Unit
Washington 3 NY Yankees 2 Winner
We'll take another half unit shot on the Nationals tonight with John Lannan getting nice value. How can the line maker still give this kind of respect to Chien-Ming Wang? There is an obvious problem with the once great Yankee hurler. Wang was 19-6 in 2006, 19-7 in 2007 and 8-2 last season before a season ending foot injury. In his first 3 starts this season Wang got annihilated to the tune of a 34.50 ERA!! He was once again put on the DL after his 4/18 start after the problem was diagnosed as weakness in the abductor muscles of both hips. He returned to the roster in late May and had 3 solid relief outings giving up just 2 ER's over 8 innings of work. He was reinserted into the starting rotation on 5/31 where he got rocked again for 7 hits and 5 ER's in just 4.2 innings and in his last start on 6/10, Wang lasted just 2.2 innings yielding 6 hits, 4 walks and 4 ER's. Is Wang ever going to return to his early form?... Probably, but until he does we'll keep looking for overlays like this one. The Nationals competed well in Yankee Stadium last night holding a lead (3-2) into the 7th but wound up losing 3-5.
Toronto (Richmond) +120 / Philadelphia (Moyer) 7:05 ET 1.5 Units
Toronto 7 Philadelphia 1 Winner
We'll fade the ageless Jaime Moyer here going with the Blue Jays again with Scott Richmond. Richmond has been splitting starting and relief work after getting knocked around a bit, but we're looking for him to start to return to early season form. Toronto won Richmond's first 5 starts of the season as the righty gave up just 9 ER's over 30+ innings of work. Jaime Moyer has been pitching solid of late but the 46 year older is no longer reliable to continue at this pace. His ERA is over 6 and he has had a few horrible outings this season. Look for Toronto to feed off of their 5 run tenth inning last night as they came from behind to beat the World Champs 8-3.
Kansas City (Geinke) -1.5 Runs (+140) / Arizona (Scherzer) 8:10 ET 1 Unit
Kansas City 5 Arizona 12 Lose
The only way for us to play this game from a value standpoint is on the RL... -165 is way too big of a price.
Tuesday 6/16: +0.45/Unit (Volume: 3.00 Units)
Washington (Martis) +320 / NY Yankees (Sabathia) 7:05 ET 0.5/Unit
Washington 3 NY Yankees 5 Lose
Win or lose, the Nationals in this spot at this price are a steal! Like we told you on Sunday when we were on these Nationals +230 over the Rays, in MLB even the worst teams will win 50 games while the best teams will lose 50 games... it's a long season. And CC Sabathia is shaping up to be just another NY Yankee money pit. The big lefty is just 5-4 this season while the Yanks as a team are 6-7 in his starts, and 3-3 when CC is priced above 2:1. Meanwhile starting for Washington is Shairon Martis (5-1 / 1.35 WHIP). Washington has won in 6 of Martis' 12 starts and considering the Nationals have only won 16 games the whole season, that says a lot! In his most recent outing, Martis went 7 innings allowing just 3 hits, 2 walks and 2 ER's. We'll put a half unit out there for a 1.6 Unit win.
Toronto (Romero) +180 / Philadelphia (Hamels) 7:05 ET 0.5/Unit
Toronto 8 Philadelphia 3 Winner
Here's another big overlay with the Phils. Romero & Hamels have very similar numbers with Romero's ERA almost a full run lower than Hamels. Crazy things happen in interleague play, just like Toronto getting swept at home this past weekend by the Marlins. We'll take another half unit stab at this live dog.
Chicago WS (Danks) +145 / Chicago Cubs (Zambrano) 8:05 ET 1.25 Units
POSTPONED
Under 8.5 Runs (+105) Arizona (Davis) / Kansas City (Meche) 8:10 ET 1 Unit
Arizona 0 Kansas City 5 Winner
Parlay: San Diego (Correia) +126 / Seattle (Hernandez) & Over 7 Runs (+105) Risk 1 Unit to win 3.63 Units
San Diego 0 Seattle 5 Lose
Here's a spot where Hernandez will have his monthly poor outing or he won't... but if he does we're going to get paid the right way. In 4 of his 13 starts this season, Felix Hernandez didn't make it out of the 6th inning giving up at least 5 ER's each time. Although Hernandez is virtually untouchable when he's on, he's not 100% reliable. With a total so low, if San Diego gets to him at all, the game stands a great shot of going over and the parlay payout is nearly 3x that of just a straight bet on SD.
Monday 6/15: PASS (Volume: 0)
PASS
Week: 4/06 - 4/12
Week: 4/13 - 4/19
Week: 4/20 - 4/26
Week: 4/27 - 5/03
Week: 5/04 - 5/10
Week: 5/11 - 5/17
Week: 5/18 - 5/24
Week: 5/24 - 5/31
Week: 6/01 - 6/07
Week: 6/08 - 6/14
Click here for full season results
Current Week: 6/15 - 6/21
+11.40 Units (Volume: 24.00 Units)
Sunday 6/21: -1.50 Units (Volume: 4.00 Units)
St. Louis (Wainwright) Even / Kansas City (Meche) 2:10 ET 1.25 Units
St. Louis 12 Kansas Cuty 5 Winner
Over 8 Runs (-110) Texas (Millwood) / San Francisco (Zito) 4:05 ET 1.25 Units
Texas 2 San Francisco 3 Lose
Arizona - Seattle: 2 Plays Total Risk 1.5 Units
Arizona (Davis) +150 / Seattle (Hernandez) 4:10 ET 1 Unit
Arizona 2 Seattle 3 Lose
Parlay: Arizona +150 & Over 7.5 Runs (Even) Risk 0.5/Unit to win 2 Units
Arizona 2 Seattle 3 Lose
Saturday 6/20: +0.90/Unit (Volume: 4.75 Units)
Over 10 Runs (-110) Pittsburgh (Morton) / Colorado (Hammel) 8:10 ET 1 Unit
Pittsburgh 7 Colorado 9 Winner
Philadelphia (Happ) -145 / Baltimore (Bergesen) 7:05 ET 1.25 Units
Philadelphia 5 Baltimore 6 Lose
NY Yankees - Florida 2 Plays Total Risk 1.5 Units
Florida (Johnson) -105 / NY Yankees (Burnett) 7:10 ET 1 Unit
Florida 2 NY Yankees 1 Winner
Parlay: Florida (ML) -105 & Under 8 Runs (-120) Risk 0.5/Unit to win 1.29 Units
Florida 2 NY Yankees 1 Winner
Over 8 Runs (-105) Texas (Holland) / San Francisco (Cain) 9:05 ET 1 Unit
Texas 1 San Francisco 2 Lose
Friday 6/19: +2.04 Units (Volume: 5.25 Units)
Cleveland - Chicago Cubs (2 Plays Total Risk 1.5 Units)
Chicago Cubs (Harden) -115 / Cleveland (Lee) 2:20 ET 1 Unit
Chicago Cubs 8 Cleveland 7 Winner
Chicago Cubs (Harden) -1.5 Runs (+190) / Cleveland (Lee) 0.5/Unit
Chicago Cubs 8 Cleveland 7 Lose
We're getting an overall line of +121 here as we stand to make 1.82 units for our 1.5 unit risk and are guaranteed a 0.37/Unit profit with a Cubs 1 run win but have enough reasoning to warrant the run line addition.
Cliff Lee has a very low ERA this season (2.88), but it's fake! Lee has managed to dance through raindrops this season because his WHIP is 1.33. To put things in perspective, during the "meat" of Cliff Lee's career with the Indians (5 seasons: 2004-2008), Lee had an overall WHIP of 1.32 but an ERA of 4.22, almost 50% more than this season's pace! So what does it all mean? Long term stats like these don't lie. In those 5 seasons Lee pitched 902.1 innings giving up 932 hits, 261 walks and 422 ER's. So it's no coincidence and or surprise that this season, after 97 innings, Lee's WHIP is the exact same (1.33) but to be a run and a third lower in the ERA column (2.88 ERA: 31 ER's in 97 innings) is something that will certainly be straightened out by season's end. Of course it doesn't have to be today but considering Cliff is fresh off a complete game 3 hit shutout of the Cardinals on Sunday night MLB on ESPN and he's facing the very tough Rich Harden in a day game at Wrigley Field, we like our chances that Lee gets smacked early today. And remember, if Lee's ERA does straighten out by the end of the season, that means that over the NEXT 97 innings, he would have to give up 62 ER's (5.74 ERA) doubling his allowance over the first 97.
Under 8.5 Runs (Even) Toronto (Tallet) / Washington (Zimmermann) 7:05 ET 1 Unit
Toronto 1 Washington 2 Winner
Cincinnati (Arroyo) -105 / Chicago WS (Contreras) 7:10 ET 1.75 Units
Cincinnati 4 Chicago WS 3 Winner
Houston (Oswalt) +140 / Minnesota (Slowey) 8:10 ET 1 Unit
Houston 2 Minnesota 5 Lose
We'll take our chances with the ever solid 132 game winner Roy Oswalt getting this kind of price. This is the biggest price of the season for Oswalt to get and only the 3rd time he's a dog this season (and only slightly all 3)
Thursday 6/18: +3.23 Units (Volume: 2.50 Units)
Florida - Boston 3 Plays Total Risk 2 Units
Florida (Nolasco) +1.5 Runs (-105) / Boston (Lester) 7:10 ET 1 Unit
Florida 2 Boston 1 (No Action: Game shortened (rain) Top 6: Totals and Runlines must complete for action)
Florida (Nolasco) (ML) +180 / Boston (Lester) 7:10 ET Risk 0.5/Unit to win 0.9/unit
Florida 2 Boston 1 Winner
Parlay: Florida (ML) +180 & Under 9.5 Runs (-120) Risk 0.5/Unit to win 2.06 Units
Florida 2 Boston 1 (+0.9/Unit) (No Action on the total portion of this parlay so the ML play gets paid and rolled over to no action on the total)
Here we stand to make 3.92 units for our 2 unit risk as we look for Ricky Nolasco to build on his last outing (6/12) at Toronto where he went 6 innings allowing just 5 hits, 1 walk and 2 ER's. Nolasco didn't figure in the decision in that game as the Marlins went on to win 7-3, but that was the first solid performance Ricky has thrown in a while. We were on that game you'll recall using Florida in a parlay to the under (8 Runs) citing that the price (4.85:1) was plenty big to warrant the play as all we really needed was for Nolasco to get back to early season form... which he did, but we lost the parlay due to a Cody Ross late game grand slam.
We feel Nolasco will continue in the right direction tonight in Boston as he squares off against John Lester. We're expecting your classic pitcher's duel here making our RL play solid at a cheap price (pick) and if the Fish do get the win, we'll cash big.
Over 8 Runs (-105) Arizona (Haren) / Kansas City (Hochevar) 8:10 ET 1.5 Unit
Arizona 12 Kansas City 5 Winner
Wednesday 6/17: +6.28 Units (Volume: 4.50 Units)
LA Angeles - San Francisco 2 Plays Total Risk 1.5 Units
LA Angels (Palmer) +160 / San Francisco (Lincecum) 3:45 ET 1 Unit
LA Angels 4 San Francisco 3 Winner
Parlay: LA Angels +160 & Under 7.5 Runs (-110) Risk 0.5/Unit to win 1.98 Units
LA Angels 4 San Francisco 3 Winner
We're not expecting LA to get much off of Tim Lincecum... but just enough. Matt Palmer has shown good stuff throughout the season despite a few shaky outings including giving up 10 hits and 3 walks on the 12th against SD (A game which Palmer actually got the Win: 11-6). Palmer is 6-0 on the season and the Angels are 7-1 in his starts. So to put ourselves in a position to win over 3.5 Units is worth the 1.5 unit risk.
Washington (Lannan) +190 / NY Yankees (Wang) 7:05 ET 0.5/Unit
Washington 3 NY Yankees 2 Winner
We'll take another half unit shot on the Nationals tonight with John Lannan getting nice value. How can the line maker still give this kind of respect to Chien-Ming Wang? There is an obvious problem with the once great Yankee hurler. Wang was 19-6 in 2006, 19-7 in 2007 and 8-2 last season before a season ending foot injury. In his first 3 starts this season Wang got annihilated to the tune of a 34.50 ERA!! He was once again put on the DL after his 4/18 start after the problem was diagnosed as weakness in the abductor muscles of both hips. He returned to the roster in late May and had 3 solid relief outings giving up just 2 ER's over 8 innings of work. He was reinserted into the starting rotation on 5/31 where he got rocked again for 7 hits and 5 ER's in just 4.2 innings and in his last start on 6/10, Wang lasted just 2.2 innings yielding 6 hits, 4 walks and 4 ER's. Is Wang ever going to return to his early form?... Probably, but until he does we'll keep looking for overlays like this one. The Nationals competed well in Yankee Stadium last night holding a lead (3-2) into the 7th but wound up losing 3-5.
Toronto (Richmond) +120 / Philadelphia (Moyer) 7:05 ET 1.5 Units
Toronto 7 Philadelphia 1 Winner
We'll fade the ageless Jaime Moyer here going with the Blue Jays again with Scott Richmond. Richmond has been splitting starting and relief work after getting knocked around a bit, but we're looking for him to start to return to early season form. Toronto won Richmond's first 5 starts of the season as the righty gave up just 9 ER's over 30+ innings of work. Jaime Moyer has been pitching solid of late but the 46 year older is no longer reliable to continue at this pace. His ERA is over 6 and he has had a few horrible outings this season. Look for Toronto to feed off of their 5 run tenth inning last night as they came from behind to beat the World Champs 8-3.
Kansas City (Geinke) -1.5 Runs (+140) / Arizona (Scherzer) 8:10 ET 1 Unit
Kansas City 5 Arizona 12 Lose
The only way for us to play this game from a value standpoint is on the RL... -165 is way too big of a price.
Tuesday 6/16: +0.45/Unit (Volume: 3.00 Units)
Washington (Martis) +320 / NY Yankees (Sabathia) 7:05 ET 0.5/Unit
Washington 3 NY Yankees 5 Lose
Win or lose, the Nationals in this spot at this price are a steal! Like we told you on Sunday when we were on these Nationals +230 over the Rays, in MLB even the worst teams will win 50 games while the best teams will lose 50 games... it's a long season. And CC Sabathia is shaping up to be just another NY Yankee money pit. The big lefty is just 5-4 this season while the Yanks as a team are 6-7 in his starts, and 3-3 when CC is priced above 2:1. Meanwhile starting for Washington is Shairon Martis (5-1 / 1.35 WHIP). Washington has won in 6 of Martis' 12 starts and considering the Nationals have only won 16 games the whole season, that says a lot! In his most recent outing, Martis went 7 innings allowing just 3 hits, 2 walks and 2 ER's. We'll put a half unit out there for a 1.6 Unit win.
Toronto (Romero) +180 / Philadelphia (Hamels) 7:05 ET 0.5/Unit
Toronto 8 Philadelphia 3 Winner
Here's another big overlay with the Phils. Romero & Hamels have very similar numbers with Romero's ERA almost a full run lower than Hamels. Crazy things happen in interleague play, just like Toronto getting swept at home this past weekend by the Marlins. We'll take another half unit stab at this live dog.
Chicago WS (Danks) +145 / Chicago Cubs (Zambrano) 8:05 ET 1.25 Units
POSTPONED
Under 8.5 Runs (+105) Arizona (Davis) / Kansas City (Meche) 8:10 ET 1 Unit
Arizona 0 Kansas City 5 Winner
Parlay: San Diego (Correia) +126 / Seattle (Hernandez) & Over 7 Runs (+105) Risk 1 Unit to win 3.63 Units
San Diego 0 Seattle 5 Lose
Here's a spot where Hernandez will have his monthly poor outing or he won't... but if he does we're going to get paid the right way. In 4 of his 13 starts this season, Felix Hernandez didn't make it out of the 6th inning giving up at least 5 ER's each time. Although Hernandez is virtually untouchable when he's on, he's not 100% reliable. With a total so low, if San Diego gets to him at all, the game stands a great shot of going over and the parlay payout is nearly 3x that of just a straight bet on SD.
Monday 6/15: PASS (Volume: 0)
PASS
Week: 4/06 - 4/12
Week: 4/13 - 4/19
Week: 4/20 - 4/26
Week: 4/27 - 5/03
Week: 5/04 - 5/10
Week: 5/11 - 5/17
Week: 5/18 - 5/24
Week: 5/24 - 5/31
Week: 6/01 - 6/07
Week: 6/08 - 6/14