2009 MLB Results
Click here for full season results
Week: 10/26 - 11/01
+0.52 Units (Volume: 5.00 Units)
Sunday 11/01: +1.18 Units (Volume: 2.00 Units)
NY Yankees (Sabathia) -170 / Philadelphia (Blanton) 8:20 ET 2 Units
NY Yankees 7 Philadlephia 4 Winner
This is really becoming a must game for NY because Sabathia is getting the start on 3 days' rest. It's not just what happens today that's at stake, but now A.J. Burnett will be pitching tomorrow on 3 days' rest. The alternative would have been to insert Chamberlain today giving BOTH CC & AJ the extra day and a well rested Andy Pettitte for game 7 if needed. Sabathia had a fine outing in game 4 of the ALCS pitching on 3 days' rest and we're looking for more of the same tonight.
Saturday 10/31: -1.00 Units (Volume: 1.00 Units)
Under 9 Runs (-110) NY Yankees (Pettitte) / Philadelphia (Hamels) 7:57 ET 1 Units
NY Yankkes 8 Philadelphia 5 Lose
We feel starting pitching will once again control the game as it's done thus far.
Thursday 10/29: +1.34 Units (Volume: 1.00 Units)
World Series Game #2: (2) Plays Total Risk 1 Unit
NY Yankees (Burnett) -1.5 Runs (-110) / Philadelphia (Martinez) 7:57 ET 0.5/Unit
NY Yankees 3 Philadelphia 1 Winner
Parlay: NY Yankees -200 & Under 9 Runs (-120) Risk 0.5/Unit to win 0.88/Unit
NY Yankees 3 Philadelphia 1 Winner
We're coming right back with the exact same plays as last night. Again, we feel pitchng will lead the way in game 2 and the Yankees will get a much needed win to even the series befoe heading to Philly for three games and another dose of Cliff Lee.
Wednesday 10/28: -1.00 Units (Volume: 1.00 Units)
World Series Play Reminder
NYY -200 / Philadelphia 8:00 ET Risk 3.02 Units
NY Yankees 4 Games Philadelphia 2 Games Winner
(Graded in week 11/02-11/08)
For those clients who played our 2 Unit NYY -195 / LAA ALCS play on 10/16, remember we were actually forming our own World Series Futures play to end up with a better price (which we did... the price for NY to win the series (before the ALCS) was -105, and a 2 Unit risk would have yielded only a +1.90 Unit profit. By playing the ALCS fist (+1.02 Units for the 2 Unit risk) and now rolling over that +1.02 Unit profit plus the original 2 Unit risk (3.02 Units), we now stand to make +2.53 Units (+1.02 Units on ALCS & +1.51 Units on NYY -200 / Philadelphia in the WS).
World Series Game: 2 Plays Total Risk 1 Unit
NY Yankees (Sabathia) -1.5 Runs (+125) / Philadelphia (Lee) 7:57 ET 0.5/Unit
NY Yankees 1 Philadelphia 6 Lose
Parlay: NY Yankees -170 & Under 7.5 Runs Risk 0.5/Unit to win 1.01 Units
NY Yankees 1 Philadelphia 6 Lose
We're now seeing why the Yankees spent the kind of money they did to acquire CC Sabathia & A.J. Burnett this past off season... they're 2 of the 3 NY post season starters. During the first half of the season we made a lot of money going against Sabathia as it has always been the norm for him to turn it on late in the season, and since tha linemaker sets his numbers in the beginning of the year on the prior season's performance, Sabathia was overpriced in most of his early starts and the Yankees as a team were only 11-11 in CC's first 22 starts with an average lay of close to 2:1. But down the stretch, the Yanks won 15 of Sabathia's next 16 starts...
This is Sabathia's time of the year... he's virtually unhittable. In his 2 starts in the ALCS, Sabathia went 16 innings allowing just 9 hits, 3 walks and only 2 ER's while striking out 12. We're not taking anything away from Cliff Lee as he's had equally impressive post season numbers (which is why we're on the Under in the parlay), but we feel the Yankees take the all important game 1 tonight behind another strong performance from CC Sabathia. We see no value in laying -170 for a straight play so we're laying the run and a half for half a unit to win 0.63/Unit (which is more than a 1 Unit play -170 would yield). A split of these 2 plays will produce a nice profit (at least 0.12/Unit) and winning both makes us a hefty 1.63 Units for our 1 Unit risk.
Click here for full season results
Week: 10/26 - 11/01
+0.52 Units (Volume: 5.00 Units)
Sunday 11/01: +1.18 Units (Volume: 2.00 Units)
NY Yankees (Sabathia) -170 / Philadelphia (Blanton) 8:20 ET 2 Units
NY Yankees 7 Philadlephia 4 Winner
This is really becoming a must game for NY because Sabathia is getting the start on 3 days' rest. It's not just what happens today that's at stake, but now A.J. Burnett will be pitching tomorrow on 3 days' rest. The alternative would have been to insert Chamberlain today giving BOTH CC & AJ the extra day and a well rested Andy Pettitte for game 7 if needed. Sabathia had a fine outing in game 4 of the ALCS pitching on 3 days' rest and we're looking for more of the same tonight.
Saturday 10/31: -1.00 Units (Volume: 1.00 Units)
Under 9 Runs (-110) NY Yankees (Pettitte) / Philadelphia (Hamels) 7:57 ET 1 Units
NY Yankkes 8 Philadelphia 5 Lose
We feel starting pitching will once again control the game as it's done thus far.
Thursday 10/29: +1.34 Units (Volume: 1.00 Units)
World Series Game #2: (2) Plays Total Risk 1 Unit
NY Yankees (Burnett) -1.5 Runs (-110) / Philadelphia (Martinez) 7:57 ET 0.5/Unit
NY Yankees 3 Philadelphia 1 Winner
Parlay: NY Yankees -200 & Under 9 Runs (-120) Risk 0.5/Unit to win 0.88/Unit
NY Yankees 3 Philadelphia 1 Winner
We're coming right back with the exact same plays as last night. Again, we feel pitchng will lead the way in game 2 and the Yankees will get a much needed win to even the series befoe heading to Philly for three games and another dose of Cliff Lee.
Wednesday 10/28: -1.00 Units (Volume: 1.00 Units)
World Series Play Reminder
NYY -200 / Philadelphia 8:00 ET Risk 3.02 Units
NY Yankees 4 Games Philadelphia 2 Games Winner
(Graded in week 11/02-11/08)
For those clients who played our 2 Unit NYY -195 / LAA ALCS play on 10/16, remember we were actually forming our own World Series Futures play to end up with a better price (which we did... the price for NY to win the series (before the ALCS) was -105, and a 2 Unit risk would have yielded only a +1.90 Unit profit. By playing the ALCS fist (+1.02 Units for the 2 Unit risk) and now rolling over that +1.02 Unit profit plus the original 2 Unit risk (3.02 Units), we now stand to make +2.53 Units (+1.02 Units on ALCS & +1.51 Units on NYY -200 / Philadelphia in the WS).
World Series Game: 2 Plays Total Risk 1 Unit
NY Yankees (Sabathia) -1.5 Runs (+125) / Philadelphia (Lee) 7:57 ET 0.5/Unit
NY Yankees 1 Philadelphia 6 Lose
Parlay: NY Yankees -170 & Under 7.5 Runs Risk 0.5/Unit to win 1.01 Units
NY Yankees 1 Philadelphia 6 Lose
We're now seeing why the Yankees spent the kind of money they did to acquire CC Sabathia & A.J. Burnett this past off season... they're 2 of the 3 NY post season starters. During the first half of the season we made a lot of money going against Sabathia as it has always been the norm for him to turn it on late in the season, and since tha linemaker sets his numbers in the beginning of the year on the prior season's performance, Sabathia was overpriced in most of his early starts and the Yankees as a team were only 11-11 in CC's first 22 starts with an average lay of close to 2:1. But down the stretch, the Yanks won 15 of Sabathia's next 16 starts...
This is Sabathia's time of the year... he's virtually unhittable. In his 2 starts in the ALCS, Sabathia went 16 innings allowing just 9 hits, 3 walks and only 2 ER's while striking out 12. We're not taking anything away from Cliff Lee as he's had equally impressive post season numbers (which is why we're on the Under in the parlay), but we feel the Yankees take the all important game 1 tonight behind another strong performance from CC Sabathia. We see no value in laying -170 for a straight play so we're laying the run and a half for half a unit to win 0.63/Unit (which is more than a 1 Unit play -170 would yield). A split of these 2 plays will produce a nice profit (at least 0.12/Unit) and winning both makes us a hefty 1.63 Units for our 1 Unit risk.