125-79-1 (61%) 9 Year Bowl Record
Complete year by year AND game by game details below
(As delivered to all clients)
17-7 2006-2007 NCAA Football Bowl Results
Saturday December 23, 2006
Papa Johns Bowl
E. Carolina +5 / S. Florida
S.Florida 7 E. Carolia 24 Lose
South Florida won huge in it's last regular season game beating W. Virginia as a 21 point dog! Problem here is they rely too heavily on their QB Grothe and as a team have a history of self destructing in the red zone. Look for E. Carolina's pass catch combo of Pinkey / Allison to beat SF deep all afternoon.
New Mexico Bowl
San Jose St +3.5 / New Mexico
San Jose St 20 New Mexico 12 Winner
San Jose State and it's 15'th ranked run offense average over 180 yds. per game on the ground. Look for them to pound the ball all day long wearing down the NM "D."
Armed Forces Bowl
Utah -1 / Tulsa
Utah 25 Tulsa 13 Winner
Utah is simply the better team from the better conference. It's no coincidence that they are a perfect 5-0 SU in bowl games since 1999 covering 4 of them. This is a solid team who will be able to look past their close loss to BYU (31-33) in their final home game.
Thursday December 21, 2006
Las Vegas Bowl
Oregon +3 / BYU
Oregon 8 BYU 38 Lose
One of the biggest mistakes made by people when picking bowl game is putting too much emphasis on teams' current streaks. Problem is, that's old news! Do you realize how much has happened in the lives of these college kids since their regular season finale? Final exams, girlfriends, parties, holiday plans, etc. etc. In the case of tonight's Las Vegas Bowl, BYU lost two of their first three games, with both of those defeats against BCS opponents. After that, BYU rolled out NINE straight wins, culminating with a 33-31 victory over Utah to close out the Mountain West Conference slate on a perfect run, and finish the regular season as the 19th-ranked team in the nation. Meanwhile, Oregon, the opposite holds true. After a fast start, they seemed to fall apart finishing at 7-5.
A big value position has been created here for us. We strongly feel Oregon should be the favorite here but the linemaker simply can't do that because nobody wants to back a team on a "losing streak." Nothing ruins a good offensive run such as the one BYU has been enduring better than 3 weeks off and nothing gets a slumping team with talent back on track better than 3 weeks off!
Tuesday December 19, 2006
Poinsettia Bowl
Northern Illinois +12 / TCU
Northern Illinois 7 TCU 37 Lose
Disappointing season for TCU. This is a team that is going to have a hard time getting motivated as they feel that they should have done so much more. On the other hand, Northern Illinois is very excited to be in this bowl game and can basically play "pressure free" as they're the big underdog anyway. Also, TCU didn't get much practice time since the end of their regular season due to their final exams. Meanwhile, Northern Illinois got their full practices in and we feel they are the more focused and hungry team here...and getting 12 points is very inviting.
2008/2009 Bowl Results
19-11 (63%) (+13.35 Units)
Fiesta Bowl
13-15 -4.17 Units (Volume: 50.00 Units)
Thursday 1/7 NCAAF Bowls: -0.80 Units (Volume: 4.00)
BCS Championship Game
Rose Bowl - Pasadena, CA
Alabama (ML) -180 / Texas 8:00 ET 2 Units
Alabama 37 Texas 21 Winner
Under 46 Texas / Alabama 2 Units
Alabama 37 Texas 21 Lose
We'll play the money line here giving us many more ways to win and when looking at the big picture, the extra lay on the price is justifiable. We're risking 2 Units at -180 to win +1.11 Units, the same amount that a 1.25 Units risk at -4 would yield. We just don't like to have to lay more than a FG in a game we feel will be a very tight defensive game. If we're correct here with the game staying Under and the Tide coming away with the national title, we'll make +2.93 Units for our 4 Units risked instead of +3.64 Units had we laid the points... not too far off AND we don't have to worry about covering -4.
Both teams really are fortunate to be here. Texas pulled off a last second win over Nebraska and Alabama you'll remember blocked a FG against Tennessee to win 12-10 back in October and then on the last game of the regular season the Tide had to come from behind on the road to beat Auburn 26-21 by scoring in the last 2 minutes (as -10 point chalk). We're siding here with the more complete team. Texas' offensive line will not have an answer for the Alabama defense and Nick Saban will be well aware of the efficiency of the Texas pass defense, so you're sure to see a predominate ground game from Alabama which of course favors the under and at the same time limits the number of snaps for Colt McCoy and the Texas offense. -END
Wednesday 1/6 NCAAF Bowls: +1.14 Units (Volume: 1.25)
GMAC Bowl
Ladd peebles Stadium - Mobile, AL
Over 62.5 Troy / Central Michigan 7:00 ET 1.25 Units
Troy 41 Central Michigan 44 Winner
Monday 1/4 NCAAF Bowls: -1.50 Units (Volume: 1.50)
Fiesta Bowl
University Of Phoenix Stadium - Glendale, AZ
TCU -7 / Boise State 8:20 ET 1.50 Units
TCU 10 Boise State 17 Lose
This line opened at TCU -9 and was quickly bought down to -7 where it remains. Too much emphasis is being put on Boise State's week 1 win over Oregon (19-8). This game was played on the Smurf Turf where the Boise defense plays exceptionally well and besides, Boise was favored in that game (-3.5).
TCU had the tougher schedule and delivered, beating 2 ACC teams on the road, Virginia & Clemson, and held Clemson to just 117 yrds rushing. The Frogs also played (and blew out) 2 mountain west teams (Utah: 55-28 & BYU: 38-7) who beat PAC-10 teams in bowls this year. We feel TCU also will be the more motivated team having been passed for a chance to play for the national title... which really shouldn't be a surprise given the current bowl structure. The Horned Frogs will be out to prove a point to the nation that they were deserving of the shot. -END
Saturday 1/2 NCAAF Bowls: -3.13 Units (Volume: 6.00)
Liberty Bowl
Liberty Bowl - Memphis, TN
East Carolina +7.5 / Arkansas 5:30 ET 1.50 Units
East Carolina 17 Arkansas 20 Winner
This game will be won or lost by the defense of East Carolina. This is a nasty unit who has held opponents to 22ppg this season including holding Virginia Tech to 16, Tulsa to 17 & So. Miss to 20. Arkansas has the "home field" edge playing practically in their backyard and the crowd will be Hog dominant, but the fact that the Razorbacks are are playing so close to home and it's the Pirates making the trip to Memphis from East Carolina, and they'll be in Memphis for several days prior to the game, it also has the feel of a vacation for these kids. Bowl winners have much to do with the team more excited, and we give the nod to East Carolina in that department as they, as mentioned, bring their A-Game on defense today. -END
Alamo Bowl
Cowboys Stadium - Arlington, TX
Michigan State +8 / Texas Tech 9:00 ET 2.00 Units
Michigan State 31 Texas Tech 41 Lose
One of the main reasons the Mike Leach situation was put to bed (by firing the coach) was to eliminate distractions from the programs' bowl game, but c'mon... is that really possible? With all the hype and media coverage on the incident over the holidays, it has created quite a national stir and will not go away by getting rid of the problem... These kids, and coaching staff, are sure to be affected greatly. Football teams have a family-like bond between players & coaches, and when you remove Dad from the house, what happens.... just ask the kids from Cincinnati.
Meanwhile, MSU has their own problems, but they're of the normal variety... missing players due to suspensions. Often times, in cases like this the rest of the team puts forth efforts above and beyond what they realized they were capable of and in some cases the team actually performs better than if they were at 100%. Also realize that the Spartans haven't won a bowl game since the 2001 season when they beat Fresno State... they lost their last 3: 2003 Alamo Bowl to Nebraska, 2007 Champs Sports Bowl to BC and most recently last year the Spartans went down to Georgia on New Years Day in the Capital One Bowl. They'll smell blood today and exploit a Texas Tech team (& coaching staff) in disarray because of the actions of the dumbest coach n NCAA history. -END
Papa John's Bowl
Legion Field - Birmingham, AL
South Carolina -3 (-130) / Connecticut 2:00 ET 1.25 Units
South Carolina 7 UCONN 20 Lose
(We're buying a half point to -3)
This number is all the way down to S -3.5 from the opener of -7. The reason for the move is mainly due to the emotional rally cries from the Huskies as they remember fallen teagmmate Jasper Howard who was stabbed to death in a fight. Now of course we don't want to sound cold, but emotions of this sort can only go so far... don't forget that South Carolina has reasons of their own to want to win their bowl game as does every team that takes the field in the college post season. We're sure to see a very focused Huskies team today, but we have to ask just how many games can they hang tough in games only to fall a few points short? UCONN has lost a total of 5 games this season by a total of 15 points and they're 10-2 ATS. These stats are also contributors of the drop in price here which has created the necessary value for us to play the Gamecocks today. And SC lost 4 of their last 6 to close the season, but they were dogs in all of them and on the road in 3 (Alabama, Tenn & Arkansas) and Florida at home. Also the Huskies lost their starting QB Endres for the season in the Rutgers game and his replacement, Zac Frazier, although leading the team to 3 straight wins has as many INT's as TD's (9). Can see the UCONN bubble bursting this afternoon.
Cotton Bowl
Cowboys Stadium - Arlington, TX
Oklahoma State +3 / Mississippi 2:00 ET 1.25 Units
Oklahoma State 7 Mississippi 21 Lose
A chance for Oklahoma State to have it's first 10 win season in over two decades with a win over Old Miss in today's Cotton Bowl. The Cowboys are excellent against the run (# 6 in the nation... under 3 ypc), and that's Ole Miss's game behind QB Snead. Take Ole Miss out of that game by getting the early lead and it may very well be light's out for the Rebels as Jevan Snead has thrown 17 picks this season and has been known to cave under pressure. OSU's offense did end the season on a sour note getting shutout at Oklahoma 0-27, but the time off has given them time to recover from some injuries on the offense, namely QB Zac Robinson & RB Kendall Hunter. Also, Ole Miss is playing in the same bowl as a year ago which they won over Texas Tech 47-34... teams returning to their prior years' bowl games in which they won are just 3-13 ATS. -END
Friday 1/1 NCAAF Bowls: +3.08 Units (Volume: 6.00)
Rose Bowl
Rose Bowl - Pasadena, CA
Oregon -4 / Ohio State 4:30 ET 1.25 Units
Oregon 17 Ohio State 26 Lose
Under 50.5 Ohio State / Oregon 1.25 Units
Ohio State 26 Oregon 17 Winner
Sugar Bowl
Sugar Dome - New Orleans, LA
Florida -13 / Cincinnati 8:30 ET 2 Units
Florida 51 Cincinnati 24 Winner
We're not big fans of laying big points in bowl games, but this is a special situation. Florida has been known to blow teams out and to pile the points on even with a win secure, so we're not so worried about the Gators "sitting on a lead" late in the game and allowing the backdoor cover.
Florida has much to be thankful for these past seasons with Urban Meyer but they now also have much to be fired up about. First, their beloved coach may not be their coach come the fall next year, and tonight they're playing in the Sugar Bowl instead of for the national title on Thursday because of their one loss to Alabama. And who do they have the honor of playing tonight? Undefeated Cincinnati! Yes, the Bearcats can score some points, but have they faced a defense like Florida's this year? They had to come from behind on the last game of the season to stay undefeated after allowing Pittsburgh to score 45 points. And the week before that, Illinois scored 36, then it was 21 by WV and even UCONN put up 45 on 11/07. If the Bearcat defense hasn't tightened up over the break, the Gators will score 60 tonight! And even if the "D" got their act together, as mentioned they're offense is facing a Gator defensive unit allowing just 12 ppg on the season. get the point?
The game has been moved all the way to -13 from the opener of -10.5, but the move we feel was made for no other reason but to make one fall into the classic trap of... "... Cincy won't win the game but they'll surely cover the big number..." Nope... don't fall into the trap. The Gators also have some meaningful historical trends behind them pointing to a Gator win & cover. Urban Meyer coached teams are 12-4 SU & 11-3-2 ATS vs undefeated teams. Florida is 9-1 ATS vs teams with a better record. Off a loss, Tim Tebow & the Gators are 4-0 ATS. This all points to what a well coached program Gator Football is. They come prepared for the big game and leave nothing to chance and, as mentioned, have been known to make a statement or two via the scoreboard regardless of the game situation. And as for Cincinnati, they're just 1-6 in bowls this decade including their disappointing 7-20 loss in last years Orange Bowl to Virginia Tech. And also add to the Cincinnati task at hand the fact that their coach recently left them for a job at Notre Dame... -END
Capital One Bowl
Citrus Bowl Stadium - Orlando, FL
Penn State +1 / LSU 1:00 ET 1.50 Units
Penn State 19 LSU 17 Winner
Penn State's chances to play in a BCS Bowl went out the window after losing to Ohio State (7-24) on 11/07. Instead the Buckeye's are playing in the Rose Bowl this afternoon. We don't feel this will cause any disinterest about PSU's bowl placement.. they're still playing on New Years Day against a very tough opponent and will look at today as a chance to make a statement. As for LSU, sure they've had the much tougher schedule this season and you can make a case for the Tigers being the better team on paper, but that's where it stays... on paper. This game will be won... and lost... on the side lines. Joe Paterno knows what it takes to win a bowl game given all the distractions of the extended time off. Joe Pa is 23-11-1 SU in bowls in his career. More recently, Les Miles is 4-0 in bowls winning by an average of 29 ppg over Miami, Notre Dame, Ohio State & Georgia Tech while Joe Pa just 3-2, but remember, there's been a recent coaching shake-up in LSU with wide receivers coach DJ McCarthy getting fired following an NCAA investigation into LSU's recruiting practices. Also, Larry Porter (running backs coach) has gone to Memphis. Former Florida coach Billy Gonzalez has been hired as WR coach along with other duties assisting OC Crowten. That's all fine and good, and we're sure LSU will be just fine with their new staff... just as soon as they all have a chance to map out a game plan.... The break between the regular season and a teams bowl game is not enough time to implement new personnel. -END
Thursday 12/31 NCAAF Bowls: -2.26 Units (Volume: 7.00)
Texas Bowl
Reliant Stadium - Houston, TX
Navy +7 Missouri 3:30 ET 1.50 Units
Navy 35 Missouri 13 Winner
Chick Fil-A Bowl
Georgia Dome - Atlanta, GA
Tennessee +5.5 Virginia Tech 7:30 ET 2.00 Units
Tennessee 14 Virginia 37 Lose
First year Tennessee head coach Lane Kifflin doing a great job getting the Vols to the post season after a dismal 5-7 campaign last season. A big part of Tennessee's success this season can be attributed to Kifflin's defensive coordinator, his father Monte Kiffin. The elder Kifflin built the Tampa Bay cover-2 defense which won SB XXXVII in 2002. For the season, the Vols have allowed an average of nearly 21 ppg, but rebuilding a defensive unit can take time and when it mattered, Tennessee's defense has stepped up like allowing just 12 points at Alabama (10-12 loss). And remember, Va tech got beat 34-24 in the first week of the season to Alabama in a game that wasn't nearly as close as the final score. Alabama out gained them 498 yards to 155, out first downed them 22-11 and held Tech to under 100 yards passing. In Tennessee's loss to the Tide, they actually out gained them by 30%. We believe Tennessee will be the hungrier team tonight getting fired up by the two Coach Kifflins. -END
Sun Bowl
Sun Bowl Stadium - El Paso, TX
Oklahoma -10 Stanford 2:00 ET 1.50 Units
Oklahoma 31 Stanford 27 Lose
Sure, the Sun Bowl is a big step down from a year ago for these Sooners playing for the National title in Miami, but this is the last chance for many of these players to win a bowl game. In fact, the last bowl win for Oklahoma was back in 2005.
The line on this game has shown some late movement, Oklahoma -10 up from -8.5 earlier in the week. This due to the most likely absence of Stanford QB Andrew Lucke (recovering from a broken finger). Lucke's replacement will be Tavita Pritchard who has played well and has won some big games, but his overall numbers just aren't there... last season Pritchard threw 10 TD's & 13 INT's while completing just 57% of his passes. He'll be up against Landry Jones for Oklahoma who has thrown for 23 TD's and 13 INT's this season since taking over for the injured Sam Bradford back in October. It's going to be tough for Stanford to keep from getting blown out in this one. The Sooners have far superior overall offensive talent with receivers Ryan Broyles (76rec./964 yds), DeMarco Murray (38 rec. /482 yds. & 144 rushes 655 yds) and Brando Caleb (26/408yds) and back Chris Brown (179 rushes / 741 yards). Sure Stanford has Toby Gerhart (311 rushes / 1755 yds.), but if their defense can't stop the Oklahoma arsenal, Gerhart's day will be over by the half. Besides, Oklahoma has had great success this season against the run yielding just 2.7 ypc. And there's no reason for us to believe that Stanford is going to pick today to start playing defense. This is a team that gave up 43 points to Arizona 2 months ago in a losing effort (38-43), 38 to Oregon State the following week, and most recently 38 to ND in their final game of the season and the 3 weeks before 34 to California, 21 to USC and 42 points to the Ducks. Sure, they won 3 of those last 4 games, but how many times can they go to the well to score in the 40's & 50's... especially without their starting QB (and even if Lucke does play today, he won't be 100%). -END
Armed Forces Bowl
Amon Carter Stadium - Fort Worth - TX
Under 64 Air Force / Houston 12:00 Noon ET 1.50 Units
Air Force 47 Houston 20 Lose
Air Force +5 / Houston 12:00 Noon ET 1.50 Units
Air Force 47 Houston 20 Winner
These teams are no strangers to each other having met twice last season.. once in the beginning of the season in Houston with AF coming away with the road win 31-28, and then in this same bowl exactly 1 year ago today with Houston getting the win 34-28. So being familiar with each other will make for a tighter game as the element of surprise on offense will be reduced. The total in last season's September game was 51.5 with the game going over(31-28), and in the bowl game last year the number closed at 66, up 2 points from the opener of 64. This year the game opened 61 and was bet up again to 64, but we feel the correct number here is closer to the original line put on these teams at the beginning of last season (51.5)... mid fifties at the most. Also, Air Force will look to keep it on the ground eating as much clock as possible keeping Houston's snaps to a minimum.. the shorter the game the better chance for the win. An early lead for the Fly Boys is crucial here to enable them to stick to the ground game, and considering they've averaged 34 ppg in their last 4, scoring shouldn't be a problem. Also, as for the motivation of these teams, consider that Air Force has lost their last 3 bowls, so this is the last chance for the seniors and they're playing a team they've beaten recently. -END
Wednesday 12/30 NCAAF Bowls: -2.00 Units (Volume: 5.00)
Holiday Bowl
Quallcomm Stadium - San Diego, CA
Arizona +3* / Nebraska 8:00 ET 2 Units
Arizona 0 Nebraska 33 Lose
(*There are some scattered 3's out there. Buy the half point if you have +2.5)
Both teams were one play away from playing in a BCS bowl representing their respective conferences, but both lost their conference championship games by the slimmest of margins... Nebraska to Texas paving the way for the Longhorns to play for the national title, and Arizona to Oregon squashing the Wildcats' opportunity to play in the Rose Bowl. So for motivation, we're calling this one dead even.
Much hype surrounding 300 lb. Nebraska defensive tackle Ndamukong Suh and the great job the entire unit has done this season. In the Big 12 Championship game, Suh had 12 tackles (9 resulting in no gain or a loss) and he sacked Colt McCoy 4.5 times. But remember, much of Nebraska's success this year on defense came against known conference opponents and during the regular season. Nebraska is now out of that rhythm and are facing an unknown opponent. In fact the last time these teams played was 1998. Nebraska's defense and big Ndamukong Suhwill not be able to penetrate Arizona's offensive line like they did to Texas... that's Texas... they give up sacks and Arizona doesn't... they get rid of the ball in a hurry. Also, RB Nic Grigsby is expected to return tonight from injury which will be a great asset in setting up the pass.
Another factor in tonight's game is the distraction level. The kids from Nebraska are experiencing extended time in southern California, a big change from the climate in Lincoln! Meanwhile, the weather is normal for the Arizona players. And don't forget, the Mexican border is very close... and very tempting. Arizona Coach Mike Stoops took the possibility away from his team. Here's what he had to say on the matter: "We turned off Tijuana to them," he said. "It was off limits. Nothing good has been happening down there for some time." We haven't heard the same about Nebraska... -END
Tuesday 12/29 NCAAF Bowls: +0.74 Units (Volume: 5.00)
Eagle Bank Bowl
RFK Stadium - Washington, DC
UCLA -4.5 / Temple 4:30 ET ESPN 1.50 Units
UCLA 30 Temple 21 Winner
Not exactly the bowl these kids from California were hoping for as they make the long trip out east to play in the nations capital in freezing conditions, but the Bruins are just too superior of a team. There will be plenty of motivation to win despite the disappointing bowl placement... this is Rick Neuheisel's second year as Bruins HC and UCLA's first bowl appearance with him.
Temple did finish the season with the better record (9-3 vs UCLA: 6-6), but remember they're a MAC team. Temple played one BCS team, PSU back on 9/19 and got blasted 6-31. Sure the Owls went on to win 9 straight after that (7-2 ATS), but as mentioned against the MAC, and they lost badly to Ohio 17-35 to end their season... the same Ohio Team that lost to Marshall last week in the Little Caesars Pizza Bowl. The MAC was just 3-26 this season against BCS conferences and 2-13 SU (4-11 ATS) in bowls since 2005.
Champs Sports Bowl
Citrus Bowl Stadium - Orlando, FL
Miami (FL) -3 (-125) / Wisconsin 8:00 ET ESPN 2 Units
Miami 14 Wisconsin 20 Lose
(Buy half point to -3)
Under 57 Wisconsin / Miami (FL) 1.50 Units
Wisconsin 20 Miami 14 Winner
Both teams posted 9-3 SU records this season, but Miami clearly had the tougher schedule The Hurricanes were 5-3 ATS against bowl bound teams while the Badgers were 2-5 ATS in that department. Against Iowa & Ohio State, Wisconsin could only manage a total of 23 points in the 2 games... and those defenses are a step or two behind the speed of Miami's "D". Miami held Georgia Tech to under 100 rushing yards (2.4 ypc) and 17 points, and they held the CJ Spiller lead Clemson rushing attack to just 84 yards (2.5 ypc).
Yeah, Wisconsin's run defense has been solid, but who needs to run when you can almost pass at will against them... The Badgers allowed 12.9 yards per catch against Indiana, 16.9 against Minnesota, 16.5 against Michigan State, and even Fresno State got in on the party averaging 13.1 yards per catch.
Sure, there's a lot of talk about a fired up Wisconsin team looking to avenge last season's bowl loss in this same bowl game, a 13-42 blowout by FSU, but there's something special about this Miami team this season as they're trying to recapture the magic of the "U" from seasons past, and those teams were all about playing nasty defense.
Sunday 12/27 NCAAF Bowls: -1.75 Units (Volume: 1.75 Units)
Music City Bowl
LP Field - Nashville, TN
Kentucky +7 (-120) / Clemson 8:30 ET 1.75 Units
(Buy half point to +7)
Kentucky 13 Clemson 21 Lose
5:1 ratio in tickets going to Kentucky, so clearly they'll have the "home" field advantage. On paper, you can make a great case to back Clemson, showcasing future NFL first round pick CJ Spiller, but Bowl outcomes have much to do with motivation which starts with being content with your Bowl game. The Tigers have to be disappointed having lost in the ACC title game to Georgia Tech thus keeping them from playing in a BCS game. Kentucky will be returning QB Mike Hartlline. QB Morgan Newton is doubtful due to an undisclosed injury. Also, Clemson will be without center Mason Cloy due to a leg injury.
Clemson has lost their last 3 bowls (all as favorites) as Kentucky has won their last 3... including beating Clemson in 2006 in this same bowl on this same field 28-20 a 11.5 point dogs...
Saturday 12/26 NCAAF Bowls: +4.55 Units (Volume: 5.00 Units)
Emerald Bowl
AT&T Park - San Francisco, CA
USC -7 (-120) / Boston College 8:00 ET 5.00 Units
USC 24 Boston College 13 Winner
15-12 +8.53 Units (Volume: 60.25 Units)
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Saturday 01/01: +6.01 Units (Volume 9.75 Units)
Fiesta Bowl
University Of Phoenix Stadium - Glendale, AZ
Oklahoma -15 / UCONN 8:30 ET 5.00 Units
Oklahoma 48 UCONN 20 Winner
Capital One Bowl
Citrus Bowl Stadium - Orlando, FL
Michigan State +8.5 / Alabama 1:00 ET 1.50 Units
Michigan State 7 Alabama 49 Lose
Gator Bowl
Municipal Stadium - Jacksonville, FL
Mississippi State -3 / Michigan 1:30 ET 1.25 Units
Mississippi State 52 Michigan 14 Winner
Rose Bowl
Rose Bowl - Pasadena, CA
Wisconsin +3 / TCU 5:00 ET 2.00 Units
Wisconsin 19 TCU 21 Winner
Friday 12/31: +3.12 Units (Volume: 10.25 Units)
Sun Bowl
Sun Bowl - El Paso, TX
Miami -2.5 (-120) / Notre Dame 2:00 ET 1.25 Units
Miami 17 Notre Dame 33 Lose
Over 47 Notre Dame / Miami 2:00 ET 2.00 Units
Notre Dame 33 Miami 17 Winner
Liberty Bowl
Liberty Bowl - Memphis, TN
Georgia -6.5 (-115) / Central Florida 3:30 ET 2.00 Units
Georgia 6 Cenral Florida 13 Lose
Chik-Fil-A Bowl
Georgia Dome - Atlanta, GA
Florida State +3 / South Carolina 7:30 ET 5.00 Units
Florida State 26 South Carolina 17 Winner
Thursday 12/30: +5.46 Units (Volume: 6.00 Units)
Pinstripe Bowl
Yankee Stadium - Bronx, NY
Syracuse pk / Kansas State 3:20 ET 2.00 Units
Syracuse 36 Kansas State 34 Winner
Music City Bowl
LP Field - Nashville, TN
North Carolina pk / Tennessee 6:30 ET 2.00 Units
North Carolina 30 Tennessee 27 Wnner
Holiday Bowl
Qualcomm Stadium - San Diego, CA
Under 53 Washington / Nebraska 10:00 ET 2.00 Units
Washington 19 Nebraska 7 Winner
Wednesday 12/29: -6.25 Units (Volume: 6.25 Units)
Texas Bowl
Reliant Stadium - Houston, TX
Baylor +1.5 / Illinois 6:00 ET 1.25 Units
Baylor 14 Illinois 38 Lose
Alamo Bowl
Reliant Stadium - Houston, TX
Arizona +4.5 / Oklahoma State 9:15 ET 5.00 Units
Arizona 10 Oklahoma State 31 Lose
Tuesday 12/28: +1.82 Units (Volume: 2.00 Units)
Insight Bowl
Sun Devil Stadium - Tempe, AZ
Iowa +3 / Missouri 10:00 ET 2.00 Units
Iowa 27 Missouri 24 Winner
There are some +3's out there. If you're line is +2.5, it is recommended to buy up to +3, but you should be able to fin 3 without buying.
Sunday 12/26: -2.00 Units (Volume: 2.00 Units)
Little Caesars Pizza Bowl
Ford Field - Detroit, MI
Toledo +1.5 / FIU 8:30 ET 2.00 Units
Toledo 32 FIU 34 Lose
Thursday 12/23: +1.37 Units (Volume: 1.50 Units)
Poinsettia Bowl
Qualcomm Stadium - San Diego, CA
San Diego State -3 / Navy 8:00 ET 1.50 Units
San Diego State 35 Navy 14 Winner
Saturday 12/18: -3.25 Units (Volume: 3.25 Units)
Humanitarian Bowl
Bronco Stadium - Boise, ID
Fresno State +1.5 / Northern Illinois 5:30 ET 1.25 Units
Fresno State 17 Northern Illinois 40 Lose
New Orleans Bowl
Superdome - New Orleans, LA
Ohio +2 / Troy 9:00 ET 2.00 Units
Ohio 21 Troy 48 Lose
15-7 +15.60 Units (Volume: 59.25 Units)
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Monday 1/7: +1.82 Units (Volume 2.00 Units)
BCS Championship Game | Sun Life Stadium - Miami, FL
Alabama -9.5 / Notre Dame 8:00 ET 2.00 Units
Alabama 42 Notre Dame 14 Winner
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17-7 2006-2007 NCAA Football Bowl Results
Monday January 8, 2007
BCS Champioship Game
Florida +7.5 / Ohio State
Florida 41 OSU 14 Win
Under 47 Florida / OSU
Florida 41 OSU 14 Lose
Tonight, we have a situation that has tremendous value. This betting position has been made possible for us thanks to the public's inability to look past the surface of this matchup. Yes, OSU finished the regular season undefeated but what most people don't understand is the importance of strength of schedule. OSU was a 2+ touchdown favorite in 9 of it's 12 wins! Meanwhile, Florida had a much tougher go of it having to face many solid SEC powerhouses. Not only did Florida finish @ 12-1 (their only loss coming @ Auburn as a 2 point favorite), but they did it while dealing with many nagging injuries throughout the season. There's been plenty of time for this Gator team to get healthy with the long break. We feel Florida will prevail by playing solid defense and having success with big plays.
Sunday January 7, 2007
GMAC Bowl
S Miss -6 / Ohio U (BMM)
S Miss 28 Ohio U 7 Winner
Saturday January 6, 2007
International Bowl
Western Michigan +7 / Cincinatti
W Michigan 24 Cincinatti 27 Winner
Wednesday January 3, 2007
Sugar Bowl
Notre Dame +8.5 / LSU
Notre Dame 14 LSU 41 Lose
The big mistake most people make when handicapping Bowl games is trying to make their selection based on stats and trends. You can throw all the stats and trends out the window in tonigtht's Sugar Bowl. You see, tonight we have a special situation. First off, you have a Notre Dame football program that hasn't won a bowl game since the 1994 Cptton Bowl. Losers of thier last 8 Bowls. At the helm, you have a special player in Brady Quinn. He easily can go # 1 in the upcoming draft. You can bet he's going to go out on a high note.
On the other side, you have an LSU team that is not getting the game they want. They wanted to go to Pasadena to the Rose Bowl. Now they're "stuck" at home with no real festive bowl atmosphere to get them motivated. Remember, these are college kids who really would have loved a trip out west and are left disappointed. Not to mention all the trash talking being done by the Tigers that is only adding to Notre Dame's motivation. Look for the upset here...8.5 points waaaaay too many!!
Tuesday January 2, 2007
Orange Bowl
Louisville -10 / Wake Forest
Louisville 24 Wake Forest 13 Winner
Monday January 1, 2007
Outback Bowl
Penn St +4 / Tennessee (BMM)
Penn St 20 Tennessee 10 Winner
Tennessee got out to a 7-1 start only to finish 2-2 down the stretch. Penn State hasn't had quite the success it had last season losing only 1 game and defeating FSU in the Orange Bowl, but this years team is built on defense. Penn State linebacker Paul Posluszny will play his last game as a Nittany Lion in this Outback Bowl, and he has had one of the most distinguished careers in the history of the storied program. Fellow linebacker Dan Connor is perhaps just as good if not better, giving the Lions tremendous talent on defense. Also, this Penn St team is out to prove all the skeptics wrong. They're sick of all the critisism and lack of respect. Look for the Nittany Lions to shut down the Tennessee offense and come away with the W.
Capital One Bowl
Wisconsin +2 / Arkansas
Wisconsin 17 Arkansa 14 Winner
We feel the wrong team is favored here as the Badgers are flying high winning 11 games this season and are on an 8 game winning streak. Arkansas has been on a downward spiral losing its last 2 reg season games giving up 38 and 31 points. Look for the Arkansas "D" to continue its generosity.
Gator Bowl
Georgia Tech +10.5 / West Virginia
GTech 35 W Virginia 38 Winner
Big time over reacting here by both the public and linesmakers as to the importance of GT QB Reggie Ball (ineligible for today's game) Taylor Bennett will get the start. This is huge for us because we would rather see Bennett instead of Ball anyway as he is very impressive when given the chance and Ball has been terrible down the stretch. So we have a situation where we're getting paid (4 extra points) to get a better starting QB and there has been ample time for Bennett to prepare.
Rose Bowl
USC +2 / Michigan
USC 32 Michigan 18 Winner
Look for USC to shorten the game with long, time consuming drives getting the most out of their star running back Washington. Yes, USC is disappointed in losing their shot at the National Championship, but the Rose Bowl ain't a bad consolation game! In the case of Michigan, their shot at the title game and hopes of an undefeated season all went out the window on the last day of the season. We feel it's no coincidence that teams that have perfection ruined on their final game perform poorly in their bowl games. We feel it's very difficult for these kids to look past the one blemish. These are two excellent football programs and there will be alot of talent on the field today, but USC will prevail.
Sunday December 31, 2006
MPC Computers Bowl
Nevada +3.5 / Miami (Fl)
Nevada 20 Miami (Fl) 21 Winner
Saturday December 30, 2006
Meineke Car Care Bowl
Navy +7 / Boston College
Navy 24 BC 25 Winner
Friday December 29, 2006
Music City Bowl
Kentucky +10 / Clemson
Kentucky 28 Clemson 20 Winner
BCS Champioship Game
Florida +7.5 / Ohio State
Florida 41 OSU 14 Win
Under 47 Florida / OSU
Florida 41 OSU 14 Lose
Tonight, we have a situation that has tremendous value. This betting position has been made possible for us thanks to the public's inability to look past the surface of this matchup. Yes, OSU finished the regular season undefeated but what most people don't understand is the importance of strength of schedule. OSU was a 2+ touchdown favorite in 9 of it's 12 wins! Meanwhile, Florida had a much tougher go of it having to face many solid SEC powerhouses. Not only did Florida finish @ 12-1 (their only loss coming @ Auburn as a 2 point favorite), but they did it while dealing with many nagging injuries throughout the season. There's been plenty of time for this Gator team to get healthy with the long break. We feel Florida will prevail by playing solid defense and having success with big plays.
Sunday January 7, 2007
GMAC Bowl
S Miss -6 / Ohio U (BMM)
S Miss 28 Ohio U 7 Winner
We look for Ohio to give a valient effort here tonight in trying to compete but it will be only a matter of time before So. Miss breaks the game open. The Golden Eagles' Damon Fletcher averages 5 yards per carry and at QB is the solid Jeremy Young (12 TD's). Look for some early scoring from both teams and SM TO pull away in the end.
Saturday January 6, 2007
International Bowl
Western Michigan +7 / Cincinatti
W Michigan 24 Cincinatti 27 Winner
Look for WM to get the job done today with their solid defense.... That's what got them here. Cincinatti has a new head coach, Brian Kelley. We feel Cincy lacked the time to prepare for this game due to the coaching change
Wednesday January 3, 2007
Sugar Bowl
Notre Dame +8.5 / LSU
Notre Dame 14 LSU 41 Lose
The big mistake most people make when handicapping Bowl games is trying to make their selection based on stats and trends. You can throw all the stats and trends out the window in tonigtht's Sugar Bowl. You see, tonight we have a special situation. First off, you have a Notre Dame football program that hasn't won a bowl game since the 1994 Cptton Bowl. Losers of thier last 8 Bowls. At the helm, you have a special player in Brady Quinn. He easily can go # 1 in the upcoming draft. You can bet he's going to go out on a high note.
On the other side, you have an LSU team that is not getting the game they want. They wanted to go to Pasadena to the Rose Bowl. Now they're "stuck" at home with no real festive bowl atmosphere to get them motivated. Remember, these are college kids who really would have loved a trip out west and are left disappointed. Not to mention all the trash talking being done by the Tigers that is only adding to Notre Dame's motivation. Look for the upset here...8.5 points waaaaay too many!!
Tuesday January 2, 2007
Orange Bowl
Louisville -10 / Wake Forest
Louisville 24 Wake Forest 13 Winner
Monday January 1, 2007
Outback Bowl
Penn St +4 / Tennessee (BMM)
Penn St 20 Tennessee 10 Winner
Tennessee got out to a 7-1 start only to finish 2-2 down the stretch. Penn State hasn't had quite the success it had last season losing only 1 game and defeating FSU in the Orange Bowl, but this years team is built on defense. Penn State linebacker Paul Posluszny will play his last game as a Nittany Lion in this Outback Bowl, and he has had one of the most distinguished careers in the history of the storied program. Fellow linebacker Dan Connor is perhaps just as good if not better, giving the Lions tremendous talent on defense. Also, this Penn St team is out to prove all the skeptics wrong. They're sick of all the critisism and lack of respect. Look for the Nittany Lions to shut down the Tennessee offense and come away with the W.
Capital One Bowl
Wisconsin +2 / Arkansas
Wisconsin 17 Arkansa 14 Winner
We feel the wrong team is favored here as the Badgers are flying high winning 11 games this season and are on an 8 game winning streak. Arkansas has been on a downward spiral losing its last 2 reg season games giving up 38 and 31 points. Look for the Arkansas "D" to continue its generosity.
Gator Bowl
Georgia Tech +10.5 / West Virginia
GTech 35 W Virginia 38 Winner
Big time over reacting here by both the public and linesmakers as to the importance of GT QB Reggie Ball (ineligible for today's game) Taylor Bennett will get the start. This is huge for us because we would rather see Bennett instead of Ball anyway as he is very impressive when given the chance and Ball has been terrible down the stretch. So we have a situation where we're getting paid (4 extra points) to get a better starting QB and there has been ample time for Bennett to prepare.
Rose Bowl
USC +2 / Michigan
USC 32 Michigan 18 Winner
Look for USC to shorten the game with long, time consuming drives getting the most out of their star running back Washington. Yes, USC is disappointed in losing their shot at the National Championship, but the Rose Bowl ain't a bad consolation game! In the case of Michigan, their shot at the title game and hopes of an undefeated season all went out the window on the last day of the season. We feel it's no coincidence that teams that have perfection ruined on their final game perform poorly in their bowl games. We feel it's very difficult for these kids to look past the one blemish. These are two excellent football programs and there will be alot of talent on the field today, but USC will prevail.
Sunday December 31, 2006
MPC Computers Bowl
Nevada +3.5 / Miami (Fl)
Nevada 20 Miami (Fl) 21 Winner
Saturday December 30, 2006
Meineke Car Care Bowl
Navy +7 / Boston College
Navy 24 BC 25 Winner
The Midshipmen have all the ingredients to win this game today. They have been playing solid football all year long. They lead the nation in rushing as they run the triple option to perfection. In addition, they will have the majority of the crowd behind them as they sold nearly 30,000 tickets.
On the other side of the ball you have a "disappoointed to be here" BC team. They had their sites set on the Orange Bowl but some late season unravelling put an end to that. Also, Coach Tom O'brien left the team for the job at NC State.
Friday December 29, 2006
Music City Bowl
Kentucky +10 / Clemson
Kentucky 28 Clemson 20 Winner
Two teams coming from different directions here. Cemson finished the season 3-4 after a fast start. At one point of the season the Tigers were a top ten team so they are a little disappointed having to settle for a December bowl game. Meanwhile, Kentucky finished the season by winning 4 of their last 5 putting them al 7-5 overall so they're just thrilled to be here.
Clemson will be missing a couple of key players today. Tight end Thomas Hunter broke his foot in practice this week and defensive back Duane Coleman won't play due to a suspension.
Kentucky has developed a potent offense this season which is really peaking right now. Tailback Rafael Little has almost 1000 total yards and 5 TD's while playing in only 8 games and is completely healthy and ready for another big performance.
Sun Bowl
Oregon St -3.5 / Missouri
Oregon St 39 Missouri 38 Lose
Everything going right for Oregon State as they pulled off some very impessive wins this season. They snapped USC's 27 game Pac-10 winning streak. They also beat Hawaii on the road snapping their 6 game winning streak. They finished the season on a 7-1 tear.
Missouri, on the othe rhand, opened with a fast start winning it's first 6 games only to fall apart losing 4 of it's next 5 including 3 straight to Oklahoma, Nebraska, and Iowa State.
Also, the cold and flu season has really hit Missouri as more than 20 players missed practices this week.
Insight Bowl
Minnesota +7 / Texas Tech
Minnesota 41 Texas Tech 44 Winner
Wednesday December 27, 2006
Emerald Bowl
FSU +3 / UCLA
FSU 44 UCLA 27 Winner
It has been a disappointing season for the Seminoles. They are facing a UCLA team that is flying high after upsetting USC and killing their shot at the national title. What better way to start putting this sub par season behind you than to win tonight as an underdog...and believe me, these kids read the newspaper and know exactly who's laying how many points. We feel the wrong team is favored here but that's because of the publics overreaction to UCLA's play of late. FSU is better than UCLA in the yards per play department which is a good guage of a teams overall performance.
Tuesday December 26, 2006
Motor City Bowl
Mid Tenn St +8 / Central Michigan
Mid Tenn St 14 C Mich 31 Lose
Central Michigan no doubt is the team with the momentum here but this also a team with coaching uncertainties as their head coach Brian Kelly left. A permanent replacement has yet to be named and that is enough to throw a wrench in the machine. Mid Tenn St is a solid team with a solid defense and we just can't enough credit to CM to warrant the big lay.
Oregon St -3.5 / Missouri
Oregon St 39 Missouri 38 Lose
Everything going right for Oregon State as they pulled off some very impessive wins this season. They snapped USC's 27 game Pac-10 winning streak. They also beat Hawaii on the road snapping their 6 game winning streak. They finished the season on a 7-1 tear.
Missouri, on the othe rhand, opened with a fast start winning it's first 6 games only to fall apart losing 4 of it's next 5 including 3 straight to Oklahoma, Nebraska, and Iowa State.
Also, the cold and flu season has really hit Missouri as more than 20 players missed practices this week.
Champs Sports Bowl
Maryland +1 / Purdue (BMM)
Maryland 24 Purdue 7 Winner
Insight Bowl
Minnesota +7 / Texas Tech
Minnesota 41 Texas Tech 44 Winner
Wednesday December 27, 2006
Emerald Bowl
FSU +3 / UCLA
FSU 44 UCLA 27 Winner
It has been a disappointing season for the Seminoles. They are facing a UCLA team that is flying high after upsetting USC and killing their shot at the national title. What better way to start putting this sub par season behind you than to win tonight as an underdog...and believe me, these kids read the newspaper and know exactly who's laying how many points. We feel the wrong team is favored here but that's because of the publics overreaction to UCLA's play of late. FSU is better than UCLA in the yards per play department which is a good guage of a teams overall performance.
Tuesday December 26, 2006
Motor City Bowl
Mid Tenn St +8 / Central Michigan
Mid Tenn St 14 C Mich 31 Lose
Central Michigan no doubt is the team with the momentum here but this also a team with coaching uncertainties as their head coach Brian Kelly left. A permanent replacement has yet to be named and that is enough to throw a wrench in the machine. Mid Tenn St is a solid team with a solid defense and we just can't enough credit to CM to warrant the big lay.
Saturday December 23, 2006
Papa Johns Bowl
E. Carolina +5 / S. Florida
S.Florida 7 E. Carolia 24 Lose
South Florida won huge in it's last regular season game beating W. Virginia as a 21 point dog! Problem here is they rely too heavily on their QB Grothe and as a team have a history of self destructing in the red zone. Look for E. Carolina's pass catch combo of Pinkey / Allison to beat SF deep all afternoon.
New Mexico Bowl
San Jose St +3.5 / New Mexico
San Jose St 20 New Mexico 12 Winner
San Jose State and it's 15'th ranked run offense average over 180 yds. per game on the ground. Look for them to pound the ball all day long wearing down the NM "D."
Armed Forces Bowl
Utah -1 / Tulsa
Utah 25 Tulsa 13 Winner
Utah is simply the better team from the better conference. It's no coincidence that they are a perfect 5-0 SU in bowl games since 1999 covering 4 of them. This is a solid team who will be able to look past their close loss to BYU (31-33) in their final home game.
Friday December 22, 2006
New Orleans Bowl
Troy +5.5 / Rice (BMM)
Troy 41 Rice 17 Winner
New Orleans Bowl
Troy +5.5 / Rice (BMM)
Troy 41 Rice 17 Winner
Thursday December 21, 2006
Las Vegas Bowl
Oregon +3 / BYU
Oregon 8 BYU 38 Lose
One of the biggest mistakes made by people when picking bowl game is putting too much emphasis on teams' current streaks. Problem is, that's old news! Do you realize how much has happened in the lives of these college kids since their regular season finale? Final exams, girlfriends, parties, holiday plans, etc. etc. In the case of tonight's Las Vegas Bowl, BYU lost two of their first three games, with both of those defeats against BCS opponents. After that, BYU rolled out NINE straight wins, culminating with a 33-31 victory over Utah to close out the Mountain West Conference slate on a perfect run, and finish the regular season as the 19th-ranked team in the nation. Meanwhile, Oregon, the opposite holds true. After a fast start, they seemed to fall apart finishing at 7-5.
A big value position has been created here for us. We strongly feel Oregon should be the favorite here but the linemaker simply can't do that because nobody wants to back a team on a "losing streak." Nothing ruins a good offensive run such as the one BYU has been enduring better than 3 weeks off and nothing gets a slumping team with talent back on track better than 3 weeks off!
Tuesday December 19, 2006
Poinsettia Bowl
Northern Illinois +12 / TCU
Northern Illinois 7 TCU 37 Lose
Disappointing season for TCU. This is a team that is going to have a hard time getting motivated as they feel that they should have done so much more. On the other hand, Northern Illinois is very excited to be in this bowl game and can basically play "pressure free" as they're the big underdog anyway. Also, TCU didn't get much practice time since the end of their regular season due to their final exams. Meanwhile, Northern Illinois got their full practices in and we feel they are the more focused and hungry team here...and getting 12 points is very inviting.
2007-2008 Bowl Results: 16-10
Monday 1/9
BCS Championship Game
Ohio State +4 / LSU 8:00 ETOSU 24 LSU 38 LOSE
OSU is the more prepared and focused team tonight as they are playing the rare role of the underdog. We feel the Tigers are a little cocky, especially HC Les Miles as he's really been hamming it up in the media. Ohio State is trying to learn from last year, and one thing they are doing differently this year is staying away from the venue until closer to game day. Last year, the Buckeyes got to town 10 days ahead of time and Jim Tressel felt that was a big distraction to his team, so this year they didn't arrive in New Orleans until January 2nd. Tressel made a strict rule of no going out to the local casino (Harrah's is right next to their hotel), or anywhere else for that matter...they are all business. Not so for the LSU players. Many have been spotted out around town and in Harrah's. Playing a game of this magnitude in your home town can certainly work against you, yet the line is reflecting home field advantage to LSU. We strongly feel the wrong tean is favored!!
Sunday 1/8
GMAC Bowl
Tulsa -5.5 / Bowling Green 8:00 ETTulsa 63 Bowling Green 7 WINNER
Perfect opportunity for Tulsa & QB Paul Smith to redeem themselves after losing to Central Florida in the C-USA Championship Game. This is a very potent Tulsa offense with many weapons and Smith will be on top of his game tonight in his finale.
Saturday 1/5:
International BowlRutgers -11 / Ball State 12:00 Noon ETRutgers 52 Ball State 30 WINNER
All stats & trends point to the dog plus the big fat 11 as Ball State is 3-0 ATS as a dog in non-conference road games, 10-5 ATS as road dogs overall since 2005, & 20-12 ATS lifetime as a dog under head coach Brady Hoke. So why then has the line gone from 9.5 to 11? Because Rutgers is the better team and is in a spot today to really let loose and make a statemnet! We feel no threat of letting up in the end for the win & no cover which is usually a major concern when laying this many points. As we've always said of bowl games, emotion and psychological factors play a major role in the outcomes compared to regular season results (the basis of the pointspread).Thursday 1/3/2008
Orange BowlUnder 51.5 Kansas / Virginia Tech 8:00
Kansas 24 Va Tech 21 WINNER
Wednesday 1/2/2008
Fiesta Bowl
Oklahoma -7.5 / West Virginia 8:00
Oklahoma 28 W VA 48 LOSE
Oklahoma's size advantage on both sides of the ball will prove too much for West Vrginia.
NEW YEARS DAY
Outback Bowl
Wisconsin +1.5 / Tennessee 11:00 ET
Under 59 Wisconsin / Tennessee
WISC 17 TENN 21 LOSE SIDE
WISC 17 TENN 21 WIN TOTAL
Wisconsin will win this game on offense while catching the Vol's on their heels in the middle of a wholesale coaching change. After this game, UT offensive coordinator Cutcliffe and asst. coach Trooper Taylor are departing. Tennessee should consider themselves lucky to have won the SEC East, as their numbers weren't of title winning caliber. Look for the Badgers to control the clock with long, time consuming scoring drives and put this Tennessee team away early!
Cotton Bowl
Missouri -3 / Arkansas 11:30 AM
MISSOURI 38 ARKANSAS 7 WINNER
Gator Bowl
Virginia +6 / Texas Tech 1:00 ET
VIRGINIA 28 TEX TECH 31 WINNER
The difference in this game will be Virginia's defense. TT has been rolling along all season long getting it done on offense through the air. Problem is, Texas Tech is a one dimentional team with little run threat, so Virginia's defense can concentrate mainly on defending the pass. The Cav's head coach Al Groh is an ex NFL defensive coordinator, so it's right up his alley to formulate a plan to stop a shallow offense.
The difference in this game will be Virginia's defense. TT has been rolling along all season long getting it done on offense through the air. Problem is, Texas Tech is a one dimentional team with little run threat, so Virginia's defense can concentrate mainly on defending the pass. The Cav's head coach Al Groh is an ex NFL defensive coordinator, so it's right up his alley to formulate a plan to stop a shallow offense.
Rose Bowl
Over 50 USC / Illinois 5:00 ET
USC 49 ILLINOIS 17 WINNER
All this talk of how great this USC defense is against the run and how USC's defense is 100% healthy and are ready to give up next to no yardage on the ground....BS! This is going to be one fired up Illini team! Don't think that these kids don't read the newspapers and realize that they're the biggest bowl dog this year! That's big time motivation for a team that knows how to score. Illinois scored an average of 35 their last 4. Granted, it wasn't against USC caliber defenses, but if you're used to scoring, you'll get it done....especially knowing that you're a 2 touchdown dog and have nothing to lose by letting loose!!
Monday 12/31
All this talk of how great this USC defense is against the run and how USC's defense is 100% healthy and are ready to give up next to no yardage on the ground....BS! This is going to be one fired up Illini team! Don't think that these kids don't read the newspapers and realize that they're the biggest bowl dog this year! That's big time motivation for a team that knows how to score. Illinois scored an average of 35 their last 4. Granted, it wasn't against USC caliber defenses, but if you're used to scoring, you'll get it done....especially knowing that you're a 2 touchdown dog and have nothing to lose by letting loose!!
Monday 12/31
Armed Forces Bowl
Air Force + 4.5 / California
AF 36 California 42 Lose
AF 36 California 42 Lose
California not happy with it's Bowl game but this is where you play when your season falls apart and you finish losing 6 of 7! Can't see the Bears putting up much of an effort while on the other hand, Air Force will be eager to prove they can compete against a BCS opponent. The Falcons have a full head of steam heading into this game as they're off 3 blowouts in a row: Army, Notre Dame, & SD State
Humanitarian Bowl
Fresno State +6.5 / Georgia Tech
Feresno St 40 GA tech 28 WINNER
Fresno possesses alot of the small advantages in this one that add up to a big overall edge, especially getting 6.5! First, there's the coaching situation as Chan Gailey was shown the door. Then even with one of the most dangerous threats in the backfield with Tashard Choice, GT can't get the most out of him because of the lack of a passing game to set him up. The Bulldogs' QB brandstarter on the other hand has completed 61% of his passes this year and runs the offense very well using many different wepons. Finally, Fresno will have the bulk of the fan support today as this game will be played on the blue field in Boise, ID, home of WAC rival Boise St., where the Bulldogs are sure to be warmly greeted.
Feresno St 40 GA tech 28 WINNER
Fresno possesses alot of the small advantages in this one that add up to a big overall edge, especially getting 6.5! First, there's the coaching situation as Chan Gailey was shown the door. Then even with one of the most dangerous threats in the backfield with Tashard Choice, GT can't get the most out of him because of the lack of a passing game to set him up. The Bulldogs' QB brandstarter on the other hand has completed 61% of his passes this year and runs the offense very well using many different wepons. Finally, Fresno will have the bulk of the fan support today as this game will be played on the blue field in Boise, ID, home of WAC rival Boise St., where the Bulldogs are sure to be warmly greeted.
Insight Bowl
Indiana +5.5 / Oklahoma St
Indiana 33 Okl St 49 Lose
Indiana 33 Okl St 49 Lose
First bowl appearance for the Hoosiers since 1993. Okl. St has a bit of a problem here as their offensive coordinator Larry Fedora left earlier this month to take the head coaching job at Southern Miss. The OC slot has been filled by Trooper Taylor, Tenn wide receivers coach, but he won't start until after Tennessee's bowl game Tuesday. So in the meantime, the calling of the offensive plays will be done "as a group." Doesn't sound too promising a position to be in for a team that relies heavily on it's high powered offnsive production.
Sunday 12/30
Independence Bowl
Colorodo +4 / Alabama
Colorodo 24 Alabama 30 Lose
Colorodo made a valient effort to come back in the end outscoring the Tide 24-3 in the 2nd half, but the 27-0 halftime deficit proved too much. Congrats to Nick Sabin on a fine game!
Saturday 12/29
Meineke Car Care Bowl
Sunday 12/30
Independence Bowl
Colorodo +4 / Alabama
Colorodo 24 Alabama 30 Lose
Colorodo made a valient effort to come back in the end outscoring the Tide 24-3 in the 2nd half, but the 27-0 halftime deficit proved too much. Congrats to Nick Sabin on a fine game!
Saturday 12/29
Meineke Car Care Bowl
Under 47.5 Connecticut / Wake Forest
UCONN 10 W F 24 WINNER
UCONN 10 W F 24 WINNER
This is a pretty large number to post given 2 teams that both play conservative on offense. There's not going to be a whole lot of passing in this one, just a lot of long clock eating drives. Barring any fluke plays and/or cheap scores, this one should stay under by a mile!
Liberty Bowl
Mississippi State +3 / Central Florida
MISS ST 10 CF 3 WINNER
Not to take anything away from Kevin Smith and the numbers he's put up, but that's all they are: Numbers. His nearly 2500 ground yards this season were gained mostly vs the poor defenses within C-USA. Smith is no bigger or better than any RB that Mississippi State has faced in the SEC, so containing him today will be just another day at the office for the Bulldogs. We also feel CF is prime for a letdown after being lulled to sleep by the lack of competition late in their season. They were a 7.5 - 21 point favorite in each of their last 5 games and won them all by an average of over 20 points. Today they play a quality team and should NOT be laying points!
MISS ST 10 CF 3 WINNER
Not to take anything away from Kevin Smith and the numbers he's put up, but that's all they are: Numbers. His nearly 2500 ground yards this season were gained mostly vs the poor defenses within C-USA. Smith is no bigger or better than any RB that Mississippi State has faced in the SEC, so containing him today will be just another day at the office for the Bulldogs. We also feel CF is prime for a letdown after being lulled to sleep by the lack of competition late in their season. They were a 7.5 - 21 point favorite in each of their last 5 games and won them all by an average of over 20 points. Today they play a quality team and should NOT be laying points!
Alamo Bowl
Penn State -5.5 / Texas A&M 8:00 ET ESPN
Penn State -5.5 / Texas A&M 8:00 ET ESPN
Under 51.5 PSU / Texas A&M
PSU 24 Miss St 17 Side WINNER
PSU 24 Miss St 17 Total WINNER
PSU 24 Miss St 17 Side WINNER
PSU 24 Miss St 17 Total WINNER
Friday 12/28:
Champs Sports Bowl
Champs Sports Bowl
MSU +5 / Boston College
MSU 21 BC 24 WINNER
MSU 21 BC 24 WINNER
Disappointing loss for BC to Va Tech in the ACC Championship game while the Spartans finished strong with 2 big wins to get here over Purdue & Penn State as dogs in both. Today's line went from BC-3 to BC-5 due to the 2 MSU LB's suspended for academic reasons. As we've always said, teams tend to gel together as a whole when lacking at key positions and often wind up playing better than if they were 100%. MSU wants a win here in a big way as they're trying to regain respect and Coach Dantonio as gone to great lengths to prepare his team. He's made them practice in 80+ degree heat by turning up the heat in their practice facility to get them ready for the Orlando heat.
Texas Bowl
Houston +6.5 / TCU
Houston 13 TCU 20 Lose
Under 58 Houston / TCU
Houston 13 TCU 20 Winner
Houston 13 TCU 20 Lose
Under 58 Houston / TCU
Houston 13 TCU 20 Winner
Gotta take the fat 6.5 with a team that can accumulate yards in a hurry. The Cougars will keep the pressure on TCU's stingy defense all night and we believe they'll get them to break. Meanwhile, TCU will look to control the clock with a slow metodical running game. As long as Houston doesn't turn the ball over like they've been known to, they should be there in the end with a shot at the outright win so getting almost a full TD is huge.
Emerald Bowl
Maryland +5 / Oregon State
Maryland 14 Oregon State 21 Lose
Maryland 14 Oregon State 21 Lose
Both teas finished the season strong but Maryland is the healthier team heading into this one and we believe that will be the difference tonight. Again, nice value here as these teams are evenly matched. Take the points.
Thursday 12/27
Holiday Bowl
Holiday Bowl
Arizona State +2.5 / Texas
Memphis 27 FAU 44 Lose
Memphis 27 FAU 44 Lose
Remember, don't rely too heavily on stats and trends when handicapping bowl games. There are always situations where a team is thrilled to be in their bowl game, and other situations where a team is unhappy in their bowl placement. In tonight's Holiday Bowl, we have BOTH situations working. Texas had National Championship on their minds entering the season so this is a total letdown for them. On the other hand, Arizona State is off one of their best seasons in over 10 years and finished way better than expected so we feel they have a huge edge in momentum and motivation.
Also, even on paper, AZ St possesses an edge in many important categories. The Sun Devils are 16th in pass defense while Texas QB Colt McCoy has thrown 18 INT's this year. Also, AZ St leads the nation in time of possession at 34:00 per game. And of course there's the lopsided advantage for AZ St in upperclassmen (55-41). It's been an all around great year for the Sun Devils with much of the credit going to the job Dennis Erickon has done in his first year as head coach.
Saturday 12/22
Las Vegas Bowl
UCLA +7 / BYU
UCLA 16 BYU 17 WINNER
Navy 32 Utah 35 WINNER
This was a nice win for us to open up the 2007-2008 Bowl Season. We learned alot about this Navy team back on November 10th when we released a Late Info Big Money Move on N. Texas +16 AGAINST Navy! In that game, NT jumped out to a 21-3 1st quarter lead GETTING 16! We knew right there that our information on NT that day was right on, but we quickly learned that Navy WOULD NOT go away! In fact, this game went on to set a new NCAA record for points scoerd (136) as Navy closed the gap to 4 by the half (45-49) before eventually winning 74-62 but failing to cover the 16. We saw in that game the explosiveness of Navy's offense and their ability to come from behind, so given the chance last night to back the Midshipmen as a 2 SCORE DOG against a Utah team prone to giving up big points, we jumped on the opportunity!
Saturday 12/22
Las Vegas Bowl
UCLA +7 / BYU
UCLA 16 BYU 17 WINNER
Many are saying UCLA is dissappointed in their season, how they had high hopes of a possible National Championshp, and having to settle for a trip to Vegas before Christmas has depleted this unit. We think BYU is the team more let down by this game. They wanted the opportunity of playing a team they haven't already played, and they also let it be known that they wanted a "better" team to compete against. Sounds like fightin' words to me! Don't quite understand why they'd wat to get the Bruins riled up with those remarks....UCLA has beaten BYU 7 straight times incluiding earlier this season 27-17.
BYU does have the better team on paper, but like we've always said, you can pretty much throw out stats and trends in the Bowl Season. It usually comes down to who wants the game more and in this case we feel the Bruins do. We're also getting tremendous line value thanks to the general public who bet the Cougars all the way up to 7 from their opening line of 4.5.
Friday 12/21
New Orleans Bowl
Friday 12/21
New Orleans Bowl
Memphis +3.5 / FAU
Memphis 27 FAU 44 Lose
Memphis 27 FAU 44 Lose
We can't take anything away from this FAU program and the job coach Schnellenberger has done in building this team, but the line on tonight's game is wrong. We feel the wrong team is favored and the number has even moved off of 3 to 3.5 which makes our decision that much easier!
What got the Owls this far was their huge advantage in turnovers but the bad news is Memphis is very good at NOT turning the ball over. Also, Memphis has a huge size advantage in their wide receivers to FAU's corners. Calhoun & Singleton, standing at 6'4" and 6'9", should have a field day against the 2 5'10" FAU Corners. Memphis also posesses the superior running game and will try to keep their offense on the field for as long as possible using the run to set up the pass thus limiting FAU's offensive threats.
Thursday 12/20
Poinsettia Bowl
Navy 32 Utah 35 WINNER
This was a nice win for us to open up the 2007-2008 Bowl Season. We learned alot about this Navy team back on November 10th when we released a Late Info Big Money Move on N. Texas +16 AGAINST Navy! In that game, NT jumped out to a 21-3 1st quarter lead GETTING 16! We knew right there that our information on NT that day was right on, but we quickly learned that Navy WOULD NOT go away! In fact, this game went on to set a new NCAA record for points scoerd (136) as Navy closed the gap to 4 by the half (45-49) before eventually winning 74-62 but failing to cover the 16. We saw in that game the explosiveness of Navy's offense and their ability to come from behind, so given the chance last night to back the Midshipmen as a 2 SCORE DOG against a Utah team prone to giving up big points, we jumped on the opportunity!
19-11 (63%) (+13.35 Units)
Top Rated BCS Champ. Game: 1/8: 1-0 (+2 Units)
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BCS Championship Game
Dolphin Stadium, Miami, Florida
Florida -5 / Oklahoma 8:15 ET FOX 2 Units
Florida 24 Oklahoma 14 Winner
The line, as you know, has been moving all week in favor of the Gators in what we feel is an effort to make one think twice before laying nearly a full TD (was up to 6 earlier today and is currently 5 or 5.5) to the #1 scoring team in the nation. Can't see this one being a nail biter where the line is going to come into play, so we're going to treat the line move as an equalizing tool being used by the bookmakers to deter Gator action as there has been an influx of sharp action on Florida over the past 24 hours. The overall consensus is only about 57% in Florida's favor, not enough to warrant such activity.
Florida 24 Oklahoma 14 Winner
The line, as you know, has been moving all week in favor of the Gators in what we feel is an effort to make one think twice before laying nearly a full TD (was up to 6 earlier today and is currently 5 or 5.5) to the #1 scoring team in the nation. Can't see this one being a nail biter where the line is going to come into play, so we're going to treat the line move as an equalizing tool being used by the bookmakers to deter Gator action as there has been an influx of sharp action on Florida over the past 24 hours. The overall consensus is only about 57% in Florida's favor, not enough to warrant such activity.
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Although Oklahoma has put more points on the board (54-45), the Sooners will face their toughest challenge tonight both offensively and defensively. Florida's defense is extremely fast and will greatly slow down Oklahoma's high powered offense while the Gators' offensive production should continue as usual. The Gators ranked 2nd in the country with 24 INT's (12 against top 25 teams)
Another thing worth mentioning is that 10 of Florida's opponents were ranked in the top 40 defensively while OU's average opponent's defensive ranking was 77 (out of 119) and 7 of their opp's were ranked 86th or lower. Maybe that'll answer some questions as to how the Sooners rolled like they did this year. Not taking anything away from Bob Stoops' team and the job he's done, but they're in for the fight of their lives tonight.
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Also, against Texas in their only loss of the season, Oklahoma had the ball for only 23 minutes, so good luck to them tonight if Tebow has that kind of time to wear down the Sooner defense. Once they tire, it will make the dual threat of Tebow that much more dangerous as this one can very well turn into a rout by the third quarter. Tebow has over 500 yards rushing and 12 rushing TD's himself this season to go along with his 2500 passing yards and 28 throwing TD's (only 2 INT's).
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Teams that have come to depend heavily on just offense tend to melt down in the big game. Like Florida State losing to Oklahoma in the 2001 Orange Bowl, Miami having a hard time getting going against Ohio State in the 2003 Fiesta Bowl, Troy Smith and Ohio State getting shut down cold by Florida in the 2007 BCS Championship, or Jason White and the Sooners losing to LSU in the 2004 Sugar Bowl, teams that have the defense and special teams to go along with a good offense, if not an explosive one, win. That'll be the case for Florida as the defense does just enough to give Bradford a hard time by swarming the receivers and keeping the big plays to a minimum. We expect to see a lot of what Ohio State's defense did against Colt McCoy in the Fiesta Bowl for 59+ minutes, up until the game-deciding play, by letting Bradford make his throws before blasting the receivers to force several third down chances. We expect the more complete team tonight to come away with the national championship, as is usually the case.
Bowls: 1/6: 0-1 (-1.65 Units)
GMAC Bowl
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Teams that have come to depend heavily on just offense tend to melt down in the big game. Like Florida State losing to Oklahoma in the 2001 Orange Bowl, Miami having a hard time getting going against Ohio State in the 2003 Fiesta Bowl, Troy Smith and Ohio State getting shut down cold by Florida in the 2007 BCS Championship, or Jason White and the Sooners losing to LSU in the 2004 Sugar Bowl, teams that have the defense and special teams to go along with a good offense, if not an explosive one, win. That'll be the case for Florida as the defense does just enough to give Bradford a hard time by swarming the receivers and keeping the big plays to a minimum. We expect to see a lot of what Ohio State's defense did against Colt McCoy in the Fiesta Bowl for 59+ minutes, up until the game-deciding play, by letting Bradford make his throws before blasting the receivers to force several third down chances. We expect the more complete team tonight to come away with the national championship, as is usually the case.
Bowls: 1/6: 0-1 (-1.65 Units)
GMAC Bowl
Ladd-Peebles Stadium, Mobile, Alabama
Ball State +3/ Tulsa 8:00 ET 1.5 Units
Ball State 13 Tulsa 45 Lose
Ball State 13 Tulsa 45 Lose
One can make many an argument here for the dog to cover, but sweating in a back door cover is not where we want our money. Texas will win this game and win it convincingly as they make statements regarding getting snubbed out of the Title game and Colt McCoy not winning the Heisman. Remember, you can pretty much throw out the years' stats and trends when it comes to bowl games as emotions take over this time of year. The Buckeyes have proved that they know how to lose big games like this one and we see no reason for that to change. Usually we'd be a little apprehensive in laying such a big number to a 10-2 team, but as sated, the Longhorns will be on a seek and destroy mission tonight.
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Bowls: 1/5: 0-1 (-2.2 Units)
Bowls: 1/5: 0-1 (-2.2 Units)
Fiesta Bowl
University Of Phoenix Stadium, Glendale Arizona
Texas -9 / Ohio State 8:15 ET 2 Units
Texas 24 Ohio State 21 Lose
Texas 24 Ohio State 21 Lose
One can make many an argument here for the dog to cover, but sweating in a back door cover is not where we want our money. Texas will win this game and win it convincingly as they make statements regarding getting snubbed out of the Title game and Colt McCoy not winning the Heisman. Remember, you can pretty much throw out the years' stats and trends when it comes to bowl games as emotions take over this time of year. The Buckeyes have proved that they know how to lose big games like this one and we see no reason for that to change. Usually we'd be a little apprehensive in laying such a big number to a 10-2 team, but as sated, the Longhorns will be on a seek and destroy mission tonight.
Bowls: 1/3 1-0 + 2 Units
Bowls: 1/3 1-0 + 2 Units
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International Bowl
Rogers Center, Toronto, Canada
Connecticut -6.5 / Buffalo 12:00 Noon ET 2 Units
UConn 38 Buffalo 20 Winner
UConn 38 Buffalo 20 Winner
Things aren't always as they seem. Here we have 2 teams heading in opposite directions. Buffalo, after a slow start (2-4 to start the season before winning 6 of 7 to close including a 42-24 blowout of Ball State in the MAC Championship game), is facing UConn (started the season 5-0 before going 2-5 to close). And now today, despite the obvious disparity in recent results, and the close proximity of Buffalo to the Rogers Center in Toronto (today's venue), the Huskies are nearly a TD favorite. Not too tough to spot this "easy money" opportunity as evidenced by the nearly 70% clip of Buffalo money at the windows. But wait, before you get in line for the free money, there are a few things you should know.
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The level of competition these 2 schools faced is night and day. UConn's 5 losses were at the hands of: at UNC, at Rutgers, WVA, at S Fla, and Pittsburgh. Solid defensive teams for the most part as UConn was only able to average about 12ppg in these games. Buffalo's defense is nowhere near anything that even resembles a good defense as they give up 400ypg. QB Tyler Lorenzen is back from injury and will be administering a heavy dose of RB Donald Brown on this beat down Buffalo defense and expose team for the MAC Champion flukes that they are.
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As for Buffalo putting any big offensive numbers on the board, this Huskie defense is the best they will have faced all season long, especially with the return of All-Big East corner Darius Butler. There's only so much smoke and mirrors you can get away with when facing a sound "D".
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Bowls: 1/2 1-0 (+2 Units)
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Sugar Bowl
Louisiana Superdome, New Orleans, Louisiana
Utah +9 / Alabama 8:15 ET 2 Units
Utah 31 Alabama 17 Winner
Utah 31 Alabama 17 Winner
Alabama suspended All American offensive tackle Andre Smith Monday for violating NCAA rules. Smith was in contact with an agent which is not allowed, so without Smith in the lineup tonight, Alabama's running game will suffer as a big part of backs Coffee and Ingram's 22 rushing touchdowns were the hard work of Smith in the trenches. Alabama depends heavily on the run.
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Most are expecting another Sugar Bowl blowout this year as once again, an SEC powerhouse is playing a non BCS school, but Utah is alot more balanced than Hawaii was, and the Utes have shown that they can play very well away from home against against BCS competition. Besides, Alabama does not have the offensive power that Georgia had last year. Utah should be able to keep this one close and put themselves in the position for the outright win.
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Bowls: 1/1 1-5 (-5.7 Units) [Including Free Pick]
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Outback Bowl
Outback Bowl
Raymond James Stadium, Tampa Florida
South Carolina +4.5 / Iowa 11:00 ET 1.25 Units
S. Carolina 10 Iowa 31 Lose
S. Carolina 10 Iowa 31 Lose
Steve Spurrier's Gamecocks will be in for a tough time today in coming up with a game plan to penetrate Iowa's defense as they're ranked amongst the top. One edge that should work out for South Carolina is that their center, Garrett Anderson, is left handed. Iowa's senior defensive tackle duo of Mitch King and Matt Kroul have been playing together for 7 years and neither can remember ever playing against a left handed center. What's the point? The point is that King will be colliding with Anderson since he plays on the right side, something he's not used to. Little things like this are enough to disrupt an otherwise solid defensive unit, and that may be all it takes to spark a scoring drive for SC and change the whole momentum of the game. Also note that in their last game, Iowa shut out Minnesota 55-0 which was no easy feat as it required near perfect football on defense, something that's hard to repeat. In that game Iowa had 3 take aways: 2 INT's and a fumble recovery while Minnesota had none.
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The QB situation for SC has been cleared up recently and was decided by coach Spurrier to stick with Garcia for the entire game in favor of Smelley after his poor play against Clemson (4 picks). The two had been rotating the few games prior to the Clemson game. This is a big load off Garcia's shoulders because now he doesn't have to worry about getting pulled if he throws a bad pass or two. He can play his game.
Gator Bowl
Municipal Stadium, Jacksonville, Florida
Clemson -2 / Nebraska 1:00 Et 2 Units
Clemson 21 Nebraska 26 Lose
Clemson 21 Nebraska 26 Lose
Two red hot teams coming in. Nebraska winners of 5 of it's last 6 while Clemson ended their season winning 4 of 5. The big difference here is the defense. Nebraska gave up an average of 30 over their "hot" period ending the season while the Tigers only 17. Also, Nebraska's defense gives up nearly 6ppg which Clemson should be able to take advantage of especially with their new system/coaches of late. QB Harper should have a field day today getting the ball to Spiller, Davis and Ford.
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Capital One Bowl
Citrus Bowl Stadium, Orlando, Florida
Michigan State +8.5 / Georgia 1:00 ET 1.25 Units
MSU 12 Georgia 24 Lose
MSU 12 Georgia 24 Lose
Both teams coming into this at 9-3 each having lost it's last game. Georgia was upset by in state rival Georgia Tech in a wild one 42-45 while MSU got blown out by Penn State 18-49. MSU is the healthier team coming into today's game as Georgia has lost many players to season ending injuries. MSU QB Brian Hoyers' numbers have been average but has risen to the occasion when needed this season and he has all his receivers and backs healthy including Javon Ringer who is averaging 30 carries per game and has 1600 rushing yards and 21 TD's.
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Georgia's defense has not lived up to expectations this year as they're giving up nearly 26 ppg and have only 15 take aways. This is indicative of a defense that simply is not making big plays. On the other hand, MSU's defense has only allowed 22ppg.
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When a team has won it's prior years' bowl game, especially a big win like Georgia beating previously unbeaten Hawaii, it becomes tough to recapture that emotion in their next bowl game.
Bowl favorites coming off high scoring games with both teams scoring 35+ are 0-10 ATS failing to cover by 2 TD's. This trend applied to Central Michigan this bowl season as they fell to FAU.
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Michigan State is very excited to be here and motivated to put out a good showing against a quality opponent. We feel the Spartans will make a game of it today with a legitimate shot at the upset... and the price is right with the public betting this one all the way up to 8.5 from the opener of 6.
Rose Bowl
Rose Bowl Stadium, Pasadena, California
Rose Bowl Stadium, Pasadena, California
Penn State +9.5/ USC 5:00 ET 1.5 Units
PSU 24 USC 38 Lose
PSU 24 USC 38 Lose
USC playing in their 4th straight Rose Bowl and have appeared in a BCS game in each of the last seven seasons. Penn State holds the second highest bowl winning percentage at .675. Coach Paterno has the most bowl wins at 23 and appearances at 35, so although USC is playing in their domain, coaching will play a big part today and Penn State has the edge there. We feel this game will be a tightly played one and can't justify the lay here other than the venue which Penn State will use to it's advantage as well as the sheer adrenaline that comes with playing in the Rose Bowl will carry this well coached, experienced unit. In fact, playing at home may actually hurt the Trojans as there's nothing to get excited about: it's just another Rose Bowl appearance.
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Orange Bowl
Dolphin Stadium, Miami, Florida
Dolphin Stadium, Miami, Florida
Virginia Tech +2.5 / Cincinnati 8:15 ET 2 Units
(Buy to +3 -120)
Virginia Tech 20 Cincinnati 7 Winner
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Over 41 / Va Tech / Cincinnati 8:15 ET 1 Units (Free pick to all)
Virginia Tech 20 Cincinnati 7 Lose
Bowls: 12/31 1-1 (+0.9/Unit) [Including Free Pick]
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Sun Bowl (Today's free pick to all)
Bowls Saturday 12/27 2-1 +1.85 Units
Friday 12/26: 1-0 +2 Units
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Motor City Bowl: FAU - Central Michigan: 12/26
FAU +7 / Central Michigan 7:30 ET 2 Units
FAU 24 Central Michigan 21 Winner
Both teams tonight finished the season in games with 100+ points scoring with the Owls winning in OT 57-50 over Florida International giving them their 6th win making them bowl eligible while the Chippewas lost to Eastern Michigan 52-56 as 10 point favorites. 5 of FAU's 6 wins came in their last 6 games while CMU lost it's last 2 after winning 6 in a row so momentum is with the Owls as is a solid coaching record in bowl season. Howard Schnellenberger is 5-0 SU & ATS in bowl games dating back to 1983 when he coached Miami to a 31-30 upset of Nebraska in the Orange Bowl so he knows how to prepare a team this time of the year.
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Wednesday 12/24: 1-0 +2 Units
(Buy to +3 -120)
Virginia Tech 20 Cincinnati 7 Winner
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Over 41 / Va Tech / Cincinnati 8:15 ET 1 Units (Free pick to all)
Virginia Tech 20 Cincinnati 7 Lose
Bowls: 12/31 1-1 (+0.9/Unit) [Including Free Pick]
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Sun Bowl (Today's free pick to all)
Sun Bowl Stadium, El Paso, Texas
Over 51 Pittsburgh / Oregon State 2:00 ET 1 Unit (Free pick to all)
Pittsburgh 0 Oregon State 3 Lose
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Pittsburgh 0 Oregon State 3 Lose
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Music City Bowl
LP Field, Nashville, Tennessee
Vandy +5 / Boston College 3:30 ET 2 Units
Vandy 16 BC 14 Winner
Vandy 16 BC 14 Winner
This is Vandy's first bowl appearance in 26 years and their fourth time in school history. Here's what coach Bobby Johnson had to say: "I'm excited, our staff is excited and our players are excited about getting a chance to experience a bowl game. Getting to play in the Gaylord Music City Bowl is a fantastic reward for this football team and Vanderbilt University."
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Vandy seemed like a shoe in for a bowl game after their 5-0 start to the season but collapsed in the second half losing 6 of their last 7 to wind up 6-6. The good news however for the Commodores is that they can behind them as they are given the chance today to go out and win their school's 2nd ever bowl game
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Georgia Tech also finished the season an a losing note although not as bad as Vandy, losing in the ACC Title game to Virginia Tech 12-30. This can be attributed to the poor play of QB Dominique Davis who turned the ball over 3 times. Davis took over for senior Chris Crane who broke his collar bone in late November while playing Wake Forest. In five appearances this season, Davis has completed only 47% of his pass attempts for 551 yards, with four touchdowns and two picks.
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Here's a trend supporting the fact that since BC was offensively challenged down the stretch, they are overprice here: Bowl teams not a dog of more than 2 points (BC) with 14+ days rest off a SU loss scoring less than 29 points in its last game, a SU win scoring less than 29 points in its game before that and have scored less than 29 points in each of its 2 games before that are 0-14 ATS since at least 1980, failing to cover the spread by 10 ppg on average.
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Also, SEC dogs of 2+ points with less than 36 days rest have been solid throughout the years: 10-0 ATS since 1980 covering by 19ppg.
Chick-Fil-A Bowl
Georgia Dome, Atlanta, Georgia
Georgia Tech -4 / LSU 7:30 ET 2 Units
Georgia Tech 3 LSU 38 Lose
Georgia Tech 3 LSU 38 Lose
Les Miles' team had a real rough go of it stretch losing 4 of it's last 6 SU (0-6 ATS0. In fact, the Tigers have only covered twice this season. Not where we want our money. Whenever there is such a disparity in SU & ATS records, it's usually an indication of the linemaker over pricing a team which is clearly the case here. After winning the National Title last year by beating Ohio State, LSU's stock rose and people continue to back them regardless of the price which is why you can now get Georgia Tech today at such a bargain. Don't read too far into LSU's 3-0 SU & ATS Bowl record under Les Miles. That was then and this is now. The fact is that LSU's defensive coordinators Mallory and Pevoto did not do a good job this year and have been interviewing for other jobs since the end of the regular season instead of focusing on their teams bowl game 100%, especially since they'll be facing the offense of Paul Johnson so there's going to be looks they're not used to (Johnson coached the triple option).
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Also, it says alot for Georgia Tech to have gone 8-2 ATS despite turning the ball over like they have this season (fumbled 33 times losing 18 of them). If the Yellow Jackets protect the ball today this very well might be a blowout early.
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Tuesday Bowl Games: 12/30: 2-1 (+1.65 Units)
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Humanitarian Bowl
Bronco Stadium, Boise Idaho
Bronco Stadium, Boise Idaho
Maryland +3 / Nevada 4:30 ET 1.5 Units
Maryland 42 Nevada 35 Winner
(If you have +2.5 it is recommended to buy up to +3 -120)
At a glance, it may seem as if we're going against our "not happy to be here" angle as we've cashed in on several bowl games by going against teams who not thrilled about the bowl game they got and were playing teams who were highly motivated. Our most recent win using this thinking was last night's Alamo Bowl as Northwestern nearly upset the heavily favored Tigers whose run at a national title shot unravelled midway through the season and came into last night's game a bit disappointed.
Maryland 42 Nevada 35 Winner
(If you have +2.5 it is recommended to buy up to +3 -120)
At a glance, it may seem as if we're going against our "not happy to be here" angle as we've cashed in on several bowl games by going against teams who not thrilled about the bowl game they got and were playing teams who were highly motivated. Our most recent win using this thinking was last night's Alamo Bowl as Northwestern nearly upset the heavily favored Tigers whose run at a national title shot unravelled midway through the season and came into last night's game a bit disappointed.
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Although the same may hold true today for Maryland as they finished the season losing 3 of 4 leaving them 7-5 and limping into the bowl season instead of 9-3 and playing in a much better bowl, there are some differences. First, the Terps lost last year in the Emerald Bowl to Oregon 14-21 ending their 3 game bowl winning streak. This is a program that is used to winning in the post season as they've won 6 of their last 8 bowls. So the motivation is still there in a big wat for the Terps as they certainly on't want to d their 2008 campaign on a three game skid.
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Maryland opened up the season winning 4 of it's first 5 including wins over California and at Clemson, both were ranked at the time. But the next week the Terps fell hard getting shutout a Virginia 0-31 as 13 point chalk. Perhaps you can attribute that loss to a letdown after beating a very good Clemson team on the road as 11 point dogs because they came right back the following week and shutout Wake Forest 26-0.
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While the Wolf Pack finished with the same 7-5 mark, their advantage lies in the fact that they finished stronger winning 3 of it's last 4 but there's no doubt they had the easier schedule as they were dogs only 4 times while laying point 7 times and hefty 2 to 3 TD spreads 4 times (and they lost to New Mexico State as 19.5 favorites). We like that we're playing on the team who had the tougher schedule and are now getting points. That is where the value lies and in this case, the game opened at Nev -1 and has been bet all the way to -3.
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There also are a couple of solid trends supporting today's play on Maryland: First, bowl teams not favored by more than 7 points (MD) with less than 40 days rest playing an opponent (Nev) that played in a Conference Championship game and not off a SU win of more than 9 points are 10-0 ATS covering by more than 16ppg.
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And WAC bowl favorites of more than 1 point not off 8 SU wins are 0-10 ATS over the past 20 seasons failing to cover by 16ppg. This trend was active in the New Mexico Bowl as Fresno State lost to Colorado State 21-24 (an early bowl winner for us).
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There also are a couple of solid trends supporting today's play on Maryland: First, bowl teams not favored by more than 7 points (MD) with less than 40 days rest playing an opponent (Nev) that played in a Conference Championship game and not off a SU win of more than 9 points are 10-0 ATS covering by more than 16ppg.
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And WAC bowl favorites of more than 1 point not off 8 SU wins are 0-10 ATS over the past 20 seasons failing to cover by 16ppg. This trend was active in the New Mexico Bowl as Fresno State lost to Colorado State 21-24 (an early bowl winner for us).
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Texas Bowl
Reliant Stadium, Houston, Texas
Western Michigan +3 / Rice 8:00 ET 1.5 Units
(Buy to +3 -120 if you have +2.5)
WMU 14 Rice 38 Lose
WMU 14 Rice 38 Lose
Two 9-3 teams meet tonight in the Texas Bowl. Big difference in motivation in this one as the more excited team is Western Michigan. Rice is playing close to do not have the "get away" to look forward to. And the fact that WM is heading down south to a city like Houston where most of these kids have never been and the weather is a far cry from the frigid north. Here's what WM head coach Bill Cubit had to say:
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"We've been to West Virginia, Missouri, Florida State, Iowa, Virginia. That's the way it is in our (league). I think, coming down here, what I like about it is the ticket sales that they've done so far. It should be a great crowd, and we know there's going to be a lot of the Rice crowd, but at the same time, that's just what we're used to. So I think the venue, for us, is a lot more important than having to be the so-called visiting team coming down here."
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"We've been to West Virginia, Missouri, Florida State, Iowa, Virginia. That's the way it is in our (league). I think, coming down here, what I like about it is the ticket sales that they've done so far. It should be a great crowd, and we know there's going to be a lot of the Rice crowd, but at the same time, that's just what we're used to. So I think the venue, for us, is a lot more important than having to be the so-called visiting team coming down here."
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This is only the 4th bowl appearance for the Broncos and their 2nd straight as they lost a tough one last year to Cincinnati in the International Bowl 24-27. After opening their season by getting beat soundly at Nebraska (to be expected), WM went on a run of 6 straight wins rolling over the competition. Then they suffered another loss, this time to Central Michigan in week 8 but went on to finish out the season winning another 3 of 4 including upset of Illinois 23-17 as 18 point dogs.
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Western Michigan's success on offense this season is due to their big passing attack. They've averaged over 300 yards per game (10th in the nation). Overall the Broncos gained an average of 423 yards and 30 ppg this season. At the helm is QB Tim Hiller who threw for over 3500 yards and 34 TD's while completing 67% of his es. And in the backfield is TB Brandon West who rushed for nearly 1000 yards and scored 8 TD's. Although WM has been knocked around defensively on paper giving up almost 400 ypg, they still only gave up 24 ppg so they've found a way to get key stops.
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MAC bowl teams not a dog of more than 4 points are 8-0 SU & ATS vs C-USA teams covering by 2 TD's a game. And, bowl favorites of 1.5 to 3.5 with 24+ days rest off a home underdog SU win (Rice) are 0-11 ATS since 1980.
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MAC bowl teams not a dog of more than 4 points are 8-0 SU & ATS vs C-USA teams covering by 2 TD's a game. And, bowl favorites of 1.5 to 3.5 with 24+ days rest off a home underdog SU win (Rice) are 0-11 ATS since 1980.
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Holiday Bowl
QualcommStadium, San Diego, California
QualcommStadium, San Diego, California
Oregon +1 / Oklahoma State 8:00 ET 1.5 Units
Oregon 42 Oklahoma St 31 Winner
Oregon 42 Oklahoma St 31 Winner
Should be alot of scoring in this one as these 2 high powered offenses meet but the difference here will be who stops whom the most. We feel Oregon's defense matches up with Oklahoma's offense much better than the other way around. The Cowboys lack the pass rushers needed to force quick decisions, so given the time, Oregon QB Jeremiah Masoli will have no problem moving the offense down the field at will. Another deciding factor will be special teams' play and we feel Oregon will excel there as well. As for defense, Oklahoma State has given up 27ppg and almost 400 ypg and 27 TD's while only having 11 INT's. The Cowboys also give up 3rd down conversions at a 40% clip.
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Bowls Monday, 12/29 2-0 + 3 Units
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Alamo Bowl
Alamo Dome, San Antonio, Texas
Northwestern +12 / Missouri 8:00 ET 1.5 Units
Northwestern 23 Missouri 30 Winner
Northwestern 23 Missouri 30 Winner
Here's another case of one team excited to be here while the other is disappointed. Missouri had national title aspirations at the beginning of the season and actually lived up to their expectations early on as they started the season out 5-0 just rolling over the competition by an average score of 53-20. But in weeks' 7 & 8 , the Tigers lost back to back games to Oklahoma State (23-28 as 2 TD chalk) and at Texas (31-56 as slight underdogs). Missouri bounced back after the loss in Texas and went on another 4 game tear as 3 TD chalk in each of those 4 games, but were only 2-2 ATS so already it was evident that this was an overpriced team and as is usually the case, the linemaker is slow adjusting. On the last game of the regular season, the once again heavily favored Tigers (-16) fell to Kansas 37-40. They did wind up winning the Big 12 North but got pasted in the Title game by Oklahoma 12-62 and so it went for any big plans for Gary Pinkel's team in the bowl season.
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On the other hand, the Wildcats under the direction head coach Pat Fitzgerald for the 3rd season are thrilled for this opportunity as evidenced by Fitzgerald's comments on their bowl game: "We're extremely proud of our football team, which enjoyed one of the best regular seasons in Northwestern history." This coming from not only a head coach but a star linebacker at Northwestern of years past. The Wildcats haven't won a bowl game since 1949 so there is no shortage on motivation.
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Northwestern finished strong winning their last two games convincingly (21-14 at Michigan and at home 27-10 against Illinois) they were 3 point dogs in each contest. They also have a few other solid wins on their resume this season like the upset at Iowa (22-17) as9.5 point dogs and at Minnesota (24-17) as 7.5 point dogs so playing the role of underdog doesn't seem to intimidate them.
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One solid factor working for Northwestern here is the fact that Missouri's defense has been on the field for an average of over 34:00 per game, so they've put in some overtime this season which does take it's toll. The Wildcats led the Big 10 this season with sacks (33) which can be attributed to the coaching of defensive coordinator Mike Hankwitz who has his unit attacking on every play. Hankwitz was Colorado's DC in 2004 - 2005 and in 2 games against the Tigers back then, Colorado held them to a total of 25 points. If Northwestern can keep Missouri's defense on the field with long, time consuming drives, they stand a real good shot at the upset. NW is only allowing 19ppg and 340 total ypg (128 rushing on 3.6 ypc) and the pass defense has only allowed 11 TD's this season.
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Also, off the field, Missouri is dealing with some coaching changes and seniors leaving. These are distractions that can't help to get ready to play in your bowl game, especially when it's one, as stated earlier, you're disappointed to be in. Meanwhile, Northwestern's players and coaches arrived in Texas several days ago dressed in suits and ties and with an air about them as if to say "we've arrived and we're going to win."
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Again, this is another bowl which qualifies to play against the team coming off of the big bowl win the previous year (Missouri routed Arkansas in the Cotton Bowl last year). The same stat as mentioned in our earlier play on NC State which states: Bowl favorites of more than 4 points with less than 29 days rest off a conference championship SU loss (not as a favorite of 20+ points) are 0-8 ATS, failing to cover the spread by an average of 13ppg.
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One last note: NW is 3-0 SU & ATS as a dog away from home this season while Missouri is 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games away from home while not favored by more than 28. And despite the public betting the Tigers at a 2 to 1 clip, the line isn't budging. In fact if anything, it's dropping which indicates "sharp" action coming in on the dog as the linemaker has still not adjusted.
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Papa John's Bowl
Legion Field Birmingham, Alabama
Legion Field Birmingham, Alabama
NC State +6.5 / Rutgers 3:00 ET 1.5 Units
(Buy up to +7 -120 for value purposes)
NC State 23 Rutgers 29 Winner
NC State 23 Rutgers 29 Winner
Two teams here that were pretty much left for dead half way through the season. Rutgers is riding a 6 game winning streak SU and has covered 7 of it's last 8 while the Wolfpack has won 4 straight SU and covered 7 in a row. This is NC State's first bowl game under coach Tom O'Brien (2nd year) and the teams first since 2005 when the beat South Florida for their 3rd straight Bowl win. At Boston College, coach O'Brien won his last 6 bowl games. Not a bad resume for a team getting a touchdown.
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NC State we feel is the more motivated team here. As stated, they haven't been to the post season since 2005 which means this is all new to most of the team. Coach O'Brien summed up his teams' emotion on playing in this game: "We are honored to have been invited to compete in the Papa John's .com Bowl and feel that it is an excellent way to end an exciting season for NC State. Our football team has worked extremely hard to earn a chance to play in this game."
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NC State QB Russell Wilson earned rookie of the year honors by throwing for 16 TD's vs only 1 INT in 252 tries and rushing for 342 yards and 4 scores himself. Another big offensive weapon for the Wolfpack is tailback Andre Brown who can do it all. He rushed for over 700 yards and 6 TD's while catching 28 balls for over 300 yards and 2 more TD's. On defense, NC State has given up 26 ppg and almost 400 ypg, but it also has forced 27 turnovers including 17 INT's. The unit has improved down the stretch and the time off after the regular season has done wonders for the Wolfpack as it has just about it's whole team back and healthy, including linebacker Nate Irving.
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Also, NC State played a much tougher schedule than Rutgers as they were underdogs in every lined game this season which means they upset 5 favorites. This fact supports a solid trend: December bowl teams with 5 season underdog SU wins and 27+ days rest are 6-0 ATS, winning 5 of the 6 games outright.
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NC State we feel is the more motivated team here. As stated, they haven't been to the post season since 2005 which means this is all new to most of the team. Coach O'Brien summed up his teams' emotion on playing in this game: "We are honored to have been invited to compete in the Papa John's .com Bowl and feel that it is an excellent way to end an exciting season for NC State. Our football team has worked extremely hard to earn a chance to play in this game."
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NC State QB Russell Wilson earned rookie of the year honors by throwing for 16 TD's vs only 1 INT in 252 tries and rushing for 342 yards and 4 scores himself. Another big offensive weapon for the Wolfpack is tailback Andre Brown who can do it all. He rushed for over 700 yards and 6 TD's while catching 28 balls for over 300 yards and 2 more TD's. On defense, NC State has given up 26 ppg and almost 400 ypg, but it also has forced 27 turnovers including 17 INT's. The unit has improved down the stretch and the time off after the regular season has done wonders for the Wolfpack as it has just about it's whole team back and healthy, including linebacker Nate Irving.
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Also, NC State played a much tougher schedule than Rutgers as they were underdogs in every lined game this season which means they upset 5 favorites. This fact supports a solid trend: December bowl teams with 5 season underdog SU wins and 27+ days rest are 6-0 ATS, winning 5 of the 6 games outright.
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And it also helps that Rutgers won it's bowl game last year in a big way beating Ball State 52-30. Historically, teams winning their prior years' bowl game by a wide margin have faltered the next time around. Since 2003, bowl favorites of more than 6 points that won their last bowl game and not off 4 favorite SU wins vs. an opponent not off a conference road favorite SU win & ATS loss are 0-20 ATS failing to cover by 10+ ppg. This trend was active this past Saturday when California failed to cover vs Miami (Fl) (a Top Rated Winner for us). We attribute this trend to the fact that teams with recent big bowl wins are "Fat and Happy" having expeienced the thrill of not only playing in a big bowl game but winning it in big fashioon so the current game loses it's luster for them.
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Again, just as in our Motor City Bowl win with FAU over Central Michigan, we'll side with the more experienced bowl coach with a healthy, highly motivated team.
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Bowls Saturday 12/27 2-1 +1.85 Units
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Meineke Car Care Bowl
North Carolina +2 / West Virginia 1:00 ET 1.5 Units
North Carolina 30 West Virginia 31 Winner
Two teams with identical 8-4 records but are worlds apart otherwise. UNC is thrilled to be here as they're in the midst of building their program. Head coach Butch Davis summed it up saying..."We wanted to play in meaningful games, games that were important. We wanted to play on national TV. We wanted to play when the blimp was in the air. There were a lot of things that we were able to accomplish this year and going to a bowl game is certainly one of those steps along the journey of trying to build the program."
North Carolina +2 / West Virginia 1:00 ET 1.5 Units
North Carolina 30 West Virginia 31 Winner
Two teams with identical 8-4 records but are worlds apart otherwise. UNC is thrilled to be here as they're in the midst of building their program. Head coach Butch Davis summed it up saying..."We wanted to play in meaningful games, games that were important. We wanted to play on national TV. We wanted to play when the blimp was in the air. There were a lot of things that we were able to accomplish this year and going to a bowl game is certainly one of those steps along the journey of trying to build the program."
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On the other hand, the Mountaineers can't help but feel that they are just settling for this game. This is a program that's gotten accustomed to New Years' day bowls so they can't help but to feel disappointment. Remember, in bowl season you can pretty much throw out stats and trends and past performances as emotion becomes the the biggest factor in deciding these games and North Carolina holds a huge edge there.
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One of WV's biggest problems this year was the changing of coaches and with it the basics of their system. When Bill Stewart replaced Rich Rodriguez, with it came getting away from being primarily a running team to relying on trickery which we all know is not the basis for sound football. It is also to be noted that North Carolina, although only 8-4, very easily could have been 11-1 as three of their losses were by a combined 8 points: 17-20 (Va. Tech), 13-16 (at Virginia), and 15-17 (Maryland).
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Although this is the last game for one of the NCAA's great athletes Pat White, we give the overall edge to the Tar Heels who we feel possess the bigger and better overall team and a big coaching advantage. Butch Davis has never lost a bowl game.
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Champs Sports Bowl
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Champs Sports Bowl
Wisconsin +6 / Florida State 4:30 ET 1.5 Units
Wisconsin 6 FSU 42 Lose
Wisconsin 6 FSU 42 Lose
Momentum clearly on the side of the Badgers in this one as Wisconsin closed the season winning it's last 3 and 4 of it's last 5 (the only loss in that span was 24-25 at Michigan St on 11/1). FSU on the other lost 3 of 5 down the stretch with a couple of real clunkers: 17-27 at home to BC (as TD favorites) and the 'Noles got buried at home against the Gators in the last game of the season 15-45. Not a good game to catapult into the bowl season with.
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Although Wisconsin has been winning with the ground game, they must be successful through the air if they are to win this game as FSU will be ready for their running game. When tested late in the season with defenses loading up against Wisconsin and putting QB Sherer under pressure, he handled it very well and we're looking for more of the same today.
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FSU on offense is a little banged up with WR Preston Parker injuring his leg in the season finale against Florida and FB Seddrick Holloway & WR's Owens & Easterling have alsobeen nursing injuries, so we don't expect the same potency from the Seminole's on offense which will enable the Badgers to remain within striking distance throughout the game.
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Also, in this game we like the fa that the excitement of travelling has been taken away from FSU, while Wisconsin gets to travel to the mild climate of Florida. As we've said before, teams get extra motivated when they get to travel.
Emerald Bowl
Miami (Fl) +10 / California 8:00 ET 2 Units
Miami 17 California 24 Winner
Here's another case of a bowl team playing close to home. Please don't misunderstand, we aren't saying to simply play against every "home" bowl team, but if other factors along with this apply, it makes it that much stronger. Miami will be looking to turn in another big effort on defense. This young unit has held 7 opponents to under 100 yards rushing this season and we feel they'll be able to handle the young receiving corps of California who haven't been consistent. Another issue is that of the QB situation in Miami. QB Marve is out due to academics so Harris will be taking the snaps, but we feel he's the better of the two for this game anyway so the added line value here is an unwarranted bonus.
Miami 17 California 24 Winner
Here's another case of a bowl team playing close to home. Please don't misunderstand, we aren't saying to simply play against every "home" bowl team, but if other factors along with this apply, it makes it that much stronger. Miami will be looking to turn in another big effort on defense. This young unit has held 7 opponents to under 100 yards rushing this season and we feel they'll be able to handle the young receiving corps of California who haven't been consistent. Another issue is that of the QB situation in Miami. QB Marve is out due to academics so Harris will be taking the snaps, but we feel he's the better of the two for this game anyway so the added line value here is an unwarranted bonus.
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Friday 12/26: 1-0 +2 Units
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Motor City Bowl: FAU - Central Michigan: 12/26
FAU +7 / Central Michigan 7:30 ET 2 Units
FAU 24 Central Michigan 21 Winner
Both teams tonight finished the season in games with 100+ points scoring with the Owls winning in OT 57-50 over Florida International giving them their 6th win making them bowl eligible while the Chippewas lost to Eastern Michigan 52-56 as 10 point favorites. 5 of FAU's 6 wins came in their last 6 games while CMU lost it's last 2 after winning 6 in a row so momentum is with the Owls as is a solid coaching record in bowl season. Howard Schnellenberger is 5-0 SU & ATS in bowl games dating back to 1983 when he coached Miami to a 31-30 upset of Nebraska in the Orange Bowl so he knows how to prepare a team this time of the year.
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Although FAU gave up 29 ppg this season, their biggest problem was stopping the run. Central Michigan relies heavily on the pass and have a relatively weak running game so that's somewhat good news for the Owls. Meanwhile, FAU should have no problem matching points tonight with CMU as they have averaged 30ppg and the Chips have given up 31.
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Don't give too much weight to the fact that Central Michigan is playing near home as this often works against a bowl team. There is no "thrill" of a trip to a big city to get excited about so the affair often turns into just another game where as the visitors hold the edge in motivation.
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We really can't see the reasoning in making CMU a touchdown favorite. The value lies in the dog who should have a legitimate shot at the "upset".
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We really can't see the reasoning in making CMU a touchdown favorite. The value lies in the dog who should have a legitimate shot at the "upset".
Wednesday 12/24: 1-0 +2 Units
Hawaii Bowl: Notre Dame - Hawaii: 12/24
Notre Dame -2 / Hawaii 8:00 ET 2 Units
Notre Dame 49 Hawaii 21 Winner
Strange line disparities here as there is an existing "middle" situation of a point and a half currently out there for the taking. As of this writing (2:00 ET), the line on the strip in Vegas is as low as Hawaii -1 (LV Hilton) with most sportsbooks hanging 1.5 & 2's, while offshore is a solid 2.5 although there are some 2's out there. So for the sharps looking to "scalp", holding a ND -1 (-110) position and a Hawaii +3 (buy +.5 -120) position may be worth the shot. This is not our recommendation. The reason we bring it up is because it even exists. It's very rare to have this type of opportunity available in real time. Some professional bettors make a living at playing middles but their positions are earned, not just "handed" to them. They must speculate which way a line is going to move and bet the early number accordingly while sitting back and waiting for the line to reach their "buy back" point and then they step in and play the other way and wind up with anywhere from a point and a half to a 3 point middle. (This is very similar practice to day trading stocks where they're just interested in a small percentage return on their overall monies out into action).
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What this situation is telling us is that Vegas can't stand any more Hawaii work and are begging for Irish action because of the amount of holiday tourists flooding the city from Hawaii. Vegas is a very popular get away spot for people from Hawaii around the Holidays. And the reason offshore hasn't budged is because they don't have to. What really stands out to us is the fact that this line opened at Hawaii -2 and han now moved 4+ points in Notre Dames favor despite the recent play of both teams. The Irish opened the season 5-2 with their only losses coming on the road as touchdown plus dogs at Michigan State and at North Carlina. However, after beating Washington 33-7 in week 7 (10/25), Notre Dame went on to lose 4 of it's last 5 to teams they easily could have beat (with exception to USC in their final game). They were shut out at Boston College 0-17 and were humiliated in front of their fans at home by losing to lowly Syracuse 23-24 as nearly 3 TD chalk on 11/22.
Notre Dame -2 / Hawaii 8:00 ET 2 Units
Notre Dame 49 Hawaii 21 Winner
Strange line disparities here as there is an existing "middle" situation of a point and a half currently out there for the taking. As of this writing (2:00 ET), the line on the strip in Vegas is as low as Hawaii -1 (LV Hilton) with most sportsbooks hanging 1.5 & 2's, while offshore is a solid 2.5 although there are some 2's out there. So for the sharps looking to "scalp", holding a ND -1 (-110) position and a Hawaii +3 (buy +.5 -120) position may be worth the shot. This is not our recommendation. The reason we bring it up is because it even exists. It's very rare to have this type of opportunity available in real time. Some professional bettors make a living at playing middles but their positions are earned, not just "handed" to them. They must speculate which way a line is going to move and bet the early number accordingly while sitting back and waiting for the line to reach their "buy back" point and then they step in and play the other way and wind up with anywhere from a point and a half to a 3 point middle. (This is very similar practice to day trading stocks where they're just interested in a small percentage return on their overall monies out into action).
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What this situation is telling us is that Vegas can't stand any more Hawaii work and are begging for Irish action because of the amount of holiday tourists flooding the city from Hawaii. Vegas is a very popular get away spot for people from Hawaii around the Holidays. And the reason offshore hasn't budged is because they don't have to. What really stands out to us is the fact that this line opened at Hawaii -2 and han now moved 4+ points in Notre Dames favor despite the recent play of both teams. The Irish opened the season 5-2 with their only losses coming on the road as touchdown plus dogs at Michigan State and at North Carlina. However, after beating Washington 33-7 in week 7 (10/25), Notre Dame went on to lose 4 of it's last 5 to teams they easily could have beat (with exception to USC in their final game). They were shut out at Boston College 0-17 and were humiliated in front of their fans at home by losing to lowly Syracuse 23-24 as nearly 3 TD chalk on 11/22.
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Meanwhile, Hawaii did just about the opposite as they started out terrible losing 3 of their first 4 before going 6-3 over their last 9 to finish 7-6. Also remember that in Hawaii's last game they nearly upset Cincinnati but blew a big lead and fell short 24-29 getting the easy cover. (A 2 Unit Top Rated Win for us back on 12/6) So to see on paper that Hawaii almost beat an Orange Bowl Bound team isn't the same as what you need to understand reading into that game. Here's a portion of our write-up on that game. You'll see that we took Hawaii there because we felt strongly Cincy would be flat. Here's part of what we said
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...."We're looking to catch the Bearcats on the downhill slide of Emotional Mountain. This is a team absolutely drained both physically & emotionally having gone undefeated at home this season as they beat Syracuse 30-10 last week and they won the Big East Conference Title earning them an automatic bid to a BCS bowl for the first time in their school's history. Cincinnati is now fat and happy having accomplished everything they set out for at the beginning of the season and now find themselves travelling to the Hawaiian Islands for a well deserved vacation...... uh uh I mean for a meaningless football game....."
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...."We're looking to catch the Bearcats on the downhill slide of Emotional Mountain. This is a team absolutely drained both physically & emotionally having gone undefeated at home this season as they beat Syracuse 30-10 last week and they won the Big East Conference Title earning them an automatic bid to a BCS bowl for the first time in their school's history. Cincinnati is now fat and happy having accomplished everything they set out for at the beginning of the season and now find themselves travelling to the Hawaiian Islands for a well deserved vacation...... uh uh I mean for a meaningless football game....."
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So now that we have 2 teams heading in what seems opposite directions yet the number is moving in the opposite direction leads us to believe even more that we're on the right side. Much of Notre Dame's ineptness down the stretch can be attributed to the loss of WR Michael Floyd to a knee injury. He's due to return today. Without Floyd, the ND passing game went for just 147 yard per game and with him 259 ypg. Also, in fairness to the Irish, 3 of their 6 losses were by 4 points or less. Now they are looking for their first bowl win since 1994 having lost their last 9, so there's plenty of motivation for Notre Dame. There is also added pressure on Coach Weiss as he has announced early this week that he (Weiss) will be calling the offensive plays tonight instead of offensive coordinator Haywood. Weiss has been calling the offense for the last 3 games now (since the Navy game), citing his decision was because af Coach Haywood missing a practice that week due to attending a cousin's funeral. But looking at the whole picture reveals a possible underlying motive: the 2 games prior to this move, ND lost to Pittsburgh (33-36) and at BC (0-17). Kinda looks like finger pointing if you ask me after getting shutout. So Weiss takes over the job, beats Navy and then what...? ...Loses back to back to Syracuse and USC. You can't count the USC loss as it was to be expected but the fact that they only scored 3 in that game and the fact that they lost to Syracuse outright and the fact that Charlie Weiss is still insistent on running the offense puts him right in the hot seat. You can rest assured that he knows what he's doing and is very prepared for this game and will come away with the victory.
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Tuesday 12/23: 1-0 +2 Units
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Poinsettia Bowl TCU - Boise State: Boise State +3.5 / TCU 8:00 ET 2 Units
Boise State 16 TCU 17 Winner
This line opened at a pick which we feel was a true number. Now it's TCU -3.5. This is an unjustified move. Boise is an undefeated team with a great defense that can stop the run. Remember, bowl games are not like regular season games as there are many variables that simply cannot be factored into the line. This is Ian Johson's last game in a Boise State uniform and he will be more pumped up than ever which will cause his teammates to feed off of his emotion. Johnson is the heart and soul of this team and is capable of single handily propelling his team to a victory. And you know these kids read the newspaper and know what the line is, so to see that they're getting no respect from the oddsmakers will only add to an already pumped up Bronco's team..And for all those playing the "revenge" angle as Boise beat TCU in their bowl game back in 2003 (five years to the day in fact) 34-31, the Horned Frogs are 0-5 ATS as a favorite seeking revenge for a straight up loss in the last 10 seasons failing to cover by 17+ ppg while Boise State is 6-0 ATS (+12 ppg) as a dog with 6+ days of rest against an opponent seeking revenge. .
Also, as for strength of schedule results this year, Boise was 6-0 SU & 4-1-1 ATS vs Bowl teams while TCU was just 3-2 SU & 2-3 ATS. .
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Bowls: Saturday12/20: 4-0 (+6 Units)
Eagle Bank Bowl
Wake Forest -2.5 / Navy 11:00 ET 1.5 Units
Wake Forest 29 Navy 19 Winner
Navy caught Wake Forest in a tough spot earlier this season at WF and beat them 24-17. Wake had just played at Florida State beating the Seminoles 12-3 and were looking ahead to Clemson the following week )who they wound up beating as well 12-7. The Midshipmen took advantage and got their payback for last season's loss at home (24-44) to the Demon Deacons. The game got out of hand early with Riley Skinner turning the ball over 5 times (4 picks and a fumble). This was very uncharacteristic of Skinner as before this game he hadn't thrown an INT in 133 passes. Another uncharacteristic feat was Navy pitching 2 shutouts on the road to end the season: 16-0 @ No. Illinois and 34-0 @ Army. Remember, what goes up must come down so we look for things to get back to normal and for Riley Skinner to throw as many TD's today than he had INT's in these team's last game.
New Mexico Bowl
Colorado State +3 / Fresno State 2:30 ET 1.5 Units
Colorado State 40 Fresno State 35 Winner
Fresno State had high hopes this year to get to a BCS bowl but wound up with a mediocre season and now have to settle for a pre Christmas Bowl against a 6-6 Colorado State team. The turning point of Fresno's season had to have been their loss to Hawaii in OT as 21 point favorites. They never did recover. At one point, they went on to lose ATS 9 in a row, 5 after their Hawaii loss. So to say the Bulldogs are disappointed is an understatement while the Rams couldn't be more excited to have got a bowl bid period. Remember, bowl season has to be approached totally different than the regular season. Emotions play a big part this time of year and alot of times, the team with the most enthusiasm gets the win regardless of how it looks on paper.
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Eagle Bank Bowl
Wake Forest -2.5 / Navy 11:00 ET 1.5 Units
Wake Forest 29 Navy 19 Winner
Navy caught Wake Forest in a tough spot earlier this season at WF and beat them 24-17. Wake had just played at Florida State beating the Seminoles 12-3 and were looking ahead to Clemson the following week )who they wound up beating as well 12-7. The Midshipmen took advantage and got their payback for last season's loss at home (24-44) to the Demon Deacons. The game got out of hand early with Riley Skinner turning the ball over 5 times (4 picks and a fumble). This was very uncharacteristic of Skinner as before this game he hadn't thrown an INT in 133 passes. Another uncharacteristic feat was Navy pitching 2 shutouts on the road to end the season: 16-0 @ No. Illinois and 34-0 @ Army. Remember, what goes up must come down so we look for things to get back to normal and for Riley Skinner to throw as many TD's today than he had INT's in these team's last game.
New Mexico Bowl
Colorado State +3 / Fresno State 2:30 ET 1.5 Units
Colorado State 40 Fresno State 35 Winner
Fresno State had high hopes this year to get to a BCS bowl but wound up with a mediocre season and now have to settle for a pre Christmas Bowl against a 6-6 Colorado State team. The turning point of Fresno's season had to have been their loss to Hawaii in OT as 21 point favorites. They never did recover. At one point, they went on to lose ATS 9 in a row, 5 after their Hawaii loss. So to say the Bulldogs are disappointed is an understatement while the Rams couldn't be more excited to have got a bowl bid period. Remember, bowl season has to be approached totally different than the regular season. Emotions play a big part this time of year and alot of times, the team with the most enthusiasm gets the win regardless of how it looks on paper.
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St Petersberg Bowl
South Florida -11.5 / Memphis 4:30 ET 1.5 Units
South Florida 41 Memphis 14 Winner
South Florida -11.5 / Memphis 4:30 ET 1.5 Units
South Florida 41 Memphis 14 Winner
Practically a home game for South Florida as they play this one at Tropicana Field in St. Pete Fl, a far cry from having to travel to El Paso Texas last year where they got blown out by Oregon 21-56. We look for Matt Groth and company to exploit this Memphis defense who, despite being on the field for only 58 plays per game this season (3rd fewest in the country), still managed to give up 26 ppg. If Grothe gets into his rhythm, the Memphis D will get a major workout today which they will not be able to handle as South Florida is on the winning side of the blowout this year.
Las Vegas Bowl
Arizona -3/ BYU 8:00 ET 1.5 Units
Arizona 31 BYU 21 Winner
Arizona -3/ BYU 8:00 ET 1.5 Units
Arizona 31 BYU 21 Winner
Arizona should have no problem today against the BYU defense as the Cougars have given up an average of 27 ppg over the second half of the season. Tuitama has the advantage of a good running game which if played right will set up the big play and keep this Cougar defense on it's heels all night.
2009/2010 Bowl Results13-15 -4.17 Units (Volume: 50.00 Units)
Thursday 1/7 NCAAF Bowls: -0.80 Units (Volume: 4.00)
BCS Championship Game
Rose Bowl - Pasadena, CA
Alabama (ML) -180 / Texas 8:00 ET 2 Units
Alabama 37 Texas 21 Winner
Under 46 Texas / Alabama 2 Units
Alabama 37 Texas 21 Lose
We'll play the money line here giving us many more ways to win and when looking at the big picture, the extra lay on the price is justifiable. We're risking 2 Units at -180 to win +1.11 Units, the same amount that a 1.25 Units risk at -4 would yield. We just don't like to have to lay more than a FG in a game we feel will be a very tight defensive game. If we're correct here with the game staying Under and the Tide coming away with the national title, we'll make +2.93 Units for our 4 Units risked instead of +3.64 Units had we laid the points... not too far off AND we don't have to worry about covering -4.
Both teams really are fortunate to be here. Texas pulled off a last second win over Nebraska and Alabama you'll remember blocked a FG against Tennessee to win 12-10 back in October and then on the last game of the regular season the Tide had to come from behind on the road to beat Auburn 26-21 by scoring in the last 2 minutes (as -10 point chalk). We're siding here with the more complete team. Texas' offensive line will not have an answer for the Alabama defense and Nick Saban will be well aware of the efficiency of the Texas pass defense, so you're sure to see a predominate ground game from Alabama which of course favors the under and at the same time limits the number of snaps for Colt McCoy and the Texas offense. -END
Wednesday 1/6 NCAAF Bowls: +1.14 Units (Volume: 1.25)
GMAC Bowl
Ladd peebles Stadium - Mobile, AL
Over 62.5 Troy / Central Michigan 7:00 ET 1.25 Units
Troy 41 Central Michigan 44 Winner
Monday 1/4 NCAAF Bowls: -1.50 Units (Volume: 1.50)
Fiesta Bowl
University Of Phoenix Stadium - Glendale, AZ
TCU -7 / Boise State 8:20 ET 1.50 Units
TCU 10 Boise State 17 Lose
This line opened at TCU -9 and was quickly bought down to -7 where it remains. Too much emphasis is being put on Boise State's week 1 win over Oregon (19-8). This game was played on the Smurf Turf where the Boise defense plays exceptionally well and besides, Boise was favored in that game (-3.5).
TCU had the tougher schedule and delivered, beating 2 ACC teams on the road, Virginia & Clemson, and held Clemson to just 117 yrds rushing. The Frogs also played (and blew out) 2 mountain west teams (Utah: 55-28 & BYU: 38-7) who beat PAC-10 teams in bowls this year. We feel TCU also will be the more motivated team having been passed for a chance to play for the national title... which really shouldn't be a surprise given the current bowl structure. The Horned Frogs will be out to prove a point to the nation that they were deserving of the shot. -END
Saturday 1/2 NCAAF Bowls: -3.13 Units (Volume: 6.00)
Liberty Bowl
Liberty Bowl - Memphis, TN
East Carolina +7.5 / Arkansas 5:30 ET 1.50 Units
East Carolina 17 Arkansas 20 Winner
This game will be won or lost by the defense of East Carolina. This is a nasty unit who has held opponents to 22ppg this season including holding Virginia Tech to 16, Tulsa to 17 & So. Miss to 20. Arkansas has the "home field" edge playing practically in their backyard and the crowd will be Hog dominant, but the fact that the Razorbacks are are playing so close to home and it's the Pirates making the trip to Memphis from East Carolina, and they'll be in Memphis for several days prior to the game, it also has the feel of a vacation for these kids. Bowl winners have much to do with the team more excited, and we give the nod to East Carolina in that department as they, as mentioned, bring their A-Game on defense today. -END
Alamo Bowl
Cowboys Stadium - Arlington, TX
Michigan State +8 / Texas Tech 9:00 ET 2.00 Units
Michigan State 31 Texas Tech 41 Lose
One of the main reasons the Mike Leach situation was put to bed (by firing the coach) was to eliminate distractions from the programs' bowl game, but c'mon... is that really possible? With all the hype and media coverage on the incident over the holidays, it has created quite a national stir and will not go away by getting rid of the problem... These kids, and coaching staff, are sure to be affected greatly. Football teams have a family-like bond between players & coaches, and when you remove Dad from the house, what happens.... just ask the kids from Cincinnati.
Meanwhile, MSU has their own problems, but they're of the normal variety... missing players due to suspensions. Often times, in cases like this the rest of the team puts forth efforts above and beyond what they realized they were capable of and in some cases the team actually performs better than if they were at 100%. Also realize that the Spartans haven't won a bowl game since the 2001 season when they beat Fresno State... they lost their last 3: 2003 Alamo Bowl to Nebraska, 2007 Champs Sports Bowl to BC and most recently last year the Spartans went down to Georgia on New Years Day in the Capital One Bowl. They'll smell blood today and exploit a Texas Tech team (& coaching staff) in disarray because of the actions of the dumbest coach n NCAA history. -END
Papa John's Bowl
Legion Field - Birmingham, AL
South Carolina -3 (-130) / Connecticut 2:00 ET 1.25 Units
South Carolina 7 UCONN 20 Lose
(We're buying a half point to -3)
This number is all the way down to S -3.5 from the opener of -7. The reason for the move is mainly due to the emotional rally cries from the Huskies as they remember fallen teagmmate Jasper Howard who was stabbed to death in a fight. Now of course we don't want to sound cold, but emotions of this sort can only go so far... don't forget that South Carolina has reasons of their own to want to win their bowl game as does every team that takes the field in the college post season. We're sure to see a very focused Huskies team today, but we have to ask just how many games can they hang tough in games only to fall a few points short? UCONN has lost a total of 5 games this season by a total of 15 points and they're 10-2 ATS. These stats are also contributors of the drop in price here which has created the necessary value for us to play the Gamecocks today. And SC lost 4 of their last 6 to close the season, but they were dogs in all of them and on the road in 3 (Alabama, Tenn & Arkansas) and Florida at home. Also the Huskies lost their starting QB Endres for the season in the Rutgers game and his replacement, Zac Frazier, although leading the team to 3 straight wins has as many INT's as TD's (9). Can see the UCONN bubble bursting this afternoon.
Cotton Bowl
Cowboys Stadium - Arlington, TX
Oklahoma State +3 / Mississippi 2:00 ET 1.25 Units
Oklahoma State 7 Mississippi 21 Lose
A chance for Oklahoma State to have it's first 10 win season in over two decades with a win over Old Miss in today's Cotton Bowl. The Cowboys are excellent against the run (# 6 in the nation... under 3 ypc), and that's Ole Miss's game behind QB Snead. Take Ole Miss out of that game by getting the early lead and it may very well be light's out for the Rebels as Jevan Snead has thrown 17 picks this season and has been known to cave under pressure. OSU's offense did end the season on a sour note getting shutout at Oklahoma 0-27, but the time off has given them time to recover from some injuries on the offense, namely QB Zac Robinson & RB Kendall Hunter. Also, Ole Miss is playing in the same bowl as a year ago which they won over Texas Tech 47-34... teams returning to their prior years' bowl games in which they won are just 3-13 ATS. -END
Friday 1/1 NCAAF Bowls: +3.08 Units (Volume: 6.00)
Rose Bowl
Rose Bowl - Pasadena, CA
Oregon -4 / Ohio State 4:30 ET 1.25 Units
Oregon 17 Ohio State 26 Lose
Under 50.5 Ohio State / Oregon 1.25 Units
Ohio State 26 Oregon 17 Winner
Sugar Bowl
Sugar Dome - New Orleans, LA
Florida -13 / Cincinnati 8:30 ET 2 Units
Florida 51 Cincinnati 24 Winner
We're not big fans of laying big points in bowl games, but this is a special situation. Florida has been known to blow teams out and to pile the points on even with a win secure, so we're not so worried about the Gators "sitting on a lead" late in the game and allowing the backdoor cover.
Florida has much to be thankful for these past seasons with Urban Meyer but they now also have much to be fired up about. First, their beloved coach may not be their coach come the fall next year, and tonight they're playing in the Sugar Bowl instead of for the national title on Thursday because of their one loss to Alabama. And who do they have the honor of playing tonight? Undefeated Cincinnati! Yes, the Bearcats can score some points, but have they faced a defense like Florida's this year? They had to come from behind on the last game of the season to stay undefeated after allowing Pittsburgh to score 45 points. And the week before that, Illinois scored 36, then it was 21 by WV and even UCONN put up 45 on 11/07. If the Bearcat defense hasn't tightened up over the break, the Gators will score 60 tonight! And even if the "D" got their act together, as mentioned they're offense is facing a Gator defensive unit allowing just 12 ppg on the season. get the point?
The game has been moved all the way to -13 from the opener of -10.5, but the move we feel was made for no other reason but to make one fall into the classic trap of... "... Cincy won't win the game but they'll surely cover the big number..." Nope... don't fall into the trap. The Gators also have some meaningful historical trends behind them pointing to a Gator win & cover. Urban Meyer coached teams are 12-4 SU & 11-3-2 ATS vs undefeated teams. Florida is 9-1 ATS vs teams with a better record. Off a loss, Tim Tebow & the Gators are 4-0 ATS. This all points to what a well coached program Gator Football is. They come prepared for the big game and leave nothing to chance and, as mentioned, have been known to make a statement or two via the scoreboard regardless of the game situation. And as for Cincinnati, they're just 1-6 in bowls this decade including their disappointing 7-20 loss in last years Orange Bowl to Virginia Tech. And also add to the Cincinnati task at hand the fact that their coach recently left them for a job at Notre Dame... -END
Capital One Bowl
Citrus Bowl Stadium - Orlando, FL
Penn State +1 / LSU 1:00 ET 1.50 Units
Penn State 19 LSU 17 Winner
Penn State's chances to play in a BCS Bowl went out the window after losing to Ohio State (7-24) on 11/07. Instead the Buckeye's are playing in the Rose Bowl this afternoon. We don't feel this will cause any disinterest about PSU's bowl placement.. they're still playing on New Years Day against a very tough opponent and will look at today as a chance to make a statement. As for LSU, sure they've had the much tougher schedule this season and you can make a case for the Tigers being the better team on paper, but that's where it stays... on paper. This game will be won... and lost... on the side lines. Joe Paterno knows what it takes to win a bowl game given all the distractions of the extended time off. Joe Pa is 23-11-1 SU in bowls in his career. More recently, Les Miles is 4-0 in bowls winning by an average of 29 ppg over Miami, Notre Dame, Ohio State & Georgia Tech while Joe Pa just 3-2, but remember, there's been a recent coaching shake-up in LSU with wide receivers coach DJ McCarthy getting fired following an NCAA investigation into LSU's recruiting practices. Also, Larry Porter (running backs coach) has gone to Memphis. Former Florida coach Billy Gonzalez has been hired as WR coach along with other duties assisting OC Crowten. That's all fine and good, and we're sure LSU will be just fine with their new staff... just as soon as they all have a chance to map out a game plan.... The break between the regular season and a teams bowl game is not enough time to implement new personnel. -END
Thursday 12/31 NCAAF Bowls: -2.26 Units (Volume: 7.00)
Texas Bowl
Reliant Stadium - Houston, TX
Navy +7 Missouri 3:30 ET 1.50 Units
Navy 35 Missouri 13 Winner
Chick Fil-A Bowl
Georgia Dome - Atlanta, GA
Tennessee +5.5 Virginia Tech 7:30 ET 2.00 Units
Tennessee 14 Virginia 37 Lose
First year Tennessee head coach Lane Kifflin doing a great job getting the Vols to the post season after a dismal 5-7 campaign last season. A big part of Tennessee's success this season can be attributed to Kifflin's defensive coordinator, his father Monte Kiffin. The elder Kifflin built the Tampa Bay cover-2 defense which won SB XXXVII in 2002. For the season, the Vols have allowed an average of nearly 21 ppg, but rebuilding a defensive unit can take time and when it mattered, Tennessee's defense has stepped up like allowing just 12 points at Alabama (10-12 loss). And remember, Va tech got beat 34-24 in the first week of the season to Alabama in a game that wasn't nearly as close as the final score. Alabama out gained them 498 yards to 155, out first downed them 22-11 and held Tech to under 100 yards passing. In Tennessee's loss to the Tide, they actually out gained them by 30%. We believe Tennessee will be the hungrier team tonight getting fired up by the two Coach Kifflins. -END
Sun Bowl
Sun Bowl Stadium - El Paso, TX
Oklahoma -10 Stanford 2:00 ET 1.50 Units
Oklahoma 31 Stanford 27 Lose
Sure, the Sun Bowl is a big step down from a year ago for these Sooners playing for the National title in Miami, but this is the last chance for many of these players to win a bowl game. In fact, the last bowl win for Oklahoma was back in 2005.
The line on this game has shown some late movement, Oklahoma -10 up from -8.5 earlier in the week. This due to the most likely absence of Stanford QB Andrew Lucke (recovering from a broken finger). Lucke's replacement will be Tavita Pritchard who has played well and has won some big games, but his overall numbers just aren't there... last season Pritchard threw 10 TD's & 13 INT's while completing just 57% of his passes. He'll be up against Landry Jones for Oklahoma who has thrown for 23 TD's and 13 INT's this season since taking over for the injured Sam Bradford back in October. It's going to be tough for Stanford to keep from getting blown out in this one. The Sooners have far superior overall offensive talent with receivers Ryan Broyles (76rec./964 yds), DeMarco Murray (38 rec. /482 yds. & 144 rushes 655 yds) and Brando Caleb (26/408yds) and back Chris Brown (179 rushes / 741 yards). Sure Stanford has Toby Gerhart (311 rushes / 1755 yds.), but if their defense can't stop the Oklahoma arsenal, Gerhart's day will be over by the half. Besides, Oklahoma has had great success this season against the run yielding just 2.7 ypc. And there's no reason for us to believe that Stanford is going to pick today to start playing defense. This is a team that gave up 43 points to Arizona 2 months ago in a losing effort (38-43), 38 to Oregon State the following week, and most recently 38 to ND in their final game of the season and the 3 weeks before 34 to California, 21 to USC and 42 points to the Ducks. Sure, they won 3 of those last 4 games, but how many times can they go to the well to score in the 40's & 50's... especially without their starting QB (and even if Lucke does play today, he won't be 100%). -END
Armed Forces Bowl
Amon Carter Stadium - Fort Worth - TX
Under 64 Air Force / Houston 12:00 Noon ET 1.50 Units
Air Force 47 Houston 20 Lose
Air Force +5 / Houston 12:00 Noon ET 1.50 Units
Air Force 47 Houston 20 Winner
These teams are no strangers to each other having met twice last season.. once in the beginning of the season in Houston with AF coming away with the road win 31-28, and then in this same bowl exactly 1 year ago today with Houston getting the win 34-28. So being familiar with each other will make for a tighter game as the element of surprise on offense will be reduced. The total in last season's September game was 51.5 with the game going over(31-28), and in the bowl game last year the number closed at 66, up 2 points from the opener of 64. This year the game opened 61 and was bet up again to 64, but we feel the correct number here is closer to the original line put on these teams at the beginning of last season (51.5)... mid fifties at the most. Also, Air Force will look to keep it on the ground eating as much clock as possible keeping Houston's snaps to a minimum.. the shorter the game the better chance for the win. An early lead for the Fly Boys is crucial here to enable them to stick to the ground game, and considering they've averaged 34 ppg in their last 4, scoring shouldn't be a problem. Also, as for the motivation of these teams, consider that Air Force has lost their last 3 bowls, so this is the last chance for the seniors and they're playing a team they've beaten recently. -END
Wednesday 12/30 NCAAF Bowls: -2.00 Units (Volume: 5.00)
Holiday Bowl
Quallcomm Stadium - San Diego, CA
Arizona +3* / Nebraska 8:00 ET 2 Units
Arizona 0 Nebraska 33 Lose
(*There are some scattered 3's out there. Buy the half point if you have +2.5)
Both teams were one play away from playing in a BCS bowl representing their respective conferences, but both lost their conference championship games by the slimmest of margins... Nebraska to Texas paving the way for the Longhorns to play for the national title, and Arizona to Oregon squashing the Wildcats' opportunity to play in the Rose Bowl. So for motivation, we're calling this one dead even.
Much hype surrounding 300 lb. Nebraska defensive tackle Ndamukong Suh and the great job the entire unit has done this season. In the Big 12 Championship game, Suh had 12 tackles (9 resulting in no gain or a loss) and he sacked Colt McCoy 4.5 times. But remember, much of Nebraska's success this year on defense came against known conference opponents and during the regular season. Nebraska is now out of that rhythm and are facing an unknown opponent. In fact the last time these teams played was 1998. Nebraska's defense and big Ndamukong Suhwill not be able to penetrate Arizona's offensive line like they did to Texas... that's Texas... they give up sacks and Arizona doesn't... they get rid of the ball in a hurry. Also, RB Nic Grigsby is expected to return tonight from injury which will be a great asset in setting up the pass.
Another factor in tonight's game is the distraction level. The kids from Nebraska are experiencing extended time in southern California, a big change from the climate in Lincoln! Meanwhile, the weather is normal for the Arizona players. And don't forget, the Mexican border is very close... and very tempting. Arizona Coach Mike Stoops took the possibility away from his team. Here's what he had to say on the matter: "We turned off Tijuana to them," he said. "It was off limits. Nothing good has been happening down there for some time." We haven't heard the same about Nebraska... -END
Tuesday 12/29 NCAAF Bowls: +0.74 Units (Volume: 5.00)
Eagle Bank Bowl
RFK Stadium - Washington, DC
UCLA -4.5 / Temple 4:30 ET ESPN 1.50 Units
UCLA 30 Temple 21 Winner
Not exactly the bowl these kids from California were hoping for as they make the long trip out east to play in the nations capital in freezing conditions, but the Bruins are just too superior of a team. There will be plenty of motivation to win despite the disappointing bowl placement... this is Rick Neuheisel's second year as Bruins HC and UCLA's first bowl appearance with him.
Temple did finish the season with the better record (9-3 vs UCLA: 6-6), but remember they're a MAC team. Temple played one BCS team, PSU back on 9/19 and got blasted 6-31. Sure the Owls went on to win 9 straight after that (7-2 ATS), but as mentioned against the MAC, and they lost badly to Ohio 17-35 to end their season... the same Ohio Team that lost to Marshall last week in the Little Caesars Pizza Bowl. The MAC was just 3-26 this season against BCS conferences and 2-13 SU (4-11 ATS) in bowls since 2005.
Champs Sports Bowl
Citrus Bowl Stadium - Orlando, FL
Miami (FL) -3 (-125) / Wisconsin 8:00 ET ESPN 2 Units
Miami 14 Wisconsin 20 Lose
(Buy half point to -3)
Under 57 Wisconsin / Miami (FL) 1.50 Units
Wisconsin 20 Miami 14 Winner
Both teams posted 9-3 SU records this season, but Miami clearly had the tougher schedule The Hurricanes were 5-3 ATS against bowl bound teams while the Badgers were 2-5 ATS in that department. Against Iowa & Ohio State, Wisconsin could only manage a total of 23 points in the 2 games... and those defenses are a step or two behind the speed of Miami's "D". Miami held Georgia Tech to under 100 rushing yards (2.4 ypc) and 17 points, and they held the CJ Spiller lead Clemson rushing attack to just 84 yards (2.5 ypc).
Yeah, Wisconsin's run defense has been solid, but who needs to run when you can almost pass at will against them... The Badgers allowed 12.9 yards per catch against Indiana, 16.9 against Minnesota, 16.5 against Michigan State, and even Fresno State got in on the party averaging 13.1 yards per catch.
Sure, there's a lot of talk about a fired up Wisconsin team looking to avenge last season's bowl loss in this same bowl game, a 13-42 blowout by FSU, but there's something special about this Miami team this season as they're trying to recapture the magic of the "U" from seasons past, and those teams were all about playing nasty defense.
Sunday 12/27 NCAAF Bowls: -1.75 Units (Volume: 1.75 Units)
Music City Bowl
LP Field - Nashville, TN
Kentucky +7 (-120) / Clemson 8:30 ET 1.75 Units
(Buy half point to +7)
Kentucky 13 Clemson 21 Lose
5:1 ratio in tickets going to Kentucky, so clearly they'll have the "home" field advantage. On paper, you can make a great case to back Clemson, showcasing future NFL first round pick CJ Spiller, but Bowl outcomes have much to do with motivation which starts with being content with your Bowl game. The Tigers have to be disappointed having lost in the ACC title game to Georgia Tech thus keeping them from playing in a BCS game. Kentucky will be returning QB Mike Hartlline. QB Morgan Newton is doubtful due to an undisclosed injury. Also, Clemson will be without center Mason Cloy due to a leg injury.
Clemson has lost their last 3 bowls (all as favorites) as Kentucky has won their last 3... including beating Clemson in 2006 in this same bowl on this same field 28-20 a 11.5 point dogs...
Saturday 12/26 NCAAF Bowls: +4.55 Units (Volume: 5.00 Units)
Emerald Bowl
AT&T Park - San Francisco, CA
USC -7 (-120) / Boston College 8:00 ET 5.00 Units
USC 24 Boston College 13 Winner
Wednesday 12/23 Bowls: -1.25 Units (Volume: 1.25 Units)
Poinsettia Bowl
Qualcomm Stadium - San Diego, CA
California -2.5 / Utah 8:00 ET 1.25 Units
California 27 Utah 37 Lose
Big step down in class for the Utes in this seasons bowl game. Last year you'll recall Utah played in the Sugar Bowl on January 2nd against Alabama and upset the Tide 31-17 as 9 point dogs. But in that game Alabama had suspended All American offensive tackle Andre Smith for violating NCAA rules.
On the other hand, California with the loss of star RB Jahvid Best, has struggled down the stretch this season and were thus knocked out of contention for the Pac-10 crown, so playing in this years' Poinsettia Bowl is coming as no surprise. Here is a chance for the Bears to salvage their season with a win thus ending on a positive note amidst many bad breaks.
it also doesn't hurt that Cal has had neary 3 weeks to prepare for tonight's game and that their offensive Coordinator, Andy Ludwig, was Utah's offensive Coordinator last season.... and the Utes' offense hasn't changed since....
Tuesday 12/22 Bowls: +1.37 Units (Volume: 1.50 Units)
Maaco Las Vegas Bowl
Sam Boyd Stadium - Las Vegas, NV
BYU +3 / Oregon State 8:00 ET 1.50 Units
BYU 37 Oregon State 7 Winner
This is the fifth straight trip to the Las Vegas Bowl for the Cougars of BYU, so you can say they're in their comfort zone playing here in the post season. In the past, this Bowl may have been a disappointment for BYU, but early on this season, after a blowout loss to FSU, the Cougars' hopes were humbled. On the other hand, Oregon State was 1 win away (a 33-37 loss to Oregon for the Pac-10 Championship) from a trip to the Rose Bowl, so we can't see the Beavers having much enthusiasm here. As we've said before, handicapping Bowl games has as much, if not more to do with motivation than stats & trends.
We'll side with the red hot Cougars in this one having won 8 of their last 9 to close out the season and are very happy with their Bowl game. In fact, BYU defensive lineman Jan Jorgensen was quoted as saying... "Vegas is a good venue. Unless you're going to a BCS game, I don't know where else you'd want to go, there's a lot of stuff to do." This game also has been announced a sellout earlier in the week and will be an extreme BYU fan heavy crowd giving the Cougars that "at home" feeling.... and they're getting points...
Sunday 12/20 Bowl: -1.50 Units (Volume: 1.50 Units)
New Orleans Bowl
Superdome - New Orleans, LA
Southern Mississippi -3 (-120) / Middle Tennessee St. 8:30 ET 1.50 Units
(Buy down to -3 -120)
Southern Mississippi 32 Middle Tennessee State 42 Lose
This is only the 2nd bowl appearance for Middle Tennessee State since 1964 so yes, the motivation will be there but unfortunately for the Blue Raiders, they lack in talent here. Since losing RB Tanner back in September, QB Dasher has really had to pick up some big time slack. They've had the luxury of an extremely soft schedule down the stretch which allowed them to go 6-0 SU & ATS to close the season, but against a bunch of nobodies for the most part. In fact, MTST was favored in 5 of the 6 and their average line was -9 and they won by an average of 22. A one dimensional game is not going to get it done against the potent Golden Eagle offense.
Saturday 12/19 NCAAF Bowls: -0.86 Units (Volume: 3.25 Units)
New Mexico Bowl
University Stadium - Albuquerque, New Mexico
Wyoming +10.5 / Fresno State 4:30 ET 1.25 Units
Wyoming 35 Fresno State 28 Winner
Instead of bowling in Hawaii this year, Fresno State is stuck with the same bowl as last year, which they lost outright to Colorado State 35-40 as -2 point favorites, so it's a bit of a disappointment. On the other hand, first year Wyoming head coach Dave Christensen, despite their offensive woes this season, has managed to get his team to the post season for only the second time n 16 years, so to say these kids are thrilled is an understatement.
Being content on your programs bowl game has much to do with a teams performance. Handicapping the Bowl season is not only about crunching numbers and stats & trends, it's also heavily reliant on teams' mental states and motivational interests, and the heavy nod in that department goes to the Cowboys here.
Of course it takes more than just desire and motivation to win football games. As mentioned, Wyoming has struggled on offense this season as they ranked near the bottom (112th), but that can be attributed to the new offense coach Christensen has tried implementing this season. Christensen was the offensive coordinator at Missouri last year and the Cowboys have had a tough time adjusting to the new spread offense. But one important aspect that Wyoming has excelled in this season is taking care of the ball as they have only had 13 takeaways this season. This is the mark of a disciplined, well coached team so to be getting double digits in this spot is big.
Also, teams returning to the same bowl as the previous year (Fresno State) who had poor defensive showings in their final regular season game (52 points to Illinois 12/05), are 1-13 ATS. And Fresno State in post season under Coach Hill is 0-4 ATS as favorites.
St. Petersburg Bowl
Tropicana Field - St. Petersburg, FL
Central Florida +3 / Rutgers 8:00 ET 1.75 Units
Central Florida 24 Ritgers 45 Lose
A few things working for us here. First, this is another case of a disappointed bowl placement (for Rutgers) as they find themselves playing a Conference USA team and meanwhile, CFU has plenty of motivation as they're playing this game right in their backyard so there's no doubt it'll have a home field atmosphere for the Knights. Also, CFU holds a very big size advantage on both sides of the ball. Their offensive linemen are all in the 300 lb. range playing against a defensive line averaging around 265. Another key here is that Rutgers' final exams were scheduled for this week but had to be moved up forcing these kids into a very busy schedule having to juggle and balance school & football practice these past couple weeks.
We feel there's tremendous value in this line... we feel the wrong team is favored here but the line is where it is because of Rutgers being in the Big East. And look at who Rutgers has played. They had 2 FCS schools (Howard & Texas Southern... Rutgers failed to cover both) and also Army (27-10 Final). Rutgers had 4 conference losses... 2 of them blowouts including 13-31 at Syracuse on 11/21 as -10 chalk). So although 8-4 SU, Rutgers finished just 5-7 ATS while CFU, also 8-4 SU, were a moneymaking 9-2 ATS.
We'll side with the undervalued dog here looking to make a statement by beating a Big East team. You'll recall that a few years ago when the Big East added a few teams, they chose South Florida instead.
2010-2011 NCAAF Bowl Results
15-12 +8.53 Units (Volume: 60.25 Units)
Complete Game By Game details as delivered to all clients posted below
Monday 01/10: -2.00 Units (Volume 2.00 Units)
Oregon +1 / Auburn 8:30 ET 2.00 Units
Oregon 19 Auburn 22 Lose
Some solid history is behind tonight's play on Oregon that simply can't be ignored... Bowl games involving the Heisman winner are 74% ATS the last 35 years going against the Heisman winner. Of course any lopsided trend can start tilting the other way at any time, but it is an interesting phenomenon... but not the sole reason here.
Cam Newton no doubt is one of the most exciting QBs college football has ever seen, but he's still just one player... and how many times can the Tigers call on him to pull out miracles? Auburn should be a multiple loss team. They escaped a tight one in week two at Miss St (17-14), and the next week Clemson took the Tigers to OT, a game where Auburn was trailing by 2 TDs. Then a few weeks later Kentucky gave the Tigers all they could handle and most recently it was the miracle comeback at Alabama (28-27)... Again, how many times can this happen? And then, to put the doubters to rest Auburn blows out South Carolina in the SEC championship game to end the regular season. Well, that's all fine and good but we're not buying it and we're not going to back a team in a game of his magnitude which is so reliant on a single player. The Ducks have better numbers on both sides of the ball this season and we feel they should be the favorite here, but with all the hype surrounding Auburn and their Heisman winner, the market won't allow it. -END
Sunday 01/09: +4.55 Units (Volume 5.00 Units)
Fight Hunger Bowl
AT&T Park- San Francisco, CA
Boston College +8 / Nevada 9:00 ET 5.00 Units
Boston College 13 Nevada 20 Winner
Saturday 01/08: +1.14 Units (Volume 1.25 Units)
Compass Bowl
Legion Field - Birmingham, AL
Pittsburgh -4 / Kentucky 12 Noon ET 1.25 Units
Pittsburgh 27 Kentucky 10 Winner
Friday 01/07: -2.00 Units (Volume 2.00 Units)
Cotton Bowl
Cowboys Stadium - Arlington, TX
Texas A&M +3 / LSU 8:00 ET 2.00 Units
Texas A&M 24 LSU 41 Lose
Thursday 01/06: +1.82 Units (Volume 2.00 Units)
Go Daddy Bowl
Laad Peebles Stadium - Mobile, AL
Miami (Oh) +2.5 / Middle Tenn State 8:00 ET 2.00 Units
Miami (Oh) 35 Middle Tenn St 21 Winner
Tuesday 01/04: +1.37 Units (Volume 1.50 Units)
Sugar Bowl
Superdome - New Orleans, LA
Ohio State -3 / Arkansas 8:30 ET 1.50 Units
Ohio Sate 31 Arkansas 26 Winner
Oregon +1 / Auburn 8:30 ET 2.00 Units
Oregon 19 Auburn 22 Lose
Some solid history is behind tonight's play on Oregon that simply can't be ignored... Bowl games involving the Heisman winner are 74% ATS the last 35 years going against the Heisman winner. Of course any lopsided trend can start tilting the other way at any time, but it is an interesting phenomenon... but not the sole reason here.
Cam Newton no doubt is one of the most exciting QBs college football has ever seen, but he's still just one player... and how many times can the Tigers call on him to pull out miracles? Auburn should be a multiple loss team. They escaped a tight one in week two at Miss St (17-14), and the next week Clemson took the Tigers to OT, a game where Auburn was trailing by 2 TDs. Then a few weeks later Kentucky gave the Tigers all they could handle and most recently it was the miracle comeback at Alabama (28-27)... Again, how many times can this happen? And then, to put the doubters to rest Auburn blows out South Carolina in the SEC championship game to end the regular season. Well, that's all fine and good but we're not buying it and we're not going to back a team in a game of his magnitude which is so reliant on a single player. The Ducks have better numbers on both sides of the ball this season and we feel they should be the favorite here, but with all the hype surrounding Auburn and their Heisman winner, the market won't allow it. -END
Sunday 01/09: +4.55 Units (Volume 5.00 Units)
Fight Hunger Bowl
AT&T Park- San Francisco, CA
Boston College +8 / Nevada 9:00 ET 5.00 Units
Boston College 13 Nevada 20 Winner
Saturday 01/08: +1.14 Units (Volume 1.25 Units)
Compass Bowl
Legion Field - Birmingham, AL
Pittsburgh -4 / Kentucky 12 Noon ET 1.25 Units
Pittsburgh 27 Kentucky 10 Winner
Friday 01/07: -2.00 Units (Volume 2.00 Units)
Cotton Bowl
Cowboys Stadium - Arlington, TX
Texas A&M +3 / LSU 8:00 ET 2.00 Units
Texas A&M 24 LSU 41 Lose
Thursday 01/06: +1.82 Units (Volume 2.00 Units)
Go Daddy Bowl
Laad Peebles Stadium - Mobile, AL
Miami (Oh) +2.5 / Middle Tenn State 8:00 ET 2.00 Units
Miami (Oh) 35 Middle Tenn St 21 Winner
Tuesday 01/04: +1.37 Units (Volume 1.50 Units)
Sugar Bowl
Superdome - New Orleans, LA
Ohio State -3 / Arkansas 8:30 ET 1.50 Units
Ohio Sate 31 Arkansas 26 Winner
Monday 01/03: -2.00 Units (Volume 2.00 Units)
Orange Bowl
Sun Life Stadium - Miami, FL
Virginia Tech +4 / Stanford 8:30 ET 2.00 Units
Virginia Tech 12 Stanford 40 Lose
Orange Bowl
Sun Life Stadium - Miami, FL
Virginia Tech +4 / Stanford 8:30 ET 2.00 Units
Virginia Tech 12 Stanford 40 Lose
Saturday 01/01: +6.01 Units (Volume 9.75 Units)
Fiesta Bowl
University Of Phoenix Stadium - Glendale, AZ
Oklahoma -15 / UCONN 8:30 ET 5.00 Units
Oklahoma 48 UCONN 20 Winner
Capital One Bowl
Citrus Bowl Stadium - Orlando, FL
Michigan State +8.5 / Alabama 1:00 ET 1.50 Units
Michigan State 7 Alabama 49 Lose
Gator Bowl
Municipal Stadium - Jacksonville, FL
Mississippi State -3 / Michigan 1:30 ET 1.25 Units
Mississippi State 52 Michigan 14 Winner
Rose Bowl
Rose Bowl - Pasadena, CA
Wisconsin +3 / TCU 5:00 ET 2.00 Units
Wisconsin 19 TCU 21 Winner
Friday 12/31: +3.12 Units (Volume: 10.25 Units)
Sun Bowl
Sun Bowl - El Paso, TX
Miami -2.5 (-120) / Notre Dame 2:00 ET 1.25 Units
Miami 17 Notre Dame 33 Lose
Over 47 Notre Dame / Miami 2:00 ET 2.00 Units
Notre Dame 33 Miami 17 Winner
Liberty Bowl
Liberty Bowl - Memphis, TN
Georgia -6.5 (-115) / Central Florida 3:30 ET 2.00 Units
Georgia 6 Cenral Florida 13 Lose
Chik-Fil-A Bowl
Georgia Dome - Atlanta, GA
Florida State +3 / South Carolina 7:30 ET 5.00 Units
Florida State 26 South Carolina 17 Winner
Thursday 12/30: +5.46 Units (Volume: 6.00 Units)
Pinstripe Bowl
Yankee Stadium - Bronx, NY
Syracuse pk / Kansas State 3:20 ET 2.00 Units
Syracuse 36 Kansas State 34 Winner
Music City Bowl
LP Field - Nashville, TN
North Carolina pk / Tennessee 6:30 ET 2.00 Units
North Carolina 30 Tennessee 27 Wnner
Holiday Bowl
Qualcomm Stadium - San Diego, CA
Under 53 Washington / Nebraska 10:00 ET 2.00 Units
Washington 19 Nebraska 7 Winner
Wednesday 12/29: -6.25 Units (Volume: 6.25 Units)
Texas Bowl
Reliant Stadium - Houston, TX
Baylor +1.5 / Illinois 6:00 ET 1.25 Units
Baylor 14 Illinois 38 Lose
Alamo Bowl
Reliant Stadium - Houston, TX
Arizona +4.5 / Oklahoma State 9:15 ET 5.00 Units
Arizona 10 Oklahoma State 31 Lose
Tuesday 12/28: +1.82 Units (Volume: 2.00 Units)
Insight Bowl
Sun Devil Stadium - Tempe, AZ
Iowa +3 / Missouri 10:00 ET 2.00 Units
Iowa 27 Missouri 24 Winner
There are some +3's out there. If you're line is +2.5, it is recommended to buy up to +3, but you should be able to fin 3 without buying.
Sunday 12/26: -2.00 Units (Volume: 2.00 Units)
Little Caesars Pizza Bowl
Ford Field - Detroit, MI
Toledo +1.5 / FIU 8:30 ET 2.00 Units
Toledo 32 FIU 34 Lose
Thursday 12/23: +1.37 Units (Volume: 1.50 Units)
Poinsettia Bowl
Qualcomm Stadium - San Diego, CA
San Diego State -3 / Navy 8:00 ET 1.50 Units
San Diego State 35 Navy 14 Winner
Wednesday 12/22: +1.37 Units (Volume: 1.50 Units)
Las Vegas Bowl
Sam Boyd Stadium - Las Vegas, NV
Boise State -16.5 / Utah 8:00 ET 1.50 Units
Boise State 26 Utah 3 Winner
Las Vegas Bowl
Sam Boyd Stadium - Las Vegas, NV
Boise State -16.5 / Utah 8:00 ET 1.50 Units
Boise State 26 Utah 3 Winner
Tuesday 12/21: -2.00 Units (Volume: 2.00 Units)
St. Petersburg Bowl
Tropicana Field - St. Petersburg, FL
Southern Mississippi (ML) +120 / Louisville 8:00 ET 2.00 Units
Southern Mississippi 28 Louisville 31 Lose
It's amazing how easily decisions are made to but half points to get +3 when the line is +2.5 (as is the case in this game), and playing the game on the money line is never considered. Before falling into this miserable trap so conveniently designed by the books, realize the difference. We stand to make 50% more profit playing the moneyline here as opposed to buying it up to +3 (-125). The ML play will yield +1.20 Units for every unit risked where as the +3 (-125) will yield just +0.80/Unit. Sure if L'Ville wins by exactly one or two, we'll be sick, but this is the correct way to play the dog here.
St. Petersburg Bowl
Tropicana Field - St. Petersburg, FL
Southern Mississippi (ML) +120 / Louisville 8:00 ET 2.00 Units
Southern Mississippi 28 Louisville 31 Lose
It's amazing how easily decisions are made to but half points to get +3 when the line is +2.5 (as is the case in this game), and playing the game on the money line is never considered. Before falling into this miserable trap so conveniently designed by the books, realize the difference. We stand to make 50% more profit playing the moneyline here as opposed to buying it up to +3 (-125). The ML play will yield +1.20 Units for every unit risked where as the +3 (-125) will yield just +0.80/Unit. Sure if L'Ville wins by exactly one or two, we'll be sick, but this is the correct way to play the dog here.
Saturday 12/18: -3.25 Units (Volume: 3.25 Units)
Humanitarian Bowl
Bronco Stadium - Boise, ID
Fresno State +1.5 / Northern Illinois 5:30 ET 1.25 Units
Fresno State 17 Northern Illinois 40 Lose
New Orleans Bowl
Superdome - New Orleans, LA
Ohio +2 / Troy 9:00 ET 2.00 Units
Ohio 21 Troy 48 Lose
2011-2012 NCAAF Bowl Results
14-6 +16.09 Units (Volume: 49.25 Units)
Complete Game By Game details as delivered to all clients posted below
Monday 01/09: -2.00 Units (Volume 2.00 Units)
Alabama / LSU
BCS Championship Game
Superdome - New Orleans, LA
Parlay: LSU (+4.5: buy 2 points) -160 & Under 41.5 8:30 ET Risk 2.00 Units to win 4.20 Units
LSU 0 Alabama 21 Lose
This parlay is actually a partial teaser. When teasing football, value only exists when passing over key numbers. For example, there is no point in teasing a -3.5 point favorite to move the line to +2.5. But teasing a small dog of +2 or more moves the line over many key numbers (3, 4, 6 & 7).
With our parlay tonight, we are paying about 50 cents to be able to move LSU across +3 AND +4 (to +4.5), and when parlaying a -160 favorite to a -110 total, you're getting +210 payout. Sure, if we were to tease we'd get the Tigers plus a fat 8.5 and the Under moves to 47.5, but since we don't feel we need any help with this total, we'll take a +4.20 payout as opposed to just +1.82 Units that a teaser would pay. That's 76% more!! -END
Friday 01/06: +3.64 Units (Volume 4.00)
Arkansas -9 / Kansas State 8:00 ET 2.00 Units
Arkansas 29 Kansas State 16 Winner
Under 65.5 Arkansas / Kansas State 2.00 Units
Arkansas 29 Kansas State 16 Winner
Wednesday 01/04: -2.00 Units (Volume 2.00)
Orange Bowl
Sun Life Stadium - Miami, FL
Clemson -3 / West Virginia 8:35 ET 2.00 Units
Clemson 33 West Virginia 70 Lose
Tuesday 01/03: +0.00 Units (Volume 4.00)
Sugar Bowl
The Superdome - New Orleans, LA
Virginia Tech +3 / Michigan 8:30 ET 4.00 Units
Virginia Tech 20 Michigan 23 PUSH
Monday 01/02: +5.10 Units (Volume 8.75)
Outback Bowl
Raymond James Stadium - Tampa, FL
Georgia -3 / Michigan State 1:00 ET 1.50 Units
Georgia 30 Michigan State 33 Lose
Capital One Bowl.
Citrus Bowl Stadium - Orlando, FL
South Carolina -2.5 / Nebraska 1:00 ET 1.25 Units
South Carolina 30 Nebrask 13 Winner
Rose Bowl
Rose Bowl - Pasadena, CA
Oregon -4.5 / Wisconsin 5:00 ET 2.00 Units
Oregon 45 Wisconsin 38 Winner
Fiesta Bowl
University Stadium - Glendale, AZ
Stanford +4 / Oklahoma St. 8:30 ET 4.00 Units
Stanford 38 Oklahma St 41 Winner
Saturday 12/31: +5.42 Units (Volume 4.50)
Chik-Fil-A Bowl
Georgia Dome - Atlanta, GA
Over 49 Virginia / Auburn 7:30 ET 2.00 Units
Virginia 24 Auburn 43 Winner
Parlay Auburn (ML) -145 & Over 49 Risk 1 Unit to win 2.23 Units
Auburn 43 Virginia 24 Winner
Over is our main play here risking a total of 3.00 Units with a possible upside of +4.05 Units with an Auburn straight up win in addition to the over cashing.
Fight Hunger Bowl
AT&T Park - San Francisco, CA
Illinois -3 / UCLA 3:30 ET 1.50 Units
Illinois 20 UCLA 14 Winner
Friday 12/30: +3.38 Units (Volume 8.00)
Insight Bowl
Sun Devil Stadium - Tempe AZ
Oklahoma -13.5 / Iowa 10:00 ET 4.00 Units
Oklahoma 31 iowa 14 Winner
Pinstripe Bowl
Yankee Stadium - Bronx, NY
Iowa State pk / Rutgers 3:20 ET 2.00 Units
Iowa State 13 Rutgers 27 Lose
Music City Bowl
LP Field - Nashville, TN
Wake Forest +7 (-115) / Mississippi State 6:40 ET 2.00 Units
Wake Forest 17 Mississippi St 23 Winner
14-6 +16.09 Units (Volume: 49.25 Units)
Complete Game By Game details as delivered to all clients posted below
Monday 01/09: -2.00 Units (Volume 2.00 Units)
Alabama / LSU
BCS Championship Game
Superdome - New Orleans, LA
Parlay: LSU (+4.5: buy 2 points) -160 & Under 41.5 8:30 ET Risk 2.00 Units to win 4.20 Units
LSU 0 Alabama 21 Lose
This parlay is actually a partial teaser. When teasing football, value only exists when passing over key numbers. For example, there is no point in teasing a -3.5 point favorite to move the line to +2.5. But teasing a small dog of +2 or more moves the line over many key numbers (3, 4, 6 & 7).
With our parlay tonight, we are paying about 50 cents to be able to move LSU across +3 AND +4 (to +4.5), and when parlaying a -160 favorite to a -110 total, you're getting +210 payout. Sure, if we were to tease we'd get the Tigers plus a fat 8.5 and the Under moves to 47.5, but since we don't feel we need any help with this total, we'll take a +4.20 payout as opposed to just +1.82 Units that a teaser would pay. That's 76% more!! -END
Friday 01/06: +3.64 Units (Volume 4.00)
Arkansas -9 / Kansas State 8:00 ET 2.00 Units
Arkansas 29 Kansas State 16 Winner
Under 65.5 Arkansas / Kansas State 2.00 Units
Arkansas 29 Kansas State 16 Winner
Wednesday 01/04: -2.00 Units (Volume 2.00)
Orange Bowl
Sun Life Stadium - Miami, FL
Clemson -3 / West Virginia 8:35 ET 2.00 Units
Clemson 33 West Virginia 70 Lose
Tuesday 01/03: +0.00 Units (Volume 4.00)
Sugar Bowl
The Superdome - New Orleans, LA
Virginia Tech +3 / Michigan 8:30 ET 4.00 Units
Virginia Tech 20 Michigan 23 PUSH
Monday 01/02: +5.10 Units (Volume 8.75)
Outback Bowl
Raymond James Stadium - Tampa, FL
Georgia -3 / Michigan State 1:00 ET 1.50 Units
Georgia 30 Michigan State 33 Lose
Capital One Bowl.
Citrus Bowl Stadium - Orlando, FL
South Carolina -2.5 / Nebraska 1:00 ET 1.25 Units
South Carolina 30 Nebrask 13 Winner
Rose Bowl
Rose Bowl - Pasadena, CA
Oregon -4.5 / Wisconsin 5:00 ET 2.00 Units
Oregon 45 Wisconsin 38 Winner
Fiesta Bowl
University Stadium - Glendale, AZ
Stanford +4 / Oklahoma St. 8:30 ET 4.00 Units
Stanford 38 Oklahma St 41 Winner
Saturday 12/31: +5.42 Units (Volume 4.50)
Chik-Fil-A Bowl
Georgia Dome - Atlanta, GA
Over 49 Virginia / Auburn 7:30 ET 2.00 Units
Virginia 24 Auburn 43 Winner
Parlay Auburn (ML) -145 & Over 49 Risk 1 Unit to win 2.23 Units
Auburn 43 Virginia 24 Winner
Over is our main play here risking a total of 3.00 Units with a possible upside of +4.05 Units with an Auburn straight up win in addition to the over cashing.
Fight Hunger Bowl
AT&T Park - San Francisco, CA
Illinois -3 / UCLA 3:30 ET 1.50 Units
Illinois 20 UCLA 14 Winner
Friday 12/30: +3.38 Units (Volume 8.00)
Insight Bowl
Sun Devil Stadium - Tempe AZ
Oklahoma -13.5 / Iowa 10:00 ET 4.00 Units
Oklahoma 31 iowa 14 Winner
Pinstripe Bowl
Yankee Stadium - Bronx, NY
Iowa State pk / Rutgers 3:20 ET 2.00 Units
Iowa State 13 Rutgers 27 Lose
Music City Bowl
LP Field - Nashville, TN
Wake Forest +7 (-115) / Mississippi State 6:40 ET 2.00 Units
Wake Forest 17 Mississippi St 23 Winner
Thursday 12/29: -0.18 Units (Volume 4.00)
Alamo Bowl
Alamodome - San Antonio, TX
Baylor -9.5 / Washington 9:00 ET 2.00 Units
Baylor 67 Washington 56 Winner
Champs Sports Bowl
Citrus Stadium - Orlando, Fl
Notre Dame +3 (-105) / Forida State 5:30 ET 2.00 Units
Notre Dame 14 Florida State 18 Lose
Wednesday 12/28: +1.82 Units (Volume 2.00)
Holiday Bowl
Qualcomm Stadium - San Diego, CA
Texas -3.5 / California 8:00 ET 2.00 Units
Texas 21 California 10 Winner
Wednesday 12/21: -2.00 Units (Volume 2.00)
Poinsettia Bowl
Qualcomm Stadium - San Diego, CA
TCU -9.5 / Louisiana Tech 8:00 ET 2.00 Units
TCU 31 Louisiana Tech 24 Lose
TCU -9.5 / Louisiana Tech 8:00 ET 2.00 Units
TCU 31 Louisiana Tech 24 Lose
Saturday 12/17: +3.19 Units (Volume 3.50)
Idaho Potato Bowl
Bronco Stadium - Boise, ID
Ohio +1 / Utah State 5:30 ET 2.00 Units
Ohio 24 Utah State 23 Winner
New Mexico Bowl
University Stadium, Albuquerque, NM
Temple -7 / Wyoming 2:00 ET 1.50 Units
Temple 37 Wyoming 15 Winner
Idaho Potato Bowl
Bronco Stadium - Boise, ID
Ohio +1 / Utah State 5:30 ET 2.00 Units
Ohio 24 Utah State 23 Winner
New Mexico Bowl
University Stadium, Albuquerque, NM
Temple -7 / Wyoming 2:00 ET 1.50 Units
Temple 37 Wyoming 15 Winner
15-7 +15.60 Units (Volume: 59.25 Units)
Complete Game By Game details as delivered to all clients posted below
Monday 1/7: +1.82 Units (Volume 2.00 Units)
BCS Championship Game | Sun Life Stadium - Miami, FL
Alabama -9.5 / Notre Dame 8:00 ET 2.00 Units
Alabama 42 Notre Dame 14 Winner
Sunday Late Service Release
Arkansas St. (ML) -130 / Kent St. 6.00 Units 17-13 Winner
Friday Late Service Release
Oklahoma +3 (-105) / Texas A&M 6.00 Units 13-41 Lose
Thursday 1/3: +1.82 Units (Volume 2.00 Units)
Fiesta Bowl
University Of Phoenix Stadium - Glendale, AZ
Oregon -7.5 / Kansas St. 8:30 ET 2.00 Units
Oregon 35 Kansas St. 17 Winner
Wednesday 1/2: +1.82 Units (Volume 2.00 Units)
Sugar Bowl
Superdome - New Orleans, LA
Louisiville +14 / Florida 8:30 ET 2.00 Units
Louisiville 33 Florida 23 Winner
Tuesday Late Service Release
Florida St. -14 / Northern Illinois 6.00 Units 31-10 Winner
Tuesday 1/1: +1.94 Units (Volume 4.50 Units)
Heart Of Dallas Bowl
Cotton Bowl - Dallas, TX
Oklahoma St. -17 / Purdue 12 Noon ET 1.50 Units
Oklahoma St. 58 Purdue 14 Winner
Gator Bowl
Everbank Field - Jacksonville, FL
Mississippi St. -1 / Northwestern 12 Noon ET 1.00 Units
Mississippi St. 20 Northwestern 34 Lose
Rose Bowl
Rose Bowl - Pasadena, CA
Under 47.5 Wisconsin / Stanford 5:00 ET 2.00 Units
Wisconsin 14 Stanford 20 Winner
Monday 12/31: +0.57 Units (Volume 3.25 Units)
Sun Bowl
Sun Bowl Stadium - El mPaso, TX
USC -7 / Georgia Tech 2:00 ET 1.25 Units
USC 7 Georgia Tech 21 Lose
Chick-Fil-A-Bowl
Georgia Dome - Atlanta, GA
Clemson +6 / LSU 7:30 ET 2.00 Units
Clemson 25 LSU 24 Winner
Saturday 12/29: +1.37 Units (Volume 1.50 Units)
Fight Hunger Bowl
AT&T Park - San Francisco, CA
Arizona St. -13 / Navy 4:00 ET 1.50 Units
Arizona St. 62 Navy 28 Winner
Saturday Late Service Release
TCU (ML) -125 / Michigan St 6.00 Units 16-17 Lose
Friday 12/28: +0.57 Units (Volume 3.25 Units)
Meineke Car Care Bowl
Reliant Stadium - Houston, TX
Minnesota +13 / Texas Tech 9:00 ET 2.00 Units
Minnesota 31 Texas Tech 34 Winner
Independence Bowl
Independence Stadium - Shreveport, LA
UL Monroe -7 / Ohio 2:00 ET 1.25 Units
UL Monroe 14 Ohio 45 Lose
Thursday 12/27 +1.37 Units (Volume 1.50 Units)
Holiday Bowl
Bank Of America Stadium - Charlotte, NC
Cincinnati -9.5 / Duke 6:30 ET 1.50 Units
Cincinnati 48 Duke 34 Winner
Thursday Late Service Release
Baylor +3 / UCLA 6.00 Units 49-26 Winner
Wednesday 12/26 -2.00 Units (Volume 2.00 Units)
Little Caerars Pizza Bowl
Ford Field - Detroit, MI
Western Kentucky -6.5 / Central Michigan 7:30 ET 2.00 Units
Western Kentucky 21 Central Michgan 24 Lose
Saturday 12/22: +1.82 Units (Volume 2.00 Units)
New Orleans Bowl
Superdome - New Orleans, LA
Louisiana Lafayette -6.5 / East Carolina 12 Noon ET 2.00 Units
Louisiana Lafayette 43 East Carolina 34 Winner
Friday 12/21: +1.82 Units (Volume 2.00 Units)
Beef O'Brady's Bowl
Tropicana Field - St. Petersburg, FL
Central Florida -7 / Ball St. 7:30 ET 2.00 Units
Central Florida 38 Ball St. 17 Winner
Thursday 12/20: -2.00 Units (Volume 2.00 Units)
Poinsettia Bowl
Qualcomm Stadium - San Diego, CA
Over 46 BYU / San Diego St. 8:00 ET 2.00 Units
BYU 23 San Diego St. 6 Lose
Saturday 12/15: +1.14 Units (Volume 1.25 Units)
New Mexico Bowl
University Stadium - Albuquerque, New Mexico
Nevada +8.5 / Arizona 1:00 ET 1.25 Units
Nevada 48 Arizona 49 Winner
2014-2015 NCAAF Bowl Results
10-7 +4.11 Units (Volume: 30.50 Units)
Complete Game By Game details as delivered to all clients posted below
Monday 1/12: -2.00 Units (Volume: 2.00 Units)
NCAAF Championship Game
AT&T Stadium - Arlington, TX
Oregon -6 / Ohio State 8:30 ET 2.00 Units
Oregon 20 Ohio St. 42 Lose
Sunday 1/4: +1.82 Units (Volume: 2.00 Units)
Go Daddy Bowl
Ladd-Peebles Stadium - Mobile, AL
Toledo -3.5 / Arkansas St. 9:00 ET 2.00 Units
Toledo 63 Arkansas St. 44 Winner
Friday 1/2: +1.82 Units (Volume: 2.00 Units)
Cactus Bowl
Sun Devil Stadium - Tempe AZ
Oklahoma St. +7 / Washington 10:15 ET 2.00 Units
Oklahoma St. 30 Washington 14 Winner
Thursday 1/1: +0.81 Units (Volume: 5.25 Units)
Capital One Bowl
Florida Citrus Bowl - Orlando, FL
Missouri -4 / Minnesota 1:00 ET 1.25 Units
Missouri 33 Minnesota 17 Winner
Rose Bowl
Rose Bowl - Pasadena, CA
Oregon -7 (-120) / Florida St. 5:00 ET 2.00 Units
Oregon 59 Florida St. 20 Winner
Sugar Bowl
Superdome - New Orleans, LA
Alabama -8 / Ohio St. 8:30 ET 2.00 Units
Alabama 35 Ohio St. 42 Lose
Wednesday 12/31: -1.25 Units (Volume: 1.25 Units)
Chick-Fil-A Peach Bowl
Georgia Dome - Atlanta, GA
Mississippi +3.5 / TCU 12:30 ET 1.25 Units
Mississippi 3 TCU 42 Lose
Tuesday 12/30: +1.82 Units (Volume: 2.00 Units)
Belk Bowl
Bank Of America Stadium - Charlotte, NC
Georgia -7 / Louisville 6:30 ET 2.00 Units
Georgia 37 Louisville 14 Winner
Monday 12/29: -1.25 Units (Volume: 2.75 Units)
Russell Athletic Bowl
Florida Citrus Bowl - Orlando, FL
Oklahoma -6 / Clemson 5:30 ET 1.25 Units
Oklahoma 6 Clemson 40 Lose
Saturday 12/27: -0.86 Units (Volume: 3.25 Units)
Independence Bowl
Independence Stadium - Shreveport, LA
South Carolina +3 / Miami (Fl) 3:30 ET 1.25 Units
South Carolina 24 Miami (Fl) 21 Winner
Holiday Bowl
Qualcomm Stadium - San Diego, CA
USC -7 / Nebraska 8:00 ET 2.00 Units
USC 45 Nebraska 42 Lose
Friday 12/26: +0.57 Units (Volume: 3.25 Units)
Heart Of Dallas Bowl
Cotton Bowl - Dallas, TX
Illinois +7 / Louisiana Tech 1:00 ET 1.25 Units
Illinois 18 Louisiana Tech 35 Lose
St. Petersburg Bowl
Tropicana Field - St. Petersburg, FL
NC State +3 (-120) / Central Florida 8:00 ET 2.00 Units
NC State 34 Central Florida 27 Winner
Wednesday 12/24: -2.00 Units (Volume: 2.00 Units)
Hawaii Bowl
Aloha Stadium - Honolulu, HI
Fresno St. +2 / Rice 8:00 ET 2.00 Units
Fresno St. 6 Rice 30 Lose
Tuesday 12/23: +1.82 Units (Volume: 2.00 Units)
Marshall -8 / Northern Illinois 6:00 ET 2.00 Units
Marshall 52 Northern Illinois 23 Winner
Saturday 12/20: +2.81 Units (Volume: 3.25 Units)
Las Vegas Bowl
Sam Boyd Stadium - Las Vegas, NV
Utah -2.5 / Colorado St. 3:30 ET 1.25 Units
Utah 45 Colorado St. 10 Winner
Camellia Bowl
Crampton Bowl - Montgomery, AL
Bowling Green +3 (-120) / S. Alabama 9:15 ET 2.00 Units
Bowling Green 33 S. Alabama 28 Winner
2013-2014 NCAAF Bowl Results
4-3 -3.58 Units (Volume: 23.75 Units)
Complete Game By Game details as delivered to all clients posted below
Friday 12/27: +1.25 Units (Volume: 1.25 Units)
Military Bowl
Marshall -3 (Even) / Maryland 1.25 Units
Marshall 31 Maryland 20 Winner
Thursday (12/26) Late Service Release
Poinsettia Bowl | Qualcomm Stadium - San Diego, CA
Utah St. -2 / N. Illinois 6 units 21-14 Winner
Thursday 12/26: +1.14 Units (Volume: 1.25 Units)
Little Caesars Pizza Bowl | Ford Field - Detroit, MI
Pittsburgh +7 / Bowling Green 6:00 ET 1.25 Units
Pittsburgh 30 Bowling Green 27 Winner
Tuesday (12/24) Late Service Release
Hawaii Bowl
Boise St. +3.5 / Oregon St. 6 units 21-24 Lose
Saturday Late Service Release
New Orleans Bowl | Superdome - New Orleans, LA
Tulane -2.5 / UL Lafayette6 units 21-24 Lose
Saturday 12/21: +0.57 Units (Volume: 3.25 Units)
New Mexico Bowl
University Stadium - Albuquerque, NM
Washington St. -4.5 / Colorado St.1.25 Units
Washington 45 Colorado St. 48 Lose
Cougars the more experienced team here having played a very tough schedule. Their opponents included Auburn, USC, Stanford, Oregon St, Oregon, ASU, Arizona & Washington. Sure, they only won 2 of those 5 games but covered 5 of them. In fact, WSU went 9-3 ATS on the season. Of course ATS records don't win bowl games, but they are an indicator to a teams ability, especially when playing the caliber of opponent the Cougars have this season. Colorado St. on the other hand played just a couple quality opponents, including Alabama in week 4 (lost 6-31). And CSU's big back Bibbs shouldn't intimidate WSU... they've faced some of the nation's elite this season.
Famous Idaho Potato Bowl
Bronco Stadium - Boise, ID
San Diego St. ML (-120) / Buffalo 2.00 Units
San Diego St. 49 Buffalo 24 Winner
Real easy here to take the team with the +16 TO (Buff) ratio vs the team with the -16 TO ratio (SDS), but we're firm believers of "...what goes up, must come down..." And what better of a time for the fortunes to turn than after a several week layoff? Not saying the Buffalo all of a sudden is going to become a turnover machine, but even playing the game even in the TO category today will create some huge value here as this big disparity is cemented into the line..
10-7 +4.11 Units (Volume: 30.50 Units)
Complete Game By Game details as delivered to all clients posted below
Monday 1/12: -2.00 Units (Volume: 2.00 Units)
NCAAF Championship Game
AT&T Stadium - Arlington, TX
Oregon -6 / Ohio State 8:30 ET 2.00 Units
Oregon 20 Ohio St. 42 Lose
Sunday 1/4: +1.82 Units (Volume: 2.00 Units)
Go Daddy Bowl
Ladd-Peebles Stadium - Mobile, AL
Toledo -3.5 / Arkansas St. 9:00 ET 2.00 Units
Toledo 63 Arkansas St. 44 Winner
Friday 1/2: +1.82 Units (Volume: 2.00 Units)
Cactus Bowl
Sun Devil Stadium - Tempe AZ
Oklahoma St. +7 / Washington 10:15 ET 2.00 Units
Oklahoma St. 30 Washington 14 Winner
Thursday 1/1: +0.81 Units (Volume: 5.25 Units)
Capital One Bowl
Florida Citrus Bowl - Orlando, FL
Missouri -4 / Minnesota 1:00 ET 1.25 Units
Missouri 33 Minnesota 17 Winner
Rose Bowl
Rose Bowl - Pasadena, CA
Oregon -7 (-120) / Florida St. 5:00 ET 2.00 Units
Oregon 59 Florida St. 20 Winner
Sugar Bowl
Superdome - New Orleans, LA
Alabama -8 / Ohio St. 8:30 ET 2.00 Units
Alabama 35 Ohio St. 42 Lose
Wednesday 12/31: -1.25 Units (Volume: 1.25 Units)
Chick-Fil-A Peach Bowl
Georgia Dome - Atlanta, GA
Mississippi +3.5 / TCU 12:30 ET 1.25 Units
Mississippi 3 TCU 42 Lose
Tuesday 12/30: +1.82 Units (Volume: 2.00 Units)
Belk Bowl
Bank Of America Stadium - Charlotte, NC
Georgia -7 / Louisville 6:30 ET 2.00 Units
Georgia 37 Louisville 14 Winner
Monday 12/29: -1.25 Units (Volume: 2.75 Units)
Russell Athletic Bowl
Florida Citrus Bowl - Orlando, FL
Oklahoma -6 / Clemson 5:30 ET 1.25 Units
Oklahoma 6 Clemson 40 Lose
Saturday 12/27: -0.86 Units (Volume: 3.25 Units)
Independence Bowl
Independence Stadium - Shreveport, LA
South Carolina +3 / Miami (Fl) 3:30 ET 1.25 Units
South Carolina 24 Miami (Fl) 21 Winner
Holiday Bowl
Qualcomm Stadium - San Diego, CA
USC -7 / Nebraska 8:00 ET 2.00 Units
USC 45 Nebraska 42 Lose
Friday 12/26: +0.57 Units (Volume: 3.25 Units)
Heart Of Dallas Bowl
Cotton Bowl - Dallas, TX
Illinois +7 / Louisiana Tech 1:00 ET 1.25 Units
Illinois 18 Louisiana Tech 35 Lose
St. Petersburg Bowl
Tropicana Field - St. Petersburg, FL
NC State +3 (-120) / Central Florida 8:00 ET 2.00 Units
NC State 34 Central Florida 27 Winner
Wednesday 12/24: -2.00 Units (Volume: 2.00 Units)
Hawaii Bowl
Aloha Stadium - Honolulu, HI
Fresno St. +2 / Rice 8:00 ET 2.00 Units
Fresno St. 6 Rice 30 Lose
Tuesday 12/23: +1.82 Units (Volume: 2.00 Units)
Marshall -8 / Northern Illinois 6:00 ET 2.00 Units
Marshall 52 Northern Illinois 23 Winner
Saturday 12/20: +2.81 Units (Volume: 3.25 Units)
Las Vegas Bowl
Sam Boyd Stadium - Las Vegas, NV
Utah -2.5 / Colorado St. 3:30 ET 1.25 Units
Utah 45 Colorado St. 10 Winner
Camellia Bowl
Crampton Bowl - Montgomery, AL
Bowling Green +3 (-120) / S. Alabama 9:15 ET 2.00 Units
Bowling Green 33 S. Alabama 28 Winner
2013-2014 NCAAF Bowl Results
4-3 -3.58 Units (Volume: 23.75 Units)
Complete Game By Game details as delivered to all clients posted below
Friday 12/27: +1.25 Units (Volume: 1.25 Units)
Military Bowl
Marshall -3 (Even) / Maryland 1.25 Units
Marshall 31 Maryland 20 Winner
Thursday (12/26) Late Service Release
Poinsettia Bowl | Qualcomm Stadium - San Diego, CA
Utah St. -2 / N. Illinois 6 units 21-14 Winner
Thursday 12/26: +1.14 Units (Volume: 1.25 Units)
Little Caesars Pizza Bowl | Ford Field - Detroit, MI
Pittsburgh +7 / Bowling Green 6:00 ET 1.25 Units
Pittsburgh 30 Bowling Green 27 Winner
Tuesday (12/24) Late Service Release
Hawaii Bowl
Boise St. +3.5 / Oregon St. 6 units 21-24 Lose
Saturday Late Service Release
New Orleans Bowl | Superdome - New Orleans, LA
Tulane -2.5 / UL Lafayette6 units 21-24 Lose
Saturday 12/21: +0.57 Units (Volume: 3.25 Units)
New Mexico Bowl
University Stadium - Albuquerque, NM
Washington St. -4.5 / Colorado St.1.25 Units
Washington 45 Colorado St. 48 Lose
Cougars the more experienced team here having played a very tough schedule. Their opponents included Auburn, USC, Stanford, Oregon St, Oregon, ASU, Arizona & Washington. Sure, they only won 2 of those 5 games but covered 5 of them. In fact, WSU went 9-3 ATS on the season. Of course ATS records don't win bowl games, but they are an indicator to a teams ability, especially when playing the caliber of opponent the Cougars have this season. Colorado St. on the other hand played just a couple quality opponents, including Alabama in week 4 (lost 6-31). And CSU's big back Bibbs shouldn't intimidate WSU... they've faced some of the nation's elite this season.
Famous Idaho Potato Bowl
Bronco Stadium - Boise, ID
San Diego St. ML (-120) / Buffalo 2.00 Units
San Diego St. 49 Buffalo 24 Winner
Real easy here to take the team with the +16 TO (Buff) ratio vs the team with the -16 TO ratio (SDS), but we're firm believers of "...what goes up, must come down..." And what better of a time for the fortunes to turn than after a several week layoff? Not saying the Buffalo all of a sudden is going to become a turnover machine, but even playing the game even in the TO category today will create some huge value here as this big disparity is cemented into the line..