(4/16-5/03)
Below: Results from 4/16 -5/03 (NBA Playoffs 1st Round)
Sunday 5/03 NBA: 2-1 (+2.00 Units)
Atlanta -5 / Miami 1:00 ET 1.5 Units
Atlanta 91 Miami 78 Winner
Parlay: Atlanta (ML) -260 & Over 180 Risk 1 Unit to win 1.64 Units
Atlanta 91 Miami 78 Lose
We're basing these plays on our position of Atlanta advancing. We feel the Hawks are the deeper team, and have been stellar at home this season. We don't particularly like having to lay the 5.5 and we like even less the hefty -260 ML, but played this way we feel we're safe as long as Atlanta wins the game, as they should. If Miami keeps it close down the stretch, intentional fouling will put the game over this low total (If needed), and if Atlanta pulls away, then they'll cover the 5.5. Of course we're expecting to win both which will net us 3.14 units but a split either way leaves us even or up a half unit.
Under 207 Dallas / Denver 3:30 ET 1.5 Units
Dallas 95 Denver 109 Winner
Dallas hasn't played since Tuesday and Denver Wednesday. This is a big number to make it over especially if these teams take a quarter to find their rhythm. Also, both teams shot over 50% in their last game (Denver in their last 2: 51% & 57%), so an off shooting day for one or both is likely this afternoon.
Saturday 5/02 NBA: 1-0 (+2.00 Units)
(Top Rated)
Boston -6 / Chicago 8:05 ET 2 Units
Boston 109 Chicago 99 Winner
What has been arguably the best first round series in the history of the NBA ends tonight and the winner advances to meet the Magic. From a broad view it seems impossible to lay any kind of points here but this is game seven... These Celtics have been here before and these Bulls haven't... simple as that. We were on Boston you'll remember in games 1, 2 and 5 lost them all but we did manage wins on the totals in games 1 (over) and 3 (under), so we're not down much in this series. We liked Boston in the first game citing that they're the more experienced team etc., etc. Then after that loss we came right back with them in game 2 citing that so much had to go right for this young Bulls team to come away with the game 1 win on the road. Here's an excerpt from our game 2 write-up....Ray Allen was held to 1 basket and 4 points, Paul Pierce was just 8-21 from the field, and Boston as a team was just 4-16 from 3 point land (Ray Allen accounted for 0-6 of that). And it STILL took OT after a missed Paul Pierce free throw to seal the victory. This poor offensive performance won't be gifted to the Bulls tonight.....Then take a look at what it took from the Bulls to get the win: Derrick Rose went off tying a rookie playoff scoring record of 36 points in his first NBA playoff game and is now mentioned in the same sentence as Kareem Abdul-Jabbar. And still it was only by the slightest of margins....
And what happened in game 2.... The Celtics did get the win but failed to cover (118-115). We nailed game 3 pretty well as we went under the total citing that Boston must slow down these young Bulls and they did just that holding Chicago to just 86 points on 38% shooting. We jumped back on Boston in game 5 at home and once again got the win but no cover (106-104). In this game we cited how Boston has had four games to completely dissect Chicago but once again failed to put them away. We passed completely on game 6 in this series as we just sat back in awe and watched the triple OT marathon unfold as the Bulls came away with the one point win forcing tonight's game seven.
So now here we are, back in Boston for the deciding game and yes, it would seem tough to lay any points here but with all that's had to go right for the Bulls to get it this far is a miracle. We're not taking anything away from them but we strongly feel their bubble will burst tonight and they will get blown out. There are no more tomorrows for the loser, so both teams will come with everything they've got both offensively and defensively... and the decisive edge in both departments goes to the defending champs... Lay the points...
Friday 5/01 NBA: 0 PASS
Pass
Thursday 4/30 NBA: 1-1 (+0.20/Unit)
Top Rated Series Play: (Released 4/18)
Houston +120 / Portland 2 Units
Houston 4 Games - Portland 2 Games Winner
Yes, Portland is a much improved team and is one of the hottest teams in the league going 13-3 to close out the season (12-4 ATS), but we feel they're a year away from causing some serious noise in the west. Houston has much more playoff experience which will prove to be the difference here.
(Top Rated)
Over 179 Portland / Houston 9:35 ET 2 Units
Portland 76 Houston 92 Lose
Here's another clear example of the public dictating line movement. This series' total opened in games 1 & 2 at 182 and 183 and after 210 points were scored in game 2, game 3 went off at 185. Then of course after an 83-86 game, game 4 was 182 just as was game 5. So now going into game 6, after 3 defensive battles (games 3, 4 & 5 averaged just 170 ppg), the number is 179... nice and ripe to pounce on the over! It was not quite as easy making a case for the over tonight as last night's over play in the Heat - Hawks game because this is Houston's game... defense. But after 3 straight big defensive efforts, things should certainly loosen up tonight on the defensive end, especially that it's these team's 4 game in 7 days. And once again, we're getting 5 or 6 "free points".
Wednesday 4/29 NBA: 1-0 (+2.00 Units)
(Top Rated)
Over 179.5 Miami / Atlanta 8:05 ET 2 Units
Miami 91 Atlanta 106 Winner
Big adjustment in the line (179.5 tonight from 186.5 last 2 games of this series) due to the low score in game 4 (81-71). Playing big defense is draining and these teams just payed Monday in Miami. We're looking for a much laxer game tonight on the defensive end AND we're getting an extra 7 points for free.
Tuesday 4/28 NBA: 1-3 (-2.78 Units)
Boston -7.5 / Chicago 7:05 ET 1.25 Units
Boston 106 Chicago 104 Lose
The Celtics have now had 4 games to completely dissect this Bulls offense. Tonight we expect total and complete domination by the Boston defense at home. Add to the equation a sub par Ben Gordon (hamstring), and you have the makings of what we saw in New Orleans last night! And once again, due to the public's overreaction to current results, we're getting a soft line...
Over 189 Dallas / San Antonio 9:35 ET 1.25 Units
Dallas 106 San Antonio 93 Winner
Houston +6 / Portland 10:05 ET 1.5 Units
Houston 77 Portland 88 Lose
Parlay: Houston (ML) +200 & Under 182 Risk 1 Unit to win 5.73 Units
Houston 77 Portland 88 Lose
As you can see, we're very high on this Rockets team. We have a 2 unit series play on Houston pending, we've already made almost 6 units in this series including (2) Houston (ML) and Under parlays in games 3 & 4 in Houston where the Rockets were the big favorites and we're coming right back tonight with the same play only now the Rockets are the 2:1 dog! We'll risk twice the amount on this parlay than the last 2 (1 full unit instead of a half unit) so the payout will be almost 6 full units (5.73). We'll back it up with a 1.5 unit play on Houston +6 just in case the game finds a way to get over this low total and/or Portland wins a close game.
Our reasoning stays the same in this series. Houston is by far the more experienced playoff team here and are proving it. Portland we feel is a year away from being a big threat in the West and this series, with this seasoned, veteran Rocket's team is giving the Blazers good experience to build on.
Monday 4/27 NBA: 3-1 (+4.25 Units)
(Top Rated)
Atlanta 81 Miami 71 Winner
We like Atlanta for all the same reasons as we did in game 3. And now, after Miami pummelled the Hawks on Saturday (1.25 unit loser for us), we'll give them enough credit to shake it off and come right back and do what it takes to even this series up heading back home. 5 is a big number to take and leaves us many ways to win. And remember, this Atlanta team did take the then mighty Celtics to 7 in the first round last year.
Here's was our game 3 write-up:
Kinda makes you wonder why this line hasn't budged off of 4.5 despite a whopping 72% of the betting public backing the Heat. Maybe it's because looking past the surface, you'll notice that it took 56% shooting from Miami to win game 2 in Atlanta while the Hawks shot just 44%. The Heat took control of home court with that win but the only way that means anything is to now win at home which we don't think will happen and if the Heat do win today, 4.5 is a big number to cover especially for a team who went 31-10 at home this season but only 20-21-1 ATS. The Hawks we feel are ready to step up and win a road playoff game which will give this young team big confidence.
Denver +2.5 / New Orleans 8:35 ET 1.5 Units
Denver 121 New Orleans 63 Winner
This Denver team is on a whole other level than the Hornets. Chris Paul had to play almost 46 minutes in game 3 to squeak out a 2 point win. He'll have nothing left for tonight as the cream rises to the top and Denver goes on the brink of advancing.
Under 211 Utah / LA Lakers 10:35 Et 1.5 Units
Utah 96 LA Lakers 107 Winner
Utah (ML) +900 / LA Lakers 10:35 Et Risk 0.5/Unit to win 4.5 Units
Utah 96 LA Lakers 107 Lose
No, we don't really think that Utah has a great shot of beating LA tonight but the price is right. We're mainly on the under as we are looking for a similar type of game as game 3 when the Jazz beat LA at home 88-86. Of course Kobe & Co. came right back in game 4 and put the hammer down, showed their teeth and all that and wound up beating Utah by 14. But look what they had to do to make it happen... as a team LA shot 52%, including 66% from Kobe (16-24) and if you watched the game you know they weren't lay ups. Kobe put on a clinic in game 4 which will be very difficult to repeat. And despite the effort, the game stayed under the 209 (108-94)
Another thing to realize is that the Jazz, unlike the Pistons, are not ready to just throw in the towel. Jerry Sloan is a competitor, one of the greatest NBA coaches of all time, and if there's a way to stop the yellow locomotive, he'll find it. The way Utah won game 3 was defense so you can be sure that's the plan tonight. As we pointed out in that game, the total shot up to 214.5 from 210.5 & 211 in games 1 & 2 because of public perception and then after staying under by 40, of course game 4's number plummeted to 209 and what happened?... under again despite Kobe going off scoring 38 on 66% shooting. And now the numbers creeping up again...? Why... because the public is in love with the Kobe Bryant Show.
Sunday 4/26 NBA: 2-1 (+1.17 Units)
(Top Rated)
Over 177.5 Cleveland / Detroit 3:30 ET 2 Units
Cleveland 99 Detroit 78 Lose
Detroit gave it all they had in game 3 just as we anticipated (2 Unit winner on the Under Friday: 68-79F) but the Pistons must know now that they have 0% chance of winning this series. Why prolong the inevitable?... Why even try to scratch out a game... for what....? To delay their vacation plans...? The line maker finally hung a good number on the game (Cleveland -8.5) which makes it tough to lay the points but the Over is a solid play. There will be no defensive resistance here as there was in game 3, it should be a wide open game with LeBron having his way until handing it over to the bench in the 2nd half.
(Top Rated)
Under 182 Portland / Houston 9:05 ET 1.5 Units
Portland 88 Houston 89 Winner
Parlay: Houston ML (-200) & Under 182 Risk 1 Unit to win 1.87 Units
Portland 88 Houston 89 Winner
We're risking a total of 2.65 Units on the Under here with an upside of 3.37 units. Very similar play to our game 3 release where we just parlayed the Rockets (ML: -270) to the under (1 play: 1.25 units to win 2.02 units). Today our risk is a little more than double Friday's but we now have a chance to still show a profit even with Portland winning the game. We see no difference from Friday's game 3... this is shaping up to be a very physical series which plays right into Houston's hands. The Rockets are the more experienced playoff team by far and we look for them to once again shut down Brandon Roy & Company. Houston held Roy to just 19 points on 33% shooting (6-18) which is what the Rockets do best: take a team's biggest weapon out of their hands.
Saturday 4/25 NBA: 1-2 (-1.03 Units)
(Top Rated)
Over 188 San Antonio / Dallas 4:05 ET 2 Units
San Antonio 90 New Orleans 99 Winner
The Spurs went from scoring 97 & 105 in games 1 & 2 at home to 67 points on 34% shooting on the road. And the Mavs were also held to just 88 in game 3. Look for San Antonio to get back on track this afternoon in this very pivotal game 4 with a much improved field goal percentage. Once again we're also getting a few extra points from game 3's O/U line of 191.
Atlanta + 4.5 / Miami 6:35 ET 1.25 Units
Atlanta 78 Miami 107 Lose
Kinda makes you wonder why this line hasn't budged off of 4.5 despite a whopping 72% of the betting public backing the Heat. Maybe it's because looking past the surface, you'll notice that it took 56& shooting from Miami to win game 2 in Atlanta while the Hawks shot just 44%. The Heat took control of home court with that win but the only way that means anything is to now win at home which we don't think will happen and if the Heat do win today, 4.5 is a big number to cover especially for a team who went 31-10 at home this season but only 20-21-1 ATS. The Hawks we feel are ready to step up and win a road playoff game which will give this young team big confidence.
Over 208.5 LA Lakers / Utah 9:05 ET 1.5 Units
LA Lakers 108 Utah 94 Lose
You can believe the Lakers are pissed about losing game 3 and will come with a huge team wide effort tonight. This total is back down to a realistic number because of the big under last game (86-88). The Jazz won't hold LA to 34% shooting again and Kobe to 25%. Lakers reset the pace of this series and should come away with the W, although 5 is a bit much to lay... take the over.
Friday 4/24 NBA: 3-1 (+2.12 Units)
(Top Rated)
Under 178.5 Cleveland / Detroit 7:05 ET 1.75 Units
Cleveland 79 Detroit 68 Winner
One last gasp of air for the Pistons before going under and getting on with their vacation plans. We at least expect a fight from Detroit in front of their fans, but the only way for them to have a chance is to play defense and it just so happens that that's their strong suit. We were on the under Tuesday night in game 2 of this series and like it again for the same reasons:
Here's our Tuesday "under" play:
We backed the Pistons in Game 1 and Cleveland went on to cover the hefty 12 pretty much wire to wire, although they never really buried the Pistons. Detroit has too much pride to just roll over so they've got to do what they do best if they want to keep it respectable and that's play good solid defense. Remember, Saturday's Game 1 only wound up making it over the 176 by 10 points despite 53% shooting from Cleveland and 46% from Detroit. Only 84 points were scored in the second half after 102 in the first half, so whatever adjustments the Pistons made at halftime are sure to carry over tonight.
Orlando -3.5 / Philadelphia 8:05 ET 1.5 Units
Orlando 94 Philadelphia 96 Lose
Just as the Bulls are giving Boston fits, the Sixers are giving Orlando all they can handle. Philadelphia has stolen home court away and as we mentioned last night in the Boston - Chicago game, game 3 in a tied best of seven series is very important, especially to the road team as going down 2-1 on the road can be deadly. We look for the Magic to come with all they have here and make a statement. This is a Magic team that was 27-14 on the road this season (26-14-1 ATS), so it should be business as usual. If Orlando didn't blow their big game 1 lead and were up in the series 2-0 as they should be right now, we wouldn't be on this game tonight. The urgency to win here will have the entire team playing at an elevated level.
Parlay:
Houston (ML) -270 / Portland & Under 184.5 9:35 ET Risk 1.25 Units to win 2.02 Units
Houston 86 Portland 83 Winner
We like the under here despite the big game 2 points scored (107-103) as we look for the Rockets to take control of the series tonight. As we said in our Houston series play, we feel Portland is a year away from really making some noise in the west and the Rockets' playoff experience will be the difference. So tonight at home we look for Houston to come up big defensively which is why we don't want to lay the big 6 points.This is a spot where Houston can win but not cover so we'll play it this way and get 1.62:1 on our money and only risk 1.25 units.
Thursday 4/23 NBA: 2-0 (+3.50 Units)
Under 202 Boston / Chicago 8:05 ET 1.5 Units
Boston 107 Chicago 86 Winner
(Note: We're releasing this play at 5:00 ET, 3 hours before tip-off. The current line now is 201.5 but has nowhere to go but up. It is suggested to wait until closer to game time for the best possible line. We expect to at least see 202.)
Celtics must slow down the run and gun of this young Bulls team if they want to make it past this series. Game 3 in a tied series is very important, especially to the road team as going down 2-1 on the road can be deadly. The Celtics are now without the services of Leon Powe for the season so there's alot of talk of Boston being out in the first round as they are very limited in the big man department. To try and run with the Bulls tonight will not work and Boston knows it, so the only thing left is to go back to basics and dig down deep on the defensive end. This is the time when a team comes together and each individual player elevates their game to compensate for missing personnel. Look for a big defensive effort from Boston tonight... it may not be enough to win, but it'll be enough to keep the score well under this inflated number.
(Top Rated)
Under 214.5 LA Lakers / Utah 10:35 ET 2 Units
LA Lakers 86 Utah 88 Winner
Notice the line progression in this series. Game 1 in LA was 210.5, game 2 was 211, and now tonight it's 214.5. Why?.... Public perception that because these teams have been going over it will continue. It's not that easy though. Realize that in game 2, the Lakers shot 60% from the floor and the Jazz 50%, and yet the game only made it over the 211 by 17 points (tonight we're getting 3.5 points bigger of a line). And in Game 1, LA shot 56% and the game fell going over by the slimmest of margins. So for the Lakers to hit their shots at this rate without blowing Utah out of the water says something for Utah's defense.They held LA to just 75 and 72 shots in the first 2 games and we look for similar numbers tonight with a natural regression in shooting for the Lakers.
Wednesday 4/22 NBA: 4-0 (+9.00 Units)
(Top Rated)
Under 193 Philadelphia / Orlando 7:05 ET 1.75 Units
Philadelphia 87 Orlando 96 Winner
Both these teams shot about 50% from the floor in game one yet the game only made it over by a few buckets. The Magic are sure to turn up the defensive intensity tonight as they must win here, which along with a natural shooting let down by both team makes the Under the play here. Also note that Game One's total was only 191.5 so we're even getting some added value for free.
Miami vs Atlanta: 3 plays total
Miami +5 / Atlanta 8:05 ET 1 Unit
Miami 108 Atlanta 93 Winner
(Top Rated)
Over 184 Miami / Atlanta 2 Units
Miami 108 Atlanta 93 Winner
Money line parlay:
Miami (ML) +175 & Over 184 Risk 1 unit to win 4.25 Units
Miami 108 Atlanta 93 Winner
Extremely important game for the Heat as they need to come home with a split to have a legitimate shot at advancing. Atlanta held the Heat to just 64 points on 36% shooting (17% from 3 point land). This kind of defensive effort takes alot out of a team and is very hard to repeat in the next game. Look for Mr. Wade to once gain hoist his team up on his shoulders and do what it takes to come away with a win.
Note: As long as the game goes over, we can do no worse than break even and if Miami does indeed get the win as we anticipate, our upside is 7.25 units.
Tuesday 4/21 NBA: 1-1 (+0.35/Unit)
(Top Rated)
Under 178 Detroit / Cleveland 8:05 ET 2 Units
Detroit 82 Cleveland 94 Winner
We backed the Pistons in Game 1 and Cleveland went on to cover the hefty 12 pretty much wire to wire, although they never really buried the Pistons. Detroit has too much pride to just roll over so they've got to do what they do best if they want to keep it respectable and that's play good solid defense. Remember, Saturday's Game 1 only wound up making it over the 176 by 10 points despite 53% shooting from Cleveland and 46% from Detroit. Only 84 points were scored in the second half after 102 in the first half, so whatever adjustments the Pistons made at halftime are sure to carry over tonight.
Under 184 Houston / Portland 10:05 ET 1.5 Units
Houston 103 Portland 107 Lose
A combination of an off shooting night for Houston after shooting 58% in Game 1 enroute to their 27 point win and Portland still working out the playoff jitters will keep points to a minimum here.
Monday 4/20 NBA: 0-1 (-2.20 Units)
(Top Rated)
Boston -8 / Chicago 7:05 ET 2 Units
Boston 118 Chicago 115 Lose
Very emotional and impressive win for this young Bulls team on the road Saturday, but Boston will bounce right back tonight to even the series. Of course there's still the matter of covering the hefty 8 points but that shouldn't be a problem for this veteran Celtics team. Realize that alot had to happen and go right for Chicago in game 1 to pull off the road upset. Ray Allen was held to 1 basket and 4 points, Paul Pierce was just 8-21 from the field, and Boston as a team was just 4-16 from 3 point land (Ray Allen accounted for 0-6 of that). And it STILL took OT after a missed Paul Pierce free throw to seal the victory. This poor offensive performance won't be gifted to the Bulls tonight.
Then take a look at what it took from the Bulls to get the win: Derrick Rose went off tying a rookie playoff scoring record of 36 points in his first NBA playoff game and is now mentioned in the same sentence as Kareem Abdul-Jabbar. And still it was only by the slightest of margins. Tonight you can rest assured that Boston will have an answer for Rose on the defensive end and the Celtics shooting will be better than 39% from the field and 25% from 3. Even though KG is not in the line up, his presence in the locker room and at team meetings is a big motivational factor. Boston turns up the intensity here to reset the tone of this series.
Sunday 4/19 NBA: 1-3 (-4.50 Units)
(Top Rated)
Utah +12/ LA Lakers 3:00 ET 2 Units
Utah 100 LA Lakers 113 Lose
UGGHHH.... on paper anyway... right? How can the Jazz, who limped into the playoffs losing 7 of their last 9, possibly compete with the mighty Lakers who have cleared their calendars through June as they await the winner of the East to emerge. Can LA blow out Utah today?.... of course they can but there are many more reasons to back the dog here. First, line value. 12 is an absolute absurd number driven wholly by public perception. Like we said, can the Lakers cover 12?... that question doesn't deserve an answer but realize that when these 2 teams met back in February in Utah, the Jazz were a 1 point favorite. The correct number for this game is 7.5 or 8 but the line maker doesn't get paid to come up with "correct" numbers, he gets paid to create parity amongst the betting public and in this case 12 is it.
Aside from line value, Utah has one of the best coaches of all time in Jerry Sloan. Sloan has had his Jazz teams to the playoffs many times throughout his 21 years coaching Utah. You can believe he'll have his troops ready today knowing that the best (and perhaps only) chance of winning this series is to steal game 1 in LA. This is the most winnable road game for the Jazz as it's quite possible to catch the Lakers with their guards down on a Sunday morning at the Staples Center. It'll be more like the Oscars than a basketball game with all the stars in attendance, but the Jazz will not be distracted. They've had 5 days to clear the cob webs out and renew themselves, and sometimes that's all it takes to turn things around for a solid franchise in a rut... time.
Orlando -9 / Philadelphia 5:35 ET 1.5 Units
Orlando 98 Philadelphia 100 Lose
Over 190 Orlando / Philadelphia 1 Unit
Orlando 98 Philadelphia 100 Winner
Unlike the Jazz, the Sixers have put themselves in a funk that we can't see them getting out of. They finished the season losers of 6 of their last 7 (should have been all 7 except for the Cavs resting LeBron for their final game which was meaningless to Cleveland), finishing the season right at .500 (41-41). Sixers guard Andre Miller was quoted, "I can't pinpoint it, but we just lost it mentally." Not where we want our money!
Philly doesn't have an answer for Superman, and Orlando will make quick work of the Sixers. We expect Philadelphia to try and run as opposed to dealing with the potential of the Magic's defense, and for Orlando to follow right along but the difference will be the shooting precision of the Magic which will get them the easy cover.
Miami +4.5 / Atlanta 8:05 ET 1.5 Units
Miami 64 Atlanta 90 Lose
After limping into the playoffs last year with a sub .500 record, the Hawks are now favored to get past the first round. This is added pressure for a young team being "expected" to win and we think that pressure will prove to be too much for Atlanta. Last year, when the Hawks took the Celtics to a seventh game and the brink of elimination, there was no pressure because nothing was expected of them.
Meanwhile, the Heat are back in the playoffs with a healthy Dwayne Wade AND they're getting points. Yes, Atlanta has been great at home, but this is the playoffs, where the cream rises to the top.
Saturday 4/18 NBA: 2-2 (+1.02 Units)
(Top Rated)
Houston +4.5 / Portland 10:35 ET 2 Units
Houston 108 Portland 81 Winner
Way back when, back in November, the Rockets were a 5 point favorite on the road to these Blazers. As the season progressed and Portland improved, they started getting more respect from the linemaker and in their recent meetings with the Houston, the Rockets laid just 4 and 4.5 at home. Of course in the game in November Tracy McGrady was healthy but he alone is not big enough to sway the line so severely. This is a veteran Rockets team with much playoff experience facing a young Portland team with many of it's players playing in their 1st playoff game. If Ron Artest is allowed to do his thing, he will manhandle the young Brandon Roy which will result in a long night and series for the Blazers.
Series Play:
Houston +120 / Portland 2 Units
Houston 4 Games Portland 2 Games Winner
Yes, Portland is a much improved team and is one of the hottest teams in the league going 13-3 to close out the season (12-4 ATS), but we feel they're a year away from causing some serious noise in the west. Houston has much more playoff experience which will prove to be the difference here.
Boston -8.5 / Chicago 12:35 ET 1 Unit
Boston 103 Chicago 105 Lose
Over 196.5 Chicago / Boston 1.5 Units
Boston 103 Chicago 103 Winner
We don't like laying this kind of number in the playoffs, especially against a team capable of scoring points in a hurry, but the Celtics are clearly the side here. Forget about KG being out and probably missing the entire post season, it's not like he just went down last week. He's been out now for 3 weeks and has only played in 4 games over the last 2 months, so Boston has learned to play without their leader and have managed fine. There is a wealth of talent on this Celtics team and should beat the young Bulls with ease this afternoon in a fast paced, wide open game.
Detroit +12 / Cleveland 3:00 ET 1.25 Units
Detroit 84 Cleveland 102 Lose
There's way too much talent and experience on the Pistons to warrant this huge lay. Earlier in the season (2/22 & 3/31), the Cavs laid -9 & -10 to these Pistons at home. There's nothing to warrant the additional 3 points added to the line other than the public finding ease in playing the big chalk. Look for defense to set the tone here which makes these 12 points that much more valuable.
End of regular season
Playoffs start Saturday, 4/18
All Basketball Results: Since 2/15/2009 (NBA All Star Break)
PRESENT - 5/05/2009
5/04/2009 - 4/18/2009
4/17/2009 - 3/16/2009
3/15/2009 - 2/15/2009